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LABS
Services
Proposal Success Probability Calculator
A machine learning model that analyzes historical data, voter behavior, and proposal metadata to predict the likelihood of a governance proposal passing or failing. Built for DAOs and protocol governance teams.
Chainscore © 2026
overview
CORE SERVICE
Smart Contract Development
Secure, audited smart contracts built to your exact specifications, from concept to mainnet deployment.
- Full Lifecycle Development: From initial design and
Solidity/Rustcoding to comprehensive testing and mainnet deployment. - Security-First Approach: All contracts undergo rigorous internal audits and formal verification, with optional third-party audits from leading firms.
- Standard & Custom Logic: Build on proven standards (
ERC-20,ERC-721,ERC-1155) or implement bespoke business logic for DeFi, NFTs, and DAOs. - Clear Deliverables: You receive the verified source code, deployment scripts, and comprehensive documentation.
We translate your business requirements into immutable, trustless logic, ensuring your application's foundation is robust and future-proof.
key-features-cards
PREDICTIVE INTELLIGENCE
Core Capabilities of Our Prediction Engine
Our Proposal Success Probability Calculator is powered by a proprietary engine that analyzes on-chain governance data to deliver actionable intelligence, helping your protocol make better decisions faster.
02
Real-Time Probability Scoring
Get instant, dynamic success scores for live proposals. Our engine updates predictions in real-time as new votes are cast, giving you a live pulse on governance sentiment.
< 1 sec
Score Latency
99.9%
Uptime SLA
03
Customizable Risk & Impact Models
Tailor the prediction model to your protocol's specific risk tolerance and strategic goals. Adjust weightings for voter turnout, whale influence, and proposal complexity.
20+
Configurable Parameters
1 week
Model Calibration
05
Security & Data Integrity
Built with enterprise-grade security. All data pipelines and models are auditable. We use verifiable data sources and maintain strict data provenance.
SOC 2
Compliance
100%
Source Verification
06
Actionable Insights Dashboard
Beyond a simple score, access a full dashboard showing key drivers, swing voter analysis, and historical comparisons to inform your governance strategy.
10+
Analytics Views
Real-time
Data Export
benefits
DATA-DRIVEN INSIGHTS
Drive Better Governance Decisions
Our Proposal Success Probability Calculator provides quantifiable intelligence to help DAOs, protocols, and investment committees allocate capital and community attention with confidence. Move beyond speculation to evidence-based governance.
01
Predictive Success Scoring
Get a real-time probability score for any governance proposal, analyzing historical voting patterns, voter sentiment, and treasury impact. Our models identify proposals with a >80% historical correlation to successful outcomes.
>80%
Historical Accuracy
Real-time
Analysis
02
Voter Turnout & Delegation Insights
Forecast quorum requirements and identify at-risk proposals before the voting period ends. Track delegation patterns to understand which key stakeholders are likely to vote and how.
95%
Quorum Predictions
Key Voter ID
Stakeholder Analysis
03
Treasury & Financial Impact Modeling
Simulate the financial impact of grant proposals and budget allocations on protocol treasuries. Model tokenomics effects, runway changes, and ROI scenarios to assess long-term sustainability.
Multi-scenario
Financial Models
ROI Forecast
Built-in
04
Sentiment & Discourse Analysis
Integrate with Discord, forums, and social channels to gauge community sentiment. Our NLP models quantify support, opposition, and key discussion themes, providing an early signal for proposal viability.
NLP-Powered
Sentiment Scoring
Multi-platform
Data Aggregation
05
Customizable Risk Parameters
Tailor the calculator to your DAO's specific risk tolerance. Set weighted parameters for voter apathy, treasury concentration, proposal complexity, and market conditions to generate your unique success score.
Fully Custom
Risk Model
DAO-Specific
Scoring
06
Audit Trail & Reporting
Maintain a transparent, immutable record of all predictions, inputs, and outcomes. Generate compliance-ready reports for stakeholders and funders, demonstrating data-driven decision-making.
Immutable Log
All Decisions
Compliance-Ready
Exportable Reports
A structured approach to ensure project success
Phased Development & Delivery
Our phased delivery model provides clear milestones, predictable costs, and continuous validation, ensuring your Proposal Success Probability Calculator is built to spec and delivered on time.
| Phase & Deliverables | Starter (MVP) | Professional (Production) | Enterprise (Scale) |
|---|---|---|---|
Phase 1: Discovery & Modeling | Core probability model design | Advanced model + market data integration | Custom model with AI/ML components |
Phase 2: Smart Contract Development | On-chain logic for core calculations | Gas-optimized contracts + upgradeability | Multi-chain deployment & custom governance |
Phase 3: Frontend & API | Basic dashboard & read-only API | Interactive UI, analytics, & full REST API | White-labeled portal & GraphQL/subscription API |
Security Audit | Automated scan report | Manual audit by 3rd party firm | Comprehensive audit + bug bounty setup |
Deployment & Integration | Testnet deployment | Mainnet deployment + monitoring setup | Multi-chain deployment + CI/CD pipeline |
Ongoing Support & Updates | 30 days post-launch | 6 months SLA with 24h response | Dedicated engineer & 4h critical response |
Estimated Timeline | 4-6 weeks | 8-12 weeks | 12-16 weeks |
Starting Investment | $25,000 | $75,000 | Custom Quote |
how-we-deliver
CORE SERVICE
Smart Contract Development
Secure, production-ready smart contracts built for your specific business logic.
We architect and deploy custom smart contracts on EVM and Solana that are audit-ready from day one. Our process eliminates costly reworks and security vulnerabilities before they happen.
Deliver a secure, functional MVP in under 4 weeks with a fixed-scope development sprint.
- Full Lifecycle Development: From requirements and
Solidity/Rustcoding to testing, deployment, and verification onEtherscan/Solscan. - Security-First Approach: Built with
OpenZeppelinstandards, comprehensive unit/integration tests, and a pre-audit review. - Gas Optimization: Expert tuning to reduce transaction costs by up to 40% for end-users.
Proposal Success Probability Calculator
Frequently Asked Questions
Get clear answers on how our data-driven calculator works, its accuracy, and how it integrates with your governance process.
Our calculator achieves over 85% prediction accuracy for on-chain governance outcomes. It analyzes historical proposal data, voter sentiment, and network conditions using machine learning models trained on 50,000+ proposals across major DAOs like Uniswap, Compound, and Aave. Accuracy varies by chain and governance maturity, which we detail in your custom report.
ENQUIRY
Get In Touch
today.
Our experts will offer a free quote and a 30min call to discuss your project.
NDA Protected
Confidentiality24h Response
Time to ValueDirectly to Engineering Team
No Sales Fluff10+
Protocols Shipped
$20M+
TVL Overall