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Guides

How to Design a Tokenomics Model for Validator Incentives

A technical guide for developers designing tokenomics to incentivize validator behavior. Covers staking mechanics, reward schedules, fee structures, and code patterns for security and decentralization.
Chainscore © 2026
introduction
GUIDE

How to Design a Tokenomics Model for Validator Incentives

A practical framework for creating sustainable economic models that secure proof-of-stake and delegated proof-of-stake blockchains.

Validator incentive design is the economic backbone of any proof-of-stake (PoS) blockchain. Its primary goal is to align the financial interests of validators with the security and liveness of the network. A well-designed model must address three core objectives: security (making attacks prohibitively expensive), decentralization (preventing excessive stake concentration), and liveness (ensuring validators are online and participating). Failure in any of these areas can lead to network instability, reduced trust, and vulnerability to exploits. The tokenomics model defines the rules for staking rewards, slashing penalties, and inflation schedules that collectively drive validator behavior.

The reward mechanism is the carrot. Rewards are typically issued through block proposals, attestations (voting on chain head), and sync committee participation (as in Ethereum). The reward function must be carefully calibrated. For example, Ethereum's issuance is designed to be minimally sufficient, with annual issuance currently around 0.5-1% of the total stake. Rewards can be a combination of newly minted tokens (inflation) and transaction fees (priority fees and MEV). A common model is to set a target staking ratio (e.g., the ~25% targeted by Ethereum post-merge) and adjust issuance to incentivize or disincentivize additional staking.

The slashing mechanism is the stick. It punishes malicious or negligent behavior to protect the network. There are typically three slashable offenses: double signing (equivocation), surround votes (attempting to rewrite history), and liveness failures (being offline). Slashing penalties involve the loss of a portion of the validator's staked tokens and their ejection from the validator set. The severity must be significant enough to deter attacks; for instance, a full slashing event on Ethereum can result in the loss of the entire validator balance (32 ETH). The threat of slashing makes coordinated attacks economically irrational for rational actors.

Inflation and token supply dynamics are critical long-term considerations. A high inflation rate can initially attract validators but devalue the token over time, harming all stakeholders. A fixed, decaying issuance schedule (like Bitcoin's halving) provides predictability but may not adapt to changing network conditions. An adaptive model, where issuance adjusts based on the total staked supply, can help maintain a target staking ratio. The token's utility beyond staking—such as for governance, gas fees, or as collateral in DeFi—also strengthens the overall economic security of the chain by increasing its opportunity cost for validators.

Implementing these concepts requires smart contract logic. Below is a simplified Solidity snippet illustrating a basic reward calculation and slashing function for a hypothetical PoS chain. This example assumes a fixed annual reward rate and a simple slashing condition for double signing.

solidity
// Simplified Validator Incentive Contract Snippet
contract ValidatorIncentives {
    uint256 public constant REWARD_RATE_PER_EPOCH = 100; // Basis points
    uint256 public constant SLASH_PENALTY_BPS = 10000; // 100% of stake
    mapping(address => uint256) public stakedBalance;
    mapping(address => uint256) public lastSignedBlock;

    function proposeBlock(uint256 blockNumber) external {
        require(stakedBalance[msg.sender] > 0, "Not a validator");
        // Check for double signing
        require(blockNumber > lastSignedBlock[msg.sender], "Double sign attempt");
        lastSignedBlock[msg.sender] = blockNumber;
        
        // Calculate and mint rewards
        uint256 reward = (stakedBalance[msg.sender] * REWARD_RATE_PER_EPOCH) / 10000;
        _mintRewards(msg.sender, reward);
    }

    function slashValidator(address validator, uint256 conflictingBlock) external {
        if (lastSignedBlock[validator] == conflictingBlock) {
            uint256 slashAmount = (stakedBalance[validator] * SLASH_PENALTY_BPS) / 10000;
            stakedBalance[validator] -= slashAmount;
            // Burn or redistribute slashed funds
            _burnTokens(slashAmount);
        }
    }
}

Finally, real-world models must evolve. Ethereum's transition to a maximum extractable value (MEV)-based reward structure with proposer-builder separation (PBS) is a key example of adapting incentive design to emergent behaviors. Successful tokenomics is not a one-time design but an ongoing process of monitoring metrics like the staking ratio, validator churn rate, Gini coefficient of stake distribution, and average validator profitability. These metrics inform parameter adjustments via governance to ensure the network remains secure, decentralized, and attractive to validators over the long term, balancing immediate incentives with sustainable economic security.

prerequisites
PREREQUISITES

How to Design a Tokenomics Model for Validator Incentives

This guide outlines the foundational knowledge required to design a sustainable tokenomics model for a proof-of-stake (PoS) or delegated proof-of-stake (DPoS) blockchain network.

Before designing a validator incentive model, you must understand the core components of blockchain consensus. Proof-of-Stake (PoS) is a consensus mechanism where validators are chosen to create new blocks and validate transactions based on the amount of cryptocurrency they "stake" as collateral. This is a fundamental shift from Proof-of-Work (PoW), which uses computational power. Key concepts include the validator set (the active group of block producers), slashing (penalties for malicious behavior), and finality (the irreversible confirmation of a block). Familiarity with major PoS networks like Ethereum, Cosmos, or Solana provides essential context for real-world implementations.

A tokenomics model defines the economic rules of a cryptocurrency. For validator incentives, you must specify the token supply (inflationary, deflationary, or fixed), distribution schedule, and emission rate. The primary goal is to balance security with sustainability. Sufficient rewards must attract and retain honest validators to secure the network, but excessive inflation can devalue the token for holders. You'll need to model variables like the target staking ratio (percentage of total supply staked), annual inflation rate, and the real yield for stakers after accounting for dilution.

Validator economics revolve around rewards and risks. Rewards typically come from two sources: block rewards (newly minted tokens) and transaction fees. The model must define how these are distributed. Simultaneously, you must design a slashing mechanism to disincentivize attacks. Common slashing conditions include double-signing and downtime. Parameters like the slashing penalty percentage and the unbonding period (time to withdraw staked tokens) are critical security levers. These parameters directly impact a validator's risk-adjusted return on investment (ROI).

Successful tokenomics requires analyzing network participants and their incentives. The key actors are validators (node operators), delegators (token holders who stake with validators), and the protocol treasury. Their interests can align or conflict. For example, high inflation benefits validators with new tokens but harms delegators through dilution. A model must also consider validator centralization risks; if rewards are too concentrated, it can lead to a small group controlling the network. Tools like commission rates (fees validators charge delegators) help balance this ecosystem.

You will need basic quantitative skills to model and simulate your design. Start by defining your target security budget—how much of the token's annual issuance you are willing to allocate to staking rewards. From there, you can calculate the necessary inflation rate for a given staking ratio. Use spreadsheet tools or simple scripts to project token supply, validator yields, and network security over a 3-5 year horizon. Testing your model against different scenarios—like a rapid change in token price or staking participation—is crucial for identifying vulnerabilities before launch.

Finally, study existing models and their outcomes. Analyze the Ethereum issuance curve and its transition to a maximum issuance model post-Merge. Examine Cosmos Hub's initial high inflation that tapered with staking participation. Look at Solana's fixed inflation schedule and its delegation program. Resources like the Cosmos Hub Tokenomics and Ethereum's Beacon Chain specifications provide concrete parameter sets and rationales. Learning from these implementations will help you avoid common pitfalls and design a more robust system.

key-concepts-text
CORE CONCEPTS IN VALIDATOR TOKENOMICS

How to Design a Tokenomics Model for Validator Incentives

A well-designed tokenomics model aligns validator behavior with network security and decentralization goals through structured economic incentives.

Validator tokenomics defines the economic rules that govern a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) network's security. The primary goal is to create a system where rational actors are financially incentivized to act honestly and maintain the network. This involves designing mechanisms for staking rewards, slashing penalties, and inflation schedules. Key parameters include the target staking ratio, annual percentage yield (APY), and the distribution of rewards between validators and delegators. A model that is too generous can lead to excessive inflation, while one that is too stingy may fail to attract sufficient stake to secure the network.

The reward function is the core mathematical formula determining validator payouts. It typically incorporates several variables: the total amount of staked tokens, the validator's own stake and commission rate, and the overall network inflation. For example, a common model uses a square root function where rewards are proportional to the square root of a validator's stake, which slightly disincentivizes centralization compared to a linear model. Rewards are usually issued in the native protocol token (e.g., ETH for Ethereum, SOL for Solana) and can be a mix of newly minted tokens (inflation) and transaction fees.

Slashing is the critical counterbalance to rewards, imposing financial penalties for malicious or negligent behavior. Double-signing (signing two conflicting blocks) and downtime (missing too many blocks) are standard slashing conditions. A robust model defines clear, automated slashing parameters: the penalty percentage (e.g., 1% for downtime, 5% for double-signing) and the unbonding period during which slashed funds are locked. This creates a direct cost for attacks or poor performance, making them economically irrational. Networks like Cosmos and Ethereum have implemented and iterated on these slashing mechanisms.

Token supply dynamics are equally important. An inflation schedule dictates how new tokens are minted to fund staking rewards. Some protocols, like Ethereum post-Merge, have a net-zero or negative issuance if fee burn exceeds new issuance. Others, like Cosmos Hub, use a target staking ratio (e.g., 67%) to dynamically adjust inflation—if staked ratio is below target, inflation increases to attract more stakers. The model must balance attracting validators with protecting the purchasing power of the token for all holders, avoiding excessive dilution.

Finally, the model must address initial distribution and long-term sustainability. A fair launch or well-distributed genesis allocation prevents pre-mining centralization. Many projects allocate a portion of future inflation to a community treasury or protocol-owned liquidity pool to fund ongoing development. When designing your model, simulate different scenarios: test the APY under various staking rates, model validator profitability after costs, and stress-test the security budget (total value at stake * slashing penalty) against potential attack vectors. Tools like Gauntlet and informal systems are used for this analysis.

CORE MECHANICS

Validator Reward Model Comparison

A comparison of fundamental reward distribution models for proof-of-stake validators.

Model FeatureFixed InflationTransaction Fee OnlyHybrid (Inflation + Fees)Slashing-Based Redistribution

Primary Reward Source

Protocol-issued new tokens

User-paid transaction fees

New tokens + transaction fees

Penalties from slashed validators

Inflation Rate

Fixed at 5% APY

0%

Variable (e.g., 2-5% APY)

0%

Predictability for Validator

High

Low (depends on network usage)

Medium

Very Low

Token Supply Impact

Inflationary

Neutral

Mildly Inflationary

Neutral

Aligns Validator with Network Usage

Security During Low Activity

Example Protocol

Early Cosmos

Ethereum (post-merge)

Polygon POS, Avalanche

Implemented in slashing logic

Key Risk

Value dilution over time

Revenue volatility

Complex calibration

Insufficient penalty pool

staking-mechanics-implementation
STAKING AND SLASHING

How to Design a Tokenomics Model for Validator Incentives

A well-designed tokenomics model aligns validator incentives with network security and decentralization. This guide explains how to structure staking rewards and slashing penalties to create a robust Proof-of-Stake (PoS) system.

The core of a PoS tokenomics model is the staking mechanism, where validators lock up a bond of the native token to participate in consensus. This bond, or stake, serves as skin in the game, financially aligning the validator's interests with the network's health. The total value staked directly impacts security; a higher total stake makes it exponentially more expensive for an attacker to acquire enough tokens to mount an attack. Key parameters you must define include the minimum stake required to become a validator, the unbonding period (the time required to withdraw staked tokens), and the inflation rate or block rewards used to fund validator payouts.

Slashing is the critical counterpart to staking, imposing penalties for malicious or negligent behavior. It is the primary disincentive against attacks like double-signing or prolonged downtime. A slashing design must specify the slashable offenses, the slash amount (e.g., a percentage of the validator's stake), and the slash window. For example, Ethereum's consensus layer slashes 1 ETH for an attestation violation and the validator's entire stake for a block proposal violation. The penalty should be severe enough to deter attacks but not so severe that it discourages participation. Funds from slashing are often burned, redistributed to honest validators, or sent to a community treasury.

Reward distribution must incentivize both participation and performance. Rewards are typically issued from newly minted tokens (inflation) and/or transaction fees. A common model uses an inverse relationship between the total stake and the reward rate; as more tokens are staked, the annual percentage yield (APY) decreases, naturally balancing participation. Rewards should also be weighted by validator uptime and effectiveness. In Cosmos-based chains, validators in the active set propose and attest to blocks, earning rewards proportional to their voting power, which are then shared with their delegators after a commission fee.

Here is a simplified conceptual structure for a staking and slashing contract in Solidity, illustrating the bond and penalty logic:

solidity
// Simplified staking and slashing logic
mapping(address => uint256) public validatorStake;
uint256 public constant MIN_STAKE = 32 ether;
uint256 public constant SLASH_PERCENTAGE = 10; // 10%

function stake() external payable {
    require(msg.value >= MIN_STAKE, "Insufficient stake");
    validatorStake[msg.sender] += msg.value;
    // Emit event, add to validator set, etc.
}

function slash(address _validator, string memory _offense) external onlySlashingCommittee {
    uint256 stakeAmount = validatorStake[_validator];
    uint256 slashAmount = (stakeAmount * SLASH_PERCENTAGE) / 100;
    validatorStake[_validator] -= slashAmount;
    // Burn or redistribute slashAmount
    emit ValidatorSlashed(_validator, _offense, slashAmount);
}

This pseudocode highlights the basic interaction: locking funds and applying a proportional penalty.

Beyond base rewards and penalties, advanced models incorporate delegation mechanics and governance rights. Delegation allows token holders who cannot run a node to contribute stake to a validator, sharing in rewards and slashing risks. The validator's commission rate (a cut of delegator rewards) becomes a competitive market parameter. Furthermore, staked tokens often confer governance power, creating a cryptoeconomic flywheel where those most invested in the network's future control its decisions. Projects like Cosmos (ATOM), Polkadot (DOT), and Solana (SOL) each implement variations of these principles, tuning parameters like inflation schedules and slashing severity to match their security assumptions and desired validator count.

Finally, continuous parameter tuning is essential. Initial tokenomics are a hypothesis that must be tested against live network data. Monitor metrics like the percentage of total supply staked (targeting 50-70% for security without excessive illiquidity), validator churn rate, and the actual cost of attack. Governance proposals can adjust rates, unbonding periods, and slashing conditions. The goal is a self-sustaining equilibrium where honest validation is the most profitable strategy, securing the network in a decentralized manner for the long term.

reward-distribution-schedules
TOKENOMICS

Designing Reward Distribution Schedules

A well-designed reward schedule is critical for aligning validator incentives with long-term network security and stability. This guide outlines the key principles and models for structuring validator payouts.

Validator reward schedules define how and when staking rewards are distributed to network participants. The primary goals are to secure the network by incentivizing honest participation and to manage token supply inflation responsibly. A poorly designed schedule can lead to excessive sell pressure, validator centralization, or insufficient security. Effective schedules balance immediate rewards to attract validators with long-term vesting to ensure commitment. Key parameters include the emission rate, vesting periods, and the distribution curve over time.

Several common distribution models exist. A linear vesting model releases tokens at a constant rate over a set period (e.g., 25% per year for 4 years), providing predictable liquidity. Cliff vesting delays all rewards for a period before beginning linear release, strongly incentivizing long-term commitment. More complex curved schedules, like logarithmic or sigmoid curves, can front-load rewards to bootstrap participation or back-load them to reward longevity. The choice depends on the network's stage: new networks may need aggressive early rewards, while established ones prioritize sustainability.

Implementing a schedule requires careful smart contract design. A typical Solidity contract might manage a vesting schedule using a mapping from beneficiary addresses to a struct containing the total allocation, amount released, and vesting parameters. The core function checks the elapsed time since the schedule start and calculates the releasable amount based on the chosen curve. It's crucial to use safe math libraries and implement access controls to prevent manipulation. Always audit the contract for reentrancy and timestamp manipulation vulnerabilities.

Beyond the base schedule, consider slashing penalties and reward compounding. Slashing conditions must be clearly defined and automated to disincentivize malicious behavior. For compounding, you can allow validators to automatically restake their rewards, which reduces sell pressure and increases their stake over time. This can be implemented by having the reward distribution contract call the staking contract's stake function on behalf of the validator, though this requires careful gas optimization and fee management.

Real-world examples provide valuable lessons. Ethereum's transition to proof-of-stake uses a dynamic issuance model where rewards are inversely related to the total amount staked, automatically adjusting to secure the network without excessive inflation. Cosmos Hub employs a configurable inflation rate that adjusts based on the bonding ratio. When designing your schedule, model different scenarios for validator adoption, market price action, and network usage. Tools like Tokenomics DAO's simulation frameworks can help stress-test your model before mainnet launch.

integrating-transaction-fees
GUIDE

How to Design a Tokenomics Model for Validator Incentives

A validator incentive model must balance network security, decentralization, and sustainable economics. This guide explains the core components and design trade-offs.

A validator's primary economic incentive is the block reward, which typically consists of newly minted tokens (inflation) and transaction fees. The inflation rate is a critical parameter: too low, and security suffers from insufficient staking; too high, and it dilutes token holders. Networks like Cosmos and Solana use algorithmic inflation that adjusts based on the total stake percentage, targeting a specific ratio like 66% to maintain equilibrium. This creates a feedback loop where high yields attract more stakers until the yield normalizes.

Transaction fees must be partitioned to align validator and delegator interests. A common model is to have validators claim a commission (e.g., 5-10%) from the block rewards before distributing the rest to their delegators. More advanced systems, like Ethereum's proposer-builder separation (PBS), introduce complex fee markets where block proposers auction space to builders, with MEV (Maximal Extractable Value) becoming a significant, often contentious, portion of revenue. Your model must define how these fees are shared and whether they are burned (as with EIP-1559) or distributed.

Slashing is the disincentive mechanism for malicious or negligent behavior, such as double-signing or downtime. Designing slashing parameters involves setting the penalty percentage and the unbonding period. A harsh slashing penalty (e.g., 5% of stake) strongly deters attacks but can panic delegators, while a long unbonding period (21 days on Cosmos) improves security but reduces liquidity. The model should clearly communicate these risks and may incorporate insurance funds or slashing coverage pools to mitigate delegator loss.

Token vesting schedules for the founding team and early investors must be carefully aligned with the validator launch. If a large portion of tokens unlocks early and is sold on the market, it can depress the token price and disincentivize new validators from joining. Staggering releases over 3-4 years, often with a 1-year cliff, is a standard practice to ensure long-term alignment. Transparency about the vesting schedule in the project's documentation is essential for trust.

Finally, the model must be sustainable post-inflation. As block rewards diminish over time, transaction fees must become the primary revenue source. This requires forecasting network usage and fee volume. A well-designed model, like the one envisioned for Ethereum post-merge, transitions security costs from inflation to fee revenue, making the network's security budget directly tied to its utility and economic activity.

VALIDATOR INCENTIVE DESIGN

Key Tokenomics Parameters and Tuning Guide

Comparison of core economic parameters for designing validator staking and reward mechanisms.

ParameterConservative ModelAggressive ModelHybrid Model

Inflation Rate (Annual)

2-5%

8-15%

5-8%

Slashing Penalty (Major Fault)

5-10%

15-30%

10-20%

Unbonding Period

21-28 days

7-14 days

14-21 days

Minimum Self-Stake

1-5% of total stake

0.1-1% of total stake

1-2% of total stake

Commission Rate Cap

5-10%

15-25%

10-15%

Reward Distribution Frequency

Daily

Real-time per block

Every 100 blocks

Incentive for Top N Validators

Quadratic Voting for Governance

decentralization-incentives
VALIDATOR ECONOMICS

How to Design a Tokenomics Model for Validator Incentives

A well-designed tokenomics model is the cornerstone of a secure and decentralized Proof-of-Stake (PoS) network. This guide outlines the key mechanisms for structuring validator rewards and penalties to promote geographic distribution and robust participation.

The primary goal of validator incentive design is to align individual validator profit motives with the network's long-term health. A naive model that rewards only based on stake size risks centralization, as large entities can out-compete smaller ones. Effective models must incorporate mechanisms that reward desirable behaviors beyond raw capital, such as uptime, geographic diversity, and decentralized client software usage. This creates a multi-dimensional reward surface that encourages a resilient network topology.

Core incentive mechanisms include block rewards, transaction fee distribution, and Maximum Extractable Value (MEV). Block rewards are the base issuance for proposing and attesting to blocks. To prevent geographic clustering, networks like Solana and Ethereum have implemented penalties for synchronous failures, which disincentivize validators in the same data center from coordinating. A portion of transaction fees can be directed to a community treasury or distributed via proposer-builder separation (PBS) schemes to reduce the advantage of centralized block building.

Slashing and inactivity penalties are critical for security. Slashing is a severe penalty for provably malicious actions (e.g., double-signing), resulting in a forced exit. Inactivity leaks gradually reduce the stake of validators that are offline during finality delays. These penalties must be calibrated to be punitive enough to deter attacks but not so severe that they discourage participation. The Ethereum network's slashing conditions and quadratic leak formula are canonical examples of this balance.

To actively promote geographic distribution, tokenomics can include location-based bonus multipliers. A smart contract on the coordination chain could adjust rewards based on proven validator location (e.g., via trusted hardware or decentralized oracle networks), offering higher yields for operators in under-represented regions. Alternatively, a portion of the inflation can be allocated to a decentralization grant pool, disbursed via quadratic funding or similar mechanisms to validators who demonstrably improve network dispersion.

Implementation requires careful on-chain logic. Below is a simplified Solidity-inspired pseudocode for a reward calculation function that includes a geographic bonus:

solidity
function calculateReward(
    address validator,
    uint256 baseReward,
    uint256 uptimeScore,
    RegionCode region
) public view returns (uint256) {
    uint256 reward = baseReward * uptimeScore / 100;
    // Apply bonus for target regions
    if (isUnderrepresentedRegion(region)) {
        reward += (reward * GEOGRAPHIC_BONUS) / 100;
    }
    // Apply penalty for over-concentration
    if (regionConcentration[region] > TARGET_THRESHOLD) {
        reward -= (reward * CONCENTRATION_PENALTY) / 100;
    }
    return reward;
}

This model dynamically adjusts payouts based on real-time network metrics.

Continuous evaluation is essential. Parameters like bonus rates, slashing amounts, and target thresholds must be monitored and adjusted via on-chain governance. Key metrics to track include the Gini coefficient of stake distribution, the Nakamoto Coefficient (number of entities needed to compromise the network), and the geographic spread of active validators. The model should be iterative, adapting to new centralization vectors and market conditions to sustain a robust, decentralized validator set over the long term.

TOKENOMICS DESIGN

Frequently Asked Questions on Validator Incentives

Common technical questions and solutions for designing tokenomics models that effectively incentivize validators in Proof-of-Stake networks.

A robust validator incentive model is built on three primary economic pillars:

  • Block Rewards (Inflation): New tokens minted and distributed for producing blocks. This is the primary subsidy to secure the network, especially in its early stages. The annual issuance rate (e.g., Ethereum's current ~0.8%, Cosmos Hub's initial ~7%) is a critical parameter.
  • Transaction Fees: Fees paid by users for computation and storage (gas). This provides a fee market and becomes the dominant reward as inflation decreases (e.g., Ethereum's post-merge "ultrasound money" model).
  • Slashing & Penalties: Mechanisms to disincentivize malicious or lazy behavior. This typically involves burning a portion of the validator's staked tokens for offenses like double-signing or downtime.

The balance between these components defines the network's security budget and validator profitability.

conclusion-next-steps
IMPLEMENTATION

Conclusion and Next Steps

This guide has outlined the core components for designing a tokenomics model that effectively incentivizes validators. The next steps involve implementing these principles and continuously iterating based on network performance.

A successful validator incentive model is not a static document but a dynamic economic system. The core principles—security through stake, sustainable rewards, and clear penalties—must be operationalized through smart contracts and protocol rules. For example, a staking contract on Ethereum or a Cosmos SDK-based chain would encode the slashing conditions, reward distribution schedule, and unbonding periods. Testing these mechanisms on a testnet with simulated validator behavior is a critical next step before mainnet launch.

After deployment, continuous monitoring is essential. Key metrics to track include the validator participation rate, the real yield (APR) after inflation, the concentration of stake among top validators (the Nakamoto Coefficient), and the frequency and cause of slashing events. Tools like Chainscore provide analytics for these metrics across multiple networks. Data-driven adjustments may be necessary, such as tweaking the inflation rate or adjusting slashing parameters to maintain the desired security and decentralization levels.

For further learning, engage with existing community governance processes on networks like Ethereum (through Ethereum Improvement Proposals), Cosmos, or Polkadot to see live tokenomics debates. Review the source code for staking modules like Cosmos' x/staking or build a simple model using the OpenZeppelin ERC-20 and custom staking contracts. The goal is to create a system where validators are rationally incentivized to act honestly, securing the network for the long term.