Protocol Failure Scenario Modeling

Simulate correlated failures across liquidity, oracle, and governance vectors under extreme market conditions. Model the cascading impact of a major CEX failure, oracle manipulation, or governance attack on your protocol's solvency.

Run thousands of probabilistic simulations to quantify Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall for your treasury or liquidity positions. Generate statistically significant confidence intervals for potential losses under black swan events.

Deconstruct your smart contract architecture into failure modes using formalized attack trees. Identify single points of failure, privilege escalation paths, and economic attack surfaces unique to your protocol's design.

Identify and quantify potential financial losses from protocol failures, including flash loan attacks, oracle manipulation, and governance exploits. We provide a detailed risk matrix with probability and impact scores.

Receive a proprietary resilience score (0-100) for your protocol's core logic, evaluating code quality, dependency risks, and economic security. This benchmark allows for objective prioritization of security upgrades.

Model the precise capital requirements and profitability for attackers under various market conditions. Understand the break-even point for exploits to inform your treasury's security budget.

Get a prioritized, actionable list of fixes—from high-impact smart contract patches to parameter adjustments. Each recommendation is tied to a specific modeled failure scenario and estimated reduction in risk exposure.

We equip your team with a repeatable framework to analyze real-world failures, map them to your modeled scenarios, and rapidly update your risk models. Turn incidents into institutional knowledge.

Generate comprehensive documentation of your risk assessment process and failure mitigations. This evidence-based approach satisfies internal audit requirements and demonstrates due diligence to regulators and partners.