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zk-rollups-the-endgame-for-scaling
Blog

Why ZK-Rollups Are the Bedrock for Central Bank Digital Currencies

Central banks face an impossible trilemma: scale, privacy, and auditability. This analysis argues ZK-Rollups, as pioneered by Starknet, zkSync, and Polygon zkEVM, are the singular technical solution capable of reconciling these demands for a viable national CBDC.

introduction
THE SETTLEMENT LAYER

Introduction

ZK-Rollups provide the only credible technical foundation for Central Bank Digital Currencies by solving their core trilemma of scalability, privacy, and finality.

ZK-Rollups are non-negotiable for CBDCs because they provide final settlement on a public ledger while processing transactions off-chain. This architecture separates execution from consensus, allowing central banks to retain monetary policy control without operating retail payment rails.

The alternative is a dead end. Permissioned blockchains like Hyperledger Fabric or Quorum offer privacy but create walled gardens with zero interoperability. A CBDC on a private chain becomes a digital silo, incompatible with the global DeFi ecosystem on Ethereum or Solana.

Proof-of-concept validates the model. The Bank for International Settlements' Project Mariana used zk-SNARKs from Aztec to test cross-border CBDC transfers. This demonstrated that cryptographic proofs, not trusted validators, can enforce compliance and auditability between sovereign systems.

key-insights
THE SETTLEMENT LAYER

Executive Summary

Central Bank Digital Currencies require a new infrastructure paradigm: one that is sovereign, scalable, and privacy-preserving. ZK-Rollups are the only architecture that delivers this trinity at the settlement layer.

01

The Problem: Legacy Systems Are Opaque & Slow

Existing wholesale payment rails like RTGS operate as black boxes with batch settlement, making real-time monetary policy and oversight impossible. Latency is measured in hours, not milliseconds.

  • Impossible Auditability: Regulators cannot verify transaction integrity in real-time.
  • Settlement Finality Delays: Inhibits 24/7 programmable financial markets.
  • Vendor Lock-In: Reliance on proprietary, monolithic tech stacks from vendors like SWIFT.
2-4 Hours
Settlement Lag
0%
Real-Time Audit
02

The Solution: ZK-SNARKs as the Universal Audit Log

A ZK-Rollup for a CBDC provides a cryptographically verifiable state transition log. Every transaction batch is compressed and proven correct off-chain, with a tiny proof posted to a base layer (e.g., a permissioned blockchain).

  • Sovereign Verifiability: Any regulator can independently verify the entire monetary base in ~500ms.
  • Data Availability: Critical for audit trails, solved via EigenDA, Celestia, or on-chain data blobs.
  • Finality: Cryptographic settlement provides instant, irreversible finality for wholesale transactions.
~500ms
Proof Verification
1000x
Data Compression
03

The Privacy-Throughput Trade-Off Solved

CBDCs demand both transaction privacy for citizens and regulatory oversight. ZK technology uniquely enables selective disclosure via zero-knowledge proofs, unlike transparent chains like Bitcoin or monolithic privacy coins.

  • Programmable Privacy: Identity-linked credentials (e.g., zk-proofs of citizenship) can be verified without revealing underlying data.
  • High Throughput: zkSync, StarkNet, and Polygon zkEVM demonstrate 2,000-20,000 TPS capabilities, scaling to national populations.
  • AML/CFT Compliance: Auditable anonymity sets for regulators, opaque to the public.
20k+ TPS
Scalability Ceiling
Selective
Disclosure
04

The Interoperability Mandate: Not an Island

A CBDC must interact with commercial bank money, DeFi protocols, and other CBDCs. A ZK-Rollup's standardized cryptographic state root enables trust-minimized bridges and atomic cross-chain settlements.

  • Cross-Chain Finance: Enables on-chain FX markets and repo transactions with other rollups or chains like Ethereum.
  • Programmable Monetary Policy: Interest rates and liquidity facilities can be automated via smart contracts, interacting with protocols like Aave or Compound.
  • Future-Proofing: The rollup can be a settlement hub for a multi-chain financial system.
Atomic
Cross-Chain Settle
24/7
Market Operation
thesis-statement
THE ARCHITECTURE

The Core Argument: ZK-Rollups Solve the CBDC Trilemma

ZK-Rollups provide the only credible settlement layer that reconciles central bank control with user privacy and global interoperability.

ZK-Rollups guarantee finality. A central bank retains sovereignty by publishing validity proofs to a permissioned root chain, like a modified Ethereum or Cosmos Hub. This creates an immutable, cryptographically verified audit trail without exposing transaction graphs.

Privacy scales with zero-knowledge proofs. Unlike privacy coins, zk-SNARKs or zk-STARKs enable selective disclosure. A regulator sees aggregate flows for monetary policy, while citizens conceal counterparties, solving the surveillance dilemma.

Interoperability is protocol-native. A CBDC on a zkEVM rollup like Polygon zkEVM inherits the Ethereum ecosystem. Cross-chain messaging via LayerZero or CCIP enables programmable, atomic swaps with private DeFi pools on Aztec or Aleo.

Evidence: StarkEx processes over 1M transactions per second for dYdX. This throughput, combined with Ethereum's security, provides the settlement assurance central banks require for a national currency.

WHY ZK-ROLLUPS ARE THE BEDROCK

CBDC Architecture Trade-Off Matrix

A first-principles comparison of core infrastructure models for a retail Central Bank Digital Currency, evaluating privacy, scalability, and finality.

Architectural Feature / MetricMonolithic Blockchain (e.g., Permissioned Quorum)ZK-Rollup Settlement Layer (e.g., zkSync Era, StarkNet)Traditional RTGS / Centralized Ledger

Settlement Finality

~15 seconds (PBFT consensus)

< 10 minutes (L1 finality + proof)

Real-time (< 1 sec)

Peak Transactions Per Second (TPS)

~1,000 TPS (theoretical)

20,000 TPS (off-chain execution)

100,000 TPS (centralized infra)

User Transaction Privacy

ZK-Proof Privacy (selective disclosure)

Regulatory Compliance (AML/CFT)

Full ledger visibility

Programmable compliance via ZK-proofs

Full ledger visibility

Settlement Cost Per Tx (Est.)

$0.05 - $0.20 (gas)

< $0.01 (batched verification)

$0.001 - $0.005 (operational)

Resilience to Congestion / MEV

Vulnerable to spam & MEV

Insulated from L1 congestion; MEV resistant

Not applicable (centralized queue)

Offline Transaction Capability

ZK-proofs enable offline signing

Interoperability with DeFi / Web3

Limited (walled garden)

Native (Ethereum L1 composability)

None

deep-dive
THE SETTLEMENT LAYER

Architectural Deep Dive: From Privacy Pools to Regulator View Keys

ZK-Rollups provide the mandatory settlement finality and programmable privacy that central banks require for a viable CBDC.

ZK-Rollups guarantee finality. A Central Bank's ledger is a single source of truth. ZK-Rollups, like those from StarkWare or zkSync, settle compressed transaction proofs on a base layer, creating an immutable, auditable record. This is the non-negotiable requirement for a sovereign monetary system.

Programmable privacy is the innovation. Unlike monolithic privacy coins, ZK tech enables selective disclosure. Protocols like Aztec or Aleo allow for privacy pools where users transact privately, while regulator view keys enable compliance audits for specific entities, satisfying AML requirements without mass surveillance.

This architecture separates concerns. The settlement layer (L1) provides trust, while the execution layer (ZK-Rollup) handles scale and privacy. This is superior to monolithic chains or opaque sidechains, which lack the cryptographic guarantees for a national currency.

Evidence: The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Project Tourbillon prototype used a ZK-Rollup to achieve 30,000 TPS with privacy features, demonstrating the production viability of this model for high-throughput CBDCs.

protocol-spotlight
ZK-ROLLUPS FOR CBDCS

Protocol Blueprints: Who's Building the Primitives?

Central banks need a settlement layer that is final, private, and programmable. Public blockchains fail on privacy and scalability. Private blockchains fail on interoperability and auditability. ZK-Rollups are the only primitive that reconciles these trade-offs.

01

The Privacy-Throughput Dilemma

CBDCs require transaction privacy for citizens but must enable regulatory oversight and high throughput. Existing L1s like Ethereum expose all data, while private chains like Hyperledger create fragmented, unauditable silos.

  • Selective Disclosure: ZKPs (e.g., zk-SNARKs) can prove transaction validity and compliance (AML/KYC) without revealing sender, receiver, or amount.
  • Settlement Finality: Batched proofs settle on a secure L1 (e.g., Ethereum), providing a cryptographically guaranteed single source of truth for the central bank.
~2k TPS
Per Rollup
Zero-Knowledge
Data Leak
02

StarkEx & StarkNet: The Production-Proven Stack

StarkWare's technology, already securing $1B+ in assets for dYdX and Immutable, provides the battle-tested cryptographic engine for a sovereign CBDC network.

  • Cairo VM: A Turing-complete ZK-friendly language allows for complex, programmable CBDC logic (e.g., programmable money, interest-bearing accounts).
  • Fractal Scaling: A central bank can deploy a dedicated AppChain Rollup (StarkEx) for core ledger, while enabling private sector innovation on a permissioned StarkNet instance.
~12s Finality
On L1
>99%
Cost Save
03

zkSync Era: EVM Equivalence for Policy

For central banks mandating Ethereum compatibility to leverage existing tooling and developer mindshare, zkSync Era's LLVM compiler and native account abstraction are critical.

  • Seamless Integration: Existing policy smart contracts (e.g., for tax logic, spending limits) can be ported with minimal changes.
  • Account Abstraction: Enables user-friendly programmable wallets, allowing the central bank to embed recovery mechanisms or transaction rules at the protocol level.
EVM Bytecode
Compatible
<$0.01
Tx Cost Goal
04

The Interoperability Mandate: zkBridge Primitives

A CBDC cannot exist in isolation. It must interact with commercial bank money, other CBDCs (e.g., mBridge), and DeFi. Trust-minimized bridges are non-negotiable.

  • Succinct Labs / Polyhedra: These teams are building light-client-based zkBridges that use ZKPs to prove the state of one chain on another, eliminating trusted committees.
  • Sovereign Cross-Chain FX: Enables atomic, provable swaps between a EUR CBDC rollup and a USD CBDC rollup, bypassing correspondent banking.
~5 min
Proof Time
Trustless
Assumption
05

The Regulatory Supernode: Aztec's Privacy Model

Full privacy is politically untenable. Aztec's hybrid privacy model, where a regulated entity holds a viewing key, provides the necessary blueprint for oversight.

  • Auditable Privacy: The central bank (or designated auditor) can decrypt any transaction for compliance, while the public and other nodes see only encrypted blobs and validity proofs.
  • Private Programmable Assets: Enables confidential bidding for government bonds or discreet welfare distributions on the same ledger.
Selective
Transparency
ZK-ML
Future Proof
06

The Settlement Assurance: Base Layer Security

The ultimate security of a ZK-Rollup CBDC depends on the economic security of its settlement layer. This makes Ethereum, with its $100B+ staked, the only viable candidate.

  • Ethereum as Supreme Court: All transaction batches are finalized on Ethereum L1. A 51% attack on Ethereum would be required to reverse CBDC settlements—a geopolitical-scale event.
  • Credible Neutrality: No single entity, including the central bank itself, can alter the immutable settlement history, ensuring global trust in the currency's ledger.
$100B+
At Stake
L1 Final
Guarantee
counter-argument
THE SOVEREIGNTY IMPERATIVE

Counterpoint: The State Will Never Cede Control

ZK-Rollups provide the only viable technical architecture for state-issued digital currencies that balances scalability with absolute control.

Sovereignty is non-negotiable. Central banks require final settlement authority and the ability to enforce monetary policy. ZK-Rollups, with their single, sovereign sequencer model, provide a perfect fit. The state-run entity controls transaction ordering and censorship, while the ZK-proofs guarantee integrity without exposing raw data.

Privacy is a red herring. Proposals for fully private CBDCs like e-CNY's 'controllable anonymity' are incompatible with AML/KYC. ZK-Rollups enable selective disclosure proofs, where users prove compliance (e.g., citizenship, transaction limits) to the sequencer without revealing the entire transaction graph, a concept pioneered by zkSNARKs in Zcash.

Interoperability is a feature, not a bug. A national ZK-Rollup must interact with private finance. Projects like Polygon zkEVM and Starknet demonstrate that sovereign chains can bridge to wider ecosystems via trust-minimized bridges (e.g., LayerZero, Axelar), allowing controlled capital flow without ceding on-chain sovereignty.

Evidence: The Digital Dollar Project's technical exploration explicitly cites ZK-proofs for its 'privacy-enhanced' ledger. The BIS Project Tourbillon prototype uses zero-knowledge technology to balance privacy and auditability, validating this architectural direction for monetary authorities.

risk-analysis
WHY ZK-ROLLUPS ARE THE BEDROCK FOR CBDCS

Risk Analysis: The Devil in the Implementation

Central banks need a settlement layer that is both sovereign-grade secure and capable of modern programmability; ZK-rollups are the only architecture that credibly delivers both.

01

The Problem: The Privacy-Transparency Paradox

CBDCs must balance citizen privacy with regulatory oversight and auditability. A transparent ledger like a base layer is politically untenable, while opaque systems lack legitimacy.

  • Zero-Knowledge Proofs enable selective disclosure: a user proves solvency or eligibility without revealing identity.
  • Programmable Privacy allows for audit trails visible only to authorized entities (e.g., central bank, judiciary).
  • This resolves the core political hurdle that has stalled projects like the Digital Euro and Digital Dollar.
0
Identity Leakage
100%
Auditability
02

The Solution: Settlement Finality vs. Operational Resilience

A national currency cannot tolerate chain reorgs or consensus failures. Running a CBDC on a high-throughput but probabilistic L1 (e.g., Solana) or a committee-based sidechain introduces existential settlement risk.

  • ZK-rollups inherit the absolute finality and battle-tested security of their underlying settlement layer (e.g., Ethereum, Bitcoin).
  • The state root is cryptographically verified, not socially consensed. A 1-of-N validator failure cannot corrupt the ledger.
  • This provides the sovereign-grade integrity required, differentiating it from riskier approaches like Celestia-based rollups or validiums with data availability trade-offs.
L1 Security
Inherited
0
Reorg Risk
03

The Problem: Legacy RTGS Systems Are Walls, Not Bridges

Existing Real-Time Gross Settlement systems (e.g., Fedwire, TARGET2) are closed loops. Integrating with decentralized finance (DeFi) or cross-border payment rails like SWIFT is architecturally impossible, ceding innovation to private stablecoins.

  • ZK-rollups are natively interoperable with the broader crypto financial stack.
  • A CBDC on a ZK-rollup can be a programmable reserve asset in Aave or Uniswap pools, controlled by smart contract logic.
  • Enables atomic cross-chain swaps via bridges like LayerZero or Axelar, modernizing correspondent banking.
1000+
DeFi Protocols
<2s
Cross-Chain Settle
04

The Solution: Throughput That Scales with National Demand

Base layer blockchains cannot process a nation's retail transaction volume. A dedicated ZK-rollup provides a sovereign scaling lane.

  • Achieves ~2,000-20,000 TPS with sub-second finality after proof verification, meeting peak retail demand.
  • Massive cost reduction: Transaction fees are <$0.01, making micro-payments viable, unlike Bitcoin or Ethereum L1.
  • Modular upgrade path: The proving system (e.g., from zk-SNARKs to zk-STARKs) can be upgraded without forking the monetary policy logic.
20k TPS
Peak Capacity
<$0.01
Tx Cost
05

The Problem: The Centralization Trap of Permissioned Ledgers

Many CBDC pilots use private, permissioned DLTs (e.g., Hyperledger). These systems centralize trust in a known validator set, replicating the existing financial system with worse tech and creating a single point of failure.

  • ZK-rollups separate execution (centralized for now) from verification (decentralized and permissionless).
  • Anyone can run a prover or verifier node, ensuring the central bank cannot unilaterally alter transaction history.
  • This creates a credibly neutral platform for private sector innovation, unlike a walled garden.
1
Prover
N
Verifiers
06

The Solution: Future-Proofing with Programmable Money

A static digital cash token is a dead end. The future is programmable monetary policy and composability.

  • ZK-rollups enable smart contracts: Automated tax collection, expiry dates on stimulus funds, or interest-bearing savings wallets become native features.
  • Formal verification: Critical monetary logic can be mathematically proven correct, eliminating bugs in trillion-dollar systems.
  • This positions the CBDC not as a passive token, but as an active, intelligent financial primitive, outmaneuvering stablecoin offerings from Libra/Diem successors.
Turing-Complete
Smart Contracts
Formal Verify
Critical Logic
future-outlook
THE SETTLEMENT LAYER

Future Outlook: The 5-Year Migration Path

ZK-Rollups will become the mandatory settlement infrastructure for Central Bank Digital Currencies, displacing traditional payment rails.

Sovereign-grade finality is the non-negotiable requirement for CBDCs. ZK-Rollups provide cryptographic finality in minutes, unlike the probabilistic finality of optimistic rollups or the multi-day settlement of legacy ACH systems. This deterministic settlement is the prerequisite for monetary policy execution.

Programmable privacy via ZKPs solves the central bank dilemma. Institutions like the ECB can audit aggregate flows for compliance using tools from Aztec or Aleo, while preserving individual transaction privacy. This architecture is impossible on transparent chains like Ethereum L1 or Bitcoin.

Interoperability with DeFi becomes a feature, not a bug. A CBDC on a zkEVM like Polygon zkEVM or Scroll can be natively composable with protocols like Aave or Uniswap for monetary operations, creating a programmable monetary layer that legacy RTGS systems cannot match.

Evidence: The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Project Tourbillon demonstrated a ZK-based CBDC prototype processing 1.1 million payments per second, a throughput that invalidates all existing centralized payment processors.

takeaways
THE SETTLEMENT LAYER

Key Takeaways

Central banks require a settlement infrastructure that is final, private, and globally interoperable. ZK-Rollups are the only architecture that delivers this trifecta at scale.

01

The Problem: Opaque Ledgers vs. Monetary Sovereignty

Public blockchains like Ethereum expose transaction graphs, making wholesale CBDC flows between banks traceable and geopolitically sensitive. This violates the core tenet of central bank independence and operational secrecy.

  • Sovereign Risk: Real-time visibility into interbank settlement creates attack vectors for sanctions and market manipulation.
  • Privacy Gap: Existing privacy solutions (e.g., Aztec, Tornado Cash) are add-ons, not native to the settlement layer.
0%
Visibility
100%
Auditability
02

The Solution: Programmable Privacy with ZK-SNARKs

ZK-Rollups like Aztec, zkSync, and StarkNet can validate batches of private transactions off-chain and post a single cryptographic proof. The central bank (or a regulated validator set) holds the private data, enabling selective disclosure for audits and compliance.

  • Regulatory On/Off Ramps: Authorities can be granted zero-knowledge keys to audit for AML/CFT without seeing other transactions.
  • Finality Engine: Settlement is as final as the underlying L1 (e.g., Ethereum), eliminating Herstatt risk inherent in traditional correspondent banking.
~500ms
Proof Gen
~3s
Finality
03

The Architecture: Interoperability via Proof Bridging

A CBDC cannot exist on an island. ZK-Rollups enable cross-chain settlement via proof-based bridges (e.g., leveraging Succinct, Polyhedra) rather than trust-based multisigs. This creates a network of sovereign chains ("Rollup-of-Rollups") for global FX markets.

  • FX Settlement: A proof that EUR-CBDC was burned on Chain A can mint USD-CBDC on Chain B atomically, replacing CLS.
  • Layer Zero Integration: Protocols like LayerZero and Chainlink CCIP can become proof relayers, but the trust root remains the ZK validity proof.
$10T+
Daily FX Volume
-99%
Counterparty Risk
04

The Benchmark: Visa vs. ZK-Rollup Throughput

Critics claim blockchains are too slow. A properly configured ZK-Rollup (e.g., using Polygon zkEVM, StarkEx) with a centralized sequencer for CBDC use can process ~20,000 TPS—surpassing Visa's peak capacity of ~65,000 TPS when horizontal scaling across multiple rollups is considered.

  • Cost Structure: Settlement cost per transaction tends to $0.001-$0.01, dominated by L1 data availability fees.
  • Legacy Dinosaur: RTGS systems like Fedwire process ~500,000 payments/day; a single ZK-Rollup can handle that in ~25 seconds.
20k TPS
Peak Capacity
$0.001
Cost/Tx
05

The Liability: Data Availability is the Real Bottleneck

ZK-Rollups post transaction data to L1 for censorship resistance. For a CBDC, this data must be private. Solutions like EigenDA, Celestia, or Avail provide scalable, encrypted data blobs, but shift trust to a separate committee.

  • Sovereign DA: Central banks may opt for a private, permissioned data availability layer, sacrificing some censorship resistance for control.
  • Hybrid Model: Critical settlement proofs on Ethereum, high-frequency transaction data on a sovereign chain.
~16KB
Proof Size
1MB/s
DA Throughput
06

The Precedent: J.P. Morgan's Onyx & the Singapore Prototype

The blueprint is already being tested. J.P. Morgan's Onyx uses a permissioned blockchain but faces interoperability limits. The Monetary Authority of Singapore's Project Orchid prototype demonstrated programmable digital money using privacy-preserving tech.

  • Path Dependency: These institutions will not rebuild on transparent L1s. ZK-Rollups are the logical upgrade path.
  • First-Mover Edge: The first central bank to deploy a live, interoperable ZK-Rollup CBDC will set the de facto standard, akin to SWIFT's network effects.
2025-2027
Live Forecast
60%
Banks Exploring
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