Promised returns are securities. The Howey Test defines an investment contract by the expectation of profits from the efforts of others. When a protocol or validator markets APY or rewards as a primary feature, it directly triggers this legal framework, inviting SEC scrutiny as seen with Lido and Rocket Pool.
Why 'Expected Profits' from Staking Are Legally Problematic
A first-principles analysis of how marketing variable APRs and 'expected profits' transforms staking from a network utility into a legally precarious investment contract under the Howey Test, with direct implications for protocols and service providers.
Introduction
Promising 'expected profits' from staking creates a legal classification that most protocols are not equipped to handle.
Staking is not a yield product. The core function is network security and consensus, not generating passive income. Rewards are a variable incentive for service provision, not a guaranteed return. Framing it otherwise conflates utility with financial yield, creating regulatory risk.
The legal burden is operational. Protocols must structure their messaging and tokenomics to emphasize participation over profit. This requires clear disclaimers, avoiding fixed-rate promises, and architecting systems where rewards are a byproduct of work, not an entitlement.
Executive Summary
Promising 'expected profits' in staking services is a legal minefield, conflating infrastructure with investment contracts and inviting regulatory scrutiny.
The Howey Test Trigger
Labeling rewards as 'expected profits' directly satisfies the key prongs of the Howey Test for an investment contract. It frames the staker's effort as passive, with profits derived from the managerial efforts of the protocol or pool operator.
- Key Risk: Transforms a service fee model into a potential unregistered security offering.
- Regulatory Precedent: SEC actions against Kraken and Coinbase staking programs hinge on this exact framing.
The Marketing vs. Reality Gap
Marketing materials touting 'up to 10% APY' create an expectation of return, while the underlying smart contract disclaims all guarantees. This discrepancy is a liability trigger.
- Legal Vulnerability: Creates a classic case for misrepresentation or failure to disclose risks.
- User Expectation: Sets a baseline for class-action suits if slashing events or protocol failures wipe out principal.
The Infrastructure Pivot
The legally defensible model is to frame staking purely as a network security service with a variable service fee, not an investment product. This aligns with the utility of Lido or Rocket Pool's liquid staking tokens (LSTs).
- Solution: Rebrand rewards as 'protocol incentives' or 'service fee rebates' tied to work performed.
- Precedent: Coinbase's restructured staking agreement explicitly avoids profit guarantees, focusing on service of validation.
The Core Legal Thesis
Staking rewards are legally problematic because they create an expectation of profit derived from the efforts of others, satisfying the Howey Test.
Expected Profit from Others' Efforts is the legal trigger. The SEC's Howey Test defines a security as an investment of money in a common enterprise with a reasonable expectation of profits from the efforts of others. Staking rewards are not passive income; they are a direct financial return for delegating network security to validators.
The Validator's Managerial Role creates the 'common enterprise'. Stakers rely on the protocol's governance (e.g., Ethereum's EIP-1559) and the validator's operational skill for reward generation. This is not a simple service fee; it's profit-sharing from a managed enterprise, mirroring the structure of an investment contract.
Contrast with Pure Utility Tokens clarifies the line. A token used solely for gas fees (e.g., Ethereum pre-Merge) is a commodity. A token that earns yield via Lido or Rocket Pool is a security. The SEC's actions against Kraken's staking service established this precedent by targeting the expectation of profit, not the underlying asset.
The Current Legal Battlefield
The SEC's core argument hinges on staking rewards being an 'expectation of profit' from the efforts of others, a key prong of the Howey Test.
Profit from Others' Efforts: The SEC argues staking rewards constitute an 'expectation of profit' derived from the managerial efforts of the protocol. This is the critical prong of the Howey Test that transforms a simple asset into a security. The legal risk is not the token itself, but the structured financial promise around it.
Centralized vs. Decentralized Staking: The SEC's case against Coinbase and Kraken specifically targeted their centralized staking-as-a-service products. The legal distinction is the degree of managerial control; a user delegating to Lido or Rocket Pool still relies on a third party's operational efforts, creating a similar legal vulnerability despite the decentralized branding.
The Technical Counter-Argument: Protocols like Ethereum post-Merge and Solana frame staking as a network security service with variable compensation, not a guaranteed yield. The reward is for validating work, not a passive return. This is the foundational technical defense against the Howey Test's 'efforts of others' prong.
Evidence: The SEC's 2023 settlement with Kraken forced the shutdown of its U.S. staking service and imposed a $30 million penalty, establishing a clear enforcement precedent for centralized offerings.
The Evidence: How Marketing Creates a Security
Comparing marketing language and tokenomics features against the SEC's 'Investment of Money' and 'Expectation of Profits' prongs.
| Legal Trigger / Feature | Pure Utility Token (Non-Security) | Promotional Staking Token (Security Risk) | SEC Enforcement Precedent |
|---|---|---|---|
Primary Marketing Message | Access to network/goods | Earn yield, passive income, APY | SEC v. LBRY, SEC v. Kik |
Staking/Rewards Promoted as | Network participation incentive | Investment return, profit driver | SEC v. Coinbase (staking service) |
APY/Returns Quantified in Marketing | SEC Framework Analysis | ||
Token Burn/Distribution Tied to Profits | SEC v. Ripple (initial distributions) | ||
Founder/Team Control Over Reward Rate | Fixed or algorithmic schedule | Discretionary, promotional adjustments | Howey Test 'Common Enterprise' |
Secondary Market Liquidity Promised | CEX listings, price charts featured | SEC v. Telegram (expectation of resale) | |
Dominant Use Case for Token Holder | Consume, govern, or transact | Hold to accrue more tokens | Reves v. Ernst & Young |
Deconstructing the Howey Test for Staking
The 'expectation of profit' prong of the Howey Test creates a fundamental legal vulnerability for staking services, regardless of technical decentralization.
Expectation of profit is the primary legal vulnerability. The SEC argues that staking-as-a-service providers like Coinbase and Kraken create this expectation through marketing and pooled reward distribution, framing the activity as an investment contract.
Technical decentralization is insufficient. A protocol like Lido or Rocket Pool can be decentralized, but the front-end service offering pooled staking still centralizes the profit expectation. The legal focus is on the promoter's actions, not the underlying tech.
The counter-argument fails. Proponents claim staking is essential work, like mining. However, the SEC distinguishes passive delegated proof-of-stake from active proof-of-work, viewing delegation as a surrender of effort that heightens profit reliance.
Evidence: The Kraken settlement. In 2023, Kraken paid $30M and shut its U.S. staking service, establishing the SEC's enforcement precedent. The order explicitly cited the offering of 'easy-to-use services' that led investors to expect profits.
Protocol Spotlight: Contrasting Approaches
Promising 'expected profits' from staking services is a regulatory minefield. Here's how leading protocols navigate the Howey Test.
The Problem: The Howey Test Trap
The SEC's framework asks: Is there an investment of money in a common enterprise with an expectation of profits from the efforts of others? Staking services that advertise APY and manage all technical operations directly trigger all four prongs. This creates unregistered securities risk for protocols and centralized providers like Kraken, which settled for $30M.
The Solution: Lido's Non-Custodial Framework
Lido positions itself as a non-custodial middleware, not an issuer. Users retain control of their stETH, a liquid staking token. Profits (staking rewards) are framed as protocol-native yield, not dividends from Lido's efforts. This creates a legal distinction, though the SEC's view on stETH itself remains an open question for its $20B+ TVL ecosystem.
The Solution: Rocket Pool's Decentralized Operator Model
Rocket Pool's legal argument is structural: profits come from the decentralized network of node operators, not from Rocket Pool's managerial efforts. Users who run a node (with 16 ETH) are active participants. The protocol's ~3.5% commission is for software access, not a promise of returns. This aligns with the 'efforts of others' defense, a key distinction from centralized staking.
The Wildcard: Coinbase's Institutional Argument
Coinbase's staking service, which survived the SEC's lawsuit (so far), argues it's a traditional service contract, not a security. The analogy is to cloud computing or farming equipment rental—you pay for a service to enhance your asset. The legal battle hinges on whether staking is inherently passive or an active service, a precedent that will shape the entire $100B+ staking industry.
Steelman: "But It's Just a Variable Utility Reward!"
Framing staking rewards as a variable utility payment is a legal fiction that fails under scrutiny from regulators like the SEC.
The 'Utility' label fails because the primary economic driver for stakers is profit expectation, not service consumption. This aligns with the Howey Test's 'expectation of profits' prong, which the SEC applied to Lido and Rocket Pool staking services.
Variable rewards are still investment returns. The mechanism of distribution (algorithmic vs. fixed) is irrelevant if the asset's value is derived from the network's success, a common enterprise. This is the core argument in the SEC vs. Coinbase lawsuit regarding staking-as-a-service.
The precedent is set. Regulators analyze economic reality over marketing terms. The SEC's 2023 Kraken settlement established that offering staking services constitutes the sale of unregistered securities, regardless of reward variability.
Evidence: The SEC's complaint against Coinbase explicitly states its staking program satisfies Howey because users 'pool their assets... and share in the rewards.' The legal distinction between 'reward' and 'dividend' has collapsed.
The Slippery Slope: Cascating Legal & Protocol Risks
Promising 'expected profits' from staking transforms a utility token into a security, inviting catastrophic regulatory action and undermining protocol neutrality.
The SEC's Playbook: Lido & Kraken Precedents
The SEC's enforcement actions against Kraken's staking service and its ongoing investigation into Lido establish a clear legal vector. The agency's argument hinges on the marketing of a predictable return, creating an 'investment contract' under the Howey Test.\n- Direct Precedent: Kraken's $30M settlement and service shutdown.\n- Expansive Risk: Applies to any protocol that centrally facilitates or promotes yield.
The Protocol Poison Pill: Centralization & Censorship
To avoid securities liability, protocols must strip out all profit expectation, neutering their economic models and value accrual. The alternative is embracing a regulated, custodial structure—the antithesis of decentralized crypto ethos.\n- Forced Neutrality: Cannot optimize for staker yield without legal risk.\n- Custodial Capture: Leads to centralized, KYC'd staking services like Coinbase, defeating permissionless innovation.
The Ripple Effect: DeFi Composability Breaks
Staking derivatives like Lido's stETH or Rocket Pool's rETH become toxic assets if the underlying staking is deemed a security. This fractures the core DeFi stack, invalidating billions in TVL that rely on these assets as collateral.\n- Collateral Blacklist: Protocols like Aave and Maker would be forced to de-list.\n- Systemic Unwind: Triggers a cascading liquidation risk across the ~$20B LSDfi ecosystem.
The Path Forward: Surviving the Regulatory Siege
The SEC's 'investment contract' test hinges on the expectation of profit from a common enterprise, making staking's advertised APY a direct legal vulnerability.
Advertised APY is a target. The Howey Test's 'expectation of profit' prong is satisfied by protocol marketing and user intent. Platforms like Lido and Coinbase explicitly promote yield, creating a paper trail for regulators.
Staking is not a service contract. The legal defense that staking is a 'service' (like AWS) fails because the primary user motivation is financial return, not network security. This distinguishes it from pure infrastructure plays.
The 'common enterprise' is the protocol. Decentralized staking pools, including Rocket Pool and Frax Finance, create a shared economic fate between all stakers and the protocol's success, satisfying another key Howey criterion.
Evidence: The SEC's 2023 lawsuit against Kraken centered on its staking-as-a-service program, which the agency described as an 'investment program' offering 'advertised returns.' This is the precedent.
TL;DR for Builders and Investors
Promising staking returns as 'expected profits' is a fast track to SEC scrutiny. Here's the breakdown.
The Howey Test Trap
The SEC's framework for an 'investment contract' is a four-pronged trap for staking services. If you promise profits derived from the efforts of others, you're selling a security. This is the core legal doctrine behind actions against Kraken, Coinbase, and Lido.\n- Investment of Money: User deposits ETH.\n- Common Enterprise: Pooled funds in a validator.\n- Expectation of Profit: The fatal promise.\n- Efforts of Others: The protocol/operator runs the node.
The 'Solely' Loophole is Dead
The old defense of 'profits not solely from others' efforts' is legally obsolete. The Supreme Court's SEC v. Edwards ruling broadened the definition to include profits from a predominantly managerial effort. Running a validator cluster and marketing APY is textbook managerial effort. This precedent is why Rocket Pool's rETH and Lido's stETH are under constant regulatory pressure, despite their decentralized node operator sets.
The Builder's Path: Non-Custodial & Descriptive
The viable model is infrastructure, not investment. Frame the service as a permissionless tool. EigenLayer and SSV Network demonstrate this by focusing on cryptoeconomic security and middleware, not yield. Key design shifts:\n- No APY Guarantees: Display historical, variable network rewards.\n- User-Controlled Keys: Non-custodial staking via DVT (e.g., Obol, SSV).\n- Fee-for-Service Language: Charge for software access, not profit-sharing.
The Investor's Red Flags
Due diligence must now include legal architecture. Avoid projects where the token model or marketing hinges on promised staking yields. Look for:\n- Explicit Profit Language: "Earn 5% APY" in marketing is a major red flag.\n- Centralized Custody: If they hold your keys, they control the enterprise.\n- Lack of Legal Wrappers: No clear Terms of Service distinguishing software from investment. Contrast Coinbase's centralized staking (sued) with the Liquid Collective's compliant framework (built with legal counsel).
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