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the-modular-blockchain-thesis-explained
Blog

Why Modular Economics Favor Vertical Integration Over Time

The modular thesis promises specialization, but its economic incentives will drive successful rollups to integrate backwards into sequencing and data availability, recreating the monolithic stacks they sought to escape.

introduction
THE INCENTIVE MISMATCH

Introduction: The Modular Mirage

Modular architecture's economic incentives inevitably drive specialized layers to consolidate, undermining its core promise.

Vertical integration is inevitable. Modular theory assumes independent, competitive layers. In practice, sequencer revenue and MEV capture create winner-take-all dynamics, forcing rollups like Arbitrum and Optimism to build their own data availability and shared sequencing stacks.

Specialization creates extractive bottlenecks. A standalone data availability layer like Celestia or EigenDA profits from rollup bloat, not efficiency. This misaligned incentive pushes integrated chains like Monad and Sei to internalize all value layers.

Evidence: Ethereum's blob fee market demonstrates this. After Dencun, blob costs dropped 99%, but the next congestion event will see fees captured by the base layer, not the modular stack. The economic gravity of execution always pulls ancillary services inward.

deep-dive
THE INCENTIVE MISMATCH

The Slippery Slope: From Shared to Proprietary

Modular architecture's economic incentives systematically push successful projects towards vertical integration, undermining the shared security model.

Modular revenue is a tax. Revenue from shared sequencers like Espresso or shared DA layers like Celestia/EigenDA is a cost for rollups, not a profit center. This creates a direct incentive for high-throughput chains like Arbitrum or Optimism to internalize these functions.

Performance becomes proprietary. A rollup's competitive edge depends on latency and cost. Relying on a shared sequencer network creates a coordination bottleneck. In-house sequencers, as seen with Polygon zkEVM, provide deterministic control over user experience.

Integration captures value. A vertically integrated stack, from execution to data availability, allows a project to capture the full fee stack. This is the economic logic driving projects like Fuel and Monad, which reject modular dogma from inception.

Evidence: The Total Value Secured (TVS) in shared sequencers is negligible compared to the value processed by the rollups they serve. This misalignment proves that for major chains, paying for shared security is an arbitrage opportunity, not a long-term strategy.

MODULAR STACK VS. VERTICAL INTEGRATION

The Cost-Benefit Tipping Point

A quantitative comparison of economic trade-offs between a modular stack and a vertically integrated chain, highlighting the tipping point where integration becomes more efficient.

Economic MetricModular Stack (e.g., Celestia + Arbitrum Nitro + EigenDA)Vertically Integrated L1 (e.g., Solana, Monad)Vertically Integrated L2 (e.g., zkSync Era, Arbitrum Orbit)

Data Availability Cost per MB

$0.30 - $1.50

$0.00 (Internal)

$0.00 (Internal)

Settlement Latency

12 - 120 blocks

1 block

1 block

Cross-Domain MEV Leakage

Protocol Revenue Capture

Fragmented (DA, Sequencer, Prover)

Unified (100% to L1)

Unified (100% to L2)

Developer Overhead (Smart Contract Calls)

3+ (Rollup, Bridge, DA)

1 (Native)

1 (Native)

Time-to-Finality for Cross-Chain Assets

~20 minutes

~400ms

~15 minutes (to L1)

Sequencer/Prover Profit Margin

15-40% (Extractable)

0% (Integrated)

15-40% (Extractable)

counter-argument
THE CONSOLIDATION TRAP

Counterpoint: The Interoperability Utopia

The economic incentives of modular blockchains inherently drive consolidation, undermining the vision of a permissionless, multi-chain ecosystem.

Modularity creates economic moats. Specialized execution layers like Arbitrum and Optimism compete for developer liquidity. The winning strategy is not to interoperate, but to vertically integrate services like oracles, bridges, and sequencers to capture maximum value within their own stack.

Interoperability is a cost center. Protocols like Across and LayerZero solve a user problem but extract minimal value from the transaction. The real profit is in owning the entire user journey, from wallet to final settlement, which incentivizes chains to become walled gardens.

Evidence from L2 rollups. The dominant L2s are not building generalized bridges to each other; they are acquiring or building proprietary bridging infrastructure. This trend mirrors the consolidation seen in web2 platforms, where open protocols get subsumed by integrated products.

case-study
VERTICAL INTEGRATION PATTERNS

Early Signals: The Integration Playbook in Action

Modular stack fragmentation creates economic pressure for key infrastructure providers to capture adjacent value layers, moving from pure middleware to integrated execution environments.

01

The Celestia-to-Eclipse Playbook

Data availability as a standalone service faces commoditization. The solution is to integrate a high-performance execution layer to capture MEV and transaction fee revenue.

  • Celestia provides ~$0.001 per MB DA, creating a low-cost base layer.
  • Eclipse integrates a SVM execution environment on top, targeting Solana-level throughput.
  • The integrated stack competes directly with monolithic L1s by offering a superior fee market.
~$0.001
DA Cost/MB
10k+
TPS Target
02

The EigenLayer AVS Subsidy Trap

Actively Validated Services (AVSs) face unsustainable token emissions to bootstrap operators. The solution is for the AVS to vertically integrate its own execution/settlement to capture native fees.

  • Standalone AVSs pay ~15-30% APY in token incentives to attract EigenLayer restakers.
  • Integrated chains (e.g., a rollup built with the AVS) replace subsidies with real gas fee revenue.
  • This shifts the economic model from inflationary dilution to sustainable cash flow capture.
15-30%
AVS Subsidy APY
$0
Target Subsidy
03

AltLayer's Restaked Rollup Stack

Providing rollup-as-a-service (RaaS) is a race to the bottom. The solution is to own the entire middleware stack—sequencing, DA, and interoperability—through EigenLayer restaking.

  • AltLayer bundles its RaaS with a restaked sequencer, restaked AVS for DA, and a restaked fast finality layer.
  • This creates a vertically integrated security and liveness guarantee that commoditized RaaS cannot match.
  • The bundle commands a premium and locks in developers to its full ecosystem.
3-in-1
Restaked Bundle
~2s
Finality
04

The Shared Sequencer Land Grab

Modular rollups fragment liquidity and user experience. Shared sequencers like Astria and Espresso solve this by controlling cross-rollup block building, but pure sequencing has thin margins.

  • The endgame is integrating a native settlement layer or sovereign shared chain to capture value beyond sequencing fees.
  • This allows the sequencer to internalize cross-rollup MEV and offer atomic composability as a premium service.
  • It transforms from a utility into the central nervous system of an ecosystem.
Atomic
Cross-Rollup TX
100%
MEV Capture
takeaways
MODULAR ECONOMICS

Takeaways for Builders and Investors

The modular stack unbundles the monolithic blockchain, but its economic incentives ultimately rebundle value into vertically integrated players.

01

The Problem: Shared Sequencer Commoditization

Standalone shared sequencers like Espresso or Astria face a race to the bottom on fees. Their value accrual is capped at transaction ordering, while the real profit sits in execution and settlement.\n- Revenue Leakage: Fees for proving (e.g., Celestia) and settling (e.g., Ethereum) flow to other layers.\n- Weak Moats: Sequencing is a low-differentiation service; rollups can switch providers easily.

<5%
Fee Share
High
Churn Risk
02

The Solution: App-Specific Rollup Stacks (e.g., dYdX, Aevo)

Vertical integration from app logic down through the data availability layer captures the full stack margin. The app becomes the economic sink.\n- Captured Value: Retains MEV, sequencing fees, and gas subsidies within the ecosystem.\n- Optimized Performance: Tight integration enables ~100ms block times and custom fee markets, impossible on shared infra.

100%
Fee Capture
~100ms
Block Time
03

The Problem: Modular Liquidity Fragmentation

Sovereign rollups and alt-DA chains create isolated liquidity pools. Bridging assets between them via LayerZero or Axelar introduces security risks and >30s latency, crippling composability.\n- Capital Inefficiency: $1B+ in TVL can be locked in bridge contracts, not generating yield.\n- User Experience Friction: Multi-chain interactions require manual, slow asset transfers.

$1B+
Idle TVL
>30s
Bridge Latency
04

The Solution: Vertically Integrated Liquidity Hubs (e.g., Berachain, Sei)

A monolithic L1 or a tightly coupled rollup ecosystem with a native AMM and money market at its core acts as a unified liquidity sink. It becomes the settlement layer for its own app-chain constellation.\n- Native Composability: Atomic transactions across hundreds of dApps with zero bridge latency.\n- Sustainable Yield: Protocol revenue from all apps feeds back into a unified token and staking model.

0s
Cross-App Latency
Unified
Tokenomics
05

The Problem: Modular Security is a Tax

Rollups pay recurring fees for security to an external DA layer (Celestia, EigenDA) and a settlement layer (Ethereum). This is a pure cost center with no equity-like upside for the rollup.\n- Profit Drain: ~10-30% of transaction fees can leak to external providers.\n- Vendor Lock-in: Security dependencies create systemic risk and limit economic sovereignty.

10-30%
Fee Leakage
High
Systemic Risk
06

The Solution: The Sovereign Stack (Fuel, Eclipse)

Full-stack frameworks that bundle a VM, sequencer, DA, and settlement into a single, sovereign deployment. The chain's token captures value from the entire operational stack, not just gas.\n- Equity-Like Token: Captures value from execution, data, and sequencing—turning security costs into profit centers.\n- Economic Sovereignty: Enables custom inflation schedules and treasury management independent of external layers.

Full-Stack
Value Accrual
Sovereign
Monetary Policy
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