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the-modular-blockchain-thesis-explained
Blog

The Inevitable Failure of Naive MEV Auction Designs

An analysis of how simplistic MEV auction models, by ignoring the physical constraints of latency and the economic reality of collusion, inevitably lead to centralization, not the decentralization they promise.

introduction
THE INEVITABLE FAILURE

Introduction: The Centralization Paradox

Naive MEV auction designs structurally centralize block production, undermining the very decentralization they aim to protect.

MEV auctions centralize by design. They outsource block construction to the highest bidder, which is a single entity like Flashbots' SUAVE or a dominant builder. This creates a winner-take-all market where the most capital-efficient searcher controls the chain's transaction ordering.

The naive assumption fails. The belief that competitive bidding ensures decentralization ignores capital concentration. In practice, builders like bloXroute and beaverbuild form cartels to share order flow and dominate the PBS (Proposer-Builder Separation) market, replicating the centralization of traditional finance.

Evidence is in the data. On Ethereum post-merge, over 90% of blocks are built by just three entities. This is not a bug of specific implementations like mev-boost; it is the logical endpoint of any auction where profit maximization is the sole selection criterion.

deep-dive
THE INEVITABLE FAILURE

The Physics and Economics of Failure

Naive MEV auction designs collapse under the physics of latency and the economics of collusion.

Naive auctions centralize block production. First-price sealed-bid auctions, like early Flashbots designs, create a winner-takes-all dynamic. This incentivizes massive investment in private mempools and latency optimization, shifting power to a few specialized searchers and builders.

The optimal strategy is collusion. Rational actors bypass the auction to form off-chain cartels like builder-of-builders. This mirrors the centralization seen in traditional finance's dark pools, negating the auction's intended transparency and fairness.

Latency determines winners, not efficiency. In a pure speed race, the builder with the lowest network latency to validators wins. This creates a physical moat, favoring entities with proprietary infrastructure and geographic positioning, not the best economic outcome.

Evidence: The rise of OFAs. The market corrected this with Order Flow Auctions (OFAs) like those by CowSwap and UniswapX. These move competition upstream to the point of intent expression, before the block is built, mitigating the latency arms race.

WHY MOST MEV AUCTIONS ARE DOOMED

Auction Model Failure Matrix

A first-principles comparison of naive MEV auction designs, highlighting their fundamental flaws in security, efficiency, and user experience.

Critical Failure VectorFirst-Price Sealed-Bid (e.g., early Flashbots)Open English Auction (e.g., naive PBS)MEV-Time (e.g., MEV-Share/MEV-Boost)

Bidder Collusion Complexity

Trivial (private bids)

High (public price discovery)

Medium (time-based signaling)

Winner's Curse Risk for Searchers

Extreme (pay > true value)

None (pay 2nd price)

High (pay for uncertain future)

Latency Arms Race

Maximal (sub-ms races)

Minimal (set-and-forget)

Shifts to information asymmetry

Proposer Extractable Value (PEV)

0% (proposer blind)

90% (proposer sees all)

30-70% (proposer optionality)

Cross-Domain MEV Capture

User Privacy Leakage

Low (bundles hide intent)

Total (intent public)

Controlled (encrypted until execution)

Integration Complexity for Builders

Low

High

Extreme (requires prediction)

Failure Mode

Rent extraction via overbidding

Complete centralization to top proposer

Unpredictable, probabilistic outcomes

counter-argument
THE PROPOSED SOLUTION

Steelman: "But We Fixed It With PBS"

Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS) is the canonical response to naive MEV auction failures, but its implementation creates new, more complex problems.

PBS separates roles to mitigate validator centralization. Builders compete to create the most profitable block, while proposers simply select the highest-bid header. This prevents validators from needing sophisticated MEV extraction infrastructure.

The builder market centralizes into a few dominant players like Flashbots and bloXroute. Their scale and private order flow access create an insurmountable competitive moat for new entrants.

Builder collusion is inevitable. A dominant builder cartel can censor transactions or enforce minimum bid thresholds, replicating the extractive dynamics PBS aimed to solve.

Evidence: Ethereum's post-merge PBS landscape shows >80% of blocks built by three entities. This is not a free market; it is an oligopoly with extra steps.

protocol-spotlight
WHY SIMPLE SEALED-BID AUCTIONS FAIL

Beyond the Auction: Emerging Architectures

Naive MEV auctions centralize power, leak value, and create systemic risk. The next wave is moving to intent-based, trust-minimized designs.

01

The Problem: Centralization via 'Winning'

Auction winners become de facto centralized sequencing cartels, controlling transaction order and censoring power. This recreates the very problem MEV extraction was meant to decentralize.

  • Centralized Sequencing Risk: A single auction winner controls the block for ~12 seconds.
  • Censorship Vector: Winner can exclude transactions from competing searchers or protocols.
  • Barrier to Entry: High capital requirements for bids lock out smaller players.
1
Controller
12s
Control Window
02

The Solution: Intents & Shared Sequencing

Shift from transaction execution to user intent declaration. Solvers compete off-chain to fulfill intents optimally, with on-chain settlement via a decentralized shared sequencer like Espresso or Astria.

  • User Sovereignty: Declare what you want (e.g., "swap X for Y at best price"), not how.
  • Parallel Competition: Multiple solvers (UniswapX, CowSwap, Across) compete, improving price discovery.
  • Censorship Resistance: Decentralized sequencer set prevents single-entity transaction exclusion.
100+
Parallel Solvers
-90%
Failed Tx
03

The Problem: Value Leakage & Inefficiency

Simple auctions leak MEV value to the auctioneer/sequencer instead of users or builders. They also create inefficient, latency-sensitive bidding wars that waste gas and increase costs.

  • Extractive Overhead: Auction revenue is a pure tax, not returned to users or the protocol.
  • Latency Arms Race: Searchers invest in low-latency infrastructure (~ms advantages), not better execution.
  • Gas Waste: Failed bids and frontrunning attempts congest the network for all users.
$1B+
Annual Leakage
~500ms
Arms Race
04

The Solution: Trust-Minimized Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS)

Enshrine PBS in protocol design, as seen with Ethereum's roadmap. Builders compete in a commit-reveal scheme for block space, with proposers (validators) simply selecting the highest-value, valid header.

  • No Trust in Proposer: Validator cannot see or censor transaction contents.
  • MEV-Boost++: Moves the auction logic from an off-chain marketplace to a cryptoeconomic protocol primitive.
  • Value Redistribution: Enables native mechanisms like MEV smoothing or burn to redistribute captured value.
100%
Blinded Proposer
Protocol
Native PBS
05

The Problem: Fragmented Liquidity & Cross-Domain MEV

Chain-specific auctions ignore the ~$100B+ cross-chain MEV opportunity, creating isolated markets. This leads to suboptimal execution for users bridging assets and fragmented liquidity.

  • Inefficient Arbitrage: Arbitrage between L1, L2s, and alt-L1s is not captured holistically.
  • User Experience Friction: Users manually bridge, exposing themselves to inter-domain MEV.
  • Security Risk: Ad-hoc bridging solutions become lucrative attack vectors for generalized extractors.
$100B+
Cross-Chain TVL
10+
Fragmented Markets
06

The Solution: SUAVE - A Universal MEV Infrastructure

A dedicated chain and mempool for preference expression and block building, as proposed by Flashbots. It acts as a decentralized block builder marketplace for all chains.

  • Unified Liquidity: Searchers access a global liquidity pool and intent stream.
  • Cross-Chain Execution: Builders can construct bundles that span Ethereum, Arbitrum, Optimism, etc., atomically.
  • Credible Neutrality: Decentralized network of block builders and relays prevents ecosystem capture.
Universal
Mempool
Atomic
Cross-Chain
future-outlook
THE FAILURE

The Modular Future: MEV as a Shared Security Primitive

Naive MEV auction designs are structurally flawed and will be outcompeted by integrated, protocol-native systems.

Naive auctions create fragmentation. Isolated MEV auctions on each rollup force searchers to bid separately, increasing capital inefficiency and latency for cross-domain arbitrage.

The winning design is integrated. MEV must be a native protocol primitive, like in Espresso Systems or Astria, where sequencing rights are a core part of the chain's security model.

Shared sequencing is the vector. A shared sequencer network (e.g., Espresso, Astria, Radius) amortizes security costs and creates a unified liquidity layer for cross-rollup MEV.

Evidence: Isolated auctions fail the atomicity test. A cross-rollup arb on Arbitrum and Optimism requires winning two independent auctions—a near-impossible coordination problem that shared sequencing solves.

takeaways
MEV AUCTION FAILURE MODES

TL;DR for Protocol Architects

First-price, sealed-bid auctions for block space are fundamentally flawed, creating systemic risks that undermine chain security and user experience.

01

The Winner's Curse & Extracted Value

Naive auctions force builders to overbid, capturing >99% of searcher profits as rent. This destroys the economic incentive for sophisticated order flow, starving the chain of liquidity and innovation.

  • Key Flaw: Revenue becomes a tax, not a reward.
  • Result: Searchers migrate to private channels (e.g., Flashbots Protect, RPC endpoints).
>99%
Profit Extract
~0%
Searcher ROI
02

Time-Bandit Attacks & Chain Reorgs

When MEV exceeds block rewards, rational validators are incentivized to reorg the chain. Auctions that centralize high-value bundles make these attacks economically viable and predictable.

  • Key Flaw: Security model assumes honest majority, not profit-maximizing majority.
  • Result: Finality failures and censorship become standard attack vectors.
$1M+
Attack Threshold
7+
Block Depth
03

Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS) is a Band-Aid

Ethereum's PBS (via mev-boost) outsources the problem but doesn't solve it. It creates a duopoly of builders (e.g., Flashbots, bloXroute) and centralizes block production.

  • Key Flaw: Shifts auction failure from validators to a cartel of builders.
  • Result: Latency races and vertical integration (e.g., Jito, Manifold) become the new norm.
2-3
Dominant Builders
~500ms
Latency Arms Race
04

The Solution: Credible Commitments & SUAVE

The endgame is to separate the intent from the execution. Protocols like SUAVE and intents-based systems (UniswapX, CowSwap) make MEV permissionless and competitive by design.

  • Key Insight: Auction for execution, not for information.
  • Result: MEV is redistributed to users as better prices, not extracted as rent.
100%
Permissionless
User
Value Recipient
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