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the-ethereum-roadmap-merge-surge-verge
Blog

Verkle Trees and Prover Cost Realities

Verkle trees are the cornerstone of Ethereum's 'Verge' upgrade, enabling stateless clients. This analysis cuts through the hype to expose the unresolved economic challenge of prover costs, comparing them to L2 zk-rollup architectures and outlining the real trade-offs for network decentralization.

introduction
THE PROVER BOTTLENECK

The Stateless Dream Meets a Costly Reality

Verkle trees enable stateless clients but shift the computational burden to provers, creating a new economic bottleneck for rollups.

Verkle trees solve state bloat by allowing validators to verify blocks without storing the full state, using small cryptographic proofs. This enables the stateless client paradigm critical for scaling Ethereum's consensus layer. However, the node generating these proofs, the prover, incurs immense computational cost.

Proving is the new bottleneck. The prover must traverse and hash the entire state tree to generate a proof for each block. This workload scales with state size, not transaction count. For high-throughput chains like Arbitrum or Optimism, this creates a centralizing economic pressure as only well-capitalized nodes can afford the proving hardware.

Witness size is the key metric. Verkle proofs are ~150 bytes versus Merkle proofs at ~1KB, a 85% reduction. This is the advertised win. The unadvertised cost is the prover's computational overhead, which increases roughly O(n log n) with state size, creating a hidden subsidy requirement for network security.

The StarkWare comparison is instructive. Validity rollups like StarkNet use STARK proofs for execution, which are also computationally intensive. The difference is that STARK proofs batch thousands of transactions, amortizing cost. A Verkle tree prover must run for every block, regardless of transactions, creating a persistent, non-amortizable cost center.

Evidence: Polygon zkEVM's prover cost is public. Generating a proof for a batch of transactions can cost $0.20-$0.50 on AWS, dominated by CPU time. A Verkle prover for a large state would incur similar recurring costs per block, paid by the sequencer, ultimately passing to users as higher fees or requiring protocol-level subsidies.

thesis-statement
THE VERKLE SHIFT

Core Thesis: Prover Cost is the New Validator Cost

Verkle trees shift the primary operational expense from validator hardware to prover compute, fundamentally altering blockchain economics.

Prover cost dominates L1 economics. Verkle trees enable stateless clients by compressing state proofs, but this moves the computational burden from the node to the prover. The validator's job becomes verifying a succinct proof, not executing the entire state transition.

This inverts the scaling bottleneck. Traditional scaling focused on validator hardware (e.g., Solana's high-end requirements). Post-Verkle, the constraint is the cost to generate ZK-SNARKs or STARKs for state proofs, making prover efficiency the new competitive frontier.

Projects like Polygon zkEVM and zkSync are already optimizing for this reality, competing on prover speed and cost. Their infrastructure spending targets massive parallel GPUs/ASICs, not global validator decentralization.

Evidence: A single Ethereum stateless client verifies a 150-byte witness, but generating that witness requires proving access to a multi-gigabyte state tree. The prover's computational work is 1000x the verifier's.

market-context
THE COST CURVE

Why This Matters Now: The Verge is Inevitable

Verkle trees are the only viable path to stateless clients, which are the prerequisite for scaling Ethereum's validator set.

Statelessness is the bottleneck. Ethereum's current state growth makes running a full node expensive, centralizing consensus. Verkle trees compress witness data by ~99%, enabling validators to verify blocks without storing the entire state.

Merkle Patricia trees are obsolete. Their proof sizes scale linearly with tree depth, making stateless verification impossible. Verkle trees use vector commitments for constant-sized proofs, a fundamental architectural shift.

Prover cost is the new constraint. While verification is cheap, generating the proofs is computationally intensive. This shifts the scaling bottleneck from network bandwidth to specialized hardware, similar to ZK-rollups like Starknet or zkSync.

The Verge is non-negotiable. Without it, the validator count stalls, compromising decentralization. The upgrade is as critical as The Merge was for sustainability, directly enabling PBS (Proposer-Builder Separation) and single-slot finality.

STATEFULNESS AT SCALE

Verkle vs. Merkle: The Proof Cost Trade-Off Matrix

A first-principles comparison of cryptographic accumulator performance for stateless clients, focusing on the concrete trade-offs between proof size, computational overhead, and network bandwidth.

Cryptographic MetricMerkle Patricia Trie (Hex)Verkle Tree (KZG)Binary Merkle Tree

Witness Size for 1k Accounts

~3-5 MB

~150-200 KB

~20-30 KB

Proof Generation Complexity

O(n log n)

O(n)

O(n log n)

Verification Complexity

O(log n) hashes

O(1) pairings

O(log n) hashes

Requires Trusted Setup

Enables Stateless Validation

Gas Cost per Storage Proof (est.)

1M gas

< 50k gas

200k gas

Primary Use Case

Ethereum Mainnet (Historical)

Ethereum Post-EIP-6800

Light Clients / Cosmos IBC

Bandwidth Overhead for Full Node

High (Full State Sync)

Low (Witness Propagation)

Medium (Block Headers)

deep-dive
THE PROOF OVERHEAD

First Principles: Where the Prover Cost Sinks In

Verkle trees reduce proof size but shift the computational burden to the prover, creating a new bottleneck for rollup scaling.

Prover cost dominates scaling. The primary bottleneck for ZK-rollups like zkSync and StarkNet is no longer proof size, but the computational expense of generating the proof itself. Verkle trees shrink witness data, but the prover must perform complex polynomial commitments and multi-exponentiations for each state access.

Verkle vs. Merkle trade-off. A Merkle-Patricia tree in Ethereum requires large proofs but cheap verification. A Verkle tree produces tiny proofs but demands expensive prover-side cryptographic operations. This shifts the cost from the L1 verifier to the L2 prover, a critical economic consideration for rollup sequencers.

The FRI protocol is expensive. Most of the prover's work involves Fast Reed-Solomon IOP of Proximity (FRI) operations to prove the correctness of polynomial evaluations. This process, central to STARKs and modern SNARKs, requires orders of magnitude more computation than the original program execution, limiting prover throughput.

Evidence: A zkEVM prover for a simple transaction consumes ~3-5 million gas-equivalent compute units, while the EVM execution itself uses ~50k. This 100x overhead defines the prover cost sink, making hardware acceleration from firms like Ingonyama and Ulvetanna essential for economic viability.

risk-analysis
VERKLE TREES & PROVER COST REALITIES

The Bear Case: How Prover Costs Break Decentralization

Verkle trees promise scalability, but their prover cost model creates a centralizing force that undermines the very networks they aim to improve.

01

The Hardware Arms Race

Verkle proofs require specialized, non-parallelizable computation, shifting the bottleneck from storage to compute. This creates a prover oligopoly.

  • Prover cost is dominated by multi-scalar multiplication (MSM), which scales with state size.
  • Hardware advantage (e.g., high-core-count CPUs, GPUs) becomes the primary barrier to entry, not capital or stake.
  • This leads to proposer-builder separation (PBS) on steroids, where only a few can afford to generate proofs, re-centralizing block production.
100x+
Hardware Disparity
~$1M
Prover Setup Cost
02

The Data Availability (DA) Decoupling Fallacy

While Verkle trees reduce witness sizes for L2s, they don't solve the core economic problem: someone must pay to prove the chain.

  • Rollups (Arbitrum, Optimism, zkSync) offload execution but inherit the L1's proving cost structure.
  • Modular chains (Celestia, EigenDA) separate DA, but execution layers still need expensive proving for state transitions.
  • The result is cost concentration at the execution layer prover, creating a single point of failure and rent extraction.
>90%
Cost at Prover
Centralized
Economic Security
03

The Endgame: Prover Markets & MEV

High fixed costs for proving will lead to centralized prover markets, which will inevitably capture and exacerbate MEV.

  • Prover-as-a-Service (PaaS) providers like Espresso Systems or Astria will emerge as necessary utilities.
  • These centralized provers will have perfect visibility into transaction ordering, enabling maximal MEV extraction.
  • The network's security budget flows to a few prover entities, breaking the credible neutrality and permissionless innovation of the base layer.
Oligopoly
Market Structure
+300%
MEV Capture
future-outlook
THE PROVER ECONOMICS

The Path Forward: Subsidies, Markets, and Hard Choices

Verkle Trees shift the cost burden to provers, forcing a new economic model for state proofs.

Verkle Trees shift costs to provers. The architecture reduces node sync time but increases the computational load for generating state proofs, moving the expense from validators to specialized proving services.

The subsidy model is unsustainable. Current optimistic rollups like Arbitrum and Optimism subsidize fraud proofs. For Verkle-based ZK systems, the continuous proving cost requires a persistent fee market, not a one-time subsidy.

Provers become a critical market. This creates a new layer for competition between services like RISC Zero and Succinct, where proof latency and cost directly impact user experience and network throughput.

Evidence: A single Verkle proof for a full Ethereum state is estimated to require ~200ms of proving time on high-end hardware, a recurring operational cost that must be priced into every state transition.

takeaways
VERKLE TREES & PROVER COSTS

TL;DR for Protocol Architects

Verkle trees are the cryptographic upgrade that makes stateless clients viable, but they fundamentally shift the proving cost burden. Here's the engineering reality.

01

The Problem: Witness Size is the Bottleneck

Merkle proofs for state access are massive, making stateless clients and light clients impractical. A single block's witness can be >1GB in Ethereum today, crippling sync times and bandwidth.

  • Key Constraint: Bandwidth and storage, not compute.
  • Key Consequence: Forces full nodes to store the entire state, centralizing infrastructure.
>1GB
Witness Size
~100x
Reduction Target
02

The Solution: Vector Commitments over Hashes

Verkle trees replace Merkle's hash-based siblings with KZG polynomial commitments or IPA. This allows proofs that are constant-sized (~150 bytes) regardless of tree depth or sibling count.

  • Key Benefit: Enables truly stateless validation.
  • Key Benefit: Makes light clients viable with ~20KB proofs for complex state accesses.
~150B
Proof Size
O(1)
Scaling
03

The New Reality: Prover Cost Centralization

The proving work shifts from the verifier (node) to the block builder/prover. Generating a Verkle proof for a block is ~10-100x more computationally expensive than creating a Merkle proof.

  • Key Consequence: Creates a new centralization vector around high-performance proving hardware (GPUs/ASICs).
  • Key Trade-off: Acceptable for L1 block producers, potentially prohibitive for L2 rollup sequencers like Arbitrum or Optimism.
10-100x
Prover Cost
GPUs/ASICs
Hardware Shift
04

The Mitigation: SNARK it All

The endgame is recursive SNARKs (e.g., Plonky2, Halo2) over Verkle proofs. This amortizes the prover cost by creating a single, tiny proof for the entire block's state transitions.

  • Key Benefit: Verifier cost remains trivial, preserving decentralization.
  • Key Dependency: Requires mature, EVM-compatible proving systems (like Risc Zero, SP1) to be practical for general computation.
~10KB
Final Proof
Amortized
Prover Cost
05

The Competitor: Binary Merkle + SNARKs

Projects like Avail and Celestia avoid Verkle complexity by using simple Merkle trees and wrapping entire data availability proofs in a SNARK. This is a simpler, holistic cryptographic stack.

  • Key Benefit: Avoids the complexity of in-VM polynomial commitments.
  • Key Trade-off: Less granular than per-state-access Verkle proofs, better suited for data availability layers.
Holistic
DA Approach
Simpler Stack
Trade-off
06

The Architect's Choice: State vs. Prover Budget

Your protocol's design dictates the trade-off. An L1 like Ethereum must optimize for global state access (Verkle). An L2 like zkSync or Starknet already uses a proving system and may treat state proofs as just another circuit opcode.

  • Key Question: Is your state growth unbounded (L1) or constrained (L2/Appchain)?
  • Key Decision: Accept prover centralization now for statelessness, or delay for better proving tech.
L1 vs L2
Divergence
Prover Budget
Key Resource
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Verkle Trees: The Prover Cost Bottleneck Ethereum Ignores | ChainScore Blog