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the-ethereum-roadmap-merge-surge-verge
Blog

MEV Centralization Is an Economic Outcome

The centralization of MEV capture is not a design failure but a predictable economic equilibrium. This analysis traces the incentive structures driving builder dominance, examines the data proving it, and evaluates whether Ethereum's Surge-era roadmap can rewire the game.

introduction
THE ECONOMICS

The Inevitable Gravity of Value

MEV centralization is not a bug but a direct consequence of capital efficiency and risk management.

MEV centralization is inevitable because sophisticated searchers and builders operate at scale. Their capital efficiency and advanced infrastructure, like Jito Labs' validators or Flashbots' MEV-Boost relays, create a feedback loop where profit funds more sophisticated operations.

Decentralization is a cost center that directly competes with extractable value. A solo validator prioritizing censorship resistance sacrifices block revenue, creating a structural disadvantage versus a professional builder maximizing MEV via private orderflow from UniswapX or 1inch Fusion.

The market optimizes for yield, not ideology. The dominant share of Ethereum blocks built by a few entities like beaverbuild or bloXroute's Bloxroute Max Profit bundle stream proves that value flows to the most efficient extractors, centralizing the network's physical layer.

thesis-statement
THE ECONOMIC REALITY

Centralization is the Nash Equilibrium

MEV extraction creates a prisoner's dilemma where rational economic actors are forced to centralize to compete.

The MEV Prisoner's Dilemma forces builders and validators into a coordination trap. Independent actors who refuse to centralize operations lose revenue to competitors running sophisticated infrastructure like Jito Labs or Flashbots MEV-Boost.

Vertical integration is inevitable. The most profitable searcher-builders, like those using bloXroute, internalize the entire value chain. This creates a winner-take-most market where economies of scale in data and execution dominate.

Proof-of-Stake exacerbates this. Large staking pools like Lido and Coinbase have a structural advantage in MEV capture, which they can use to offer higher yields. This creates a self-reinforcing centralization loop that punishes smaller, independent validators.

Evidence: Over 90% of Ethereum blocks are built by a handful of entities using MEV-Boost relays. The top three builders consistently capture the majority of extractable value, demonstrating the equilibrium.

MEV CENTRALIZATION IS AN ECONOMIC OUTCOME

The Proof is in the Pudding: Builder Market Share

A comparison of leading Ethereum block builders, illustrating how economic incentives and technical capabilities dictate market share concentration.

Metric / FeatureFlashbots (SUAVE)rsyncTitan BuilderbloXroute

Avg. Relayed Block Share (Last 30d)

35.2%

18.7%

12.4%

8.9%

Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS) Compliance

Exclusive Order Flow (e.g., searcher deals)

Cross-Domain MEV (L2/L1) Capability

Avg. Block Value Extracted (ETH, 7d avg)

1.42 ETH

0.89 ETH

0.61 ETH

0.53 ETH

Private RPC / Transaction Pool

Open Source Core Relayer

deep-dive
THE INCENTIVE TRAP

The Economic Engine: Why Builders Win

MEV centralization is a predictable economic outcome, not a technical flaw, creating a structural advantage for professional builders.

MEV centralization is inevitable under a first-price auction. The highest bidder wins the block, creating a winner-takes-most dynamic that favors entities with the capital and data to consistently outbid competitors.

Builders are natural monopolies. Their economies of scale in data processing and cross-chain arbitrage (e.g., monitoring UniswapX on Ethereum and PancakeSwap on BSC) create a self-reinforcing feedback loop. More capital attracts more order flow, which funds better infrastructure.

Validators are commoditized. The separation of builder and proposer roles in PBS (Proposer-Builder Separation) turns validators into passive capital. The real economic power and profit accrues to the builder constructing the most valuable block, not the entity signing it.

Evidence: Jito Labs on Solana. Jito's MEV-boosted blocks captured over 90% of Solana's MEV revenue by optimizing for searcher bundles, demonstrating how superior infrastructure and order flow aggregation create an unassailable lead.

risk-analysis
ECONOMIC INCENTIVES

The Centralization Risk Matrix

MEV centralization isn't a bug; it's the predictable result of rational actors optimizing for profit in a permissionless system.

01

The Problem: Seeker Consolidation

The most profitable MEV strategies require low-latency infrastructure and private order flow access, creating a massive economic moat. This leads to the rise of dominant players like Flashbots and Jito Labs, who control the majority of block space and transaction ordering on their respective chains.\n- Result: Top 5 searchers capture >60% of extracted value.\n- Risk: Censorship and front-running become systemic.

>60%
Top Searcher Share
~100ms
Latency Edge
02

The Solution: PBS & Encrypted Mempools

Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS) and encrypted mempools like Shutter Network's aim to structurally separate the roles of block building and proposing. This prevents vertical integration and commoditizes block production.\n- Ethereum's PBS via mev-boost decentralizes proposer power.\n- Encrypted Mempools neutralize the advantage of private order flow by hiding transactions until execution.

~90%
Ethereum PBS Adoption
0s
Info Leakage
03

The Problem: Builder Monopolies

Even with PBS, the builder role has re-centralized. A handful of professional builders like Flashbots Builder and Titan Builder win >80% of blocks due to exclusive order flow (EOF) deals and superior optimization. This recreates a single point of failure and control.\n- Builder OFA Cartels create a closed ecosystem.\n- Risk: A dominant builder can impose arbitrary transaction inclusion rules.

>80%
Top Builder Share
$1B+
Extracted Value
04

The Solution: SUAVE & Decentralized Builders

The endgame is a fully decentralized block building market. Flashbots' SUAVE envisions a universal, decentralized sequencer for all chains. EigenLayer-based decentralized builders like EigenDA and Espresso Systems use cryptoeconomic security to challenge the OFA cartel model.\n- Commoditizes computation and memory.\n- Shifts trust from entities to cryptographic guarantees.

Multi-Chain
SUAVE Scope
$10B+
Restaking TVL
05

The Problem: Geographic & Infrastructure Centralization

Latency is king. Searchers and builders cluster in <5ms proximity to validators, typically in AWS us-east-1. This creates geographic centralization risk and makes the network vulnerable to regional outages or regulatory action. The entire MEV supply chain depends on a handful of cloud providers.\n- Risk: A single AWS region outage could cripple chain activity.\n- Reality: Decentralization is a lie if it all runs on AWS.

<5ms
Critical Latency
~60%
AWS Reliance
06

The Solution: Intent-Based Architectures

Moving away from transaction-based models bypasses the latency arms race. Intent-based systems like UniswapX, CowSwap, and Across let users specify a desired outcome (e.g., 'buy X token at best price'). Solvers compete off-chain, removing the need for front-running and reducing the value of pure speed.\n- Shifts competition from latency to optimization.\n- Aligns incentives with user outcomes, not adversarial extraction.

$10B+
Processed Volume
-99%
Failed Trades
future-outlook
THE INCENTIVE MISMATCH

The Roadmap's Counterplay: Can Incentives Be Rewired?

MEV centralization is not a bug but a direct consequence of the economic incentives embedded in current block production.

MEV centralization is an economic outcome. The current PBS model outsources block building to specialized searchers, but the auction revenue flows to the highest validator bidder. This creates a profit feedback loop where the largest validators, like Lido and Coinbase, can outbid others, using MEV profits to subsidize staking and further consolidate market share.

The core conflict is misaligned incentives. Validators are rewarded for selling block space to the highest bidder, not for producing the most valuable or fair block for users. This principal-agent problem is why protocols like Flashbots' SUAVE or shared sequencer networks are necessary to rewire the reward flow and separate block building from proposing.

The counterplay requires protocol-level changes. Layer 2s like Arbitrum and Optimism are exploring permissionless proposer-builder separation to break the link. The goal is to make MEV extraction a competitive, commoditized service where profits are redistributed via mechanisms like proposer payments or public goods funding, as seen in CowSwap's CoW AMM.

Evidence: On Ethereum, the top three proposers by MEV-boost relays consistently capture over 44% of MEV blocks, demonstrating the winner-take-most dynamic. Without a structural change to the incentive layer, decentralization roadmaps are fighting against their own economic design.

takeaways
ECONOMICS OF BLOCK SPACE

TL;DR for Protocol Architects

MEV centralization isn't a bug; it's the equilibrium outcome of rational actors competing for finite, valuable block space.

01

The Problem: Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS) is Incomplete

PBS (e.g., Ethereum's PBS roadmap) separates block building from proposing but fails to decentralize the builder market. The result is a winner-takes-most dynamic where a few builders (Flashbots, bloXroute) dominate due to capital and data advantages.

  • Builder centralization shifts power from validators to a few opaque entities.
  • ~80%+ of Ethereum blocks are built by the top 3-5 builders post-Merge.
  • Creates a new, harder-to-regulate central point of failure.
80%+
Top Builder Share
3-5
Dominant Entities
02

The Solution: Enshrined PBS & SUAVE

Move PBS into the protocol layer (Enshrined PBS) to standardize the builder market and reduce trust assumptions. Parallel efforts like Flashbots' SUAVE aim to create a decentralized, shared mempool and executor network to commoditize block building.

  • Protocol-level auctions ensure neutral access and reduce builder moats.
  • SUAVE's shared order flow fragments the information advantage held by private mempools.
  • Long-term goal: turn MEV extraction into a permissionless, competitive service.
0
Trust Assumptions
Commoditized
Builder Role
03

The Lever: Intent-Based Architectures (UniswapX, CowSwap)

Shift from transaction-based to intent-based systems to abstract away execution complexity from users. This moves the MEV competition from the public mempool to a solver network, capturing value for users.

  • Users submit what they want, not how to do it (e.g., "swap X for Y at best rate").
  • Solvers (like CowSwap, Across) compete to fulfill intents, bundling and optimizing execution.
  • MEV is internalized as better prices for users, not extracted as wasted gas.
~$10B+
Processed Volume
User-Captured
MEV Value
04

The Reality: Cross-Chain MEV is the Next Frontier

MEV doesn't respect chain boundaries. Bridges and cross-chain swaps (LayerZero, Axelar, Wormhole) are massive, opaque MEV pools. The lack of a global mempool creates arbitrage opportunities that are captured by centralized relayers and sequencing services.

  • Cross-chain arbitrage is a multi-billion dollar opportunity.
  • Current solutions rely on trusted relayers, creating centralization and high fees.
  • The race is on to build a decentralized cross-chain sequencer network.
$B+
Arbitrage Pool
Centralized
Current Relayers
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