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public-goods-funding-and-quadratic-voting
Blog

Why Reputation Dilution is the New Inflation

As protocols like Optimism and Gitcoin expand reputation issuance, they risk devaluing early contributions. This analysis explores the mechanics of social capital inflation and the need for a monetary policy for reputation.

introduction
THE DILUTION PROBLEM

Introduction: The Coming Crisis of Social Capital

On-chain reputation is being devalued by Sybil attacks and airdrop farming, creating a systemic trust deficit.

Reputation is the new money. In a trustless system, social capital—proven contributions, governance participation, transaction history—becomes the primary collateral for access and influence.

Sybil attacks are hyperinflation. Projects like LayerZero and EigenLayer face millions of fake identities farming airdrops, diluting the value of legitimate user reputation and corrupting governance signals.

The crisis is a coordination failure. Current identity primitives like Gitcoin Passport and ENS addresses are gamed, forcing protocols to implement crude, retroactive filters that penalize real users.

Evidence: The $ZRO airdrop saw over 2 million Sybil addresses filtered, while the average airdrop farmer now operates 50+ wallets, rendering naive on-chain metrics worthless.

thesis-statement
THE DILUTION

Core Thesis: Reputation is a Currency Without a Central Bank

On-chain reputation systems face the same monetary policy failures as fiat, where unchecked issuance devalues trust.

Reputation is a currency. It functions as a medium of exchange for trust, a unit of account for risk, and a store of value for social capital within a protocol's economy.

Unchecked issuance causes inflation. Just as the Federal Reserve printing money devalues the dollar, protocols like Aave and Compound that issue governance tokens for simple liquidity provision dilute the voting power and economic value of existing holders.

Sybil attacks are the counterfeiting. Projects like Gitcoin Passport and Worldcoin exist to combat the infinite minting of fake identities, which directly inflates and debases any reputation-based system.

Proof-of-stake validators demonstrate scarcity. Unlike social graphs, a validator's stake is a finite, slashing asset. This creates a reputation floor that Sybil-resistant systems like EigenLayer actively monetize.

WHY REPUTATION DILUTION IS THE NEW INFLATION

The Dilution Dashboard: A Comparative Look

Comparative analysis of how different blockchain reputation systems manage dilution from new entrants, analogous to monetary inflation.

Dilution VectorPoW (Bitcoin)PoS (Ethereum)Reputation-Based (e.g., EigenLayer, Babylon)

Primary Dilution Mechanism

Hashrate competition from new miners

Capital competition from new stakers

Service competition from new operators

Inflation Rate (Annualized)

~1.8% (halving schedule)

~0.0-0.5% (post-merge, variable)

Theoretically infinite (uncapped supply)

Dilution Defense

ASIC/energy capex barrier

32 ETH minimum + slashing risk

Bonding curve & slashing for poor performance

New Entrant Cost (Approx.)

$10k+ for competitive ASIC

32 ETH ($100k+) + infrastructure

Staked capital + operational overhead

Sybil Resistance Method

Physical hardware & energy

Capital at risk (slashing)

Capital at risk + verified performance

Dilution Impact on Incumbents

Direct hashpower erosion

Direct stake % erosion

Reputation score & rewards erosion

Can Dilution Be Negative? (Burn)

No

Yes (EIP-1559 base fee burn)

Yes (slashing & penalty mechanisms)

Key Economic Parallel

Commodity production (gold)

Equity dilution (public company)

Service marketplace (Uber driver ratings)

deep-dive
THE REPUTATION ECONOMY

Deep Dive: The Mechanics of Social Capital Debasement

Social capital dilution, driven by sybil farming and airdrop commoditization, is the new inflation for on-chain reputation systems.

Social capital is the new money. On-chain reputation, from governance power to airdrop eligibility, is a scarce resource. Protocols like Optimism and Arbitrum distribute this capital via retroactive airdrops, creating a new economic layer.

Sybil farming debases this capital. Actors deploy thousands of wallets to farm airdrops, diluting the value of genuine user contributions. This is the inflationary pressure for social systems, eroding trust and protocol security.

Airdrops commoditize participation. Users now optimize for transactional engagement over genuine protocol use. This shifts behavior from building to extracting, as seen in the LayerZero Sybil report identifying millions of fake addresses.

Proof-of-Personhood is the monetary policy. Solutions like Worldcoin, BrightID, and Gitcoin Passport attempt to act as central banks for reputation. They enforce scarcity through identity verification, fighting the infinite supply of sybils.

The data is clear. The Ethereum Name Service airdrop saw over 60% of claims go to sybil clusters. This dilution forced subsequent protocols like Starknet to implement stricter, more complex eligibility filters.

counter-argument
THE DILUTION TRAP

Counter-Argument: Isn't More Inclusion Good?

Unchecked validator expansion degrades network security by creating a false sense of decentralization.

Reputation dilution is inflationary. Adding validators without a corresponding increase in stake or real-world identity fragments the security budget. This creates a larger attack surface with the same economic security, making Sybil attacks cheaper per node.

Decentralization theater is a liability. Protocols like Lido and Rocket Pool demonstrate that permissionless staking pools concentrate power, not distribute it. True resilience requires sybil-resistant identity, not just more nodes on an allowlist.

Evidence: Ethereum's Proof-of-Stake system has ~900k validators, but the Nakamoto Coefficient—measuring the minimum entities to compromise the chain—remains stubbornly low, hovering around 2-4 for client diversity and liquidity pools.

protocol-spotlight
REPUTATION DILUTION

Protocol Spotlight: Who's Getting It Right (And Wrong)

Unchecked sybil resistance is the new monetary inflation, eroding the value of on-chain identity and governance.

01

EigenLayer: The Centralizing Force

By allowing ETH stakers to re-stake with any AVS, EigenLayer commoditizes security and dilutes node operator reputation. The protocol aggregates capital but fragments accountability.

  • Problem: A single operator's failure impacts dozens of AVSs, creating systemic risk.
  • Reality: $15B+ TVL creates a 'too-big-to-fail' entity, not a robust reputation system.
$15B+
TVL
100+
AVSs
02

The Solution: Hyperliquid's Intent-Based Staking

Hyperliquid's L1 uses a delegated Proof-of-Stake model where stakers elect specific operators, creating direct accountability loops.

  • Mechanism: Stakers delegate to named operators with public performance history.
  • Result: Reputation is earned via slashing risk and transparent metrics, not just capital allocation.
100%
On-Chain
Named
Operators
03

The Problem: Airdrop Farming & Sybil Washing

Protocols like LayerZero and Starknet conducted sybil hunts post-airdrop, proving their initial distribution mechanisms were broken.

  • Consequence: Legitimate users get diluted, while farmers with 10,000+ wallets capture majority value.
  • Root Cause: One-off tasks (e.g., bridging) are poor proxies for long-term, valuable contribution.
>80%
Sybil Wallets
Post-Hoc
Analysis
04

Gitcoin Passport & EigenRep: The Graph of Trust

These systems move beyond binary sybil resistance to weighted, composable reputation. Your score is a function of diverse, costly-to-fake attestations.

  • Mechanism: Aggregates ZK proofs, POAPs, domain ownership into a non-transferable score.
  • Future: This graph becomes the substrate for permissionless airdrops and governance with resistance.
Composable
Stamps
Non-Transferable
Identity
05

Osmosis: Validator-Set Reputation via Commission

As a Cosmos app-chain, Osmosis demonstrates liquid staking with a reputation layer. Validators compete on commission rates and uptime, not just voting power.

  • Market Signal: Delegators pay for quality; a 0% commission validator with poor uptime gets slashed.
  • Result: Reputation is priced continuously via commission markets, not just slashing events.
Dynamic
Commissions
Liquid
Staking
06

The Wrong Path: Pure Token-Voting DAOs

DAOs like Uniswap and Arbitrum exemplify reputation dilution. Governance power is a function of token holdings, easily sybiled or bought by whales.

  • Outcome: Voter apathy is >95%. Decision-making is captured by a few large holders or delegated to unaccountable 'experts'.
  • Proof: Less than 5% turnout on most proposals, making the system insecure and oligarchic.
<5%
Turnout
Oligarchic
Control
risk-analysis
WHY REPUTATION DILUTION IS THE NEW INFLATION

Risk Analysis: The Bear Case for Reputation

On-chain reputation systems face fundamental economic attacks that mirror fiat currency debasement, threatening their utility as a capital asset.

01

The Sybil Inflation Attack

Permissionless identity creation enables infinite minting of low-value reputational units, collapsing signal-to-noise ratios.

  • Cost of Attack: Sybil creation is often < $1 per identity.
  • Network Effect: Value depends on scarcity; infinite supply from Gitcoin Passport or Worldcoin-like systems creates hyperinflation.
  • Consequence: Reputation becomes a worthless commodity, not a capital asset.
<$1
Cost/Identity
0
Intrinsic Scarcity
02

The Oracle Manipulation Problem

Off-chain reputation scores (e.g., credit, social) are gated by centralized oracles like Chainlink, creating a single point of failure and rent-seeking.

  • Data Integrity: Oracles can censor, manipulate, or provide stale data.
  • Economic Capture: Oracle operators extract >30% margins as rent for essential data feeds.
  • Systemic Risk: A corrupted Ethereum Attestation Service feed can poison every downstream reputation protocol.
>30%
Oracle Rent
1
Failure Point
03

Collateral vs. Reputation Slippage

In DeFi, MakerDAO's collateralized debt positions have clear liquidation math. Reputation-based lending (e.g., ARCx, Spectral) suffers from unquantifiable and non-fungible risk.

  • Valuation Gap: Reputation score of 750 is not a $750 asset; its market value is undefined.
  • Default Risk: Cannot be liquidated or seized, breaking the core DeFi risk model.
  • Result: These systems either remain niche or blow up during their first stress test.
0
Liquidation Value
Undefined
Risk Premium
04

The Eternal September of Governance

Protocols like Optimism's Citizen House or ENS's delegate system use reputation for voting power, inviting perpetual dilution from new entrants.

  • Vote Dilution: Each new cohort of "citizens" reduces the influence of early, high-signal participants.
  • Incentive Misalignment: New users vote for inflationary grants (e.g., Uniswap's "fee switch") to extract value, not preserve protocol health.
  • Outcome: Governance converges to $0 value as reputational voting power is infinitely minted.
∞
Voter Supply
$0
Vote Value
05

Privacy-Preserving Dilution (ZK-Rep)

Zero-knowledge proofs for reputation, as explored by Sismo and Semaphore, solve sybil-resistance but destroy composability and liquidity.

  • Data Silos: A ZK proof of "Gitcoin Passport holder" is a non-transferable, non-composable black box.
  • Liquidity Fragmentation: Cannot build a unified reputation market; each app has its own sealed system.
  • Trade-off: You choose between privacy and liquidity. Most financial systems choose liquidity.
0
Cross-App Comp
Siloed
Market State
06

The Airdrop Feedback Loop

Reputation farming for anticipated airdrops (e.g., LayerZero, zkSync) creates a reflexive bubble that pops post-distribution.

  • Temporary Alignment: Users perform high-cost actions expecting $10k+ rewards, not to use the protocol.
  • Post-Drop Collapse: >90% of sybil farmers exit immediately, leaving the reputation graph barren.
  • Legacy Cost: Protocols inherit a corrupted historical dataset, poisoning all future reputation algorithms.
>90%
Farmer Churn
$0
Sustained Value
future-outlook
THE DILUTION PROBLEM

Future Outlook: The Path to Sound Reputation Policy

Reputation dilution is the systemic risk that erodes the value of on-chain identity, mirroring the mechanics of monetary inflation.

Reputation is a currency. Its value depends on scarcity and trust in its issuance. Protocols like Ethereum Attestation Service (EAS) and Gitcoin Passport create reputation tokens, but uncontrolled minting devalues all existing scores.

Dilution attacks are inevitable. Sybil farmers will exploit free mints from new identity protocols, just as they spam LayerZero's Omnichain Fungible Tokens (OFT) for airdrops. This floods the market with worthless reputation.

Sound reputation requires a cost basis. A Proof-of-Burn mechanism or a staking requirement, akin to Optimism's retroactive public goods funding, creates economic gravity. Reputation must be expensive to forge but cheap to verify.

Evidence: The Ethereum Name Service (ENS) demonstrates scarcity's value. Its .eth domains derive worth from registration fees and renewal costs, creating a durable, non-dilutive identity layer.

takeaways
WHY REPUTATION DILUTION IS THE NEW INFLATION

Key Takeaways for Builders and VCs

In a world of permissionless actors, reputation is the ultimate scarce resource. Its debasement is a systemic risk more corrosive than token inflation.

01

The Sybil Attack is a Monetary Policy

Spinning up infinite pseudonymous identities is the equivalent of printing money, devaluing on-chain reputation and trust. This breaks governance, airdrop mechanics, and social graphs.

  • Consequence: >90% of governance votes can be gamed by airdrop farmers.
  • Solution: Move from token-weighted to proof-of-personhood or attestation-based systems (e.g., Worldcoin, Ethereum Attestation Service).
>90%
Votes Gamed
0
Cost to Sybil
02

Reputation is Non-Fungible, Tokens Are Not

A wallet's history of good behavior (timely repayments, quality curation) is a unique asset. Treating it as fungible via simple token delegation dilutes its signal.

  • Consequence: Lending protocols blindly accept delegated tokens from unknown stakers, increasing systemic risk.
  • Solution: Build with soulbound tokens or non-transferable reputation graphs that accrue to persistent identities.
1:1
Identity:Reputation
SBT
Core Primitive
03

VCs: Fund Reputation Primitives, Not Just Apps

The infrastructure for portable, sybil-resistant reputation is the next zero-to-one opportunity. It's the base layer for the next generation of DeFi, social, and governance.

  • Market Gap: No standardized reputation oracle exists, unlike price oracles (Chainlink).
  • Investment Thesis: Back protocols like CyberConnect, Gitcoin Passport, and EAS that create and attest to reputation data.
Zero-to-One
Market Phase
$0B
Current Market Cap
04

Builders: Reputation is Your Moat

In a world of forked code, a loyal community with skin-in-the-game reputation is the only defensible barrier. This applies to DeFi, SocialFi, and on-chain gaming.

  • Action: Design progressive decentralization where early users earn non-transferable reputation scores.
  • Example: Friend.tech keys are a primitive proxy for social reputation, though currently transferable and speculative.
Unalterable
Key Trait
Progressive
Decentralization
05

The Oracle Problem for Human Behavior

We have oracles for asset prices, but not for trust. Reputation must be computed from verifiable, on-chain actions, not off-chain promises.

  • Technical Challenge: Aggregating signals from DeFi activity, governance participation, and social contribution into a single score.
  • Emerging Stack: Look to Karma3Lab, Orange Protocol, and RNS for scoring frameworks.
On-Chain
Data Source
Multi-Source
Aggregation
06

Dilution Kills Composability

If every app builds its own siloed reputation system, the network effect fails. Reputation must be a portable, composable primitive to have systemic value.

  • Current State: Fragmented scores across lending, social, and DAOs that don't interoperate.
  • Future State: A universal reputation layer where a good standing in Compound improves your terms in a new DeFi protocol on day one.
Portable
Core Feature
Composable
Requirement
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Reputation Dilution: The New Inflation in Web3 | ChainScore Blog