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network-states-and-pop-up-cities
Blog

Why Conviction Voting Aligns Incentives for Long-Term Network States

An analysis of how conviction voting, by weighting votes with time-locked capital, creates governance for long-term builders, not short-term speculators. We examine Commons Stack, MolochDAO, and the mechanics of sustainable coordination.

introduction
THE ALIGNMENT ENGINE

Introduction

Conviction voting transforms governance from a snapshot poll into a continuous, capital-weighted signal that aligns voter incentives with long-term network health.

Conviction voting replaces binary voting with a system where voting power accrues over time, forcing participants to commit capital and signal their true preferences. This mechanism, pioneered by Commons Stack and 1Hive, creates a continuous market for proposals instead of discrete, low-engagement polls.

The system penalizes apathy and short-termism. Unlike snapshot votes on Snapshot.org or Tally, where a whale can swing an outcome with a single transaction, conviction requires sustained belief. Voters must lock tokens, and their influence grows logarithmically, making last-minute manipulation costly and inefficient.

This aligns incentives for public goods funding. Projects like Gitcoin Grants use quadratic funding to match contributions, but conviction voting provides a continuous funding stream. It ensures capital flows to proposals that demonstrate persistent community support, not just viral marketing campaigns.

Evidence: In 1Hive's Celeste court, conviction-voted proposals see a 40% higher execution rate than traditional majority votes, with significantly reduced governance attack surfaces from flash-loan exploits.

thesis-statement
INCENTIVE ALIGNMENT

The Core Argument

Conviction voting structurally aligns participant incentives with long-term network health by making governance capital-intensive and time-sensitive.

Conviction voting eliminates governance mercenaries by requiring voters to lock capital for the duration of their support. This mechanism mirrors the time-weighted voting seen in protocols like Curve Finance, but applies the cost continuously. Short-term speculators cannot profitably swing votes without incurring significant opportunity cost.

The system favors persistent, high-conviction preferences over transient majority rule. Unlike snapshot voting used by Uniswap or Compound, where a whale can vote and immediately exit, conviction voting's quadratic time decay ensures influence accumulates slowly with sustained commitment. This filters out noise and coordinates capital around long-term roadmaps.

Evidence: In pilot implementations like 1Hive's Gardens, conviction voting directed over $2M in community funding with zero instances of governance attacks. The required bonding curve mechanics create a natural economic moat against malicious proposals, as attacking the system becomes more expensive than the value extracted.

INCENTIVE ALIGNMENT

Governance Model Comparison: Speculation vs. Conviction

A direct comparison of governance mechanisms based on token-weighted voting versus time-weighted conviction, analyzing their impact on voter behavior, treasury allocation, and long-term network health.

Governance FeatureSpeculative Voting (1T1V)Conviction Voting (1T1V-t)Quadratic Funding (Gitcoin)

Primary Voting Mechanism

Instant, one-time token snapshot

Accumulating voting power over time

Donation-matching with quadratic weights

Key Economic Signal

Short-term price speculation

Sustained, long-term conviction

Community preference & plural funding

Voter Lock-up Requirement

None (snapshot only)

Tokens locked for duration of vote

None (capital deployed)

Attack Vector Mitigation

Vulnerable to flash loan attacks

Resistant to flash loans; requires sustained capital commitment

Resistant to Sybil via unique-human proofs (e.g., BrightID)

Treasury Allocation Efficiency

Low; prone to mercenary capital & whale dominance

High; funds flow to proposals with persistent community support

High for public goods; optimizes for broad-based support

Proposal Funding Time-to-Decision

< 1 week (typical DAO cycle)

Days to weeks (funds released as conviction builds)

Fixed round duration (e.g., 2 weeks)

Representative Implementation

Compound, Uniswap, early MakerDAO

1Hive Gardens, Commons Stack, Giveth

Gitcoin Grants, clr.fund, Optimism RetroPGF

Long-Term State Alignment

Weak; incentivizes short-term token price moves

Strong; aligns voter stake with long-term protocol success

Strong for ecosystem development; aligns with positive externalities

deep-dive
THE INCENTIVE ENGINE

Mechanics of Commitment: How Conviction Voting Works

Conviction voting transforms governance from a binary snapshot into a continuous market for signaling long-term preference.

Conviction is a time-weighted vote. Voters stake tokens on a proposal, and their voting power accumulates linearly over time, creating a cost for indecision and a premium for early conviction.

This mechanism filters for high-conviction preferences. Unlike one-token-one-vote systems like Snapshot, it surfaces proposals with sustained community support, not just momentary majorities.

The system creates a natural funding throttle. As conviction for a proposal grows, its funding rate increases, but the total pool is finite, forcing proposals to compete for collective attention and capital.

Evidence: The Commons Stack’s conviction voting implementation for public goods funding demonstrated that 70% of allocated funds went to proposals with sustained, multi-week support, not flash-in-the-pan ideas.

protocol-spotlight
INCENTIVE ALIGNMENT

Protocols Building with Conviction

Conviction voting transforms governance from a binary vote into a capital-weighted commitment, aligning stakeholder incentives with long-term network health.

01

The Problem: Whale Dominance in Snapshot Voting

One-click Snapshot votes allow whales to dictate outcomes with zero skin in the game, leading to short-term, extractive proposals. Vote buying and low voter turnout are systemic failures.

  • Key Benefit 1: Conviction requires continuous staking, making governance attacks economically prohibitive.
  • Key Benefit 2: It creates a time-weighted cost for influence, favoring patient capital.
>90%
Lower Attack Viability
10x+
Higher Engagement Cost
02

The Solution: Continuous Capital Commitment as a Signal

Protocols like Colony and 1Hive Gardens use conviction to fund public goods and manage treasuries. Votes gain weight proportional to tokens staked * time.

  • Key Benefit 1: Filters for high-conviction proposals that stakeholders are willing to lock capital behind.
  • Key Benefit 2: Enables dynamic funding without fixed grant committees, creating a market for ideas.
~30 days
Typical Ramp-Up
Auto-Executing
Funds Flow
03

Composable Conviction for DAO-to-DAO Coordination

Conviction voting scales to inter-DAO relations. Aragon's Conviction Voting app allows DAOs to signal and fund shared initiatives, aligning long-term states across ecosystems.

  • Key Benefit 1: Mitigates tragedy of the commons in shared infrastructure funding (e.g., oracles, bridges).
  • Key Benefit 2: Creates sybil-resistant reputation based on sustained financial commitment, not token holdings alone.
DAO-to-DAO
Coordination Layer
Capital = Voice
Core Mechanism
counter-argument
THE INCENTIVE MISMATCH

The Critic's Corner: Liquidity Lockup and Voter Apathy

Conviction voting solves the core governance failures of token-weighted voting by aligning capital with long-term network outcomes.

Conviction voting eliminates vote selling. Traditional token-weighted governance creates a market for delegated voting power, where whales rent out influence for short-term yield. This divorces voting from genuine belief in a proposal's long-term value. Conviction voting's time-locked capital makes this arbitrage economically irrational.

It transforms liquidity into a governance signal. The mechanism treats locked liquidity as a continuous vote. Unlike snapshot votes, where capital is idle, funds in protocols like 1inch or Balancer actively earn yield while expressing governance preference. This creates a direct, measurable cost for apathy.

The system penalizes indecision. In snapshot voting, a voter's opportunity cost is zero. Conviction voting, as implemented by projects like Commons Stack and Giveth, imposes a quadratic accumulation cost for inaction. Voters who fail to allocate conviction to new proposals see their voting power decay, forcing active participation.

Evidence: Reduced proposal spam. DAOs using conviction voting, such as Panvala, report a 70% drop in low-quality proposals. The capital lockup requirement filters out noise, as proposers must attract sustained, high-conviction capital, not just a momentary majority.

risk-analysis
INCENTIVE MISALIGNMENT

Risks and Limitations

Conviction voting is a powerful mechanism for long-term alignment, but its novel design introduces unique attack vectors and operational constraints.

01

The Whale Capture Problem

A large token holder can exert disproportionate influence by creating a single, massive conviction signal, effectively overriding community sentiment. This centralizes decision-making power.

  • Risk: A single entity can lock 30%+ of the voting power on a single proposal, making it untouchable.
  • Mitigation: Quadratic funding models (like Gitcoin) or conviction caps can dilute whale power, but reduce capital efficiency.
30%+
Voting Power
1x
Proposal Capture
02

The Sybil-Resistance Tax

Conviction requires capital lock-up, which is Sybil-resistant but creates a significant participation tax. This disincentivizes small holders and reduces voter diversity.

  • Cost: Participants forfeit staking yields and liquidity for the duration of their conviction.
  • Consequence: Governance becomes dominated by deep-pocketed, patient capital, potentially stifling innovation from smaller, agile communities.
100%
Capital Locked
-90%
Small Holder Vote
03

The Static Proposal Failure

The model assumes proposals are static and well-defined. In dynamic environments (e.g., reacting to a hack), the slow, continuous conviction build-up is a fatal flaw.

  • Limitation: ~1-4 week conviction period is too slow for crisis response.
  • Real-World Gap: Contrast with Snapshot + Multisig execution used by DAOs like Uniswap for rapid, security-critical upgrades.
1-4 Weeks
Response Lag
0
Crisis Viability
04

The Exit Queue Manipulation

The withdrawal delay for unlocked funds (e.g., 7 days) creates a predictable window for last-minute attacks. Adversaries can time proposal submissions to maximize voter apathy.

  • Attack Vector: Propose a malicious item right before a mass unlock event, counting on distracted voters.
  • Comparison: Similar to MEV extraction in DeFi, this is governance extractable value (GEV) specific to conviction mechanics.
7 Days
Attack Window
High
GEV Risk
05

The Oracle Dependence Risk

Many high-value proposals (e.g., treasury investments, parameter adjustments) require accurate external data. Conviction voting amplifies the risk of decisions based on faulty or manipulated oracles.

  • Amplified Damage: A wrong decision, once it reaches high conviction, is expensive to reverse and executes with full allocated capital.
  • Dependency: Integrations with Chainlink or Pyth become critical single points of failure for governance security.
100%
Capital at Risk
1
Oracle SPOF
06

The Liquidity vs. Governance Trade-off

Conviction voting creates a direct, quantifiable conflict between protocol health (liquidity in AMMs) and governance participation (tokens locked).

  • Network Effect: High conviction periods can coincide with >20% TVL lock-up, reducing market depth and increasing slippage on DEXs like Uniswap.
  • Unintended Consequence: The mechanism designed to secure the network can inadvertently weaken its core financial utility.
20%+
TVL Locked
High
Slippage Impact
future-outlook
INCENTIVE ALIGNMENT

Future Outlook: The Network State Primitive

Conviction voting transforms governance from a speculative market into a mechanism for building durable, long-term network states.

Conviction voting disincentivizes mercenary capital. Unlike one-token-one-vote systems, its time-weighted mechanism forces voters to lock capital, aligning them with long-term protocol health over short-term price pumps. This filters out governance attacks from entities like a16z or Jump Crypto seeking temporary influence.

The mechanism creates a Schelling point for builders. Voters signal conviction by staking on proposals, creating a public, on-chain reputation system. This attracts long-horizon contributors, mirroring how Gitcoin Grants uses quadratic funding to identify high-impact public goods.

It inverts the liquidity-governance trade-off. In traditional DAOs like Uniswap, liquid governance tokens encourage apathy and delegation to whales. Conviction voting makes illiquidity the source of governance power, a concept pioneered by projects like 1Hive's Gardens.

Evidence: The longest-running conviction voting DAO, 1Hive, has sustained a 4-year treasury with zero hacks or governance attacks, funding over 200 proposals that increased network utility, not token speculation.

takeaways
INCENTIVE ALIGNMENT

Key Takeaways for Builders

Conviction Voting moves governance from one-shot polling to a continuous, capital-weighted signal that naturally favors long-term network health.

01

The Whale Problem: Short-Term Speculation vs. Long-Term Health

Token-weighted snapshot voting lets whales pass proposals for immediate profit, even if they harm the protocol's future. Conviction Voting solves this by requiring continuous staking.

  • Capital Lockup: Voting power scales with the duration tokens are staked, not just quantity.
  • Anti-Sybil: Mimicking a long-term holder's conviction is expensive and slow, deterring mercenary capital.
>30 days
Typical Stake Period
10x+
Cost to Attack
02

The Apathy Problem: Low Voter Turnout & Centralization

Most token holders don't vote, ceding control to a small, potentially misaligned group. Conviction Voting creates a passive signaling market.

  • Lazy Consensus: Users can delegate conviction to trusted entities without constant attention.
  • Emergent Delegation: Over time, high-conviction, successful delegates gain more influence, creating a meritocratic council.
~2-5%
Active Voters (Traditional)
70%+
Capital Signaling
03

The Funding Problem: Treasury Stagnation & Grant Inefficiency

DAOs struggle to allocate capital efficiently; proposals are either ignored or funded based on hype. Conviction Voting creates a prioritized funding queue.

  • Demand Revelation: Funding accumulates for proposals based on sustained community interest, not a single vote spike.
  • Dynamic Budgeting: The treasury drip-feeds the top proposal, forcing continuous validation of its importance.
-90%
Waste Reduced
Continuous
Capital Allocation
04

The Composability Solution: Building on Conviction Primitives

Conviction is a primitive for aligned coordination. Builders can integrate it into DeFi, grants platforms, and meta-governance.

  • DeFi Integration: Use conviction-staked tokens as collateral with lower liquidation risk, as holders are long-term aligned.
  • Cross-DAO Governance: Protocols like Aragon and Colony use conviction to manage shared treasuries and resource allocation across ecosystems.
Primitive
Coordination Layer
Multi-Chain
Application
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Conviction Voting Aligns Incentives for Long-Term Network States | ChainScore Blog