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liquid-staking-and-the-restaking-revolution
Blog

Regulatory Scrutiny Will Target LSDs as Securities First

A technical and legal analysis of why Liquid Staking Derivatives (LSDs) are the most vulnerable crypto asset class to securities classification, based on their yield-bearing, transferable nature and the SEC's established playbook.

introduction
THE SECURITY LABEL

The Inevitable Target

Liquid Staking Derivatives (LSDs) are the primary vector for the SEC's next major enforcement action against crypto.

LSDs are securities. The SEC's Howey Test analysis is straightforward: capital investment in a common enterprise (the validator pool) with an expectation of profit derived from the efforts of others (the protocol's staking operations). Lido's stETH and Rocket Pool's rETH are functionally identical to interest-bearing notes.

The yield is the smoking gun. Unlike a governance token, an LSD's core utility is generating passive yield. This is the primary expectation of profit the SEC targets. The argument that staking is 'essential work' for the network fails because the LSD holder delegates that work.

Counter-intuitively, decentralization won't save them. The SEC's case against Ripple's XRP established that a decentralized underlying asset does not immunize the financial instrument built on top. The LSD itself is the centralized profit-sharing contract.

Evidence: The SEC's 2023 case against Kraken explicitly targeted its staking-as-a-service program, calling it an unregistered security. The logic applies directly to Lido DAO and Coinbase's cbETH, which offer identical economic functions at a larger scale.

key-insights
REGULATORY FRONTLINE

Executive Summary

Liquid Staking Derivatives (LSDs) represent the most obvious target for securities classification, creating systemic risk for DeFi's foundational yield layer.

01

The Howey Test is a Trap for Staking Pools

Regulators see a clear investment contract: capital is pooled, profits are expected from the managerial efforts of node operators. Centralized custodians like Coinbase and Kraken have already settled. Decentralized protocols like Lido and Rocket Pool are next.

  • Key Risk: A ruling could force KYC on staking, breaking DeFi composability.
  • Key Metric: $40B+ TVL in LSDs is directly exposed.
$40B+
Exposed TVL
100%
SEC Focus
02

The Solution: Non-Custodial, Permissionless Validators

The only defensible architecture is one where the protocol provides pure software, not a service. Users retain sole control of keys and bear slashing risk. This is the Rocket Pool and StakeWise V3 model.

  • Key Benefit: Eliminates the "common enterprise" and "managerial efforts" prongs of Howey.
  • Key Metric: Protocols with <10% node operator share are most vulnerable.
0%
Custody
<10%
Vulnerable Share
03

The Fallout: DeFi's LSD-Fueled Economy

A securities ruling doesn't just hit staking. It cascades through Aave, Compound, and Curve pools that use stETH/cbETH as collateral. The ~$15B of LSD collateral in money markets becomes toxic.

  • Key Risk: Mass deleveraging and liquidity crises.
  • Key Metric: ~60% of stETH is deployed in DeFi, not just held.
$15B
At-Risk Collateral
~60%
DeFi Utilization
04

The Precedent: Kraken's $30M Settlement is the Blueprint

The SEC's action against Kraken Staking set the template: offering "outsized returns" via a staking-as-a-service program is a security. The order specifically cited the lack of disclosure. This logic applies directly to any protocol promising yield.

  • Key Insight: Marketing and promised APY are now evidence.
  • Key Metric: $30M fine for a program with ~$3B in assets.
$30M
Fine Amount
~$3B
Program AUM
05

The Strategic Pivot: Native Restaking as a Hedge

Protocols like EigenLayer and liquid restaking tokens (LRTs) from Kelp DAO and Renzo complicate the regulatory picture. Restaking introduces new utility (AVS security) atop the staking yield, potentially moving it out of pure investment contract territory.

  • Key Benefit: Adds a consumptive use case, diluting the securities argument.
  • Key Risk: Creates a new, even more complex regulatory surface.
$15B+
Restaked TVL
2x
Complexity
06

The Endgame: On-Chain Legal Wrappers and Enforcement-Proof Design

Long-term survival requires legally insulated structures. This means DAO-led governance with legal insulation, on-chain dispute resolution, and geographic decentralization of node operators. Look to Lido's dual-governance or MakerDAO's legal entity experiments.

  • Key Benefit: Creates jurisdictional arbitrage and enforcement complexity.
  • Key Metric: Protocols with >30 countries for node ops are more resilient.
>30
Node Jurisdictions
100%
Required
thesis-statement
THE LEGAL FRONTIER

The Core Argument: LSDs Fail the Howey Test on Three Counts

Liquid staking derivatives are the primary regulatory target because their structure directly maps to the Howey Test's four prongs.

Investment of Money is satisfied when a user deposits ETH into a protocol like Lido or Rocket Pool. The user exchanges one asset for another, meeting the SEC's broad interpretation of capital risk.

Common Enterprise is established through pooled staking. The financial success of all stETH holders is inextricably linked to the performance of the node operators and the protocol's governance, creating horizontal commonality.

Expectation of Profit is explicit and algorithmic. Users delegate to earn staking rewards and protocol incentives, a return derived solely from the managerial efforts of the node operator set.

Efforts of Others is the core failure. The staking, slashing, and governance operations are performed entirely by the protocol (e.g., Lido DAO, Rocket Pool node operators), not the token holder. This is the definitive managerial effort.

market-context
THE REGULATORY FRONTLINE

The Stakes Are Too High to Ignore

Liquid staking derivatives (LSDs) are the most likely crypto assets to be classified as securities, setting a precedent for the entire DeFi stack.

LSDs are securities by design. They represent a financial instrument derived from a promise of future returns (staking rewards), managed by a centralized entity like Lido DAO or Rocket Pool. This fits the Howey Test's 'investment of money in a common enterprise with an expectation of profits from the efforts of others'.

The SEC's target is obvious. Regulators prioritize high-impact, clear-cut cases. With $40B+ in TVL concentrated in a few protocols, LSDs like stETH present a massive, centralized point of failure. This is a simpler case than prosecuting a decentralized AMM like Uniswap.

A ruling against LSDs cripples DeFi. It establishes that any tokenized yield-bearing asset is a security. This precedent immediately threatens restaking protocols like EigenLayer, yield-bearing stablecoins, and the composability that makes Aave and Compound work. The entire money lego system collapses.

Evidence: The SEC's 2023 actions. The agency's lawsuits against Coinbase and Kraken explicitly named staking-as-a-service programs as unregistered securities offerings. This is a direct legal roadmap to targeting Lido's stETH and similar derivatives next.

SECURITY CLASSIFICATION RISK MATRIX

The Target List: Major LSDs by the Numbers

Comparative analysis of leading Liquid Staking Derivatives against the Howey Test and SEC enforcement criteria, highlighting key vulnerabilities.

Risk Factor / MetricLido (stETH)Rocket Pool (rETH)Coinbase (cbETH)Frax Finance (sfrxETH)

Centralized Entity Control

Profit-Sharing Mechanism

10% of staking rewards to DAO

RPL staking rewards

25% commission fee

Fraxtal revenue sharing

Marketing as an Investment

Promoted for yield & DeFi composability

Community-focused, node operator tool

Direct yield advertisement

Yield & stablecoin peg focus

SEC Wells Notice / Action

No formal notice

No formal notice

No formal notice

No formal notice

On-Chain Governance Token

LDO

RPL

N/A (Corporate)

FXS & veFXS

Implied Annual Yield (30d avg)

3.2%

3.1%

2.9% (post-fee)

3.3%

Total Value Locked (USD)

$33.8B

$3.9B

$2.1B

$1.1B

deep-dive
THE PRECEDENT

Anatomy of a Security: The stETH Blueprint

Lido's stETH is the primary target for securities regulation, establishing a legal blueprint for all other LSDs.

stETH is the SEC's primary target because it is the largest, most liquid, and most integrated LSD. Its design, where Lido DAO coordinates a pool of node operators and distributes rewards, fits the Howey Test's 'common enterprise' and 'expectation of profit' prongs. The SEC's case against Coinbase for trading unregistered securities explicitly listed stETH.

The legal attack vector is the token, not the protocol. Regulators will argue the stETH token itself is the security, not the underlying Lido smart contracts. This distinction is critical for protocols like Rocket Pool (rETH) and Frax Finance (sfrxETH), which use similar pooled validator models. A ruling against stETH creates immediate precedent.

Non-custodial models are not exempt. Even protocols like StakeWise V3, which emphasizes user-controlled validator keys, distribute a liquid staking token representing a yield-bearing claim. The SEC's 2023 Wells Notice to Coinbase included staking-as-a-service, directly challenging this model's regulatory status.

Evidence: The SEC's 2023 lawsuit against Coinbase explicitly named nine crypto assets as securities, with stETH as the sole LSD. This establishes a direct enforcement precedent targeting the token's secondary market liquidity, which is the core value proposition for all LSDs.

case-study
REGULATORY FRONTLINE

The Precedent Playbook

Liquid Staking Derivatives (LSDs) are the most obvious target for securities classification, setting a precedent for the entire DeFi stack.

01

The Howey Test's Perfect Target

LSDs like Lido's stETH and Rocket Pool's rETH are vulnerable under the Howey Test's four prongs: an investment of money, in a common enterprise, with an expectation of profit, derived from the efforts of others. The staking rewards are the clear profit expectation, and the protocol's managerial efforts (node operation, slashing protection) are undeniable.

  • Common Enterprise: Stakers pool ETH into a shared validator set.
  • Managerial Efforts: DAOs like LidoDAO actively govern node operators and protocol upgrades.
$30B+
LSD TVL at Risk
4/4
Howey Prongs
02

The SEC's Enforcement Playbook

The SEC will follow its established pattern: target the largest, most centralized entity first to establish legal precedent with maximum impact. This mirrors the approach taken with Coinbase's staking service and Ripple's XRP.

  • Low-Hanging Fruit: Lido's dominant >70% market share makes it a clear target.
  • Precedent Setting: A ruling against a top LSD creates a template for action against fDVs, RWAs, and yield-bearing tokens across DeFi.
>70%
Lido Market Share
First
Wave Target
03

The Non-Custodial Defense is Weak

Protocols will argue stakers retain control of their assets, but regulators will focus on the economic reality: users surrender control of validation and slashing risk to a third-party protocol. The legal distinction between technical custody and economic dependency is thin.

  • Key Attack Vector: The DAO's control over node operator selection and fee parameters.
  • Regulatory View: If it looks, swims, and quacks like a security (pays yield), it's a security.
High
Legal Risk
DAO-Led
Centralization
04

The Ripple Effect on DeFi

An LSD securities ruling would force massive restructuring. Centralized exchanges would delist tokens, DeFi composability would fracture, and protocols would flee to more favorable jurisdictions, creating regulatory arbitrage hubs.

  • Composability Collapse: LSDs as money legos in Aave, Compound, and MakerDAO become untenable.
  • Innovation Chill: Development shifts to non-yield-bearing primitives or fully decentralized, non-custodial models like EigenLayer's restaking (which faces similar risks).
Billions
TVL Dislocation
Global
Fragmentation
counter-argument
THE REGULATORY TRAP

Steelman: "But It's Just a Receipt Token!"

Liquid staking derivatives (LSDs) are the most vulnerable crypto assets to securities classification due to their explicit profit-seeking structure and centralized points of failure.

The Howey Test is a trap for LSDs like Lido's stETH and Rocket Pool's rETH. The expectation of profit from the managerial efforts of a core team or DAO is explicit, not implied.

Receipt token is a misnomer. Unlike a warehouse receipt for a static commodity, an LSD's value accrual is an active financial product. Regulators see a yield-bearing instrument, not a simple IOU.

Centralized points of failure like Lido's node operator set or Coinbase's cbETH custodianship create a clear 'common enterprise'. This contrasts with decentralized, non-custodial assets like Bitcoin.

Evidence: The SEC's 2023 lawsuit against Kraken targeted its staking-as-a-service program, establishing a precedent that staking rewards constitute an investment contract. LSD protocols are next.

future-outlook
THE DOMINO

The Regulatory Domino Effect

Liquid Staking Derivatives (LSDs) are the most likely initial target for securities classification, setting a precedent for the entire DeFi stack.

LSDs are low-hanging fruit for regulators like the SEC. Their structure—a tokenized claim on future staking rewards from a centralized entity like Lido or Rocket Pool—directly mirrors a traditional investment contract under the Howey Test.

The precedent is catastrophic. A ruling against Lido's stETH or Coinbase's cbETH creates a legal blueprint. It implicates the entire restaking ecosystem, including EigenLayer and its AVSs, which depend on staked ETH as collateral.

Protocols will face binary choices. They must either register as securities (impossible for decentralized entities) or fundamentally restructure. This forces a technical pivot toward non-custodial, validator-native staking models to avoid the security label.

Evidence: The SEC's 2023 lawsuit against Kraken explicitly targeted its staking-as-a-service program, establishing the agency's clear intent to treat yield-bearing staking products as securities offerings.

takeaways
REGULATORY FRONTLINE

Actionable Takeaways for Builders & Investors

Liquid Staking Derivatives (LSDs) are the most obvious target for securities classification, creating a new risk vector for DeFi composability.

01

The Howey Test is Coming for Your TVL

Regulators will argue staking rewards constitute an "expectation of profit from the efforts of others." This directly implicates protocols like Lido, Rocket Pool, and Frax Ether.\n- Key Risk: A ruling could freeze $30B+ in LSD TVL and associated DeFi pools.\n- Action: Model revenue streams as service fees, not passive yield. Decentralize oracle and operator sets aggressively.

$30B+
TVL at Risk
>60%
ETH Staked via LSDs
02

DeFi's LSD Dependency is a Systemic Vulnerability

LSDs like stETH are foundational collateral across Aave, MakerDAO, and Compound. A security designation would force massive deleveraging.\n- Key Risk: Cascading liquidations and protocol insolvency if LSD collateral is deemed invalid.\n- Action: For builders, stress-test protocols with a 0% weighting for top LSDs. For investors, audit collateral diversification.

~$10B
DeFi LSD Collateral
High
Contagion Risk
03

Non-Custodial, Validator-Native Models as a Shield

Protocols that abstract staking without issuing a tradable derivative may skirt securities law. Focus on direct delegation or restaking primitives like EigenLayer.\n- Key Benefit: User retains direct claim to validator rewards, weakening "common enterprise" argument.\n- Action: Build using EigenLayer's restaked LSTs or native staking interfaces. Avoid minting a universal receipt token.

0
New Token Issued
Direct
Validator Claim
04

The Sovereign Staking Stack Opportunity

Regulatory balkanization will push demand for jurisdiction-specific, compliant staking infra. This is a greenfield for infrastructure builders.\n- Key Benefit: Capture regional markets (EU, UAE, HK) with licensed, white-label validator services.\n- Action: Partner with regulated custodians (e.g., Anchorage, Coinbase Custody) to offer insured, compliant staking products.

New Market
Compliant Staking
Institutional
Client Base
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