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layer-2-wars-arbitrum-optimism-base-and-beyond
Blog

Why Shared Security Models Erode L2 Profit Margins

An analysis of how the shift from proprietary to shared validator sets, driven by EigenLayer and restaking, introduces new cost layers that compress the core profitability of leading Layer 2s like Arbitrum, Optimism, and Base.

introduction
THE PROFITABILITY TRAP

Introduction

Shared security models, while enhancing safety, systematically compress the core revenue streams of Layer 2 networks.

Shared security commoditizes sequencing. L2s like Arbitrum and Optimism generate revenue from transaction ordering and state diffs. When they outsource sequencing to a shared network like Espresso or a decentralized sequencer set, they cede this high-margin activity and its associated MEV.

Data availability is the new battleground. Using EigenDA or Celestia instead of Ethereum calldata slashes costs but eliminates Ethereum's security premium. This creates a race to the bottom where the cheapest, not the most secure, DA layer wins, eroding a key differentiator.

Settlement becomes a cost center. Finalizing proofs on Ethereum via shared provers like Risc Zero or Brevis is efficient but turns settlement into a pure expense. The L2 becomes a thin client, capturing minimal value from the user transaction.

Evidence: Arbitrum's sequencer contributes over 80% of its revenue. A shared sequencer model would transfer this directly to the shared network's token holders, not the L2's.

SHARED SECURITY MODELS

L2 Profitability Leakage: A Comparative View

How different L2 security models impact protocol-level profit margins through direct costs and opportunity costs.

Profitability FactorOptimistic Rollup (e.g., Arbitrum, OP Stack)ZK Rollup (e.g., zkSync, Starknet)Validium / Sovereign Rollup (e.g., StarkEx, Celestia)

Sequencer Revenue Capture

100% of L2 gas fees

100% of L2 gas fees

100% of L2 gas fees

Data Availability Cost

$0.24 per tx (Ethereum calldata)

$0.24 per tx (Ethereum calldata)

$0.01 per tx (External DA)

Proof/Verification Cost

~$0 (No ZK proof)

$0.05-$0.15 per batch (Ethereum L1 gas)

~$0 (No L1 settlement)

Settlement Security Rent

~$0.01 per tx (L1 batch posting)

~$0.01 per tx (L1 proof + state root)

$0 (No L1 security)

Protocol MEV Capture

High (Centralized sequencer)

Medium (Prover-centralized)

Very High (Sovereign sequencer)

Exit/Withdrawal Latency

7 days (Challenge period)

~1 hour (Proof finality)

Instant (Sovereign chain)

Capital Efficiency Cost

High (7-day liquidity lock)

Medium (1-hour liquidity lock)

Low (Instant liquidity)

Total Cost per Tx (Est.)

$0.26

$0.30 - $0.40

$0.01

deep-dive
THE MARGIN COMPRESSION

The Slippery Slope: From Premium Product to Commodity Pipe

Shared security models commoditize L2 execution, collapsing their primary revenue streams into a race to the bottom.

Shared security commoditizes execution. An L2's core value proposition shifts from providing security to selling cheap compute. This transforms a premium, vertically-integrated stack into a commodity execution layer where the underlying data availability and consensus are outsourced.

Revenue shifts from sequencer fees to MEV. With blob-based data pricing (EIP-4844) standardizing costs, the primary profit center becomes sequencer ordering. This creates a direct conflict where user savings on gas are extracted via maximal extractable value, as seen in early Arbitrum and Optimism deployments.

Profit margins converge on zero. When multiple L2s share the same security and data layer (e.g., EigenDA, Celestia), competition is purely on execution price. This triggers a race to the bottom similar to cloud computing or CDN markets, where providers undercut each other until margins are negligible.

Evidence: The OP Stack blueprint. Optimism's Superchain vision explicitly frames L2s as interchangeable 'OP Chains' with shared security. This model proves that modularity destroys moats, forcing chains to compete on application-level innovation, not infrastructure premiums.

counter-argument
THE STRATEGIC PIVOT

The Bull Case: Why L2s Embrace This Anyway

L2s are trading short-term sequencer revenue for long-term ecosystem dominance by adopting shared sequencing.

Sequencer revenue is a distraction. The real value accrual for an L2 is in its application layer and native token utility, not in capturing MEV from a captive user base. Shared sequencing eliminates this conflict of interest, aligning the L2's incentives with developer and user experience.

Composability is the new moat. A standalone sequencer creates a liquidity and execution silo. Shared sequencers like Espresso Systems or Astria enable atomic cross-rollup composability, making the L2 a more attractive, interoperable piece of a larger EigenLayer-secured ecosystem rather than an isolated chain.

Security is a commodity. Building and maintaining a decentralized validator set is a capital-intensive distraction. Outsourcing sequencing to a specialized, cryptoeconomically secured layer is a logical vertical disintegration, allowing L2 teams to focus on core protocol development and growth.

Evidence: The migration is already underway. Arbitrum is exploring a decentralized sequencer, StarkWare has outlined a shared sequencer roadmap, and Optimism's Superchain vision is predicated on a shared sequencing layer. The market is voting for specialization.

takeaways
WHY L2 PROFITS ARE VANISHING

TL;DR: The Margin Compression Thesis

Shared security models commoditize the core value proposition of L2s, turning them into low-margin, interchangeable infrastructure.

01

The Problem: Data Availability as a Commodity

With Ethereum, Celestia, and EigenDA competing, the cost of posting transaction data plummets. This removes a primary cost center and revenue stream for L2s, forcing competition on price alone.

  • ~$0.001 per byte on alternative DAs vs. Ethereum calldata.
  • Zero economic security premium for using cheaper DA layers.
  • Race to the bottom on sequencer fees, eroding margins.
-90%+
DA Cost
$0
Security Premium
02

The Solution: The Superchain Monopoly Play

Optimism's OP Stack and Arbitrum Orbit create walled gardens. Profit shifts from transaction fees to the protocol's native token, captured via franchise fees and shared sequencer revenue.

  • Franchise fee for launching a chain on the shared stack.
  • Centralized sequencer captures MEV and fee revenue.
  • Vendor lock-in through proprietary interoperability.
100+
Chains Planned
Protocol Capture
Profit Shift
03

The Problem: Interchangeable Execution

With EVM equivalence and standardized rollup frameworks, there is no technical moat. Any team can spin up a near-identical L2 in days using Arbitrum Nitro or the OP Stack.

  • Zero differentiation in core VM performance.
  • Developer and user migration costs approach zero.
  • L2s become generic cloud providers, competing only on price and minor UX tweaks.
< 1 Week
Chain Launch
$0
Migration Cost
04

The Solution: Intent-Based Abstraction

Protocols like UniswapX, CowSwap, and Across abstract the chain. The user expresses a desired outcome (an intent), and a solver network finds the optimal path across any L2 or L1. The L2 becomes an invisible, replaceable backend.

  • User pays for outcome, not execution.
  • Solvers compete across liquidity pools on all chains.
  • L2s are reduced to liquidity venues, not destinations.
Solver Network
New Middleman
Chain-Agnostic
User Experience
05

The Problem: Shared Sequencer as a Tax

Networks like Espresso, Astria, and Shared Sequencer Alliance offer decentralized sequencing. This creates a new mandatory middleman that extracts value from every L2 in its network, compressing their take-rate.

  • Sequencer fees are siphoned to the shared network.
  • MEV revenue is captured and redistributed externally.
  • L2s lose control over their most valuable economic lever.
New Middleman
Fee Extraction
MEV Redistribution
Revenue Loss
06

The Solution: App-Chain Hyper-Specialization

The only durable margin is application-specific optimization. dYdX, Lyra, and Aevo abandon general-purpose L2s for custom chains that maximize performance for a single use case, creating a vertical moat.

  • Tailored VM for specific transaction types (e.g., order books).
  • Captive user base with superior UX.
  • Revenue is tied to app success, not infra commoditization.
Vertical Moat
Defensibility
App Revenue
Profit Driver
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