ERC-4337 is not a network effect. The standard enables smart accounts and paymasters, creating a superior user experience. However, it does not solve the core problem of state and liquidity fragmentation across rollups. A user's smart account on Arbitrum is isolated from their assets on Optimism or Base.
Why ERC-4337 Alone Is Not Enough for L2 Dominance
ERC-4337 provides a standard, but true L2 dominance requires native protocol integrations and custom opcodes. This analysis dissects why Arbitrum, Optimism, and Base must move beyond the Ethereum baseline to win the UX and performance war.
Introduction
ERC-4337 solves user onboarding but fails to address the fundamental fragmentation that prevents L2s from scaling as a unified network.
Dominance requires composability, not just accounts. The winning L2 ecosystem will be the one that functions as a single, coherent state machine. ERC-4337's account abstraction is a user-facing layer built atop a still-siloed execution layer. True scaling demands seamless interaction, akin to how UniswapX and Across Protocol abstract cross-chain intents.
The evidence is in the data. Despite ERC-4337 deployment, over 90% of DeFi TVL remains siloed within individual chains. Bridging and messaging protocols like LayerZero and Wormhole see more volume than native cross-rollup transactions, proving the standard alone does not unify liquidity.
The Core Argument: Standardization Breeds Commoditization
ERC-4337's success as a standard will commoditize the user experience, forcing L2s to compete on other axes.
ERC-4337 is infrastructure, not a product. It standardizes account abstraction's core components, making smart accounts and paymasters interoperable. This eliminates a key differentiating feature for L2s, turning a complex technical advantage into a baseline expectation.
Commoditization shifts competition elsewhere. With a uniform UX layer, the battle moves to execution price, speed, and liquidity. L2s must win on raw performance and ecosystem depth, areas where Arbitrum and Optimism already have entrenched leads.
The standard enables vertical integration. Projects like Starknet and zkSync are building native AA stacks, but post-4337, any chain can offer the same features. This forces them to justify their high-performance VMs with tangible developer adoption, not just UX promises.
Evidence: The DeFi composability precedent. Standardized token interfaces (ERC-20) made liquidity portable. The same will happen with user sessions, making chain-specific AA wallets obsolete and increasing user mobility between networks like Base and Polygon zkEVM.
The Current L2 Battleground: A UX Stalemate
ERC-4337 solves wallet creation but fails to address the fundamental UX fragmentation that prevents L2s from capturing users.
ERC-4337 is a partial solution. It standardizes smart account logic for gas sponsorship and batched transactions, but it does not solve the cross-chain user experience. A user's smart account on Arbitrum is a different, isolated contract on Optimism or Base.
The real battle is for identity. Dominant L2s will be those that own a portable user identity that works across all chains. This is why projects like ZeroDev (Kernel) and Biconomy are building cross-chain smart account frameworks that layer atop 4337.
Fragmentation kills adoption. A user who mints an NFT on Polygon must still manage a separate native token balance on Arbitrum for gas. ERC-4337's smart accounts do not unify liquidity or state; they only abstract the transaction execution layer on a single chain.
Evidence: The success of LayerZero and Circle's CCTP proves demand is for seamless asset movement. The winning L2 stack will integrate a native cross-chain intent layer, not just better single-chain accounts.
Three Trends Defining the Next Phase
ERC-4337 solves UX, but L2 dominance requires solving for economic security, liquidity fragmentation, and state management.
The Shared Sequencer Problem
ERC-4337's UserOperations are processed by a single L2 sequencer, creating a centralization bottleneck and MEV risk. The solution is a competitive market for execution, decoupled from settlement.
- Key Benefit: Enables cross-rollup atomic bundles via protocols like Astria or Espresso.
- Key Benefit: Mitigates sequencer censorship and extracts MEV for user/network benefit.
Intent-Based Liquidity Unification
Native L2 bridging is slow and capital-inefficient, trapping liquidity in silos. Solving this requires moving from explicit transactions to declarative intents.
- Key Benefit: UniswapX and CowSwap-style solvers compete to fill cross-chain orders optimally.
- Key Benefit: Aggregators like Across and Socket abstract away chain boundaries, creating a unified liquidity layer.
Verifiable State Proofs for Interop
ERC-4337 smart accounts are chain-specific. True portability requires a portable state layer that proofs can attest to, moving beyond message-passing bridges.
- Key Benefit: ZK proofs (e.g., zkSync's LLVM, Polygon zkEVM) enable trust-minimized state verification.
- Key Benefit: Frameworks like Hyperlane and LayerZero's DVNs shift security from optimistic to cryptographic assumptions.
ERC-4337 vs. Native L2 AA: A Feature Matrix
Compares the dominant standard for Ethereum L1 AA with the integrated, chain-level implementations on L2s like zkSync, Starknet, and Arbitrum.
| Feature / Metric | ERC-4337 (Standard) | Native L2 AA (e.g., zkSync, Starknet) | Hybrid Approach (e.g., Arbitrum BOLD) |
|---|---|---|---|
Architectural Layer | Smart Contract (UserOperation mempool) | Protocol Native (Tx type in consensus) | Protocol Native with EIP-4337 compatibility |
Gas Sponsorship (Paymaster) Flexibility | |||
Single Transaction Atomic Batch (e.g., approve+swap) | Via Bundler, ~250k gas overhead | Native, ~0 gas overhead | Native, ~0 gas overhead |
Account Upgrade Without Migration | Social Recovery / Key Rotation | Social Recovery / Key Rotation | |
Typical UserOp Execution Cost (vs. EOA) | 200k-400k gas | 5k-20k gas | 20k-50k gas |
Maximum Transactions Per Second (Theoretical) | Bottlenecked by L1 block gas | Bottlenecked by L2 prover/sequencer | Bottlenecked by L2 prover/sequencer |
Requires Separate Bundler Infrastructure | |||
Native Session Keys for Gaming/DeFi |
The Technical Moats: Native Integrations & Custom Opcodes
ERC-4337 provides a standard, but L2 dominance requires deeper, more performant system-level integration.
Native Integration is the Bottleneck. ERC-4337's modular design creates overhead. L2s like Arbitrum and Optimism bypass this by baking account abstraction logic directly into the sequencer, reducing gas costs and latency for core operations like signature verification.
Custom Opcodes Define Performance. Standard EVM opcodes are generic. Chains like zkSync Era and Starknet introduce custom opcodes (e.g., for signature schemes) that make sponsored transactions and batch paymasters orders of magnitude cheaper than a vanilla 4337 implementation.
The Bundler Market is Fragmented. A pure 4337 approach relies on a competitive public bundler network (e.g., Stackup, Biconomy). Native L2 integrations let the sequencer act as the canonical, trust-minimized bundler, capturing MEV and ensuring transaction reliability.
Evidence: Gas Cost Differential. A simple user operation on a vanilla 4337 rollup costs ~40k gas extra. The same operation on Arbitrum's native AA costs under 10k gas. This gap determines which chains attract high-frequency dapps.
Early Movers and Strategic Bets
ERC-4337 provides a common interface, but winning the L2 user war requires building superior infrastructure around it.
The Bundler Commoditization Trap
ERC-4337's reference bundler is a baseline, not a product. Winning requires superior bundler infrastructure with MEV capture, latency optimization, and censorship resistance.\n- Key Benefit: ~500ms faster user operations via local mempools.\n- Key Benefit: 10-30% higher bundler profitability via MEV-aware ordering.
The Paymaster as a Growth Engine
A native paymaster is the ultimate user acquisition tool, enabling sponsored transactions, gas abstraction, and novel monetization. Relying on third-party paymasters cedes control.\n- Key Benefit: Zero-gas onboarding for new users via session keys or credit systems.\n- Key Benefit: Direct revenue stream from application subsidies and premium features.
Vertical Integration with Intent Architecture
Standalone ERC-4337 is declarative; the future is intent-based. L2s must integrate with solvers (like UniswapX, CowSwap) and cross-chain messaging (LayerZero, Axelar) to fulfill complex user commands.\n- Key Benefit: Superior UX where users specify what, not how.\n- Key Benefit: Cross-chain dominance by becoming the default settlement layer for intent flows.
The Smart Account Data Moat
ERC-4337 accounts generate rich, chain-native user graphs. L2s that build first-party analytics and reputation systems gain an unassailable advantage in risk modeling and targeted services.\n- Key Benefit: Lower fraud losses via on-chain social recovery and transaction pattern analysis.\n- Key Benefit: Hyper-targeted dApp integrations based on actual user behavior, not speculation.
The Standardization Defense (And Why It's Wrong)
ERC-4337 standardizes account abstraction interfaces, but does not solve the core infrastructural moats required for L2 dominance.
ERC-4337 is plumbing, not a product. The standard defines a common interface for UserOperations, Bundlers, and Paymasters. This creates a shared language for wallets like Safe and Argent, but does not dictate performance, cost, or reliability. An L2 cannot compete on a spec alone.
The real moat is execution infrastructure. Dominance requires superior bundler and paymaster networks. Chains must optimize their sequencers for 4337 opcode pricing and sponsor gas via sophisticated paymaster subsidy programs to onboard users.
Standardization commoditizes the front-end. It allows wallets to be chain-agnostic, increasing user mobility. A chain relying solely on 4337 compliance cedes control to aggregated bundlers like Stackup or Alchemy, which can route transactions anywhere.
Evidence: After 4337 deployment, chains like Polygon and Arbitrum still compete on subsidized transaction fees via custom paymaster deals and faster bundler inclusion times, not compliance.
The 2024 Outlook: The Great AA Divergence
ERC-4337 defines a baseline, but L2 dominance will be won by superior implementations that solve for cost, UX, and developer lock-in.
ERC-4337 is infrastructure, not a feature. The standard provides a common interface for account abstraction, but its vanilla implementation on an L2 offers no competitive edge. Every chain can implement it, making it table stakes. Dominance requires building superior systems on top of this foundation.
The battle is in the bundler and paymaster layers. L2s like Arbitrum and Optimism compete on who provides the cheapest, most reliable bundler network and subsidized gas via paymasters. A chain with a 10% cheaper average user operation cost via its native bundler will attract more wallets.
Native AA drives protocol integration and lock-in. Chains that bake AA primitives into their core—like zkSync's native account abstraction—enable deeper, chain-specific dApp integrations. This creates a developer moat that portable ERC-4337 wallets cannot easily replicate.
Evidence: Starknet's 1.2M accounts. Over 80% of active accounts on Starknet are abstracted AA wallets, a direct result of its early, chain-specific implementation. This user base did not wait for ERC-4337 and is now a captive ecosystem.
TL;DR for Builders and Investors
ERC-4337 provides a standard, but L2 dominance requires solving the next layer of user and developer experience problems.
The Bundler Bottleneck
ERC-4337's decentralized execution layer is a single point of failure. Without a competitive, high-performance bundler network, UX suffers.
- Current Risk: Dominated by a few centralized bundlers like Stackup and Alchemy, creating MEV and censorship risks.
- Solution Path: Requires Pimlico, Candide, or Etherspot to scale into robust, decentralized networks with sub-second latency.
Paymaster Liquidity Fragmentation
ERC-4337 allows gas sponsorship, but liquidity is siloed. Users can't pay on Arbitrum with their Optimism tokens.
- The Problem: Each L2 requires its own paymaster deposits, locking capital and hurting composability.
- The Solution: Cross-chain intent-based systems like UniswapX and Across must integrate with paymasters, or new primitives like LayerZero's OFT are needed for omnichain gas tokens.
Wallet Onboarding is Still Hard
Account abstraction simplifies recovery, but discovery and first-time funding remain massive hurdles.
- Key Friction: A new user must still acquire ETH on an L1 to deploy their first smart account on an L2.
- Winning Play: The L2 that integrates Privy, Dynamic, or Magic for embedded, non-custodial onboarding with fiat ramps will capture the next 100M users.
The Interoperability Trap
Smart accounts are native to one chain. ERC-4337 does not solve cross-chain identity or state synchronization.
- The Reality: Your Arbitrum AA wallet is a different contract on Optimism. This breaks the 'one identity' promise.
- The Frontier: Solutions require EIP-7377 (migration) or ambitious protocols like ZeroDev's kernel factory patterns, but these are not yet standardized.
Security Model is Untested at Scale
ERC-4337 introduces new attack vectors: signature aggregators, paymaster logic, and bundler incentives.
- Uncharted Risk: A malicious paymaster can drain all sponsored transactions. A buggy signature aggregator can lock funds.
- Due Diligence: Investors must audit the full stack—not just the wallet, but its Safe{Core} modules, Biconomy infrastructure, and bundler set.
The Killer App is Missing
Infrastructure without a flagship application is a solution in search of a problem. No L2 has an AA-native 'killer dApp'.
- Current State: AA is used for marginal improvements (gas sponsorship, batch transactions).
- The Opportunity: The winning L2 will foster dApps that are impossible without AA, like mass-adoption gaming with session keys or deFi with atomic multi-chain actions.
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