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Blog

The Future of Subnet and Appchain Alliances

A technical analysis of how alliances between dedicated execution environments, like Avalanche Subnets and Polygon CDK chains, will compete with monolithic L2s by offering superior sovereignty, customizability, and vertical integration.

introduction
THE ALLIANCE SHIFT

Introduction

The future of modular scaling is not about isolated subnets or appchains, but about the formation of sovereign execution zones into purpose-built alliances.

Sovereign execution zones are the new atomic unit. The debate between monolithic L1s and modular rollups is obsolete; the frontier is specialized execution environments like Avalanche Subnets, Polygon CDK chains, and Arbitrum Orbit. These zones trade shared security for unconstrained technical sovereignty, enabling custom VMs, fee tokens, and governance.

Isolated sovereignty creates a liquidity desert. A standalone appchain with a bespoke bridge and wallet is a product failure. The winning model is the interoperable alliance, where zones like a zkEVM gaming chain and a Cosmos SDK DeFi hub share a canonical bridge, messaging layer (LayerZero, Wormhole), and liquidity pool (Uniswap v4).

The precedent is Cosmos, not Ethereum. The IBC-enabled appchain alliance demonstrates that sovereignty and interoperability are not mutually exclusive. The next evolution integrates this model with superior execution tech from the EVM and SVM ecosystems, creating alliances that are more cohesive than a fragmented multichain but more flexible than a monolithic L1.

Evidence: The Avalanche Subnet ecosystem now processes more daily transactions than the Avalanche C-Chain, proving demand for specialized execution. Conversely, dYdX’s migration from an L2 to a Cosmos appchain underscores the non-negotiable demand for full-stack control by leading applications.

thesis-statement
THE ALLIANCE ARCHITECTURE

The Core Thesis

Subnet and appchain alliances will replace monolithic L1s as the dominant scaling paradigm by creating sovereign, interoperable verticals.

Sovereignty is non-negotiable. Appchains like dYdX and Aevo succeed because they control their own stack, from MEV policy to fee markets. This vertical integration is impossible on shared L2s like Arbitrum or Optimism, where protocol upgrades require ecosystem-wide consensus.

Interoperability is the new moat. Isolated sovereignty fails. Alliances form around shared security layers (like EigenLayer AVS) and intent-based bridges (like Across and LayerZero). This creates a network effect where joining a coalition like the Polygon Supernet or Avalanche Subnet ecosystem provides instant liquidity and users.

The monolithic L1 is obsolete. Ethereum scales via rollups, Solana via parallel execution, but both force horizontal competition. The alliance model enables vertical monopolies—a gaming subnet with a dedicated marketplace and NFT standard will outcompete a generic smart contract chain for that vertical.

Evidence: The migration of dYdX from StarkEx to its own Cosmos appchain, processing over $1B in daily volume, proves the economic model. The Avalanche Subnet ecosystem now secures over $500M in TVE across chains like Dexalot and DFK, demonstrating the alliance flywheel.

market-context
THE ALLIANCE WAR

The Current Battlefield

The future of application-specific blockchains is being decided by competing alliance models, not individual technology stacks.

The battle is for developers. The winning subnet or appchain ecosystem will be the one that offers the most compelling developer acquisition funnel. This is a war of business development, not just superior tech.

Two alliance models are competing. The 'Integrated Stack' model, like Avalanche Subnets or Polygon Supernets, provides a cohesive but opinionated environment. The 'Modular Alliance' model, like the OP Stack or Arbitrum Orbit, offers composable components with more sovereignty.

Sovereignty is the primary trade-off. An Avalanche Subnet sacrifices some chain-level control for deep integration with the Avalanche Warp Messaging bridge and shared security. An Arbitrum Orbit chain retains full sovereignty but must manually assemble its own cross-chain stack with services like Celestia for DA and Hyperlane for messaging.

Evidence: The metrics prove this. The OP Stack has over 30 chains live or in development, while Avalanche has over 100 Subnets. The race is for footprint, not features.

SUBNET & APPCHAIN INFRASTRUCTURE

Alliance vs. Monolithic: Architectural Trade-Offs

A first-principles comparison of sovereign execution environments, contrasting the emerging alliance model with traditional monolithic and isolated appchain approaches.

Architectural MetricMonolithic L1 (e.g., Solana)Isolated Appchain (e.g., dYdX Chain)Appchain Alliance (e.g., Polygon CDK, OP Stack)

Sovereignty Level

None (Governed by L1)

Full (Independent Validator Set)

Shared (Alliance-Shared Security)

Time to Finality

< 1 sec

2-6 sec

1-3 sec

Developer Overhead

Low (Smart Contract)

High (Full Node Ops)

Medium (Rollup Sequencing)

Cross-Chain Composability

Native (Single Shard)

Bridge-Dependent (e.g., LayerZero, Axelar)

Native via Shared Bridge (e.g., Polygon AggLayer, Superchain)

Security Cost (Annualized)

Priced in L1 Gas

$1M-$5M (20+ Validators)

< $500k (Security-as-a-Service)

EVM Compatibility

Configurable

Upgrade Governance

L1 Community

Appchain DAO

Alliance + Appchain DAO

Proven Production Scale

50k TPS

< 1k TPS (Early)

2k-5k TPS (Projected)

deep-dive
THE NETWORK EFFECT

The Alliance Advantage: Sovereignty as a Service

Appchain alliances transform isolated sovereignty into a shared security and liquidity moat.

Sovereignty creates fragmentation. An independent appchain controls its execution, but inherits zero security or users. This is the cold start problem for chains like a Cosmos zone or Avalanche subnet.

Alliances solve for liquidity. Projects like the Avalanche Multiverse and Polygon Supernets form coalitions. They share a unified liquidity layer, making assets from one chain instantly usable across the alliance via native bridges like Axelar.

Security becomes a collective good. Instead of each chain bootstrapping its own validator set, alliances pool security. This creates a shared economic security budget, deterring attacks on individual members and increasing capital efficiency.

Evidence: The Cosmos Interchain Security model allows chains like Neutron to lease security from the Cosmos Hub. This reduces their sovereignty tax from securing a new token to paying for a proven validator set.

protocol-spotlight
THE FUTURE OF SUBNET & APPCHAIN ALLIANCES

Ecosystem Spotlights: The Alliance Architects

Modular sovereignty is creating a fragmented landscape; these protocols are building the connective tissue.

01

Polygon AggLayer: The Shared Security & Liquidity Hub

The Problem: Sovereign chains fragment liquidity and security, creating isolated islands of value.\nThe Solution: A unified ZK layer that connects L2s and appchains, enabling atomic composability and shared security proofs.\n- Unified Liquidity Pool: Enables atomic cross-chain transactions without traditional bridges.\n- ZK-Proof Finality: Chains settle to Ethereum with ~1-2 hour finality, inheriting L1 security.

1-2 hr
Finality
Atomic
Composability
02

Avail: The Data Availability Alliance

The Problem: Rollups are bottlenecked by expensive, congested DA layers like Ethereum calldata.\nThe Solution: A modular DA layer built for high-throughput, enabling thousands of chains to post data cheaply and securely.\n- Data Sampling: Light clients can verify ~1.6 MB/s of data with minimal resources.\n- Universal Settlement: Provides a neutral foundation for rollups, validiums, and appchains like Polygon Miden and StarkWare.

~$0.001
DA Cost/Tx
1.6 MB/s
Throughput
03

Dymension: The RollApp Factory

The Problem: Launching an appchain is still too complex, requiring deep devops and security expertise.\nThe Solution: A network of modular rollups (RollApps) deployed in minutes from a template, connected to a shared settlement layer.\n- One-Click Deployment: Launch an EVM or CosmWasm chain with ~5-minute time-to-live.\n- IBC-Native: Built-in interoperability with the Cosmos ecosystem and its $50B+ of cross-chain liquidity.

5 min
Deploy Time
IBC-Native
Interop
04

The Sovereign Interop Stack: Eclipse & Saga

The Problem: Developers must choose between a monolithic chain's ecosystem and a sovereign chain's performance.\nThe Solution: Customizable appchains that leverage the best execution environments (Solana VM, Move) and settle to any DA/settlement layer.\n- Execution Flexibility: Deploy SVM or MoveVM appchains with ~400ms block times.\n- Modular Sovereignty: Choose your own DA (Celestia, Avail) and settlement (Ethereum, Cosmos) for maximum flexibility.

400ms
Block Time
Modular
Settlement
05

AltLayer & Caldera: The Rollup-As-A-Service (RaaS) Cartel

The Problem: Managing rollup infrastructure (sequencers, provers) is a massive operational overhead for app teams.\nThe Solution: Managed service platforms that abstract away infra, offering no-code launchpads and shared sequencing networks.\n- No-Code Launch: Deploy an Optimium or ZK-rollup in hours, not months.\n- Shared Sequencer Sets: Access decentralized sequencing for ~$100/month, avoiding centralization risks.

Hours
Time-to-Market
~$100/mo
OpEx
06

The Interchain Alliance: Cosmos & Polkadot's Counter-Attack

The Problem: Ethereum's rollup-centric roadmap threatens the first-mover advantage of interchain ecosystems.\nThe Solution: Doubling down on native cross-chain communication (IBC, XCM) and shared security (Interchain Security, Polkadot 2.0).\n- Native Composability: IBC handles ~$2B in weekly transfer volume across 50+ chains.\n- Appchain Security Marketplace: Rent security from the Cosmos Hub or Polkadot Relay Chain, slashing bootstrap costs.

$2B/week
IBC Volume
50+ Chains
Connected
counter-argument
THE FRAGMENTATION FALLACY

The Liquidity Counterargument (And Why It's Wrong)

The primary critique of subnet proliferation—liquidity fragmentation—is a solved problem, not a terminal flaw.

Liquidity is now programmable. The argument that appchains drain value from L1s ignores modern cross-chain infrastructure. Protocols like LayerZero and Axelar create unified liquidity layers, making atomic composability across sovereign chains a standard feature, not a pipe dream.

Fragmentation drives specialization. Compare a monolithic L1's generalized, expensive blockspace to a dedicated subnet's optimized execution. This specialization, as seen with dYdX on Cosmos or Aevo on Solana, creates superior capital efficiency that attracts, not repels, deep liquidity.

The data refutes the thesis. TVL migration from Ethereum L1 to L2s like Arbitrum and Optimism proves liquidity follows utility. Appchain alliances will accelerate this by offering better UX and lower costs, making liquidity aggregation a technical implementation detail handled by intents and shared sequencers.

risk-analysis
STRUCTURAL VULNERABILITIES

Bear Case: Where Alliances Can Fail

Coordination between sovereign chains introduces new attack vectors and economic risks that monolithic L1s avoid.

01

The Shared Security Mirage

Delegating security to a hub like Cosmos Hub or Polygon Supernets creates a single point of failure. A successful 51% attack or governance exploit on the provider chain can cascade, invalidating the security guarantees of all connected subnets. This is the rehypothecation risk of crypto.

  • Attack Surface: Compromising one validator set can impact dozens of chains.
  • Economic Misalignment: Validators prioritize the hub's rewards, not the subnet's health.
1→N
Failure Cascade
-100%
Security If Hub Fails
02

Liquidity Fragmentation Death Spiral

Alliances often promise shared liquidity, but in practice, capital gets trapped in silos. Users won't bridge to a subnet with <$50M TVL and shallow DEX pools, leading to a negative feedback loop that kills DeFi composability.

  • Capital Inefficiency: Billions in TVL sit idle on major L1/L2s, unwilling to migrate.
  • Bridge Risk Reliance: Liquidity access depends on vulnerable cross-chain bridges like LayerZero or Wormhole, adding another failure point.
<$50M
Critical TVL Threshold
10-100x
Slippage vs. Mainnet
03

Governance Capture & Forking Risk

Alliance governance is a slow, political process. A dominant appchain (e.g., a large dYdX or Aevo) can hold the alliance hostage, dictating upgrades. If dissatisfied, they can fork the alliance stack, splitting the network effect and leaving others with deprecated tech.

  • Coordination Overhead: Months-long upgrade cycles vs. a solo chain's agility.
  • Value Extraction: Dominant chain captures >60% of alliance value, others become infrastructure tenants.
Months
Upgrade Lag
>60%
Value Capture by Top Chain
04

The Interoperability Tax

Seamless cross-subnet communication is a lie. Every IBC packet or cross-rollup message adds ~500ms-2s latency and hard-to-quantify reliability costs. For high-frequency trading or gaming subnets, this is fatal. The alliance becomes a network of slow lanes.

  • Performance Ceiling: Sub-second finality is impossible with generalized trust-minimized bridges.
  • Complexity Explosion: Developers must now debug failures across 4+ independent state machines.
500ms-2s
Message Latency
4x
Debug Complexity
05

Economic Abstraction Leak

The promise of a unified gas token (e.g., ETH on L2s) breaks down in subnet alliances. Each chain needs its own token for staking/spam prevention, forcing users to hold and manage 5-10 micro-cap tokens. This kills UX and reintroduces the volatility and liquidity problems appchains were meant to solve.

  • Token Proliferation: Users need a separant wallet for each chain's native gas.
  • Validator Economics: Subnet token must incentivize security, often leading to >10% inflation.
5-10
Gas Tokens to Hold
>10%
Typical Subnet Inflation
06

Innovation Stagnation from Standardization

Alliances enforce SDKs and standards (e.g., Cosmos SDK, OP Stack). This locks in technical debt and stifles low-level innovation. While Ethereum L2s compete on novel VMs (FuelVM, SVM), subnet alliances converge on a single, potentially outdated, tech stack.

  • Monoculture Risk: A bug in the shared SDK (like the Cosmos SDK fee market bug) affects everyone.
  • Pace of Innovation: Slowed to the slowest common denominator of the alliance's upgrade process.
1
Dominant SDK
~2 Years
Major Upgrade Cycle
future-outlook
THE APPOINTMENT OF PURPOSE

2024-2025 Outlook: The Great Specialization

Appchains and subnets will consolidate into formal, purpose-built alliances, moving beyond isolated deployments to form specialized economic and technical coalitions.

Vertical sovereignty is the new moat. The era of generic appchains is over. Protocols like dYdX and Aevo demonstrate that orderbook DEXs require dedicated chains for performance. This creates a new competitive axis: the best vertical-specific stack wins.

Shared security is a commodity. The Celestia-EigenLayer dichotomy forces a choice between data availability and restaking security. Alliances will standardize on one provider, creating technical and economic lock-in that defines entire subnet ecosystems.

Interoperability shifts to intent. Native bridges like Arbitrum's Nitro and Cosmos IBC are insufficient for complex cross-chain flows. Intent-based architectures (Across, LayerZero) will become the standard, abstracting liquidity routing for users across alliance members.

Evidence: The Polygon CDK and OP Stack are becoming de facto standards, but their forkability creates fragmentation. The winning alliances will be those that hard-fork less for customization and instead build shared middleware for their vertical.

takeaways
THE FUTURE OF SUBNET & APPCHAIN ALLIANCES

Key Takeaways for Builders and Investors

The monolithic L1 era is over. The future is a constellation of specialized chains that must interoperate to survive. Here's how to navigate the alliance landscape.

01

The Sovereignty Trap

Launching an isolated appchain solves for performance but creates a liquidity and user acquisition desert. Fragmentation kills composability, the core value of DeFi.

  • Problem: Bootstrapping a new chain's TVL from zero requires unsustainable incentives.
  • Solution: Join a pre-wired alliance like Avalanche Subnets, Polygon Supernets, or Cosmos Appchains with native bridges to a $10B+ ecosystem.
  • Key Benefit: Tap into shared security models and established cross-chain liquidity pools from day one.
$0→$100M
TVL Bootstrap
-90%
Time to Liquidity
02

Interoperability is a Feature, Not an Afterthought

A chain's value is defined by its connectedness. Relying on third-party canonical bridges introduces systemic risk and UX friction.

  • Problem: Ad-hoc bridging creates ~30 min withdrawal delays and exposes users to bridge hacks ($2B+ stolen).
  • Solution: Architect with native interoperability protocols like IBC (Cosmos), LayerZero, or Hyperlane from genesis.
  • Key Benefit: Enable sub-3 sec cross-chain messaging for seamless user actions, turning your chain into a connected module, not an island.
<3 sec
Message Finality
~$0
Bridge Risk
03

The Shared Sequencer Mandate

Running your own sequencer is expensive and creates MEV leakage. The future is in shared sequencing layers that coordinate execution across allied chains.

  • Problem: Solo sequencers incur $50k+/month in infra costs and cannot offer cross-domain atomic composability.
  • Solution: Leverage shared sequencer networks like Espresso Systems, Astria, or Radius to provide credibly neutral ordering.
  • Key Benefit: Unlock cross-chain atomic arbitrage and bundled transactions, capturing MEV for the alliance, not external searchers.
-80%
OpEx
Atomic
Cross-Chain TX
04

Modular Security is Non-Negotiable

Rollups and appchains outsourced security to L1s. Subnets must choose: expensive replicated security or untested validator sets.

  • Problem: EigenLayer AVS restaking creates slashing risk contagion. DIY validator sets have ~$200M+ staking cost to be secure.
  • Solution: Opt for modular security where you rent economic security from established networks (e.g., Babylon for Bitcoin, EigenLayer for Ethereum).
  • Key Benefit: Achieve Bitcoin/Ethereum-level security for a fraction of the cost, with clear slashing conditions enforced by the provider.
$200M→$5M
Security Cost
L1 Grade
Security Guarantee
05

The Vertical Integration Play

Generic L2s are a commodity. The real alpha is in vertically integrated appchains that own the full stack for a specific vertical (e.g., gaming, RWA, DePIN).

  • Problem: DeFi on a general-purpose chain competes with 10,000 other dApps for block space and user mindshare.
  • Solution: Build an alliance of chains within a vertical (e.g., Hyperliquid for perps, ApeChain for gaming) with a custom VM and native data availability.
  • Key Benefit: Capture 100% of the vertical's value flow with optimized performance and tailored economics, creating a defensible moat.
100x
TPS for Vertical
Full Stack
Value Capture
06

The Liquidity Layer is the Kingmaker

In a multi-chain world, liquidity follows the path of least resistance. The winning alliance will be the one that solves fragmented liquidity at the protocol level.

  • Problem: Liquidity is siloed. Moving assets between alliance chains still requires wrapping and bridging, creating $10M+ in stranded capital per chain.
  • Solution: Integrate intent-based solvers and shared liquidity pools (like Across, Chainlink CCIP, Socket) as a primitive, not a plugin.
  • Key Benefit: Users experience a single liquidity layer across all alliance chains, making the alliance behave like a single, unified super-chain for capital efficiency.
1-Click
Chain Migration
+300%
Capital Efficiency
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Appchain Alliances vs Monolithic L2s: The 2024 Battle | ChainScore Blog