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account-abstraction-fixing-crypto-ux
Blog

The Future of L2s is Tied to Bundler Economics

Rollup viability depends on cheap, reliable transaction bundling. The current market is consolidating around a few dominant players like Pimlico and Alchemy, creating a single point of failure that could cripple L2 ecosystems through censorship, rent extraction, or systemic collapse.

introduction
THE ECONOMIC FOUNDATION

The Bundler Bottleneck

The long-term viability of L2s depends on solving the economic disincentives for bundlers, not just scaling throughput.

Bundlers are profit-driven arbitrageurs, not public goods. Their primary incentive is maximal extractable value (MEV), not network health. A rollup with low fees and simple transactions starves its bundlers, creating a fragile security assumption for its sequencer decentralization.

The bundler market consolidates into a few dominant players like EigenLayer and AltLayer, who can subsidize operations. This recreates the validator centralization problem L1s face, but now at the L2 sequencing layer.

Proof-of-Stake for bundlers is inevitable. Protocols like Espresso Systems are building shared sequencer networks where staking and slashing secure sequencing rights. This shifts the economic model from pure extraction to bonded security.

Evidence: On a low-fee day, an Ethereum L1 validator earns more from consensus rewards than a typical bundler makes from fees. This economic gap forces subsidization or centralization, making current bundler decentralization a marketing claim.

thesis-statement
THE ECONOMIC PRIMITIVE

Central Thesis: Bundlers Are the New RPC Providers

The infrastructure powering L2s is shifting from passive data pipes to active, profit-seeking economic agents.

Bundlers are economic engines, not just relayers. RPC providers like Alchemy and Infura are commoditized data pipes; they compete on uptime and latency. Bundlers like Biconomy and Stackup compete on MEV extraction and fee optimization, creating a dynamic fee market that directly impacts user costs and chain performance.

L2 scaling depends on bundler competition. A healthy network of competing bundlers drives down transaction costs and improves finality, just as RPC competition improved data access. A monopolistic bundler market creates centralized points of failure and censorship, undermining the L2's core value proposition.

The bundler-RPC convergence is inevitable. Future infrastructure providers will bundle these roles, offering a unified endpoint that submits, sequences, and proves transactions. This mirrors the vertical integration seen in Flashbots' SUAVE or Coinbase's Base L2, where control over the transaction supply chain is the ultimate moat.

Evidence: Arbitrum's daily transaction volume is processed by a handful of dominant bundlers. The economic incentive to capture cross-domain MEV between L1 and L2 will further consolidate this power, making bundler strategy a primary concern for any L2 architect.

THE 4337 LANDSCAPE

Bundler Market Share & Risk Metrics

A comparison of leading ERC-4337 bundler implementations, their economic models, and associated centralization risks.

Metric / FeaturePimlico (Paymaster Focus)Alchemy Bundler (Generalist)Stackup (Intent-Centric)Self-Hosted (Reference Client)

Estimated Market Share (Q1 2024)

~45%

~30%

~15%

< 5%

Avg. UserOp Fee (Base Mainnet)

$0.12 - $0.18

$0.15 - $0.25

$0.10 - $0.15

Gas Cost Only

Paymaster Integration

Intent Infrastructure (UniswapX, Across)

MEV Capture / OFA Support

Partial (via Flashbots)

No

Yes (Native)

Configurable

Time to Finality (P95)

< 12 sec

< 15 sec

< 10 sec

30 sec

SLA Uptime Guarantee

99.9%

99.95%

99.5%

N/A

Censorship Resistance

Low (Centralized RPC)

Low (Centralized RPC)

Medium (Decentralized Relayer)

High (User-Controlled)

deep-dive
THE ECONOMIC PRIMITIVE

The Mechanics of Bundler Capture

Bundlers are the new validators, and their economic incentives will dictate L2 security, user experience, and centralization.

Bundlers are the new validators. In a rollup-centric future, the sequencer-bundler role replaces the miner/validator as the primary block producer. This entity orders transactions, batches them, and posts data to L1. Control over this role equates to MEV extraction and censorship power, making it the ultimate capture point for any L2.

Profit motives dictate centralization. The bundler's profit function is simple: maximize fee revenue minus L1 data posting costs. This creates a race to the bottom on user fees but a race to the top on capital efficiency and MEV sophistication. Only large, specialized operators like Flashbots SUAVE or EigenLayer AVSs will survive, leading to natural oligopoly.

The staking model is the control lever. An L2's security and decentralization depend entirely on its chosen staking model for bundlers. Permissionless pools like EigenLayer enable shared security but create liquidity fragmentation. Dedicated chains like Arbitrum offer sovereignty but risk validator cartels. The design choice here determines who captures the value.

Evidence: The PBS Precedent. Ethereum's proposer-builder separation (PBS) proves that specialized block builders capture over 90% of MEV. L2 bundlers will follow this trajectory, with intent-based architectures from UniswapX and CowSwap further abstracting users from the underlying auction, cementing the bundler's role as the indispensable, rent-extracting middle layer.

counter-argument
THE ECONOMIC REALITY

The Rebuttal: "But Bundling is Permissionless!"

Permissionless entry is a theoretical ideal that fails against the economic gravity of MEV and scale.

Permissionless entry is irrelevant. The technical ability to run a bundler is not the constraint. The capital requirements and MEV sophistication are the real barriers, creating a natural oligopoly.

Bundlers are not validators. Their role is purely economic ordering, not consensus. This makes the market winner-take-most, favoring entities like Flashbots and bloXroute with superior data and execution.

The economic moat widens with scale. As L2 volume grows, the stake required for profitable bundling increases. Small players get priced out, centralizing power in a few professional searchers.

Evidence: On Ethereum, despite permissionless block building, the top three builders control over 80% of blocks. This pattern will replicate in the L2 bundler market.

risk-analysis
THE ECONOMIC FOUNDATION

The Bear Case: How Bundler Centralization Breaks L2s

The long-term security and censorship-resistance of any L2 are defined by its most centralized component. Today, that's the bundler.

01

The MEV-Censorship Feedback Loop

Centralized bundlers become single points of failure for transaction ordering, enabling front-running and censorship. This creates a toxic economic loop where higher profits from MEV extraction further incentivize centralization, undermining the L2's core value proposition.

  • Key Risk: Single sequencer can blacklist addresses or censor transactions.
  • Key Metric: >90% of L2 blocks are often produced by a single entity.
  • Result: L2 security reverts to the trust model of the centralized bundler.
>90%
Blocks Centralized
0ms
Censorship Latency
02

The Protocol Revenue Black Hole

In current models like Optimism and Arbitrum, sequencer/bundler profits (MEV, priority fees) are captured by the centralized operator, not the protocol treasury. This misalignment starves the L2 of a sustainable protocol-owned revenue stream needed for long-term security and development.

  • Key Problem: Value accrues to operators, not token holders or the protocol.
  • Contrast: Ethereum burns base fee; Solana burns 50% of priority fees.
  • Result: L2 tokens become governance-only, with weak economic security.
$100M+
Annual MEV Leakage
0%
Protocol Capture
03

Shared Sequencer Set Fallacy

Proposed solutions like a shared sequencer set (e.g., Espresso, Astria) merely distribute trust among a fixed, permissioned cartel. This replaces a single point of failure with an oligopoly, failing to achieve credible neutrality or permissionless participation. The economic incentives for collusion remain high.

  • Key Limitation: Set is fixed, permissioned, and small (<100 entities).
  • Vulnerability: Cartel can still extract maximal MEV and set arbitrary fees.
  • Result: Recreates the Proof-of-Authority problem with extra steps.
<100
Oligopoly Size
High
Collusion Risk
04

The Validium & Volition Trap

L2s that use validiums or volitions (e.g., StarkEx, zkPorter) introduce a Data Availability Committee (DAC). This adds another centralized trust layer beyond the bundler. Users must trust both the sequencer and the DAC not to withhold data, creating a dual-point-of-failure that is often overlooked.

  • Key Problem: Security is only as strong as the weakest DAC member.
  • Reality: DACs are typically 5-10 known entities.
  • Result: Full Ethereum rollup security is traded for scalability, concentrating trust.
5-10
DAC Size
2x
Trust Assumptions
05

Solution: Enshrined Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS)

The only viable endgame is enshrined PBS at the L2 level, mirroring Ethereum's roadmap. This separates the role of block building (competitive, permissionless market) from block proposing (decentralized, stake-secured validators). EigenLayer restaking can bootstrap this cryptoeconomic security.

  • Key Mechanism: Permissionless builders bid for block space; validators choose the highest bid.
  • Benefit: Unlocks permissionless innovation in block building while securing ordering.
  • Result: MEV revenue is democratized and can be directed to protocol treasury.
Permissionless
Builder Set
Stake-Secured
Proposer Set
06

Solution: Force Inclusion & Permissionless Queues

A simple, immediate fix: mandate a permissionless transaction queue with force inclusion guarantees, as seen in Arbitrum's delayed inbox. This allows any user to bypass a censoring sequencer by submitting a transaction directly to L1, forcing it into the L2 chain after a delay. It's a circuit-breaker for censorship.

  • Key Feature: Trustless censorship-resistance with a known time delay (e.g., 24h).
  • Trade-off: Introduces latency for censored users.
  • Result: Creates a credible threat that disincentivizes sequencer censorship.
24h
Max Delay
Trustless
Guarantee
future-outlook
THE ECONOMIC ENGINE

The Path Forward: From Vulnerability to Strength

The long-term security and decentralization of L2s depend on sustainable bundler economics, not just technical design.

Bundlers are the new validators. The economic security of any rollup shifts from a monolithic sequencer to a competitive market of transaction packers. This market's health determines censorship resistance and liveness, making bundler profitability the primary security metric.

MEV defines the revenue model. Bundlers will not run at a loss. Their income stems from priority fees and extracted MEV, creating an incentive structure identical to Ethereum's validators. Protocols like EigenLayer and Flashbots SUAVE are building the infrastructure to optimize and democratize this extraction.

Centralization is the default equilibrium. Without deliberate design, bundler markets consolidate. High capital requirements for staking and sophisticated MEV strategies favor large, professional operators. The goal is not to prevent this, but to ensure permissionless entry exists to break cartels.

Shared sequencers are a partial solution. Networks like Espresso and Astria provide a neutral ordering layer, but they externalize the economic problem. They create a single point of failure for liveness if the underlying bundler market is unprofitable or centralized.

The endgame is a verifiable fee market. The ultimate L2 stack separates execution, ordering, and proving. Users pay for execution, provers compete on cost, and bundlers/sequencers compete on inclusion. This is the Ethereum roadmap applied recursively.

takeaways
BUNDLER ECONOMICS

TL;DR for Protocol Architects

The long-term viability of any L2 is not just about TPS, but about who profits from sequencing blocks and how.

01

The Problem: Centralized Sequencers are a $100M+ Revenue Leak

Today's dominant L2s like Arbitrum and Optimism run permissioned sequencers, capturing ~90% of MEV and fee revenue. This is a massive value drain from the ecosystem back to the foundation.\n- Creates extractive economics for dApps and users.\n- Introduces a single point of censorship/failure.\n- Undermines credible neutrality, the core crypto value proposition.

90%+
Revenue Capture
$100M+
Annual Leak
02

The Solution: Permissionless Bundler Markets (Espresso, Astria)

Decouple block building from proposing. Let a competitive market of permissionless bundlers/sequencers bid for the right to order transactions.\n- Drives fee revenue to builders & stakers, not a single entity.\n- Enables shared sequencing layers across rollups (e.g., Espresso, Astria).\n- Unlocks cross-rollup atomic composability as a native feature.

0
Permissioned Nodes
Shared
Sequencing Layer
03

The Mechanism: Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS) for Rollups

Adapt Ethereum's PBS design. The L2's Proposer (often the L1 bridge contract) selects the highest-value block from a competitive auction run by Builders (bundlers).\n- Censorship resistance via forced inclusion lists.\n- MEV is democratized and redistributed to protocol stakers.\n- Critical for enabling based sequencing and EigenLayer restaking of sequencing rights.

PBS
Core Design
EigenLayer
Restaking Use
04

The Endgame: L2 as a Commodity, Bundling as the Business

The stack modularizes. Rollup frameworks (OP Stack, Arbitrum Orbit, zkStack) become cheap commodities. The real moat and business model shifts to the bundling/sequencing layer.\n- Winners will operate at the sequencing layer (e.g., Espresso, Astria, Radius).\n- L2s compete on execution & settlement, not sequencing.\n- Ultimate alignment: Value accrues to the decentralized network of block builders, not a corporate entity.

Commodity
L2 Stack
Moat
Sequencing Layer
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