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zk-rollups-the-endgame-for-scaling
Blog

Why ZK-RaaS Will Force L1s to Innovate or Perish

ZK-Rollup as a Service is abstracting away execution complexity, turning L1s into commodity layers. This analysis argues that incumbent smart contract platforms must specialize in bulletproof settlement and data availability or become obsolete.

introduction
THE EXECUTION LAYER SHIFT

Introduction: The Great Execution Migration

Zero-Knowledge Rollup-as-a-Service (ZK-RaaS) commoditizes execution, forcing monolithic L1s to justify their existence beyond raw throughput.

ZK-RaaS commoditizes execution. Platforms like AltLayer, Gelato RaaS, and Caldera abstract away rollup deployment, reducing launch time from months to hours. This creates an infinite supply of specialized execution environments, decoupling innovation from base layer constraints.

Monolithic L1s lose their moat. Ethereum, Solana, and Avalanche compete on a single axis: transaction finality speed. ZK-RaaS shifts competition to customizability and cost, making generic, high-throughput L1s redundant for most applications.

The new battleground is data availability. L1 survival depends on becoming the preferred data availability (DA) layer. Celestia and EigenDA pioneered this, forcing Ethereum to respond with EIP-4844 (proto-danksharding). L1s that fail to offer cheap, scalable DA will perish.

Evidence: Arbitrum and Optimism now process more transactions than Ethereum L1. The modular thesis, enabled by RaaS, demonstrates that execution is a feature, not a chain.

thesis-statement
THE ZK-RaaS ENDGAME

Core Thesis: The L1 Trilemma Becomes a Monopoly Game

ZK-Rollup-as-a-Service commoditizes execution, forcing L1s to compete on unique data availability and settlement properties or become irrelevant.

ZK-RaaS commoditizes execution. Platforms like Starknet's Madara, Polygon CDK, and zkSync's ZK Stack let any team launch a performant ZK-rollup in minutes. This eliminates the L1's primary value prop: being the sole execution environment.

L1 competition shifts to data. The real battle is for data availability (DA) and settlement. L1s like Celestia and Avail sell cheap DA, while Ethereum stakes its claim as the canonical settlement layer via proofs. Generic smart contract execution becomes a low-margin feature.

Monopoly dynamics emerge. L1s without a defensible DA or settlement moat become interchangeable commodities. We see this in the modular stack: execution is a rollup (Arbitrum), DA is a marketplace (EigenDA), and settlement is a verification hub (Ethereum). Legacy L1s that fail to specialize face obsolescence.

Evidence: The numbers don't lie. Over 90% of Ethereum's L2 activity resides on just three rollup stacks (OP Stack, Arbitrum Orbit, Polygon CDK). The L1 is a coordination and security layer, not the primary compute engine. This trend accelerates with ZK-RaaS.

ZK-RAAS PRESSURE TEST

The New L1 Scorecard: Settlement & DA Benchmarks

Benchmarking L1s on core settlement and data availability metrics that will be commoditized by ZK-Rollup-as-a-Service providers like AltLayer, Caldera, and Gelato.

Settlement & DA MetricSolanaEthereum L1CelestiaMonad

Settlement Finality Time

< 400ms

12-15 min

N/A

< 1 sec (target)

Data Availability Cost (per MB)

$0.10

$1,200+

$0.01

TBD

Native ZK-Friendliness

State Growth (GB/year)

~1000

~100

N/A

~10 (target)

Max Theoretical TPS (Settlement Layer)

65,000

15-45

N/A

10,000+

Supports Sovereign Rollups

Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS)

deep-dive
THE FORK IN THE ROAD

Deep Dive: The Two Paths Forward for L1s

ZK-Rollups-as-a-Service commoditizes execution, forcing L1s to either become specialized settlement layers or hyper-optimized data layers.

ZK-RaaS commoditizes execution. Platforms like AltLayer and Gelato let any chain deploy a performant ZK-rollup in minutes. This erodes the primary value proposition of general-purpose L1s, which was cheap, fast execution. The market will consolidate around a few dominant execution environments like Arbitrum and Optimism, built on these RaaS stacks.

Path One: Become a settlement hub. L1s like Celo and Gnosis Chain must pivot to offering sovereign security and fast finality for rollups. Their value shifts from gas fees to MEV capture and cross-rollup liquidity. This path requires deep integration with bridges like LayerZero and Wormhole to become the nexus for asset settlement.

Path Two: Hyper-optimize for data. L1s must compete directly with Celestia and EigenDA on cost-per-byte. This demands blob-native architectures and integration with EIP-4844-style fee markets. Failure here means irrelevance, as rollups will simply post data to the cheapest, most reliable provider.

Evidence: The modular stack is winning. Ethereum's roadmap cedes execution to L2s, focusing on consensus and data. Solana's monolithic approach is the outlier, betting that single-shard performance can outpace modular coordination overhead. The next 18 months will determine which model captures developer mindshare.

counter-argument
THE INNOVATION IMPERATIVE

Counter-Argument: The Monolithic Resilience Fallacy

L1s that rely on monolithic architecture for security will be outmaneuvered by the capital efficiency and specialization of ZK-Rollup-as-a-Service.

Monolithic L1s are capital sinks. Their security model requires massive, locked-in staked value to secure all applications, creating an inefficient tax on every dApp. ZK-Rollups like those from StarkWare or zkSync decouple execution security from settlement, allowing specialized chains to rent security from Ethereum or Celestia on-demand.

The resilience is a feature trap. L1s tout their unified state as a strength, but it forces every dApp into a one-size-fits-all throughput and fee market. ZK-RaaS providers like AltLayer and Gelato enable teams to spin up app-specific chains in hours, optimizing for their exact needs without the L1's baggage.

L1s must become settlement layers or die. To compete, monolithic chains must pivot to providing superior data availability and ZK-proof verification as a service. The alternative is irrelevance, as developers flock to ZK-RaaS stacks for better UX and lower cost, mirroring the cloud's disruption of on-premise servers.

protocol-spotlight
THE ZK-RaaS IMPERATIVE

Protocol Spotlight: The New Stack in Action

ZK-Rollup-as-a-Service platforms like AltLayer, Caldera, and Gelato are commoditizing sovereign execution, forcing monolithic L1s to justify their existence beyond mere VM hosting.

01

The L1 Commoditization Trap

Monolithic L1s like Ethereum and Solana derive value from being the canonical execution and settlement layer. ZK-RaaS flips this model by making secure, customizable execution a cheap, on-demand service.

  • Settlement becomes the only moat: L1s must compete on pure security and liquidity depth.
  • Value capture shifts: Fees migrate to the RaaS operator and the proving network (e.g., Espresso, Lagrange).
  • The new baseline: Any app can launch a performant chain with ~$50k upfront and ~$0.01 per transaction.
~$0.01
Per Tx Cost
-90%
Launch Complexity
02

AltLayer's Restaked Rollups: Security as a Utility

AltLayer's core innovation isn't the rollup stack itself, but its decentralized network of restaked operators (via EigenLayer) that provide validation, fast finality, and censorship resistance as a service.

  • Modular security: Borrows Ethereum's economic security without its execution constraints.
  • Instant finality: Achieves ~1-2 second finality via its VITAL and MACH layers, bypassing native L1 confirmation times.
  • The threat: Why build on a monolithic L1 when you can rent its security for your own sovereign chain?
~2s
Time to Finality
$20B+
Restaked Security
03

The Specialized L1 Counter-Attack

L1s like Monad and Sei are responding not by competing on generic RaaS, but by pushing monolithic performance to its theoretical limit, creating a new class of hyper-optimized execution layers.

  • Vertical integration: Extreme optimization of state access, parallel execution, and mempool design for ~10k TPS and ~1s block times.
  • Targeted value prop: Becoming the premium RaaS destination for apps that need maximal performance, not just a launchpad.
  • The divide: The future is either a universal settlement layer or a specialized execution hub. Generic smart contract platforms get squeezed.
10k+
Target TPS
~1s
Block Time
04

The Proving Layer Endgame: Espresso & EigenDA

The final piece is decentralized proving and data availability. Systems like Espresso's sequencer marketplace and EigenDA abstract away the last centralized bottlenecks, completing the modular stack.

  • Sequencer neutrality: Rollups can auction block space to a decentralized sequencer set, eliminating a key point of control.
  • Cost floor defined by DA: Transaction costs converge on the price of ~$0.0001 per KB for data availability, making L1 gas markets irrelevant for rollup users.
  • The result: L1s are reduced to verification engines—a necessary but low-margin utility.
$0.0001
Per KB DA Cost
100%
Uptime SLA
risk-analysis
THE L1 EXISTENTIAL THREAT

Risk Analysis: What Could Derail This Future?

ZK-Rollups as a Service commoditizes execution, forcing Layer 1s to justify their existence beyond mere block space.

01

The Commoditization of Execution

L1s like Ethereum and Solana currently monetize their execution environments. ZK-RaaS (e.g., ZKsync Hyperchains, Polygon CDK, Starknet Appchains) abstracts this away, allowing developers to deploy sovereign, high-performance ZK-chains for ~$0.05 per transaction.\n- L1 Revenue Risk: Core fee revenue migrates to RaaS providers and sequencers.\n- Innovation Mandate: L1s must offer unique, non-fungible value beyond raw TPS.

~$0.05
Tx Cost
-90%
L1 Fee Share
02

The Data Availability Bottleneck

All ZK-Rollups require cheap, secure data availability (DA). If L1 DA remains expensive, it creates a ceiling for RaaS scalability and cost reduction.\n- Celestia & EigenDA: External DA layers undercut L1s, siphoning another revenue stream.\n- Forced Response: L1s must innovate on DA (e.g., Ethereum's EIP-4844 & Danksharding) or risk becoming irrelevant settlement backends.

100x
DA Cost Delta
$1B+
TVL at Risk
03

Interoperability Fragmentation

A multi-thousand ZK-chain future without native interoperability is unusable. L1s that fail to become the canonical hub for cross-chain security and messaging will be bypassed.\n- Hub Competition: The fight is between Ethereum with its native bridges and Cosmos with IBC.\n- Winner-Takes-Most: The L1 that provides the safest, cheapest cross-ZK-chain communication captures ultimate value accrual.

1000+
Potential Chains
<2s
Msg Latency Need
04

The Modular Commodity Trap

In a perfectly modular world, L1s are reduced to interchangeable components. If they offer only generic security and DA, they compete on price alone—a race to the bottom.\n- Differentiation Required: L1s must embed unique primitives (e.g., Solana's state compression, Monad's parallel EVM).\n- Survival of the Specialized: Generic L1s without a $10B+ DeFi/NFT moat become low-margin utilities.

Race to 0
Fee Pressure
$10B+
MoAT TVL Required
future-outlook
THE ZK PRESSURE

Future Outlook: The 2025 Landscape

ZK-Rollup-as-a-Service platforms will commoditize execution, forcing L1s to differentiate or become irrelevant.

ZK-RaaS commoditizes execution. Platforms like Eclipse, AltLayer, and Caldera abstract ZK-rollup deployment to a one-click service. This eliminates the technical moat for launching a dedicated chain, shifting competition from raw capability to developer experience and cost.

L1s must pivot to data layers. The Ethereum L1 will solidify as the canonical data availability and settlement hub. Competing L1s like Solana and Sui must justify their monolithic architecture by offering superior data pricing or specialized VM performance to avoid being outflanked by purpose-built ZK-rollups.

The sovereign appchain thesis wins. Projects will launch ZK-rollup appchains for custom governance and fee capture, using Celestia or Avail for cheap DA. This fragments liquidity, forcing L1s to become interoperability hubs or face irrelevance.

Evidence: The Arbitrum Orbit and OP Stack ecosystems already demonstrate the demand for modular chains. ZK-RaaS lowers the barrier further, making chain deployment a feature, not a foundation.

takeaways
THE ZK-RaaS INNOVATION IMPERATIVE

Key Takeaways for Builders and Investors

ZK-Rollups-as-a-Service is commoditizing L2 launch, forcing L1s to compete on new dimensions beyond raw scalability.

01

The Commoditization of Sovereignty

ZK-RaaS platforms like AltLayer, Gelato, and Caldera abstract away the complexity of launching a sovereign chain. This removes the primary moat of general-purpose L1s.

  • Builders can launch app-specific chains for ~$50k in weeks, not years.
  • Investors must re-evaluate L1 valuations based on ecosystem lock-in, which is now evaporating.
~$50k
Launch Cost
Weeks
Time-to-Chain
02

L1s Become Settlement Hubs or Die

With execution moving to ZK-Rollups, L1s like Ethereum, Celestia, and Avail compete to be the optimal data availability (DA) and settlement layer.

  • The battle shifts to cost-per-byte and finality speed.
  • L1s without a clear DA/security value prop (e.g., high-throughput but insecure chains) face irrelevance.
$0.01/MB
DA Cost Target
~10s
Finality Goal
03

The Interoperability Premium

Native cross-rollup interoperability will be the killer feature for surviving L1 ecosystems. Projects like Polygon AggLayer and zkSync Hyperchains are building this natively.

  • Builders will choose rollup stacks based on seamless composability.
  • Investors should back L1s/RaaS providers with a clear, integrated cross-chain vision, not isolated silos.
1-Click
Composability
Zero-Trust
Bridges
04

Specialized VMs as the New Frontier

General-purpose EVM/SVM is no longer enough. ZK-RaaS enables chains optimized for specific use-cases (Gaming, DeFi, AI) with custom VMs like RISC Zero or SP1.

  • Builders gain 10-100x efficiency for niche applications.
  • Investors must assess technical teams on their ability to innovate at the VM layer, not just copy EVM.
100x
Efficiency Gain
Custom Ops
VM Design
05

The Security Re-Bundling

Shared sequencers and proof aggregation services (e.g., Espresso, Astria, Succinct) are re-bundling security at the network layer, decoupling it from the L1.

  • This creates new middleware investment opportunities beyond base layers.
  • L1 security becomes a commodity; the value accrues to the coordination layer.
Shared
Sequencing
Aggregated
Proofs
06

Capital Efficiency is Everything

ZK-RaaS enables near-instant, trust-minimized bridging via native proof systems. This unlocks cross-chain capital fluidity that erodes liquidity moats.

  • Builders can design for atomic cross-rollup transactions from day one.
  • Investors must model TVL velocity, not just total TVL, as liquidity becomes fungible across chains.
~2s
Bridge Latency
High
TVL Velocity
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