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zk-rollups-the-endgame-for-scaling
Blog

The Future of Prover Markets: Decentralizing Proof Aggregation

ZK-rollups promise scaling, but proof aggregation is a centralization bottleneck. Networks like Espresso and Gevulot are building competitive markets for proof generation to secure the final layer of the stack.

introduction
THE PROVER SUPPLY CRISIS

Introduction

The scaling bottleneck for ZK-Rollups is shifting from compute to the centralized, expensive market for proof generation.

Proof generation is the new bottleneck. ZK-Rollups like zkSync and StarkNet have solved data availability, but their reliance on a single, trusted prover creates a central point of failure and cost.

Current prover markets are inefficient monopolies. A rollup's sequencer-prover model mirrors the early days of centralized mining pools, creating rent-seeking and stifling innovation in proof hardware (ASICs, GPUs) and algorithms.

Decentralized proof aggregation is inevitable. The evolution will mirror decentralized sequencer sets, creating a competitive marketplace where specialized provers bid for work, similar to how EigenLayer restaking creates a market for decentralized AVSs.

Evidence: A single ZK-proof for a large batch can cost thousands of dollars and take minutes, a direct tax on L2 scalability that decentralized networks like Espresso Systems and RISC Zero aim to solve.

thesis-statement
THE PROVER MARKET

The Centralization Bottleneck Thesis

Current proof generation is a centralized chokepoint that undermines the security and economic design of modular blockchains.

Proof generation is centralized. The computational intensity of ZK proving creates a natural oligopoly, concentrating power with a few specialized operators like RiscZero and Succinct Labs. This recreates the validator centralization problem L2s were meant to solve.

Decentralized prover networks are the fix. Projects like =nil; Foundation's Proof Market and Lagrange's Nova Prover Network are building peer-to-peer proof markets. These allow any prover to sell computational proofs, creating a competitive, permissionless marketplace.

Aggregation is the scaling vector. A decentralized network can perform proof recursion and aggregation, bundling thousands of proofs into a single validity proof for the L1. This is the key to scaling ZK-rollups like Starknet and zkSync without a single point of failure.

Evidence: The cost of generating a single ZK-SNARK proof on Ethereum can exceed $1. A competitive market, as modeled by Espresso Systems' shared sequencer design, will commoditize this cost and slash L2 settlement fees.

market-context
THE INCUMBENTS

The Current State: A Proving Oligopoly

Proof generation is centralized around a few dominant players, creating systemic risk and high costs.

Prover centralization is the bottleneck. The computational intensity of ZK proof generation has created a market dominated by a handful of specialized firms like RiscZero and Succinct. This centralization introduces a single point of failure for the entire validity layer of a rollup.

The cost structure is prohibitive. Running a prover requires expensive, specialized hardware (GPUs/FPGAs) and deep cryptographic expertise, creating a high barrier to entry. This limits competition and allows incumbents to extract economic rent, making proof generation the single largest operational cost for ZK-rollups like zkSync and Starknet.

Decentralization is a security requirement. A single prover failure or malicious actor can halt or compromise a rollup's state progression. The current model contradicts the core blockchain thesis of censorship resistance and liveness guarantees, creating a systemic risk for the entire L2 ecosystem.

Evidence: Today, a single prover failure on a major ZK-rollup would halt all withdrawals to Ethereum, demonstrating the fragility of the current centralized model.

DECENTRALIZED PROOF AGGREGATION

Prover Market Protocol Comparison

A comparison of emerging protocols building decentralized markets for ZK proof generation, highlighting architectural trade-offs and economic models.

Feature / MetricSuccinct (SP1)Georli (Proof Market)Risc Zero (Bonsai)

Core Architecture

RISC-V CPU Emulation

GPU Prover Network

zkVM (RISC-V)

Proof System

Plonky2

Groth16 / Plonk

STARKs (Winterfell)

Native Settlement Layer

Ethereum

Ethereum

Any (Agnostic)

Prover Decentralization

Planned (Permissionless Network)

Active (Permissioned Network)

Centralized (Managed Service)

Cost Model

Pay-per-Cycle

Auction-Based Market

Subscription / Custom Quote

Avg. Cost per 1M Cycles

$0.10 - $0.30

$0.05 - $0.15 (Auction)

N/A (Custom Pricing)

Prover Latency Target

< 2 seconds

< 5 seconds

< 10 seconds

Supports Custom Circuits

On-Chain Verification Gas

~250k gas

~450k gas

~1.5M gas

deep-dive
THE PROVER STACK

The Mechanics of a Competitive Market

A competitive prover market separates proof generation from sequencing, commoditizing hardware to slash costs.

Decoupling is the catalyst. Separating proof generation from the sequencer, as pioneered by zkSync's Boojum and Polygon zkEVM, creates a standalone market for compute. This forces prover services to compete on price and speed, not on exclusive access to user transactions.

Hardware commoditization drives deflation. Specialized hardware like FPGAs and GPUs becomes the competitive battleground. This mirrors the evolution from AWS general compute to Render Network's GPU marketplace, collapsing proof costs as efficiency improves.

Proof aggregation is the endgame. A competitive market enables proof aggregation, where multiple proofs are recursively verified into one. This is the ZK equivalent of rollup bundling, and protocols like Nil Foundation are building the infrastructure to make it viable.

Evidence: Espresso Systems' integration with Risc Zero demonstrates the model: a shared sequencer (Espresso) feeds transactions to a competitive, permissionless prover network (Risc Zero), validating the economic separation.

protocol-spotlight
THE PROVER WARS

Protocol Spotlight: Espresso vs. Gevulot

As ZK-Rollups scale, the centralized prover becomes the next bottleneck. Two distinct models are emerging to decentralize and commoditize proof generation.

01

The Problem: Centralized Prover Risk

Today's leading ZK-Rollups rely on a single, trusted prover. This creates a single point of failure, censorship risk, and a pricing monopoly that stifles L2 scalability.

  • Security Hazard: A compromised prover can halt the chain or produce invalid proofs.
  • Economic Friction: No competitive market means ~30-50% higher costs for users.
  • Bottleneck: Sequential proof generation limits throughput, capping TPS gains.
1
Single Point
30-50%
Cost Premium
02

Espresso: Sequencing as a Marketplace

Espresso Systems turns the sequencer role into a decentralized marketplace, which naturally creates a prover market. Provers bid for the right to generate proofs for sequenced blocks.

  • Capital Efficiency: Leverages existing sequencer stake for prover security via restaking.
  • Time-Sharing: Enables prover specialization (e.g., one for EVM, another for Cairo).
  • Ecosystem Play: Integrates with rollups like Arbitrum, Polygon, and Fuel for shared security.
Shared
Security Pool
Multi-Chain
Architecture
03

Gevulot: The Bare-Metal Prover Cloud

Gevulot is a decentralized network of high-performance provers (CPUs, GPUs, FPGAs) that any rollup can tap into via a peer-to-peer market. It's infrastructure-agnostic compute.

  • Raw Performance: Optimized for low-latency proof generation (~seconds).
  • Proof-of-Work Style: Provers earn fees by completing proof tasks, competing on speed and cost.
  • Protocol Agnostic: Can serve ZK-Rollups, coprocessors, and even layerzero proof verification.
~Seconds
Proof Time
P2P
Auction
04

The Verdict: Market Structure vs. Raw Power

Espresso builds a financialized, stake-secured coordination layer. Gevulot builds a decentralized AWS for provers. The winner may be the model that best reduces the finality time and cost for end-users.

  • Espresso's Edge: Deep rollup integration and shared economic security.
  • Gevulot's Edge: Specialized hardware and a pure, competitive compute market.
  • Convergence: Future rollups may use Gevulot for speed and Espresso for settlement assurance.
Coordination
vs. Compute
Finality
Key Metric
counter-argument
THE MARKET REALITY

The Centralized Prover Counter-Argument

Centralized prover dominance is a temporary market inefficiency, not a permanent architectural flaw.

Proof generation is a commodity. The core cryptographic operation of a ZK-Rollup is a standardized computation. The market for this service will follow the same commoditization curve as cloud computing or block production. Specialized hardware like zkASIC miners will accelerate this trend, driving margins to zero.

Decentralization follows liquidity. The current centralization around Ethereum L2s like zkSync and Starknet mirrors early mining pools. As prover markets mature, aggregation layers like RiscZero and Succinct Labs will create liquid marketplaces for proof capacity, shifting power from single operators to networks of provers.

The bottleneck is verification, not proving. The true scaling constraint for ZK-Rollups is the cost and speed of on-chain verification. Projects like Polygon zkEVM and Scroll optimize for this. Decentralizing the prover is a secondary optimization that addresses economic security, not throughput.

Evidence: The evolution of EigenLayer AVS economics demonstrates this. Restaking creates a capital-efficient security market for any service, including proof generation. A decentralized prover network is simply an AVS with a specific cryptographic workload.

risk-analysis
DECENTRALIZATION FRICTION

Critical Risks in Prover Market Design

The race to decentralize proof generation is creating new, non-trivial attack vectors and economic inefficiencies.

01

The Centralizing Force of Hardware

Specialized hardware (e.g., FPGAs, ASICs) creates a massive capital barrier, leading to a winner-take-most market. This centralizes proving power and reintroduces the single-point-of-failure risk decentralization aims to solve.\n- Risk: >70% of proof capacity controlled by <10 entities.\n- Consequence: Potential for censorship and exorbitant fee extraction.

>70%
Capacity Control
<10
Dominant Entities
02

The Liveness-Security Trilemma

Decentralized prover networks face a fundamental trade-off between fast finality, robust security, and cost efficiency. A network prioritizing low-latency proofs (~500ms) may sacrifice cryptographic safety or become prohibitively expensive for small batches.\n- Example: EigenLayer restaking introduces new slashing risks for liveness faults.\n- Result: Protocol architects must choose which corner of the trilemma to optimize, creating systemic fragility.

~500ms
Target Latency
Trilemma
Core Trade-Off
03

MEV in Proof Sequencing

The order in which proofs are submitted and verified is a new MEV frontier. Provers can front-run, sandwich, or censor transactions within the proof aggregation layer itself, extracting value before the user's intent reaches mainnet.\n- Vector: Proof ordering manipulation similar to Flashbots on Ethereum.\n- Impact: Degrades user experience and can break atomic composability assumptions for rollups and appchains.

New Frontier
MEV Vector
Atomic Break
Composability Risk
04

Economic Abstraction Failures

Native token incentives often fail to align long-term security with short-term profit. Provers are rational actors who will defect to the highest-paying chain or shut down hardware if rewards dip below operational costs (~$0.01/proof).\n- Failure Mode: Sudden proving capacity collapse during market downturns.\n- Comparison: Echoes of Bitcoin miner capitulation but with more immediate consequences for L2 finality.

~$0.01
Op Cost/Proof
Sudden Collapse
Capacity Risk
05

Verifier Decentralization Lag

Even with a decentralized prover network, the verifier contract on Ethereum is often a single, upgradeable proxy. This creates a critical centralization bottleneck—a small committee can censor or corrupt the entire system's verdict. True security requires decentralized verification, not just proof generation.\n- Bottleneck: 1-of-N trust in the verifier smart contract.\n- Solution Path: Multi-proof systems (e.g., zkBridge designs) or light-client based verification.

1-of-N
Trust Model
Critical Bottleneck
Verifier Contract
06

Data Availability as a Prerequisite

A zero-knowledge proof is worthless without the corresponding data to verify it against. Prover markets that abstract away Data Availability (DA) risk creating fragile systems dependent on centralized sequencers or expensive Ethereum calldata. The security of the proof is bounded by the security of the underlying DA layer.\n- Dependency: Proof security ≤ DA layer security.\n- Architecture Choice: EigenDA, Celestia, Avail vs. Ethereum L1.

≤ DA Security
Proof Security Cap
Core Prerequisite
Data Availability
future-outlook
THE PROVER MARKET

Future Outlook: The Aggregation Layer Wars

The future of proof aggregation is a competitive market for specialized provers, not a single monolithic network.

Specialized Prover Networks will dominate. Generalized networks like EigenLayer face latency and cost penalties. A ZK-Rollup needs a prover optimized for its specific VM, not a generic one. This mirrors the evolution from monolithic L1s to modular chains.

Proof Aggregation becomes a commodity. The value accrues to the sequencer and settlement layers. Provers compete on price and speed, similar to today's block builders on Flashbots. The winning aggregator is the one with the cheapest finality, not the most provers.

The market standardizes on proof formats. Shared standards like Plonky2 or RISC Zero proofs enable cross-chain verification. This allows a prover for Polygon zkEVM to also serve Scroll, creating economies of scale and reducing fragmentation.

Evidence: Espresso Systems' integration with multiple rollups demonstrates the demand for shared, specialized sequencing and proving infrastructure, moving away from isolated stacks.

takeaways
PROVER MARKET ARCHITECTURE

Key Takeaways for Builders

The centralized proving bottleneck is the next frontier for decentralization. Here's how to build the infrastructure for a multi-chain future.

01

The Problem: Centralized Prover Risk

Relying on a single prover (e.g., a sequencer) creates a single point of failure and censorship. This undermines the liveness and credibly neutral guarantees of the underlying L2 or L1.

  • Security Risk: A compromised prover can halt the chain or produce invalid proofs.
  • Economic Risk: Monopoly pricing and rent extraction on proof generation.
  • Systemic Risk: Echoes the early days of Infura dependency for Ethereum nodes.
1
Single Point of Failure
100%
Censorship Power
02

The Solution: Proof Aggregation Networks

Decentralize proof generation by creating a competitive market where specialized provers bid on batches. This mirrors the evolution from solo staking to pooled staking services like Lido or Rocket Pool.

  • Fault Tolerance: Multiple provers ensure liveness; slashing mechanisms punish malfeasance.
  • Cost Efficiency: Market competition drives down proving costs, crucial for high-throughput chains.
  • Specialization: Enables hardware-optimized provers (GPU/ASIC) for specific proof systems (e.g., zkEVM, RISC Zero).
N>1
Prover Set
-30-70%
Cost Variable
03

The Mechanism: Intent-Based Settlement

Builders should adopt an intent-centric architecture for prover markets, inspired by UniswapX and CowSwap. Users/rollups express a desire for a proven state transition, and a network of solvers (provers) competes to fulfill it optimally.

  • Expressiveness: Define SLAs for proof time, cost, and finality.
  • MEV Capture: Provers can capture value from state diffs, subsidizing costs.
  • Composability: Enables cross-chain proof aggregation, a primitive for layerzero and Axelar-style interoperability.
<2s
Target Proof Time
Intent-Driven
Architecture
04

The Blueprint: EigenLayer for Provers

Restaking is the logical cryptoeconomic primitive to bootstrap security for a decentralized prover network. EigenLayer AVS (Actively Validated Service) model allows ETH stakers to opt-in to secure proof verification.

  • Shared Security: Leverage Ethereum's ~$50B+ staked ETH economic security.
  • Fast Bootstrapping: Avoids the cold-start problem of a new token.
  • Slashing Guarantees: Malicious or lazy proving is penalized, aligning incentives.
$50B+
Security Backstop
AVS
EigenLayer Model
05

The Metric: Proofs-Per-Dollar (PPD)

The key performance indicator for prover markets will be Proofs-Per-Dollar. This measures the economic throughput of the proving layer, analogous to Transactions-Per-Second (TPS) for execution.

  • Hardware Efficiency: Drives innovation in zk-ASICs and parallel proving software.
  • Market Transparency: Allows rollups to shop for the most cost-effective prover.
  • Benchmarking: Creates a clear landscape for VCs and builders to evaluate prover tech stacks.
PPD
Key KPI
10-100x
Improvement Goal
06

The Endgame: Universal Settlement Layer

A decentralized prover market evolves into a universal settlement layer for all chains. It becomes a neutral, high-throughput proof verification hub that any L1, L2, or modular chain can plug into.

  • Interoperability Core: Enables trust-minimized bridging and shared sequencing.
  • Modular Future: Decouples proof generation from execution and consensus, completing the modular stack.
  • Network Effect: The most secure and efficient prover market becomes a critical piece of internet infrastructure.
Universal
Settlement
All Chains
Target Clients
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Prover Markets: Decentralizing ZK Proof Aggregation | ChainScore Blog