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venture-capital-trends-in-web3
Blog

The Future of Carry in a Token-Powered Fund

Carry is moving from a static, exit-based promise to a dynamic, on-chain asset. This analysis deconstructs how smart contracts will tie GP compensation to staking yields and governance participation, creating new alignment and liquidity models.

introduction
THE CARRY PROBLEM

Introduction

Traditional fund carry is a broken, opaque model that tokenization will atomize and redistribute.

Tokenization atomizes fund economics. A tokenized fund's value accrual, governance, and fee streams become programmable on-chain assets, enabling real-time, transparent distribution of profits directly to token holders, unlike the black-box, annual NAV calculations of traditional VC.

Carry transforms from a promise into a cashflow. Protocols like Maple Finance and Centrifuge demonstrate that yield from real-world assets can be tokenized and streamed; fund carry is the next logical primitive for this on-chain financialization.

The future is multi-vector carry. Value capture will not be monolithic but will split across contributors: protocol fee-sharing tokens (e.g., GMX, Synthetix), keeper incentives for execution, and governance staking for curation, creating a competitive market for aligned capital.

thesis-statement
THE NEW PRIMITIVE

The Core Thesis: Carry as a Streaming Derivative

Carry is a real-time, on-chain derivative whose value is derived from the future fee stream of a token-powered fund.

Carry is a streaming derivative. Its value is not a static equity claim but a dynamic flow of value. This flow is directly indexed to the fund's underlying performance, captured on-chain via protocols like Superfluid or Sablier for continuous settlement.

Tokenization creates the underlying. A fund's native token, like a Melon Protocol vault share or Index Coop product, represents the portfolio. The fees generated by this tokenized asset are the raw yield that the carry derivative claims a portion of.

This separates speculation from cash flow. Investors can hold the base asset for beta, while carry tokens are purchased for pure alpha exposure. This mirrors traditional finance's separation of equity and carried interest, but with real-time settlement.

Evidence: The success of perpetual futures on dYdX and GMX proves demand for pure, leveraged exposure to an asset's price action. Carry derivatives apply this model to an asset's revenue generation, not its spot price.

market-context
THE MISALIGNMENT

The Broken Model: Why Traditional Carry Fails in Web3

Traditional fund economics create perverse incentives that are structurally incompatible with token-native ecosystems.

Traditional carry is extractive by design. The 2-and-20 model (2% management fee, 20% performance fee) creates a principal-agent problem where the fund's success is not perfectly correlated with the portfolio's success. The fund manager's incentive is to maximize assets under management (AUM) and time-based fees, not necessarily long-term protocol health.

Token vesting schedules break the model. A venture fund's 7-10 year lifecycle is misaligned with a protocol's 3-5 year token unlock cliff. This forces premature exits, creating sell pressure that harms the very projects the fund invested in. Funds like a16z Crypto and Paradigm face this structural conflict daily.

The value capture is inverted. In TradFi, the fund captures value via carry on illiquid equity. In Web3, the protocol's token accrues value via fees, staking, and governance. A fund holding liquid tokens on a secondary market captures none of this operational value, creating a passive, speculative position instead of an aligned, active one.

Evidence: The average crypto fund returned -32% in 2022 (PwC). This underperformance versus simply holding Bitcoin exposes the carry model's failure to navigate token volatility, vesting cliffs, and community-driven governance, which are absent in traditional equity markets.

FUND ECONOMICS

Carry Models: Legacy vs. Token-Powered

A comparison of value capture and incentive alignment mechanisms between traditional venture capital funds and on-chain, token-native investment vehicles.

Feature / MetricLegacy VC Fund (LP Model)Token-Powered Fund (Protocol Model)

Primary Carry Asset

Fiat / Stablecoin Distributions

Native Protocol Token

Carry Realization Timeline

7-12 years (Fund lifecycle)

Continuous (Secondary market liquidity)

Investor Liquidity Pre-Exit

None (Locked capital)

Via DEXs / AMMs (e.g., Uniswap, Balancer)

Alignment Mechanism

Carry % (typically 20%)

Token Staking, Fee-Sharing, Buybacks & Burns

Value Accrual to Backers

Back-loaded; depends on exit

Front-loaded via tokenomics and emissions

Transparency of Holdings

Quarterly reports

Real-time on-chain (e.g., Etherscan)

Carry Compoundability

False

True (Re-stake rewards for geometric growth)

Typical Management Fee

2% annually on committed capital

0% (Funded by treasury or protocol fees)

deep-dive
THE ENGINE

Mechanics of Dynamic Carry: Staking, Governance, and Streams

Dynamic carry transforms a static fee into a programmable incentive layer, aligning fund performance with long-term stakeholder commitment.

Dynamic carry is a programmable incentive layer that replaces a static 20% fee. The carry percentage adjusts algorithmically based on staking duration, governance participation, and capital lock-up, creating a direct feedback loop between fund performance and stakeholder alignment.

Staking mechanics create a time-value of commitment. A simple model uses a veToken model, inspired by Curve Finance and Frax Finance, where locked LP tokens linearly boost the carry rate over a multi-year vesting cliff. This penalizes mercenary capital and rewards conviction.

Governance participation directly influences fee streams. Active voters on Snapshot or Tally who delegate to fund strategies earn a carry multiplier. This transforms governance from a passive right into a yield-generating service, ensuring engaged LPs shape the fund's direction.

Real-time fee streaming via Sablier or Superfluid replaces quarterly distributions. Continuous value accrual improves capital efficiency for LPs and provides immediate, composable income for managers, who can use streams as collateral in DeFi protocols like Aave.

The counter-intuitive insight is alignment over extraction. Traditional carry extracts value after a hurdle rate. Dynamic carry distributes value as a function of contributed stake duration and governance work, making the fund itself a compoundable asset for its most committed backers.

Evidence: ve(3,3) models demonstrate viability. Protocols like Solidly and Velodrome show that emission boosts tied to lock time successfully concentrate liquidity and governance power, creating more stable and aligned ecosystems than mercenary farming pools.

protocol-spotlight
FROM STATIC YIELD TO PROGRAMMABLE CASH FLOWS

Protocol Spotlight: The Infrastructure for Dynamic Carry

Token-powered funds are moving beyond simple fee splits to dynamic, on-chain cash flow engines. This requires new primitives for execution, distribution, and governance.

01

The Problem: Static Carry is a Governance Bottleneck

Traditional fund structures lock carry distribution to rigid schedules and manual processes, creating misalignment and administrative overhead.

  • Manual, Opaque Payouts: Quarterly/annual distributions require manual accounting and create cash flow uncertainty for LPs and GPs.
  • Inflexible Vesting: Linear cliffs and schedules don't adapt to fund performance or individual contributor milestones.
  • High Friction: Every distribution is a multi-sig transaction, a point of failure and a tax reporting nightmare.
90+ days
Payout Lag
High
Admin Cost
02

The Solution: Programmable Carry Vaults (e.g., Sablier, Superfluid)

Smart contract streams turn carry into a real-time, composable financial primitive. Carry becomes a liquid, programmable asset.

  • Real-Time Accrual: LPs and GPs see and can forecast cash flows second-by-second, improving transparency.
  • Composable Value: Streams can be used as collateral in DeFi (e.g., Aave, MakerDAO) or sold as NFTs, providing liquidity pre-distribution.
  • Automated Governance: Vesting schedules and clawbacks can be programmed based on on-chain performance or vote outcomes.
24/7
Cash Flow
100%
On-Chain
03

The Problem: Carry Execution Relies on Centralized Ops

Realizing carry requires selling tokens, paying gas, and managing treasury ops—tasks that are manual, costly, and expose funds to execution risk.

  • Slippage & Timing: Manual token sales for distributions incur market impact and poor timing.
  • Multi-Chain Fragmentation: Managing gas and assets across Ethereum, L2s (Arbitrum, Optimism), and Solana is operationally complex.
  • Security Overhead: Each manual transfer increases attack surface for internal and external threats.
2-5%
Execution Slippage
High
Ops Risk
04

The Solution: Intent-Based Carry Executors (e.g., UniswapX, Across)

Funds express the what ("sell X tokens for USDC at best price") not the how, delegating complex execution to a competitive solver network.

  • Optimal Execution: Solvers compete to fulfill the intent, minimizing slippage and gas costs across DEXs and chains.
  • Cross-Chain Native: Intent standards like UniswapX and bridging infra like LayerZero abstract away chain complexity.
  • Non-Custodial Safety: Funds never leave the fund's vault until the exact intent conditions are met on-chain.
-60%
Slippage
Cross-Chain
Execution
05

The Problem: Opaque Carry Performance

LPs have limited visibility into how carry is generated and accrued, leading to trust gaps. Performance analytics are off-chain and retrospective.

  • Black Box Returns: It's unclear which investments or fees are driving carry accrual at any given time.
  • Lagging Reporting: Performance dashboards are updated monthly/quarterly, not in real-time.
  • No On-Chain Verifiability: Claims about performance cannot be independently audited on-chain.
30+ days
Data Lag
Low
Verifiability
06

The Solution: On-Chain Carry Oracles & Dashboards

Protocols like Goldsky and Dune Analytics create real-time, verifiable data feeds that map fund activity to cash flow generation.

  • Real-Time Attribution: Every dollar of accrued carry is traced back to its source transaction (e.g., a specific DEX fee or loan interest payment).
  • Transparent Dashboards: LPs get a live view of the carry 'engine', building trust through radical transparency.
  • Composable Data: Performance streams become inputs for automated governance or dynamic vesting contracts.
Real-Time
Attribution
100%
Verifiable
risk-analysis
TOKEN-POWERED FUNDS

The Bear Case: Risks and Attack Vectors

The promise of automated, transparent carry is offset by novel systemic risks that traditional funds never faced.

01

The Oracle Manipulation Attack

Tokenized carry relies on external oracles (e.g., Chainlink, Pyth) to value portfolio assets and calculate performance fees. A manipulated price feed can trigger fraudulent fee minting or prevent legitimate distributions.\n- Attack Vector: Flash loan to skew a low-liquidity asset's price at epoch snapshot.\n- Impact: Permanent dilution of LP tokens via unwarranted manager token issuance.

51%
Attack Cost
Instant
Settlement
02

The Governance Capture Dilemma

Manager and protocol governance tokens become high-value attack surfaces. A malicious actor could accumulate tokens to hijack fee parameters or drain the treasury.\n- Precedent: Similar to Curve wars and MakerDAO governance attacks.\n- Mitigation Failure: Time-locks and multi-sigs reintroduce centralization, negating the programmatic promise.

$100M+
TVL at Risk
Weeks
Attack Timeline
03

The Regulatory Arbitrage Trap

Automated, global fee distribution creates a securities law nightmare. The fund's manager token could be deemed a security in the US (Howey Test), while LPs might be seen as unregistered investment advisors.\n- Jurisdictional Risk: Simultaneous violation of SEC, MiCA, and local tax codes.\n- Consequence: Protocol blacklisting by frontends (e.g., Uniswap Interface) or centralized stablecoin freeze.

Global
Exposure
Permanent
Brand Damage
04

The MEV-Enabled Fee Sniping

Predictable, on-chain fee calculation and distribution cycles are vulnerable to Maximal Extractable Value (MEV) exploitation. Searchers can front-run or back-run transactions to capture fee tokens or arbitrage the manager token post-distribution.\n- Analogy: Similar to CowSwap solver competition or Uniswap LP fee sniping.\n- Result: LPs and managers are systematically leaked value to the validator layer.

~500ms
Exploit Window
5-15%
Value Leak
05

The Smart Contract Immutability Paradox

Code is law until a critical bug is found. An immutable fee logic contract with a vulnerability becomes a permanent leak or a bricked fund. Upgradable proxies (e.g., using OpenZeppelin) reintroduce a centralized admin key, creating a single point of failure and trust.\n- Historical Precedent: See Poly Network hack or Nomad bridge exploit.\n- Dilemma: Choose between perfect decentralization (and risk) or security (and centralization).

> $2B
Historical Losses
Irreversible
If Immutable
06

The Liquidity Death Spiral

Manager tokens require deep secondary markets (e.g., on Uniswap V3) for LPs to exit. Low liquidity leads to high slippage, deterring new LPs, which further reduces TVL and fees, collapsing the token value.\n- Reflexivity: Mirror's MIR and early Synthetix pools exhibited this.\n- Trigger: A single large LP withdrawal can destabilize the entire tokenomics model.

-90%
Token Drawdown
< 1%
LP Depth
future-outlook
THE CARRY ENGINE

Future Outlook: The Fully On-Chain Fund

Token-powered funds will automate and optimize carry distribution through on-chain execution and governance.

Carry becomes a programmable asset. Future funds will treat carry as a transferable, composable token stream, not a static legal promise. This enables secondary markets for carry on platforms like Pendle Finance, allowing LPs to hedge or exit positions pre-maturity.

Automated execution replaces manual distribution. Smart contracts will autonomously calculate, collect, and distribute carry based on verifiable on-chain performance. This eliminates opaque GP calculations and administrative overhead, creating a transparent carry waterfall.

Governance tokens dictate fee models. Fund DAOs, using tokens like those from Syndicate or Karpatkey templates, will vote to dynamically adjust carry rates and vesting schedules. This aligns GP and LP incentives in real-time, unlike traditional fixed-term agreements.

Evidence: The rise of DeFi yield vaults (e.g., Yearn, Sommelier) proves the market demand for automated, performance-fee-based products. A fully on-chain fund is this model applied to active management.

takeaways
THE FUTURE OF CARRY

Key Takeaways

Token-powered funds are dismantling the 2-and-20 model by aligning incentives through programmable equity.

01

The Problem: Illiquid, Opaque Carry

Traditional carry is a black box locked for 7-10 years. LPs have zero visibility or control, and GPs are misaligned until a distant exit.

  • Zero secondary liquidity for LP stakes
  • Opaque performance with annual reports
  • Misaligned timelines between GPs and LPs
7-10y
Lock-up
0%
Liquidity
02

The Solution: Programmable Carry Tokens

Fund performance is tokenized into a liquid asset. Carry accrues in real-time via rebasing mechanics or fee redirection, creating a transparent market for fund equity.

  • Real-time accrual via rebasing or fee streams
  • Instant secondary market on AMMs like Uniswap
  • Granular governance rights for token holders
24/7
Accrual
100%
Transparent
03

The Mechanism: Fee Streaming & Vesting Curves

Protocols like Superfluid and Sablier enable continuous fee distribution. Vesting is managed on-chain with customizable curves, replacing clunky legal agreements.

  • Continuous cashflow to token holders
  • On-chain vesting schedules replace legal docs
  • Composable with DeFi yield strategies
-90%
Admin Opex
Real-time
Settlement
04

The New LP: DAOs & DeFi Treasuries

Capital sources shift from family offices to DAO treasuries (e.g., Uniswap, Aave) and yield-seeking protocols. This demands programmable, composable fund structures.

  • DAO Treasuries as dominant LPs
  • Automated allocations via on-chain rules
  • Composability with lending and stablecoin yields
$30B+
DAO Treasury
Auto-Allocate
Strategy
05

The Risk: Regulatory Arbitrage

Tokenizing fund equity blurs lines between securities and utility. Projects must navigate Howey Test nuances or operate in permissionless environments to avoid SEC scrutiny.

  • SEC scrutiny on profit-sharing tokens
  • Jurisdictional arbitrage via decentralized entities
  • Increased legal overhead for compliant structures
High
Regulatory Risk
Global
Arbitrage
06

The Endgame: Carry as a DeFi Primitive

Carry tokens become a base layer for structured products—collateral in lending markets, components in index funds, and triggers for on-chain derivatives.

  • New collateral type for money markets like Aave
  • Index products via Index Coop
  • Derivative triggers for performance swaps
New Asset Class
Primitive
10x
Composability
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