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venture-capital-trends-in-web3
Blog

The Future of Dilution: Dynamic Equity in DAO-to-DAO Rounds

Static cap tables and rigid term sheets are legacy artifacts. We analyze how smart contracts enable dynamic, milestone-based equity and token distributions, fundamentally reshaping DAO-led venture capital.

introduction
THE DILUTION DILEMMA

Introduction

Static fundraising models are failing DAOs, creating misaligned incentives and inefficient capital allocation.

DAO-to-DAO investment rounds are broken. The current model of fixed-price, fixed-supply token sales creates permanent capital misalignment between investor and protocol, locking in dilution regardless of future performance or milestones.

Dynamic equity models solve this. Inspired by SAFEs and equity vesting in TradFi, these models tie token distribution to verifiable, on-chain performance metrics, making dilution a function of value creation, not just capital raised.

Evidence: Protocols like Aragon and Syndicate are experimenting with milestone-based vesting, while analytics platforms like DeepDAO and Llama provide the on-chain transparency required to make these models enforceable and trustless.

thesis-statement
THE CAPITAL FLOW

The Core Thesis: From Snapshots to Streams

DAO-to-DAO investment will shift from static equity rounds to continuous, programmable capital streams based on real-time performance.

Static equity snapshots are obsolete. A token allocation from a single fundraising event creates misaligned, one-time incentives and fails to reflect a DAO's evolving value. This model is a legacy import from TradFi venture capital.

Dynamic equity streams create continuous alignment. Capital flows become a function of verifiable, on-chain metrics like protocol revenue, user growth, or governance participation. This mirrors the real-time settlement of protocols like Uniswap or Aave.

The mechanism is programmable vesting. Tools like Sablier and Superfluid demonstrate the infrastructure for streaming payments. DAOs will use similar primitives to stream treasury shares, creating a live price discovery mechanism for partnership value.

Evidence: Llama already automates complex treasury streams for DAO payrolls. The next logical step is applying this to inter-DAO capital, turning investment from an event into a state.

market-context
THE INFRASTRUCTURE MATURITY

Market Context: Why Now?

The convergence of on-chain capital formation tools and DAO operational maturity creates the precise conditions for dynamic equity to replace static dilution.

Static equity models are obsolete for DAO-to-DAO deals. Traditional SAFEs and equity rounds require legal wrappers and fixed valuations, which are misaligned with the real-time, performance-based nature of on-chain collaboration seen in protocols like Aave and Compound.

The infrastructure layer is ready. On-chain vesting platforms like Sablier and Superfluid, coupled with programmable treasury management via Safe{Wallet} and Syndicate, provide the settlement rails for dynamic, cash-flow-based agreements that adjust ownership in real time.

Evidence: The rise of Revenue-Sharing Agreements in DeFi, such as those pioneered by Tokemak, demonstrates market demand for performance-aligned capital structures over static equity, setting the precedent for DAO-to-DAO dynamics.

DAO-TO-DAO INVESTMENT ROUNDS

Static vs. Dynamic Equity: A Feature Matrix

A technical comparison of equity dilution mechanisms for protocol-to-protocol treasury investments.

Feature / MetricStatic Equity (Traditional SAFE)Dynamic Equity (Bonding Curve)Hybrid (Vesting + Performance)

Dilution Mechanism

Fixed % at priced round

Variable % based on TVL/volume

Fixed % with clawback triggers

Valuation Lock-in

At deal signing (e.g., $100M cap)

Continuous via bonding curve formula

At deal signing, with post-hoc adjustment

Investor Upside Cap

Uncapped (standard equity)

Capped by curve parameters

Capped by performance multiplier (e.g., 2x)

Founder Downside Protection

None (permanent dilution)

Auto-buyback below threshold

Vesting cliff with kill switch

Capital Efficiency for Investor DAO

Low (capital tied to single valuation)

High (continuous price discovery)

Medium (staged release)

Implementation Complexity

Low (audited templates exist)

High (requires custom curve logic)

Medium (oracle integration needed)

Primary Use Case

Early-stage, clear roadmap

Liquid treasury partnerships (e.g., Frax, Olympus)

Milestone-based collaborations

Example Protocols

Seed rounds pre-2021

Ondo Finance, Tokemak

Aave Grants DAO, Uniswap LP initiatives

deep-dive
THE EXECUTION LAYER

Deep Dive: The Smart Contract Architecture

A modular, intent-based architecture replaces rigid token sales with dynamic, programmable equity distribution.

Dynamic equity distribution requires a modular contract system. A core settlement contract holds the initial capital commitment, while separate modules govern vesting, governance rights, and performance triggers. This design mirrors the separation of concerns seen in EigenLayer's AVS architecture, enabling independent upgrades and specialized logic.

Intent-based commitment is the core primitive. A DAO expresses its investment parameters (e.g., 'up to 10% dilution for $5M, vested over 24 months with a 12-month cliff') as a signed message. The counterparty DAO's contract fulfills this intent, a pattern refined by UniswapX and CowSwap for trade settlement.

On-chain performance oracles automate dilution adjustments. Smart contracts query verifiable metrics from sources like Chainlink Data Streams or Pyth Network. Missing a development milestone triggers a pro-rata capital return, while exceeding targets can unlock bonus tokens, aligning incentives without manual renegotiation.

The evidence is in adoption. Syndicate's ERC-7007 standard for on-chain startup equity demonstrates the market need for programmable cap tables. DAO-to-DAO deals will require this granularity, moving beyond the static models of MolochDAO v2 and early Aragon templates.

protocol-spotlight
THE FUTURE OF DILUTION

Protocol Spotlight: Early Implementations

A new wave of protocols is redefining venture capital by enabling dynamic, performance-linked equity swaps between DAOs, moving beyond static token sales.

01

The Problem: Static Dilution in a Dynamic World

Traditional fundraising forces DAOs to sell a fixed equity stake upfront, creating permanent dilution regardless of future performance. This misaligns incentives and undervalues successful projects.

  • Permanent Capital Cost: A 10% token sale at launch is a 10% cost forever, even if the DAO's value grows 100x.
  • Investor Misalignment: Early backers are rewarded for speculation, not for providing ongoing strategic value.
  • Valuation Battles: Negotiating a single, static valuation is a high-friction, zero-sum game.
Fixed %
Equity Sold
High Friction
Negotiation
02

The Solution: Dynamic Equity Swaps

Protocols like Ondo Finance and Syndicate are pioneering vesting-based token swaps where the final equity transferred scales with tangible outcomes.

  • Performance Vesting: The number of tokens a DAO receives from an investor DAO vests based on hitting KPIs like TVL, revenue, or user growth.
  • Two-Way Alignment: Both parties' upside is tied to the same metrics, creating a true strategic partnership.
  • Continuous Valuation: The effective valuation is determined over time by performance, not a single negotiation.
KPI-Based
Vesting
Aligned
Incentives
03

Mechanism Spotlight: Continuous Bonding Curves

Inspired by Olympus Pro, DAOs can use programmable bonding curves to allow continuous, algorithmically priced investment, smoothing out dilution over time.

  • Anti-Dilutive: New capital enters at a price that automatically adjusts for treasury growth, protecting existing holders.
  • Liquidity as a Service: Investor DAOs provide deep liquidity in exchange for a stream of tokens, not a lump sum.
  • Market-Driven Pricing: The bonding curve formula replaces backroom valuation talks with transparent, on-chain math.
Algorithmic
Pricing
Continuous
Funding
04

The New Investor Archetype: DAO-as-a-Fund

This model creates a new class of investor, like The LAO or MetaCartel Ventures, whose treasury is composed of dynamic stakes in a portfolio of protocol DAOs.

  • Portfolio Synergy: An investor DAO can actively foster partnerships and integrations between its portfolio projects.
  • Governance-as-a-Service: Investment comes with committed governance participation, measured by voting activity and proposal quality.
  • Compound Returns: The fund's value accrues from both portfolio performance and its own governance token, which captures the network effect of its ecosystem.
Active
Governance
Network FX
Returns
counter-argument
THE EXECUTION RISK

Counter-Argument: The Complexity Trap

Dynamic equity's promise of perfect alignment is undermined by the immense operational and cognitive overhead required to make it function.

Dynamic equity is a coordination nightmare. The continuous re-pricing of ownership stakes demands real-time data feeds, automated legal agreements, and flawless on-chain execution, creating a fragile system with multiple points of failure.

The cognitive load for participants is prohibitive. Unlike a simple SAFE or token grant, contributors must constantly model their dilution exposure against a moving valuation, a task that favors sophisticated VCs over individual builders and community members.

This complexity mirrors failed DeFi over-engineering. Projects like OlympusDAO and early veToken models demonstrated that excessive, real-time financial engineering creates opaque systems vulnerable to death spirals when user comprehension fails.

Evidence: The most successful funding rounds use simple, auditable terms. a16z's Crypto Startup School and major Ethereum L2 raises use standardized, static equity structures because they are legally enforceable and psychologically clear.

risk-analysis
THE FUTURE OF DILUTION

Risk Analysis: What Could Go Wrong?

Dynamic equity in DAO-to-DAO rounds introduces novel attack vectors and governance failures.

01

The Sybil-Resistance Black Hole

Dynamic valuation models are only as strong as their identity layer. Without robust sybil-resistance, airdrop farmers and whale collectives can manipulate the dilution curve.

  • Key Risk: Sybil attacks on Snapshot or Gitcoin Passport can distort perceived community size.
  • Key Risk: Moloch DAO-style rage-quitting becomes a weapon, allowing bad actors to trigger valuation resets.
>50%
Fake IDs
~$0
Attack Cost
02

Oracle Manipulation & Valuation Warfare

Real-time equity depends on oracles for metrics like TVL, revenue, and governance activity. These are prime targets for manipulation.

  • Key Risk: Flashloan attacks on Chainlink price feeds to temporarily inflate a DAO's treasury value.
  • Key Risk: Messari-style self-reported metrics create a 'governance theater' where activity is faked to improve terms.
$100M+
Flashloan Cap
5 min
Attack Window
03

The Liquidity Death Spiral

Dynamic terms can trigger reflexive sell pressure. A down-round adjustment can cause token dumping, which further crushes the metric used for valuation.

  • Key Risk: Curve wars-style vote-buying emerges to control the dilution parameters themselves.
  • Key Risk: Creates a perverse incentive for MakerDAO-style governance attacks to sabotage a partner DAO's key metrics.
-30%
TVL Crash
10x
Volatility
04

Regulatory Arbitrage as a Service

Continuous equity issuance blurs the line between investment contract and utility token. This attracts regulatory scrutiny that static SAFTs avoided.

  • Key Risk: The SEC may classify the dynamic contract itself as an unregistered securities exchange.
  • Key Risk: a16z-style legal wrappers become obsolete, forcing all participants into a single, risky jurisdiction.
24/7
Issuance
Global
Jurisdiction
05

Governance Paralysis & Upgrade Risks

The smart contract governing dynamic terms becomes the most critical—and immutable—piece of DAO infrastructure. Fixing a bug requires a fork.

  • Key Risk: A miscalibrated formula becomes a Titanium-style black hole, draining value with no emergency stop.
  • Key Risk: Upgrading the contract requires unanimous consent from all participating DAOs, a Cosmos-style governance nightmare.
100%
Consensus Needed
$0
Recovery Fund
06

The MEV-Enabled Term Sheet

Seers and block builders can front-run the publication of new valuation parameters. This turns governance into a negative-sum game for retail delegates.

  • Key Risk: Flashbots-enabled validators extract value from every parameter adjustment before the public vote is finalized.
  • Key Risk: Creates a new EigenLayer-style restaking market for manipulating DAO metric oracles.
~12s
Front-Run
>90%
Extractable Value
future-outlook
THE DYNAMIC EQUITY

Future Outlook: The Fully Programmable Cap Table

Static cap tables will be replaced by on-chain, programmatic equity that automatically adjusts based on performance and governance participation.

Dynamic equity structures replace static token allocations. Vesting schedules, voting power, and economic rights become functions of on-chain activity, enforced by smart contracts like those from OpenZeppelin or Solady.

DAO-to-DAO investment rounds automate dilution mechanics. A funding tranche from a DAO like Aave Grants DAO triggers a pre-programmed token mint, with the new supply distributed algorithmically to existing stakeholders based on governance participation.

Continuous valuation models replace periodic priced rounds. Protocols like UMA's optimistic oracle or Pyth Network price feeds enable real-time treasury valuation, which directly adjusts token issuance and investor ownership percentages.

Evidence: The rise of streaming finance via Superfluid demonstrates the infrastructure for continuous, conditional value transfer, which is the prerequisite for dynamic equity distribution.

takeaways
DAO-TO-DAO FINANCE

Key Takeaways

Static equity is a liability in a dynamic ecosystem. The future is programmable, performance-based, and non-dilutive.

01

The Problem: Static Equity is a Vestige of Web2

Traditional equity rounds create permanent, rigid ownership stakes that misalign incentives post-investment. DAOs are dynamic entities whose value is driven by active contributions, not passive capital.

  • Permanent Dilution: Founders and early contributors are penalized for future fundraising.
  • Inert Governance: Large, passive equity holders can stall progressive proposals.
  • Valuation Mismatch: A one-time price doesn't reflect a DAO's evolving utility and revenue.
100%
Static
0%
Flexible
02

The Solution: Programmable Equity via Vesting Streams

Replace static token allocations with continuous, conditional vesting contracts. Equity becomes a flow, not a stock, tied to measurable outcomes like revenue, TVL, or governance participation.

  • Dynamic Dilution: New investment drips in as milestones are hit, protecting early stakeholders.
  • Performance Alignment: Investor payout velocity is directly coupled to DAO success metrics.
  • Composability: Streams can be tokenized as NFTs (e.g., Superfluid, Sablier) and traded in secondary markets.
Real-Time
Vesting
KPIs
Aligned
03

The Mechanism: Convertible Streaming Notes

A hybrid of convertible notes and streaming payments. Investors provide capital via a continuous stream (e.g., USDC/month) in exchange for a future token claim that amplifies based on performance triggers.

  • Capital Efficiency: DAOs access funds as needed, reducing treasury drag.
  • Downside Protection: Investors can structure streams to revert to a simple debt claim if KPIs aren't met.
  • Precedent: Adapts models from Rolling Funds (AngelList) and Revenue-Based Financing for on-chain execution.
J-Curve
Eliminated
On-Demand
Capital
04

The Precedent: DeFi's Performance-Based Models

The infrastructure for dynamic equity already exists in DeFi primitives. Index Coop's methodology rewards, Curve's vote-locked CRV model, and Olympus Pro's bond mechanisms all tie compensation to contribution and commitment.

  • Vote-Escrow: Proven model for aligning long-term incentives via time-based multipliers.
  • Bonding Curves: Enable continuous, price-discovery-based fundraising without traditional rounds.
  • Composable Stack: These lego pieces can be reassembled to create the equity streaming primitive.
Proven
Primitives
DeFi
Native
05

The Hurdle: Legal Wrappers & Regulatory Arbitrage

Dynamic equity exists in a legal gray area between securities, debt, and derivatives. The winning model will minimize jurisdictional surface area through clever structuring.

  • Off-Chain Legal Entity: A Delaware LLC or Swiss Association acts as the security issuer, managing the streaming contract.
  • On-Chain Execution: All performance tracking and disbursements are automated via smart contracts (e.g., OpenZeppelin streams).
  • Regulatory Strategy: Frame the instrument as a Profit-Sharing Agreement or Limited Recourse Note to avoid the Howey Test.
Hybrid
Structure
Automated
Compliance
06

The Outcome: DAOs as Permanent Capital Vehicles

With dilution managed dynamically, successful DAOs can run continuous funding rounds, evolving into permanent capital vehicles that strategically acquire and incubate sub-DAOs and protocols.

  • M&A as a Service: Use treasury streams to acquire teams and protocols, integrating them via token mergers.
  • Reduced Governance Overhead: No more episodic, high-stakes fundraising votes distracting from core operations.
  • Network State Proliferation: Enables the Balaji Srinivasan vision of competitive, opt-in network states funded by their own citizens.
Continuous
Fundraising
Permanent
Capital
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Dynamic Equity: The End of Static Cap Tables in Web3 | ChainScore Blog