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the-appchain-thesis-cosmos-and-polkadot
Blog

Why Appchain Tokens Are Not Meant to Be Stores of Value

A first-principles analysis of why the fundamental utility of appchain tokens—gas, staking, and governance—creates a structural sell pressure that undermines their viability as long-term capital assets.

introduction
THE UTILITY TRAP

Introduction

Appchain tokens are utility assets, not monetary ones, and their design makes them structurally unfit for long-term value storage.

Appchain tokens are utility assets, not monetary ones. Their primary function is to secure a dedicated execution environment and pay for its specific services, like gas on Arbitrum or zkSync. This operational role creates constant sell pressure from validators and users, directly opposing a store-of-value's requirement for scarcity-driven demand.

The security budget is the sink. The token's value must fund the chain's proof-of-stake security model. If the token appreciates too much, it overpays security; if it crashes, the chain becomes vulnerable. This creates a bounded value equilibrium centered on operational cost, not speculative infinity.

Compare Bitcoin's monolithic design versus an appchain's modular one. Bitcoin's sole product is its immutable ledger, making its token the equity. An appchain's product is a scalable app, making its token a consumable resource—more akin to AWS credits than digital gold.

Evidence: The Cosmos Hub's ATOM exemplifies this. Despite its hub status, its price has consistently underperformed the application-specific tokens (e.g., Osmosis OSMO) built atop it, because ATOM's utility is interchain security, not application revenue capture.

key-insights
THE UTILITY TRAP

Executive Summary

Appchain tokens are purpose-built for security and operations, not passive accumulation. Treating them as SoV assets misreads their fundamental economic design.

01

The Problem: High Inflation for Validator Security

Appchains must pay for their own security via token emissions to validators. This creates persistent sell pressure from staking rewards, directly opposing price stability.

  • High native issuance (often 5-20% APY) dilutes holders.
  • Security budget is a continuous operational cost, not a one-time fee.
  • Models like Celestia's data availability or shared security (e.g., EigenLayer, Cosmos Hub) externalize this cost, making it explicit.
5-20%
Typical Annual Issuance
Constant
Sell Pressure
02

The Solution: Fee Token as a Pure Utility Sink

The optimal design burns fees or uses them to fund protocol treasury, creating a velocity sink. The token's value is derived from usage demand, not speculative holding.

  • Burn mechanisms (e.g., EIP-1559) turn network activity into deflationary pressure.
  • Value accrual is non-custodial; you capture value by providing a service (staking, liquidity), not just holding.
  • See dYdX v4 moving to its own chain to capture 100% of sequencer fees as a case study.
100%
Fee Capture
Usage-Driven
Value Accrual
03

The Problem: Concentrated, Volatile Demand Cycles

Appchain token demand is tightly coupled to its specific application's growth cycle. It lacks the diversified demand base of a Layer 1 like Ethereum.

  • Demand spikes during airdrops, new feature launches, or hype cycles, then collapses.
  • Low liquidity depth outside of major pairs exacerbates volatility.
  • Contrast with BTC/ETH, which benefit from being collateral assets across DeFi (MakerDAO, Aave, Lido).
High
Demand Correlation
Low
Liquidity Depth
04

The Solution: Specialization Over Universality

An appchain's token is a tool for governing and optimizing a single application stack. Its value is in enabling sovereignty, custom fee logic, and maximal extractable value (MEV) capture.

  • Sovereignty allows forking Uniswap without UNI's governance, making the token's role purely operational.
  • Custom fee markets let apps like a Perp DEX prioritize keepers over simple transfers.
  • This specialization makes it a high-beta, high-utility asset, not a stable reserve.
Sovereignty
Core Value Prop
High-Beta
Asset Profile
05

The Problem: No Monetary Premium Without Credible Neutrality

A store of value requires perceived neutrality and censorship resistance. An appchain is, by definition, optimized for a specific use case and often a core team.

  • Investors question long-term neutrality if the chain is controlled by a single entity (e.g., dYdX).
  • The monetary premium enjoyed by Bitcoin stems from its lack of a leader and single purpose.
  • Appchains like Axelar or Polygon zkEVM are utilities, not digital gold.
Low
Neutrality Score
Zero
Monetary Premium
06

The Verdict: Work Token, Not Wealth Token

The successful appchain token model is a work token: its value is the right to perform work (validate, sequence, govern) and capture fees. It's a claim on cash flow, not a passive store of wealth.

  • Think equity, not currency. Value scales with application revenue and utility.
  • Staking is a job, providing security and services, not just yield farming.
  • This aligns with models from Livepeer (LPT) to Osmosis (OSMO).
Cash Flow
Value Driver
Active
Participation Required
thesis-statement
THE REALITY CHECK

The Core Thesis: Utility Implies Expenditure

Appchain tokens are operational fuels, not digital gold; their value accrual is a function of network usage, not speculative hoarding.

Appchain tokens are consumable assets. Their primary function is to pay for execution, data availability, and security on a dedicated chain. This utility creates a direct correlation between network activity and token expenditure, not passive appreciation.

Value accrual is a throughput game. Unlike Layer 1 stores of value like Bitcoin, an appchain's token economics are modeled on gas fee burn and staking rewards. The token is the medium for all state transitions, from a swap on a DEX to an NFT mint.

The 'sovereignty premium' demands payment. Running a dedicated chain via Celestia or an EigenDA rollup avoids shared congestion but imposes hard costs for block space and data. The native token is the only accepted currency for these services.

Evidence: Examine dYdX's migration to a Cosmos appchain. Its DYDX token transitioned from a governance token to the mandatory gas asset, directly tying its velocity to perpetual trading volume on the chain.

TOKEN UTILITY SPECTRUM

The Sell Pressure Matrix: Appchain vs. SoV

A first-principles comparison of the economic forces driving sell pressure for application-specific tokens versus pure stores of value.

Economic DriverAppchain Token (e.g., dYdX, Aevo)Hybrid Utility/SoV (e.g., ETH, SOL)Pure SoV (e.g., BTC, Monero)

Primary Utility

Pay for execution & security (gas)

Pay for execution, security, & staking

Censorship-resistant settlement

Staking Yield Source

Protocol revenue (fees) & inflation

Protocol revenue & inflation

Inflation only (if PoS) or none (BTC)

Inflation Schedule

3-7% annual, often unbounded

0.5-4% annual, typically capped

0-2% annual, hard-coded supply cap

Sell Pressure from Core Users

High (users pay fees, then sell token)

Medium (users pay fees, may hold for staking)

Low (holders are savers, not spenders)

Value Accrual Mechanism

Fee burn or staker rewards

Fee burn & staker rewards

Scarcity & network effect

Protocol Revenue Capture

Direct (100% to treasury/stakers)

Partial (via EIP-1559 burn & MEV)

None (miner/validator rewards only)

Demand Shock Resistance

Low (tied to single app volume)

Medium (diversified dApp ecosystem)

High (macro asset, 'digital gold' narrative)

deep-dive
THE ECONOMIC REALITY

The Three Pillars of Sell Pressure

Appchain tokenomics are engineered for utility, not passive holding, creating predictable and necessary sell pressure.

Fee Payment Mandate: Appchain tokens are the exclusive medium for paying transaction fees. Every user action, from a swap on dYdX to an NFT mint, requires spending the native token. This creates a constant, utility-driven sell pressure as users convert stablecoins or ETH to pay for gas.

Security Budget Sink: Proof-of-Stake appchains like Avalanche subnets or Cosmos zones require validators to stake the native token. The protocol must pay these validators in the same token, issuing new supply as inflationary rewards. This dilution is a direct, ongoing sell pressure to fund security.

Venture Capital Overhang: Early backers and core teams receive large, time-locked allocations. When these vesting schedules unlock, the incentive to realize profits creates episodic, massive sell waves. This is a feature, not a bug, as it funds continued development and decentralization.

Evidence: Analyze the token flow of any major appchain like Arbitrum or Optimism. The treasury’s operational budget and sequencer/validator rewards are denominated in the native token, creating a structural need to sell into the market for fiat to cover real-world costs.

case-study
WHY APPCHAIN TOKENS ARE NOT MEANT TO BE STORES OF VALUE

Case Studies in Utility-Driven Economics

Appchain tokens are operational tools, not passive assets. Their value is derived from utility, not scarcity.

01

The Problem: Generic L1 Tokenomics

Monolithic L1s like Ethereum bundle security, execution, and data availability into a single asset (ETH). This creates a store-of-value premium that misaligns incentives for application-specific chains.

  • Inflexible Fee Markets: App usage competes with DeFi and NFTs for block space.
  • Misaligned Security Budget: Apps pay for the entire network's security, not their own.
  • Value Capture Leakage: Protocol revenue flows to L1 validators, not the app's own stakeholders.
>99%
Fee Leakage
1 Asset
All Functions
02

The Solution: dYdX's Operational Token

The dYdX token is a pure utility instrument for its Cosmos appchain, governing staking, fees, and security. It is explicitly not an investment contract.

  • Fee Payment: Users pay transaction fees in USDC, not the native token, decoupling usage from token speculation.
  • Staking for Security: Token holders stake to run validators and sequencers, earning USDC fees as rewards.
  • Sovereign Security Budget: The chain's security cost is directly funded by its own application revenue.
100%
USDC Fees
~$1B
Staked Value
03

The Solution: Celestia's Minimal Asset

Celestia's TIA token has a singular, critical utility: paying for data availability (DA) space on its modular blockchain. This creates a pure utility sink.

  • Resource Access: Rollups and appchains burn TIA to post data blobs, creating direct demand from builders.
  • No Execution Overhead: The token is not used for gas, avoiding speculative fee market distortions.
  • Scalable Demand: Token demand scales with rollup adoption, not with speculative trading volume.
~100KB/s
DA Capacity
Pay-Per-Use
Economic Model
04

The Problem: Ponzi-Nomics in DeFi 1.0

Legacy DeFi protocols like SushiSwap used token emissions to bootstrap liquidity, creating a ponzinomic death spiral. The token's only utility was farming more tokens.

  • Inflationary Rewards: >100% APY emissions diluted holders and created sell pressure.
  • No Value Accrual: Protocol fees were not directed to token holders (until later ve-token models).
  • Vampire Attacks: The model was easily forked, as the token had no technical utility anchoring it to the protocol.
-95%
Token Price (ATH)
Forkable
Weak MoAT
05

The Solution: EigenLayer's Restaked Security

EigenLayer's model repurposes a store-of-value asset (staked ETH) to provide security for new systems. The appchain (AVS) does not need its own high-value token.

  • Rented Security: AVSs pay fees in ETH or stablecoins to pooled Ethereum validators for cryptoeconomic security.
  • Zero-Inflation: The AVS can issue a minimal governance token without needing it to secure billions in stake.
  • Capital Efficiency: Leverages the existing $80B+ Ethereum staking market instead of bootstrapping a new one.
$80B+
Security Pool
Fee-Based
AVS Cost
06

The Verdict: Utility as a Sink, Not a Source

A successful appchain token is a consumable resource. Its value is a function of the cost to use the network, not a bet on future cash flows.

  • Demand-Driven Valuation: Price should correlate with network usage and throughput, not speculation.
  • Controlled Supply: Inflation is tied to security/staking needs, not investor rewards.
  • Exit to Community: The end state is a token held primarily by users and operators, not passive investors.
Usage = Value
Core Thesis
Operators > Speculators
Holder Base
counter-argument
THE FEE BURN FALLACY

Counter-Argument: What About Scarcity Through Burning?

Fee-burning mechanisms create a misleading sense of scarcity that fails to establish true monetary premium for appchain tokens.

Fee-burning is circular logic. Burning a token to pay for its own network's fees creates a closed-loop demand sink. This is not external demand for the token as an asset; it is operational overhead for using the chain. The value accrual is a self-referential accounting trick, not a store-of-value proposition.

Compare to Ethereum's base layer. ETH's burn via EIP-1559 works because it is the universal settlement asset for a vast ecosystem of L2s, DeFi, and NFTs. An appchain token like dYdX's DYDX or GMX's GMX only burns fees from its single application, lacking the diversified demand base required for monetary premium.

Evidence from L2 sequencer fees. Arbitrum and Optimism collect fees in ETH, not their native tokens, for a reason. They prioritize user experience and composability over artificial tokenomics. A token whose primary utility is being burned for its own service is a consumptive asset, not a capital asset.

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

FAQ: Appchain Token Realities

Common questions about the economic design and investment risks of application-specific blockchain tokens.

Appchain tokens are utility assets, not monetary policy instruments, designed for transaction fees and governance. Their value is tied to the app's usage, not scarcity or inflation hedging like Bitcoin. Projects like dYdX and Aevo use tokens for staking and fee discounts, making them volatile operational tools.

investment-thesis
THE UTILITY TRAP

The Correct Investment Thesis: Bet on the Network, Not the Token

Appchain tokens are utility assets for network security and operations, not monetary primitives designed for capital preservation.

Appchain tokens are utility assets. Their primary function is to pay for execution and security, not to act as a long-term store of value. This is a fundamental design choice, not a flaw.

The monetary premium is reserved for the base layer. Bitcoin and Ethereum capture value as the foundational settlement and security layers. An appchain token like dYdX's DYDX or Avalanche subnet tokens compete for utility, not monetary status.

Value accrual is a function of usage, not scarcity. Token price should correlate with network throughput and fee revenue, not a fixed supply schedule. A token appreciating without usage growth is a speculative bubble.

Evidence: The total value secured (TVS) of appchains like Cosmos zones or Polygon Supernets is a better health metric than token market cap. A high TVS-to-token-cap ratio signals efficient security utility.

takeaways
APPCHAIN TOKEN ECONOMICS

Key Takeaways for Builders and Investors

Appchain tokens are utility-first assets designed for network security and governance, not passive wealth preservation. Their value accrual is fundamentally different from L1s like Ethereum.

01

The Problem: Security is a Service, Not a Property

An appchain's security is a recurring operational cost, not a permanent asset. The token's primary utility is to pay validators for this service. This creates a constant sell pressure as stakers cover operational costs, structurally opposing price appreciation as a pure SoV.

  • Key Insight: Token value is pegged to the cost of security, not speculative future cash flows.
  • Builder Action: Design tokenomics that explicitly fund validator rewards via protocol revenue, not just inflation.
~5-20%
Annual Staking Yield
Constant
Sell Pressure
02

The Solution: Value Accrual Through Fee Capture

The viable path for appchain token appreciation is direct fee capture and burning, akin to EIP-1559. This transforms the token from a pure utility coin into a revenue-share asset.

  • Key Insight: Look for appchains that implement a substantial burn mechanism on transaction fees or MEV.
  • Investor Signal: Scrutinize the % of protocol revenue that is burned or distributed to stakers versus paid to the foundation.
>70%
Fee Burn Target
Net Positive
Flow
03

The Reality: Hyper-Fragmented Liquidity

Every new appchain (dYdX, Sei, Berachain) fragments liquidity and investor attention. This limits the total addressable market for any single appchain token as a dominant SoV.

  • Key Insight: Appchain tokens compete in a winner-take-most market for speculative capital.
  • Builder Action: Pursue deep integration with DeFi liquidity hubs (Ethereum L2s, Solana) via canonical bridges to mitigate fragmentation.
100s
Competing Chains
<1%
Dominance Possible
04

The Precedent: Look at Cosmos Hub's ATOM

ATOM's historical price stagnation showcases the utility token trap. Despite securing a vast ecosystem, its value accrual was weak until recent governance proposals (like Interchain Security) tied its security service to direct revenue.

  • Key Insight: A token securing other chains (via shared security like EigenLayer, Babylon) can become a more robust asset.
  • Investor Signal: Favor appchains whose token is essential for securing high-value external chains or rollups.
Long
Utility Phase
Recent
Value Accrual
05

The Alternative: Layer 2s as a Better Model

Native L2 tokens (e.g., Arbitrum, Optimism) often have weaker SoV claims than ETH, but they benefit from Ethereum's base-layer security and liquidity. Their success is tied to scaling ETH's SoV, not competing with it.

  • Key Insight: An appchain that doesn't need its own token for security (e.g., using Ethereum or Cosmos for settlement) removes the core utility-driven sell pressure.
  • Builder Action: Seriously evaluate rollup frameworks (OP Stack, Arbitrum Orbit) vs. a sovereign chain.
ETH-Backed
Security
Lower
Token Pressure
06

The Metric: Security-to-Market-Cap Ratio

Evaluate an appchain token by comparing its market cap to the value it secures (TVL + annualized fee revenue). A low ratio suggests the token is undervalued for its utility; a high ratio implies it's priced as a pure speculative SoV.

  • Key Insight: Sustainable tokens have a market cap justified by the economic activity they protect and facilitate.
  • Investor Action: Calculate this ratio. Avoid tokens where MCap >> (TVL + 5*Annual Fees).
MCap / TVL
Key Ratio
< 1.0
Target Zone
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