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liquid-staking-and-the-restaking-revolution
Blog

The Future of Collateral: Why Every Stablecoin Will Be Backed by LSTs

An analysis of how Liquid Staking Tokens (LSTs) like stETH and rswETH provide superior, yield-generating collateral, making them the inevitable backbone for the next generation of capital-efficient, decentralized stablecoins.

introduction
THE INEVITABLE SHIFT

Introduction

The $150B stablecoin market will be re-collateralized by Liquid Staking Tokens, unlocking a new era of capital efficiency and yield.

Stablecoins are broken collateral engines. They lock billions in idle assets like US Treasuries, creating a massive opportunity cost for holders and issuers.

Liquid Staking Tokens (LSTs) are the superior primitive. Unlike static T-bills, LSTs like stETH and sfrxETH are productive, on-chain assets that generate native yield, solving the capital efficiency problem.

The flywheel is already spinning. Protocols like Ethena and Lybra Finance demonstrate the model, using staked ETH as collateral to mint yield-bearing synthetic dollars.

Evidence: The LST market exceeds $50B, with Lido's stETH alone representing a $30B base layer of programmable, yield-generating collateral ready for absorption.

thesis-statement
THE CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TRAP

The Inevitable Thesis

The pursuit of capital efficiency will force all stablecoin issuers to adopt Liquid Staking Tokens as their primary collateral.

Idle capital is a protocol tax. Every dollar of stablecoin collateral sitting in a non-yielding asset represents a direct, compounding cost for the issuer and a negative carry trade for the holder. LSTs like stETH and sfrxETH solve this by converting dormant collateral into a productive asset, generating a native yield that subsidizes the system.

Yield-bearing collateral is a competitive moat. A stablecoin backed by Lido or Frax Finance LSTs accrues value for its treasury or holders, enabling fee reductions or direct revenue sharing. This creates a flywheel where adoption increases yield, which further drives adoption, a dynamic inert stablecoins like USDC cannot replicate.

The regulatory path is clearer. Backing a stablecoin with a decentralized, on-chain yield asset like rswETH is a simpler compliance narrative than opaque real-world assets (RWAs). Regulators understand staking yields; they distrust tokenized invoices. This clarity accelerates institutional adoption for protocols like Mountain Protocol's USDM.

The data validates the shift. Ethena's USDe, which uses stETH as delta-hedged collateral, reached a $2B supply in under a year. Its synthetic dollar model demonstrates that the market demands and rewards yield-bearing stability, making the old model of idle reserves obsolete.

market-context
THE LIQUIDITY TRAP

The Current Collateral Mismatch

Traditional stablecoin models are structurally inefficient, locking away productive capital to back inert tokens.

Stablecoins are capital sinks. The $150B+ in USDC and USDT reserves sits idle in T-bills and bank accounts, generating yield for the issuer, not the holder.

Liquid Staking Tokens (LSTs) solve this. Assets like Lido's stETH or Rocket Pool's rETH are productive collateral, earning native staking yield while maintaining liquidity.

The mismatch is a $100B+ opportunity. Protocols like Ethena and Lybra Finance demonstrate that yield-bearing stablecoins capture demand, turning collateral from a cost center into a revenue stream.

Evidence: MakerDAO's Spark Protocol now accepts stETH as primary collateral, signaling the institutional pivot towards productive assets over static reserves.

THE FUTURE OF STABLECOIN BACKING

Collateral Showdown: LSTs vs. The Field

A first-principles comparison of collateral types for next-generation stablecoins, evaluating yield, capital efficiency, and systemic risk.

Feature / MetricLiquid Staking Tokens (LSTs)Traditional Assets (USDC/USDT)Exotic Collateral (RWA, LP Tokens)

Native Yield Generation

3-5% (Ethereum staking)

0% (cash equivalents)

4-12% (variable, protocol-dependent)

Capital Efficiency (Loan-to-Value)

85-90% (e.g., Aave, Maker)

95-100% (de facto peg)

50-75% (volatility discount)

Settlement Finality

On-chain, deterministic

Off-chain, requires banking rails

Hybrid, introduces oracle/legal risk

Composability & DeFi Integration

Primary Risk Vector

Validator slashing & consensus risk

Centralized issuer & regulatory seizure

Opaque off-chain performance & liquidation lag

Liquidity Depth (DeFi TVL Share)

25% of all DeFi TVL

50% of all DeFi TVL

<5% of all DeFi TVL

Automation Potential (e.g., EigenLayer AVS)

Protocol Examples

Lido stETH, Rocket Pool rETH

Circle USDC, Tether USDT

MakerDAO (RWA), Aave GHO (LP-backed)

deep-dive
THE CAPITAL EFFICIENCY ENGINE

The LST Collateral Flywheel

Liquid Staking Tokens are becoming the foundational collateral layer for stablecoins, unlocking a recursive yield loop that redefines capital efficiency.

LSTs are superior collateral because they are productive assets. Traditional stablecoin backing like US Treasuries or overcollateralized ETH is idle capital. An LST like stETH or rETH generates yield while serving as collateral, a dual-purpose utility that pure assets lack.

The flywheel is self-reinforcing. Protocols like Ethena and Lybra Finance mint stablecoins against LSTs. This creates demand for the LST, boosting its liquidity and utility, which in turn makes it more attractive as collateral, drawing in more capital to be staked.

This model outcompetes existing designs. MakerDAO's DAI relies on volatile, non-yielding assets or off-chain RWA oracles. An LST-backed stablecoin like Ethena's USDe is natively on-chain, censorship-resistant, and its yield automatically offsets its stability mechanism's costs.

Evidence: The Total Value Locked in liquid staking protocols exceeds $50B. Ethena's USDe, backed by stETH and ETH perps, reached a $2B supply in under six months, demonstrating the market's demand for yield-bearing collateral.

counter-argument
THE RISKS

The Bear Case: Slashing, Depegs, and Concentration

The shift to LST-backed stablecoins introduces systemic risks from slashing penalties, depegs, and centralization.

Slashing risk is non-trivial. Proof-of-Stake slashing for downtime or malicious actions directly destroys the underlying collateral. A major slashing event for a dominant LST like Lido's stETH or Rocket Pool's rETH would cascade into a systemic depeg event for any stablecoin using it.

LST depegs are inevitable. Unlike fiat reserves, LSTs are volatile assets that can trade below their net asset value. The Curve 3pool depeg of stETH demonstrated this fragility. A stablecoin backed by a depegged LST loses its primary backing mechanism instantly.

Concentration creates a single point of failure. The LST market is dominated by Lido. A Lido-centric stablecoin ecosystem replicates the centralization risk of Tether's fiat reserves but with added smart contract and consensus-layer vulnerabilities.

Evidence: Lido commands over 30% of all staked ETH. A correlated slashing event across multiple validators, while low probability, would trigger simultaneous depegs in LSTs and any dependent stablecoins, creating a reflexive liquidity crisis.

protocol-spotlight
THE LST STABLECOIN FRONTIER

Protocols Building the Future

The $150B stablecoin market is being rebuilt on a new primitive: Liquid Staking Tokens. This is the capital-efficient endgame for DeFi collateral.

01

Lybra Finance: The First-Mover

Proved the product-market fit for LST-backed stablecoins with eUSD. It turns idle staking yield into a native, yield-bearing stable asset.

  • Capital Efficiency: Users earn staking yield and borrowing yield simultaneously.
  • Stability Mechanism: Uses a ~170% collateral ratio and arbitrage mechanisms to maintain peg.
  • Network Effect: Dominant on Ethereum L2s like Linea and Mode, with $500M+ peak TVL.
2x Yield
Capital Efficiency
$500M+
Peak TVL
02

Prisma Finance: The Multi-Collateral Architect

Builds a generalized LST vault system supporting mkUSD. Its risk-isolated architecture is the blueprint for the future.

  • Risk Segmentation: Isolates different LSTs (e.g., stETH, cbETH) into separate vaults to contain depeg risk.
  • Governance Minimization: Liquidations are fully automated via Chainlink oracles and a keeper network.
  • Scale: Attracted $1B+ TVL by offering deeper liquidity and broader collateral acceptance than single-asset models.
1B+ TVL
At Scale
Auto-Liquidate
Minimal Governance
03

Ethena Labs: The Synthetic Dollar Pioneer

Extends the LST collateral thesis into derivatives with USDe, creating a crypto-native, yield-bearing 'synthetic dollar'.

  • Delta-Neutral Backing: Collateralizes stETH and shorts ETH perpetual futures to create a USD-pegged asset.
  • Yield Source: Captures both staking yield and funding rates, often generating >20% APY.
  • Systemic Importance: Grew to $2B+ in supply in months, demonstrating massive demand for non-traditional, yield-generating stable assets.
>20% APY
Native Yield
$2B+
Supply
04

The Problem: Idle Trillions & Fragmented Yield

$70B+ in LSTs is largely dormant as collateral. Traditional stablecoins like USDC rely on off-chain trust and offer 0% native yield.

  • Capital Inefficiency: Staked assets are locked in a single yield source.
  • Trust Dependence: Fiat-backed stables reintroduce centralization and regulatory attack vectors.
  • Yield Fragmentation: Users must constantly move between staking, lending, and trading protocols to optimize returns.
$70B+
Dormant LSTs
0% Yield
Legacy Stables
05

The Solution: Programmable, Yield-Bearing Money

LST-backed stables are native to DeFi. They are the logical endpoint for collateral efficiency, merging secure backing with inherent yield.

  • Composability: Becomes the default collateral and medium of exchange across Aave, Compound, and Uniswap.
  • Automated Stability: Pegs are maintained via on-chain arbitrage and liquidation mechanisms, not banking partners.
  • Yield Stacking: The base layer of a new financial stack where money itself appreciates, enabling negative-rate lending and sustainable protocols.
Native Yield
Base Layer
DeFi Native
No Off-Chain Trust
06

The Endgame: LSTs as the Reserve Asset

The trajectory is clear: LSTs will become the primary reserve asset for the decentralized financial system, outcompeting traditional bonds and fiat deposits.

  • Network Security Flywheel: Demand for stablecoins directly increases demand for staking, securing the underlying L1.
  • Monetary Policy via Code: MakerDAO's Endgame Plan explicitly shifts to staked ETH as its core reserve, signaling industry direction.
  • Trillion-Dollar Addressable Market: Absorbs the market cap of legacy stables and traditional money market funds.
Primary Reserve
Systemic Role
Trillion $
Addressable Market
risk-analysis
THE LST BACKING THESIS

Critical Risks & Failure Modes

The pivot to Liquid Staking Tokens as primary collateral is inevitable but introduces novel systemic risks that must be engineered around.

01

The Slashing Contagion Problem

A major slashing event on a foundational L1 like Ethereum could simultaneously depeg multiple LST-backed stablecoins, creating a correlated devaluation spiral.\n- Risk: A >5% slashing penalty on a major LST like stETH could trigger a $5B+ capital shortfall across protocols.\n- Solution: Protocols like EigenLayer and Babylon are creating slashing insurance pools and diversified validator sets to isolate and socialize this tail risk.

>5%
Slashing Risk
$5B+
Exposure
02

The Liquidity Fragility Paradox

LSTs derive liquidity from their underlying DEX pools, which can evaporate during market stress, making stablecoin redemptions impossible.\n- Risk: A bank-run scenario on a stablecoin like USDe could drain Curve/Uniswap pools, causing the LST collateral to trade at a >10% discount to NAV.\n- Solution: Native yield must fund deep, permissionless liquidity backstops. Protocols like Mellow Finance and Aerodrome are building ve(3,3) flywheels to incentivize permanent LP capital.

>10%
Discount to NAV
ve(3,3)
Defense Model
03

The Oracle Centralization Attack

All LST-backed stablecoins are critically dependent on price oracles (Chainlink, Pyth). A manipulation or failure here is a single point of failure.\n- Risk: A flash loan attack manipulating the stETH/USD oracle by 5-10% could allow an attacker to mint unlimited, undercollateralized stablecoin debt.\n- Solution: Moving beyond spot price feeds to TWAP oracles and proof-of-reserve attestations (e.g., Lagrange's ZK proofs of state) for real-time collateral verification.

5-10%
Manipulation Threshold
ZK Proofs
Verification Shift
04

The Regulatory Reclassification Bomb

Regulators (SEC) may classify high-yield, LST-backed stablecoins as unregistered securities, forcing mass redemptions and killing composability.\n- Risk: A Howey Test determination against yield-bearing stable assets could force walled-garden compliance and fragment DeFi liquidity.\n- Solution: Architecting stablecoins as non-yield-bearing claim tickets on a segregated treasury, separating the regulatory asset (the stablecoin) from the yield-bearing asset (the LST), as seen in MakerDAO's Endgame Plan.

Howey Test
Key Risk
Segregated
Treasury Model
05

The Yield Dependency Death Spiral

Stablecoin demand is pro-cyclical: high yield attracts capital in bull markets, but evaporating yield in bear markets triggers redemptions and deleveraging.\n- Risk: A sustained drop in Ethereum staking yield below 2% could trigger a cascade of redemptions from yield-chasing capital, forcing liquidations.\n- Solution: Diversifying yield sources beyond pure consensus rewards to include MEV sharing, restaking rewards (EigenLayer), and real-world asset yields to create a more stable APR floor.

<2%
APR Risk Floor
MEV + RWA
Yield Diversification
06

The Composability Systemic Risk

LSTs like stETH are the base collateral layer for the entire DeFi stack. A failure in one major LST-backed stablecoin protocol could cascade through Aave, Compound, and Frax Finance.\n- Risk: A depeg event becomes a cross-protocol insolvency event due to rehypothecation, similar to the UST collapse but with a more fundamental asset.\n- Solution: Implementing circuit breakers, debt ceiling isolation per collateral type, and real-time risk dashboards (like Gauntlet) to monitor inter-protocol exposure concentrations.

Cross-Protocol
Contagion
Circuit Breakers
Critical Defense
future-outlook
THE FUTURE OF COLLATERAL

The 24-Month Outlook

Liquid Staking Tokens (LSTs) will become the dominant collateral type for all major stablecoins within two years.

LSTs are superior collateral. They generate native yield, which solves the capital inefficiency of idle USDC/T-bills. This yield subsidizes protocol operations and user incentives, creating a flywheel that pure fiat-collateralized models cannot match.

The transition is already underway. MakerDAO's Endgame Plan explicitly shifts DAI backing to Ethena's sUSDe and similar yield-bearing assets. This is a blueprint for Aave's GHO and Curve's crvUSD, moving them from passive to productive collateral.

Regulatory pressure accelerates this. The SEC's stance on tokenized securities makes on-chain T-bills a compliance minefield. LSTs like stETH and rETH are treated as commodities, offering a clearer path for stablecoin issuers.

Evidence: Ethena's USDe, backed by stETH and ETH perps, reached a $3B supply in under a year. This demonstrates the market's demand for a yield-bearing stable primitive.

takeaways
THE LST-CENTRIC FUTURE

Key Takeaways for Builders

The $150B stablecoin market is undergoing a fundamental re-architecture, shifting from off-chain assets to on-chain, yield-bearing collateral.

01

The Problem: Idle Capital Kills Protocol Economics

Traditional stablecoin collateral (e.g., US Treasuries) earns yield off-chain, creating a $10B+ annual revenue gap for protocols. This is a massive, untapped native yield source.

  • Key Benefit: Convert dead collateral into productive assets
  • Key Benefit: Generate protocol-owned revenue to fund growth and sustainability
$10B+
Annual Yield Gap
0%
Native Yield Today
02

The Solution: LSTs as the Universal Collateral Layer

Liquid Staking Tokens (LSTs) like Lido's stETH, Rocket Pool's rETH, and EigenLayer's restaked assets provide a trust-minimized, high-liquidity yield base. They are the only asset class with native yield, deep liquidity, and composable security.

  • Key Benefit: Unlocks 4-6% native APY for backing stablecoins
  • Key Benefit: Creates a reflexive flywheel: more stablecoin demand → more staking demand → stronger network security
4-6%
Native APY
$50B+
LST TVL
03

The Blueprint: MakerDAO's Endgame is Your Playbook

Maker's shift to Ethena's sUSDe and planned Spark Protocol SubDAOs is the canonical case study. It's not just about backing—it's about building an entire yield-bearing monetary layer where stability is derived from delta-neutral hedging and staking rewards.

  • Key Benefit: Hedged yield transforms volatile crypto assets into stable collateral
  • Key Benefit: SubDAO model allows for specialized, risk-isolated vaults for different LSTs
15x
sUSDe Growth (6mo)
SubDAO
New Unit of Design
04

The Risk: Oracle Reliance is Your Single Point of Failure

LST-backed systems are only as strong as their price and liquidity oracles. A flash loan attack or oracle manipulation on a major LST could cascade through the entire stablecoin system, as seen in past DeFi exploits.

  • Key Benefit: Designing with Pyth Network or Chainlink's CCIP for robust data
  • Key Benefit: Implementing circuit breakers and multi-oracle fallbacks is non-negotiable
~500ms
Oracle Latency
>3
Oracle Feeds Needed
05

The Architecture: Modularize Collateral Management

Don't build a monolithic stablecoin. Build a collateral management hub that can onboard any yield-bearing asset. Use EigenLayer for cryptoeconomic security and Layer 2s like Arbitrum or Base for scaling settlement and liquidations.

  • Key Benefit: Future-proofs protocol against next-gen LSTs (e.g., restaked LSTs)
  • Key Benefit: Isolates risk and allows for optimized execution on fast, cheap L2s
L2
Settlement Layer
-90%
Liquidation Cost
06

The Endgame: Yield Becomes the Primary Product

The stablecoin itself becomes a yield-bearing money market fund. Competition shifts from 'most stable' to 'highest safe yield'. This is the convergence of MakerDAO, Aave, and Lido into a single primitive.

  • Key Benefit: User acquisition via yield, not just stability
  • Key Benefit: Captures the entire DeFi yield stack in one user-facing asset
1 Primitive
Money + Market
Yield-First
New Growth Loop
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