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layer-2-wars-arbitrum-optimism-base-and-beyond
Blog

Why Shared Sequencing Hubs Will Challenge Dominant L2s

An analysis of how neutral sequencing layers like Espresso and Astria commoditize the transaction ordering market, eroding the primary competitive advantage and revenue stream of integrated L2 stacks such as Arbitrum and Optimism.

introduction
THE SHIFT

Introduction

Shared sequencing hubs are a direct architectural challenge to the vertically integrated, walled-garden model of dominant L2s.

Shared sequencing hubs decouple execution from ordering, creating a neutral marketplace for block space. This commoditizes the core value proposition of L2s like Arbitrum and Optimism, which currently monetize their proprietary sequencers.

The primary threat is economic. Projects like Espresso, Astria, and Radius create a competitive sequencing layer where rollups pay for ordering, not for a full-stack franchise. This directly attacks the bundled revenue model of incumbent L2s.

Dominant L2s face unbundling. Their moat is not execution—which is commoditized—but their sequencer's ability to extract MEV and fees. A shared sequencer like Espresso's HotShot exposes this, forcing L2s to compete on execution quality alone.

Evidence: The rapid adoption of shared sequencing frameworks by new rollup stacks (e.g., Eclipse, Risc Zero) demonstrates market demand. This fragments the sequencer fee pool currently monopolized by Arbitrum and Optimism.

thesis-statement
THE ECONOMIC REALITY

The Core Argument: Sequencing as a Commodity

The technical and economic logic of shared sequencing will commoditize a core function of today's dominant L2s, eroding their moat.

Sequencing is a commodity service. It is a standardized computational task of ordering transactions. The value accrues to the execution and settlement layers, not the sequencer itself, just as ISPs don't capture the value of the internet.

Shared sequencers like Espresso and Astria unbundle this function. They offer L2s a neutral, high-throughput sequencing layer, removing the need for each rollup to build and maintain its own centralized sequencer.

This attacks the L2 moat. The primary defensibility of an L2 like Arbitrum or Optimism is not its sequencer but its EVM-compatible execution environment and network effects. A shared sequencer hub allows new rollups to launch with identical sequencing guarantees at lower cost.

Evidence: The modular thesis, championed by Celestia and EigenDA, proves markets unbundle monolithic stacks. Shared sequencing is the next logical step, with Espresso already demonstrating live interoperability tests across multiple rollups.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

The Economics of Control: Integrated vs. Shared Sequencing

A comparison of economic and technical trade-offs between L2s with integrated sequencers and those using shared sequencing hubs like Espresso, Astria, and Radius.

Feature / MetricIntegrated Sequencing (e.g., Arbitrum, Optimism)Shared Sequencing Hub (e.g., Espresso, Astria)Shared Sequencing w/ Enshrined DA (e.g., Radius)

Sequencer Revenue Capture

100% of priority fees & MEV

~10-30% of fees (hub fee)

~0-10% of fees (protocol fee)

Time-to-Finality (L2)

< 1 sec

~2-5 sec

~1-3 sec

Cross-Rollup Atomic Composability

Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS) Support

Sequencer Decentralization Timeline

Roadmap (12-24+ months)

Available at launch

Available at launch

Forced Inclusion Latency

~24 hours (via L1)

< 10 min (via hub)

< 10 min (via hub)

Primary Economic MoAT

Sequencer revenue & ecosystem lock-in

Interoperability premium & cost efficiency

Credible neutrality & security subsidy

Key Adoption Risk

Vendor lock-in & fragmentation

Hub reliability & liveness faults

Novel cryptoeconomic security

deep-dive
THE COMMODITIZATION

How Shared Sequencers Erode the L2 Stack

Shared sequencing hubs unbundle execution from ordering, transforming the L2 business model from a walled garden into a competitive marketplace.

Sequencer revenue evaporates. A dominant L2 like Arbitrum or Optimism monetizes its exclusive right to order transactions. Shared sequencers like Espresso, Astria, and Radius introduce a competitive market for block space ordering, collapsing this rent.

Execution becomes a commodity. With a neutral ordering layer, users and applications can route transactions to any compatible execution environment. This decouples liquidity from a single chain, mirroring the intent-based routing of UniswapX or Across.

The moat shifts to interoperability. An L2's value will derive from its virtual machine's performance and its integration with shared sequencing and shared proving networks like EigenDA and Avail. The stack modularizes.

Evidence: Espresso's testnet integration with Rollups like Caldera demonstrates that sequencer logic is portable. This proves the technical foundation for competition is already being built.

protocol-spotlight
THE SHARED SEQUENCER WARS

The Contenders: Who's Building the Utility Layer

Monolithic L2s like Arbitrum and Optimism are becoming bloated kingdoms. Shared sequencing hubs are the new utility layer, unbundling block production to challenge their dominance.

01

Espresso Systems: The Neutral Sequencing Marketplace

The Problem: L2s are locked into their own sequencers, creating centralization risks and missed MEV opportunities.\nThe Solution: A configurable, shared sequencer network that L2s and rollups can plug into.\n- HotShot consensus enables ~1-2 second finality for connected chains.\n- Timeboost feature allows users to pay for priority ordering, creating a transparent MEV market.

~2s
Finality
Configurable
Decentralization
02

Astria: The Modular Stack's Execution Layer

The Problem: Building a performant, decentralized sequencer is a massive engineering burden for new rollups.\nThe Solution: A shared sequencer that provides instant, censorship-resistant block production as a service.\n- Enables sovereign rollups to outsource sequencing while retaining settlement and DA.\n- No forking required—rollups can migrate from a centralized sequencer without a hard fork.

Sub-second
Block Time
Sovereign
Rollup Control
03

The Economic Attack Vector: Cross-Chain Atomic Composability

The Problem: Isolated L2s fragment liquidity and prevent complex, cross-chain DeFi strategies.\nThe Solution: Shared sequencers enable atomic execution across multiple rollups in a single block.\n- A single transaction can atomically swap assets on a zkSync rollup and borrow on an Arbitrum rollup.\n- This creates a unified liquidity layer that directly challenges the walled-garden value proposition of dominant L2s.

Atomic
Cross-Rollup TXs
Unified
Liquidity Layer
04

Radius: Cryptoeconomic Security via Encrypted Mempools

The Problem: MEV extraction by sequencers undermines user experience and creates toxic arbitrage.\nThe Solution: A shared sequencer that uses practical verifiable delay encryption (PVDE) to create a private mempool.\n- Transactions are encrypted until they are included in a block, neutralizing frontrunning.\n- Provides credible neutrality and fair ordering, making it the preferred utility layer for user-centric apps.

Neutral
Ordering
Encrypted
Mempool
05

The Endgame: L2s as Settlement-Only Layers

The Problem: Major L2s derive value and control from bundling execution, sequencing, and settlement.\nThe Solution: Shared sequencers unbundle the stack, reducing L2s to high-security settlement layers.\n- Optimism and Arbitrum become akin to Ethereum L1—secure but not monopolistic.\n- Innovation and user experience shift to the shared sequencing utility layer, commoditizing the L2 execution client.

Unbundled
Stack
Commoditized
L2 Execution
06

Near DA & EigenLayer: The Restaking Security Backbone

The Problem: New shared sequencers lack the billions in staked economic security that Ethereum provides.\nThe Solution: Leverage EigenLayer restaking and NEAR's data availability to bootstrap security and reduce costs.\n- Avail and EigenDA provide high-throughput, low-cost DA for sequencer batches.\n- Restaked ETH can secure the sequencing layer's consensus, creating a trust-minimized bridge to Ethereum's economic security.

$B+
Restaked Security
~$0.001
DA Cost/TX
counter-argument
THE ARCHITECTURAL SHIFT

The Bull Case for Integrated Stacks

Shared sequencing hubs will commoditize execution and force a re-evaluation of L2 moats.

Shared sequencers commoditize execution. A hub like Espresso or Astria provides a neutral, high-throughput ordering layer that any rollup can plug into. This separates the core function of transaction ordering from execution, reducing the technical moat of building an L2 from scratch.

Integrated stacks optimize for capital flow. Projects like Eclipse and Saga demonstrate that developers choose infrastructure based on user experience and liquidity, not sequencer loyalty. A shared sequencer enables atomic composability across rollups, creating a more unified environment than isolated L2 silos.

The value accrual shifts to the application layer. When sequencing is a cheap commodity, the competitive battleground moves to application-specific logic and distribution. This mirrors the evolution from monolithic blockchains to modular designs, where specialization wins.

Evidence: The Espresso Sequencer testnet processes over 10,000 TPS, demonstrating the throughput required to support multiple high-volume rollups simultaneously, a scale that challenges individual L2 teams to match.

risk-analysis
THE CENTRALIZATION TRAP

What Could Go Wrong? The Bear Case for Shared Sequencing

Shared sequencing promises a new era of interoperability, but its path is paved with risks that could undermine the very L2s it aims to connect.

01

The MEV Cartel Problem

Centralizing block production for multiple chains creates a single, powerful point for Maximal Extractable Value (MEV) extraction. A dominant sequencer hub like Espresso Systems or Astria could become a regulated financial entity or a target for sophisticated MEV bots, forcing L2s to choose between censorship resistance and interoperability.

>60%
Potential Market Share
$1B+
MEV at Risk
02

The L2 Commoditization Threat

If sequencing and execution are decoupled, an L2's core value shifts from its technical stack to its social consensus and liquidity. Rollups like Arbitrum and Optimism risk becoming interchangeable execution layers, competing solely on fee markets and developer grants, eroding their moats.

-90%
Sequencing Premium
TVL Migration
Key Risk
03

The Interoperability Bottleneck

A shared sequencer becomes a single point of failure for cross-rollup composability. An outage at a hub like Radius or EigenLayer wouldn't just halt one chain—it would freeze a $10B+ interconnected economy. This creates systemic risk greater than any individual L2 failure.

~500ms
Latency Target
100%
Correlated Downtime
04

The Regulatory Attack Surface

A centralized sequencing service with clear corporate ownership and jurisdiction is a fat target for regulators. Agencies like the SEC could classify the hub's tokens or operations as securities, imposing KYC/AML on the entire shared sequencer network and breaking its neutral, permissionless promise.

1 Entity
Legal Liability
Global
Regulatory Scope
05

The Protocol Fragmentation Endgame

The fight for sequencer revenue will lead to protocol wars, not unification. Major L2s will launch their own competing hubs (e.g., OP Stack's upcoming sequencer), while others like zkSync and Starknet may remain isolated. This results in multiple competing standards, fragmenting liquidity and defeating the purpose.

3-5 Hubs
Likely Outcome
Increased Complexity
For Devs
06

The Economic Unsustainability Thesis

Sequencer revenue from priority fees and MEV is insufficient to secure a multi-billion dollar hub. To be profitable, a shared sequencer must either extract excessive rent from L2s (driving them away) or rely on inflationary token emissions, creating a ponzinomic death spiral similar to early DeFi protocols.

<$50M
Annual Revenue (Est.)
$1B+ FDV
Typical Valuation
future-outlook
THE ARCHITECTURAL SHIFT

The Endgame: L2s as Execution-Only Environments

Shared sequencing hubs will commoditize L2 execution, forcing today's dominant rollups to compete purely on VM performance and developer experience.

Shared sequencing is inevitable. The current model where each L2 operates its own sequencer is a temporary, capital-inefficient monopoly. Projects like Astria, Espresso, and Shared Sequencer are building neutral, auction-based sequencing layers that any rollup can plug into.

Execution becomes a commodity. With sequencing and data availability (DA) outsourced to specialized layers like EigenDA or Celestia, an L2's core offering is reduced to its virtual machine (VM). The competition shifts from ecosystem lock-in to raw performance and gas efficiency.

The Arbitrum vs. Optimism war becomes irrelevant. Their primary advantage—network effects and liquidity—dissipates when users access a shared liquidity pool via intent-based bridges like Across and UniswapX. A new rollup with a faster zkEVM will instantly capture volume.

Evidence: The modular stack is already here. AltLayer's RaaS and Conduit's platform let anyone spin up an L2 in minutes. The only differentiator left is the execution environment itself, measured in cost per transaction and finality latency.

takeaways
THE COMING DISAGGREGATION

TL;DR for Protocol Architects

Shared sequencers are not just an optimization; they are a fundamental architectural shift that commoditizes L2 execution and attacks the core business model of integrated rollups.

01

The Problem: The L2 Monopoly Tax

Dominant L2s like Arbitrum and Optimism bundle sequencing, proving, and settlement to capture ~90% of MEV and enforce vendor-locked liquidity. This creates a fragmented, expensive user experience where cross-chain is a necessity, not a feature.\n- Captured Value: Sequencer profits are not shared with the ecosystem.\n- Fragmented Liquidity: TVL is siloed, increasing capital inefficiency.\n- Protocol Lock-in: Building on an L2 means adopting its entire, often suboptimal, stack.

~90%
MEV Capture
$10B+
Siloed TVL
02

The Solution: Espresso & Shared Sequencing Hubs

Decouple transaction ordering from execution. A neutral, decentralized sequencer network (like Espresso Systems, Astria, Radius) provides fast pre-confirmations and orders blocks for multiple rollups. This enables atomic composability across chains and democratizes MEV.\n- Cross-Rollup Atomicity: Enables native, trust-minimized composability between sovereign chains.\n- MEV Redistribution: Sequencer profits can be shared via MEV-Boost-like auctions.\n- Execution Agnosticism: Rollups can switch execution clients without rebuilding their sequencer set.

~500ms
Pre-confirm
Atomic
Cross-Chain
03

The New Battlefield: Execution & Settlement

With sequencing commoditized, the competitive moat for L2s shrinks to execution efficiency and settlement guarantees. This forces a reversion to first principles: who has the fastest VM (Ethereum, Solana VM, Move VM?) and the most secure data availability layer (EigenDA, Celestia, Avail?).\n- VM Wars Resume: Performance benchmarks become the primary differentiator.\n- DA as a Commodity: High-throughput, low-cost DA becomes a baseline expectation.\n- Specialized Rollups: Niche chains for gaming, DeFi, or privacy can thrive without operational overhead.

10x
VM Speed Focus
-50%
DA Cost
04

The Endgame: Validator-Based Sequencing

The logical conclusion is for the underlying L1 validator set (e.g., Ethereum via ePBS, Cosmos via Interchain Security) to become the universal sequencer. This provides the strongest economic security and finality, turning rollups into pure execution layers. Projects like Near DA and EigenLayer restaking are early signals.\n- Maximum Security: Inherits the full economic security of the base layer.\n- Canonical Finality: Eliminates re-org risks from competing sequencer sets.\n- Ultimate Neutrality: No single L2 operator controls the transaction pipeline.

L1 Secure
Sequencing
0 Re-orgs
Guarantee
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Shared Sequencing Hubs: The End of L2 Moats? | ChainScore Blog