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layer-2-wars-arbitrum-optimism-base-and-beyond
Blog

The Future of MEV Distribution: From Dark Forests to Public Goods

Layer 2 sequencers have centralized order flow, creating an existential threat to MEV redistribution protocols like CowSwap. This analysis explores the new L2 MEV stack and the battle for fair value distribution.

introduction
THE CONTRADICTION

Introduction: The L2 MEV Paradox

Layer 2s promise low fees but create new, more complex MEV markets that challenge their core value proposition.

L2s amplify MEV complexity. The sequencer's centralized ordering power creates a single, lucrative point of extraction, shifting MEV from a public mempool competition to a private negotiation.

Low fees increase MEV intensity. Cheaper transaction costs enable more sophisticated, high-frequency arbitrage strategies between L1 and L2s like Arbitrum and Optimism, turning cost savings into extractable profit.

The sequencer is the new miner. Protocols like Arbitrum and Base operate a sole sequencer, creating a centralized MEV cartel that captures value meant for users and app developers.

Evidence: Over 90% of cross-domain arbitrage MEV on major L2s is captured by a handful of searchers closely aligned with the sequencer operator, per Flashbots research.

deep-dive
THE POWER SHIFT

Deep Dive: The Sequencer as Ultimate Arbiter

The sequencer's control over transaction ordering and latency defines the new MEV supply chain, shifting power from miners to rollup operators.

Sequencers are the new miners. They inherit the order flow monopoly from Ethereum's block builders, but within a single-operator rollup environment. This centralizes the MEV extraction point at the L2 layer, creating a new revenue stream for rollup operators like Arbitrum and Optimism.

Proposer-Builder-Separation (PBS) moves off-chain. On Ethereum, PBS separates block building from proposing. In rollups, this separation occurs between the sequencer's private mempool and the public data availability layer. This creates a two-tiered MEV market where the sequencer captures the primary, high-value arbitrage.

The future is MEV redistribution. Protocols like Flashbots' SUAVE and Astria's shared sequencer network aim to democratize this power. They transform sequencer revenue from a private toll into a public good, funding protocol development or user rebates through mechanisms like MEV burn or retroactive public goods funding.

Evidence: Arbitrum sequencer revenue from MEV, primarily via DEX arbitrage on Uniswap, has exceeded $10M annually. This demonstrates the immense economic value now controlled by a single, centralized entity before transactions even reach Ethereum.

THE FUTURE OF MEV DISTRIBUTION

MEV Landscape: L1 vs. L2 Architecture

A comparison of MEV extraction, distribution, and mitigation strategies across different blockchain layers, analyzing their impact on user value and network security.

Feature / MetricEthereum L1 (Status Quo)Optimistic Rollup (e.g., OP Mainnet, Arbitrum)ZK-Rollup (e.g., zkSync Era, Starknet)

Primary MEV Extraction Method

Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS)

Centralized Sequencer

Centralized Prover & Sequencer

MEV Revenue Redistribution to Users

None (Validator Capture)

Up to 90% via sequencer fee burn/rebate

0% (Currently sequencer/prover capture)

Time to Finality for MEV Capture

12 seconds (Slot time)

~1 week (Challenge period)

< 1 hour (ZK-proof finality)

Dominant MEV Strategy

Arbitrage & Liquidations

Cross-domain arbitrage (L1->L2)

Same-chain DEX arbitrage

Native MEV Auction Mechanism

Block Space (via PBS)

Transaction Ordering (Potential future)

Transaction Ordering (Potential future)

Public Goods Funding from MEV

~$500M/yr (via EIP-1559 burn)

Protocol-owned sequencer profit

Not implemented

User-Protective Order Flow

Flashbots Protect, MEV-Share

Not applicable (centralized sequencer)

Not applicable (centralized sequencer)

Cross-Domain MEV Risk

Low (Destination chain)

High (L1->L2 arbitrage via bridges)

High (L1->L2 arbitrage via bridges)

protocol-spotlight
THE FUTURE OF MEV DISTRIBUTION

Protocol Spotlight: Adapt or Die

The $1B+ MEV market is a zero-sum game pitting users against extractors. New architectures are flipping the script, turning rent-seeking into a public good.

01

The Problem: The Dark Forest is Inefficient

Private order flow auctions (OFAs) like those from Flashbots and bloxroute create information asymmetry. This fragments liquidity and still leaves >90% of MEV captured by a few searchers, failing to return value to users and protocols.

  • Inefficient Price Discovery: Bids are hidden, preventing fair competition.
  • Protocol Revenue Leakage: Value extracted from Uniswap or Aave pools doesn't flow back to them.
  • Centralization Pressure: Reliance on a few dominant block builders.
>90%
Extractor Capture
$1B+
Annual MEV
02

The Solution: In-Protocol MEV Capture

Protocols like CowSwap (via CoW Protocol) and UniswapX internalize the auction. They act as order flow aggregators and settle batches off-chain or in a dedicated domain, capturing MEV for users.

  • User Value Return: MEV becomes a discount via surplus or improved prices.
  • Composability Killer: Reduces reliance on external DEX aggregators.
  • Intent-Based Future: Users specify what they want, not how to execute it.
$2B+
Surplus Saved
~100%
Fill Rate
03

The Solution: MEV-Smoothing as a Public Good

Networks like EigenLayer and Espresso are creating shared sequencing layers that democratize block building. MEV is captured at the protocol level and redistributed.

  • Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS) Enforced: Prevents vertical integration of validators and builders.
  • Credible Neutrality: Sequencing is a commodity, not a competitive edge.
  • Funds Public Goods: MEV revenue can be directed to protocol treasuries or developer grants via mechanisms like EigenLayer's shared security.
1000+
Active Validators
Redistributed
MEV Revenue
04

The Solution: SUAVE - A Universal MEV Lane

Flashbots' SUAVE aims to decentralize the entire MEV supply chain. It's a specialized chain for preference expression, block building, and execution, creating a transparent marketplace.

  • Unbundles the Stack: Separates searchers, builders, and executors into distinct roles.
  • Cross-Chain Native: Designed to handle MEV across Ethereum, rollups, and alternative L1s.
  • Competitive Pricing: Open bidding should drive costs toward marginal gas fees.
Decentralized
Supply Chain
Universal
Chain Coverage
05

The New Threat: Cross-Chain MEV Arbitrage

Bridging assets via LayerZero, Axelar, or Wormhole creates new arbitrage vectors. Searchers exploit price differences between native and bridged assets, a risk Across Protocol mitigates with its optimistic bridge.

  • Liquidity Fragmentation: Every new chain is a new venue for extraction.
  • Bridge-Specific Risks: Vulnerabilities in relayers or oracles can be exploited.
  • Requires New Primitives: Needs cross-domain block builders and shared sequencers to manage.
Multi-Chain
Attack Surface
Fast
Exploit Window
06

Adaptation Imperative: The Endgame

Protocols that fail to capture and redistribute their own MEV will become economic subsidies for extractors. The future is intent-based, batch-auctioned, and credibly neutral.

  • Winners: Protocols that own their order flow (UniswapX, CowSwap).
  • Infrastructure: Shared sequencers (EigenLayer, Espresso) and dedicated chains (SUAVE).
  • Losers: Simple AMMs and protocols reliant on naive transaction mempools.
Adapt
or Die
Public Good
End State
counter-argument
THE STRUCTURAL SHIFT

Counter-Argument: Is Sequencer MEV Inevitable?

Sequencer MEV is a temporary artifact of centralized ordering, not a permanent feature of rollup architecture.

Sequencer MEV is structural arbitrage. It exists because a single entity controls transaction ordering before state finality. This creates a rent-extractive position between the user and L1 settlement.

Decentralized sequencing dissolves this privilege. Protocols like Espresso, Astria, and Shared Sequencer networks like Radius enforce commit-reveal schemes and fair ordering. This transforms the sequencer role from a profit center into a neutral utility.

The endgame is MEV-as-Public-Good. With decentralized sequencing, extracted value is captured and redistributed via mechanisms like MEV burn or protocol treasury funding. This mirrors Ethereum's post-merge fee burn, internalizing a negative externality.

Evidence: Espresso's testnet integrates with Rollkit and Caldera, demonstrating viable shared sequencing. This proves the technical path exists to separate block production from MEV capture.

risk-analysis
FROM DARK FORESTS TO PUBLIC GOODS

Risk Analysis: The Bear Case for L2 MEV

The centralization of MEV extraction threatens L2 neutrality and creates systemic risk, forcing a re-evaluation of who should capture this value.

01

The Sequencer Monopoly Problem

L2s like Arbitrum and Optimism currently run centralized sequencers, granting them a privileged, rent-extracting position. This creates a single point of failure and control, directly contradicting decentralization promises.

  • Risk: Sequencer can front-run, censor, and extract >99% of chain MEV.
  • Consequence: User trust degrades, making L2s feel like a bank, not a blockchain.
>99%
MEV Capture
1
Active Sequencer
02

Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS) is Not a Panacea

While PBS (e.g., Flashbots SUAVE, EigenLayer) decentralizes block building, it centralizes block proposal into a few high-stake validators. On L2s, this risks recreating Ethereum's builder cartels at a smaller, more fragile scale.

  • Risk: MEV profits accrue to capital-rich entities, not users or the protocol.
  • Consequence: Vertical integration between builders and sequencers creates new opaque power structures.
~5
Dominant Builders
Capital
Barrier to Entry
03

The Inevitable Rise of Encrypted Mempools

User demand for privacy will kill the open mempool model. Protocols like Shutter Network and Ethereum's Pectra upgrade (EIP-7266) enable encrypted transaction bundles, neutralizing front-running and sandwich attacks at the source.

  • Solution: MEV is transformed from predatory extraction to coordination fee for complex bundle construction.
  • Future: Builders compete on service quality, not latency, reducing the dark forest to a public park.
~0s
Front-Run Window
Service
New Competition
04

MEV as a Protocol Public Good

The only sustainable endgame is for the protocol itself to capture and redistribute MEV. Optimism's RetroPGF and EigenLayer's shared sequencer models point the way: MEV revenue funds developer grants, protocol treasury, or user rebates.

  • Mechanism: A credibly neutral auction (e.g., CowSwap-style batch auctions) determines block building rights.
  • Outcome: Value accrues to the L2's ecosystem, aligning incentives for long-term health.
100%
To Ecosystem
PGF
Funding Model
future-outlook
THE DISTRIBUTION

Future Outlook: Paths to Public Goods

The future of MEV is a shift from private extraction to a public goods funding mechanism.

MEV becomes infrastructure revenue. The value captured from transaction ordering will be recognized as a native protocol resource, similar to gas fees, and redirected to fund core development and security.

Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS) is the prerequisite. PBS, as implemented by Ethereum's roadmap and protocols like Flashbots SUAVE, creates a transparent market for block space, enabling the redirection of builder profits.

The endgame is protocol-owned MEV. Projects like Cosmos with interchain security and Solana with priority fee markets are exploring models where a portion of extracted value accrues directly to the protocol treasury.

Evidence: Ethereum's PBS roadmap explicitly includes a 'fee-burn' mechanism for builder payments, creating a direct path for MEV to fund the network's public goods.

takeaways
MEV REDISTRIBUTION

Key Takeaways

The extraction of Maximal Extractable Value is evolving from a hidden tax into a programmable resource, forcing a redesign of blockchain economic incentives.

01

The Problem: The Dark Forest is a Systemic Tax

Sealed-bid auctions and private mempools like Flashbots Protect and Titan Builder have privatized MEV, creating an opaque tax on users. This centralizes power with a few sophisticated actors and erodes trust in fair sequencing.

  • ~$700M+ extracted annually, largely captured by top builders.
  • Creates negative externalities like front-running and sandwich attacks.
  • Centralizes block production, undermining decentralization guarantees.
$700M+
Annual Extract
~3
Top Builders Dominate
02

The Solution: Programmable MEV as a Public Good

Protocols like EigenLayer, Espresso, and SUAVE are creating markets to redirect MEV revenue. This transforms value capture into value distribution, funding network security and public goods.

  • EigenLayer restakers can opt into sequencers that redistribute profits.
  • MEV-Boost+ and MEV-Share enable proposer-builder separation (PBS) with revenue sharing.
  • Creates sustainable funding for protocol treasuries and developer grants.
>30%
Potential Redistribution
PBS
Core Mechanism
03

The Future: Intents & Encrypted Mempools

The endgame shifts from transaction execution to intent declaration. Systems like UniswapX, Anoma, and Flashbots SUAVE let users express desired outcomes, while encrypted mempools (e.g., Shutter Network) prevent front-running.

  • Intents abstract complexity and capture MEV at the application layer.
  • FHE/TEE-based mempools enable fair ordering before execution.
  • Transforms MEV from a bug into a verifiable, auctioned resource.
Intent-Based
New Primitive
0
Pre-trade Leaks
04

The Metric: Capture vs. Redistribution Efficiency

Success is measured by the Redistribution Ratio: the percentage of captured MEV returned to users, validators, or the public. Protocols that optimize this will win.

  • High Ratio attracts users and stake, creating a virtuous cycle.
  • Requires cryptoeconomic security to prevent re-centralization.
  • MEV-aware L2s like Arbitrum and Optimism are building this in from day one.
Redistribution Ratio
Key KPI
L1/L2
Native Feature
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L2 MEV Crisis: Why Sequencers Are Killing CowSwap & MEV Redistribution | ChainScore Blog