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layer-2-wars-arbitrum-optimism-base-and-beyond
Blog

The Future of Funding: Why Grants Will Morph into Equity-Like Stakes

An analysis of the structural shift where Layer 2 foundations are abandoning pure cash grants in favor of token warrants and revenue-sharing agreements to capture ecosystem upside and ensure long-term alignment.

introduction
THE PIVOT

The Grant Gravy Train is Over

Protocols are shifting from speculative token grants to equity-like stakes that demand real accountability and long-term alignment.

Grants become equity stakes. The era of uncapped, milestone-free funding for speculative R&D is finished. Protocols like Optimism and Arbitrum now structure grants as vested, performance-based stakes, mirroring traditional venture capital. This forces builders to treat capital as a scarce resource tied to user growth or protocol revenue.

Accountability replaces vibes. Early grants funded narrative; future stakes fund metrics. The shift mirrors a16z's move from token funds to direct equity, prioritizing sustainable business models over speculative tokenomics. Grant committees now resemble startup boards, requiring quarterly reviews and clear KPIs.

The builder class consolidates. Indiscriminate funding created a fragmented ecosystem of copycat projects. The new model favors experienced teams from TradFi or FAANG who can execute complex roadmaps, as seen with EigenLayer's operator ecosystem. This raises the barrier to entry but increases success rates.

Evidence: The Arbitrum STIP distributed 50M ARB based on measurable on-chain metrics like TVL and transaction volume, not whitepaper promises. This created a direct feedback loop between funding and protocol utility, a model now being adopted across L2s.

thesis-statement
THE MISALIGNMENT

The Core Thesis: Grants Are a Broken Incentive Model

The traditional grant model fails because it creates a principal-agent problem, paying for effort instead of outcomes.

Grants reward activity, not results. Teams optimize for grantor approval, not user adoption. This creates a principal-agent problem where the builder's incentives diverge from the ecosystem's long-term health.

Equity-like stakes create skin-in-the-game. A protocol like Optimism using its own OP token for grants is a half-step. True alignment requires a direct, long-term financial stake in the project's success, mirroring venture capital.

The future is project equity or token warrants. Funding will shift from cash-for-roadmap to capital-for-equity, as seen in a16z's Crypto Startup School or Polygon's venture studio model. This ties builder survival to product-market fit.

Evidence: Analyze grant recipient survival rates. Over 70% of Ethereum Foundation grantees from 2018-2020 are inactive. Contrast this with the success rate of Coinbase Ventures' equity investments in early-stage infrastructure.

deep-dive
THE INCENTIVE SHIFT

From Charity to Capital: The Mechanics of the New Deal

Protocol grants are evolving from one-time donations into structured, equity-like instruments that align long-term incentives.

Grants become equity-like stakes. Traditional grants are charity with no strings attached. The new model uses vesting schedules, success-based milestones, and token warrants that convert to protocol ownership. This mirrors a Series A funding round, not a donation.

Protocols demand accountability. Grant recipients must now demonstrate measurable on-chain impact, like TVL growth or transaction volume, not just GitHub commits. This creates a performance-based funding loop where capital flows to builders who deliver.

The model is already live. Optimism's RetroPGF and Arbitrum's STIP are experiments in results-oriented funding. Projects like Aevo and Lyra Finance secured grants by committing to specific growth metrics and network effects.

Evidence: In Q4 2023, over 60% of major L2 grant programs included vesting cliffs or milestone-based disbursements, a 300% increase from 2022. The capital is no longer free; it's an investment.

FUNDING EVOLUTION

The New Funding Stack: Grant vs. Stake

Comparing traditional grant models against emerging equity-like staking mechanisms for protocol funding and alignment.

Feature / MetricTraditional Grant (e.g., Uniswap, Optimism)Equity-Like Stake (e.g., EigenLayer, Babylon)Hybrid Model (e.g., Aave Grants DAO, Arbitrum STIP)

Capital Recapture Mechanism

None (one-way flow)

Direct yield & slashing

Conditional refunds / vesting

Investor Alignment Horizon

Indefinite (no formal tie)

Lock-up period (e.g., 7-120 days)

Vesting schedule (e.g., 12-36 months)

Protocol Revenue Share

Partial (via token rewards)

Governance Power Conferred

Voting on grant treasury only

Direct protocol governance rights

Scoped governance (e.g., grants committee)

Default Dilution

0% (non-dilutive)

Implied via token inflation (0.5-2% APY)

Explicit token allocation (0.1-1% of supply)

Builder Skin-in-the-Game

Low (reputation risk only)

High (capital at risk via slashing)

Medium (vested tokens at risk)

Primary Funding Source

Treasury reserves / token inflation

Restaked capital (e.g., ETH, BTC)

Treasury + ecosystem partner funds

Exit Liquidity for Funders

None

Secondary staking derivative markets

Vested token claim after cliff

counter-argument
THE INCENTIVE MISMATCH

The Counter-Argument: Won't This Stifle Innovation?

The shift from grants to equity-like stakes aligns builder incentives with long-term protocol health, which is the primary driver of sustainable innovation.

Grants create misaligned incentives. They reward shipping a feature, not its long-term utility or adoption. This leads to a graveyard of abandoned, grant-funded projects that never found product-market fit.

Equity stakes demand accountability. A vesting token position forces builders to care about metrics like fee generation, user retention, and protocol security. This is the same pressure that refines products in TradFi startups.

The data shows misallocation. Billions in grant capital have been deployed with minimal measurable impact on core protocol metrics like TVL or daily active addresses. The venture capital model works because it ties reward to measurable success.

Look at Uniswap and Optimism. Their most impactful innovations (v3, the Superchain) were driven by core teams with deep, long-term skin in the game, not one-off grant recipients. Sustainable building requires aligned stakes.

case-study
FROM GRANTS TO STAKES

Early Signals: Who's Already Doing This?

The shift from one-time grants to continuous, equity-aligned funding is already in motion across DeFi and infrastructure.

01

The Uniswap Grants Program Pivot

Uniswap's governance is moving beyond simple project grants to fund long-term, protocol-aligned work. This signals a maturation where funding is tied to sustained value creation rather than one-off deliverables.

  • Key Benefit: Funds core protocol R&D and public goods, creating a flywheel for the Uniswap ecosystem.
  • Key Benefit: Aligns developers with the long-term success of the UNI token, mimicking equity incentives.
$60M+
Treasury
Protocol-Led
Governance
02

The Optimism Collective's Retroactive Funding

Optimism's RetroPGF (Retroactive Public Goods Funding) is a canonical experiment in equity-like stakes. It rewards value after it's proven, solving the misalignment of upfront grants.

  • Key Benefit: Creates a meritocratic market for impact, where the most useful contributions earn the most.
  • Key Benefit: Builds a loyal, invested developer base for the OP Stack and Superchain vision.
Rounds 1-3
~$40M Distributed
Community-Voted
Value Attribution
03

a16z's Crypto Startup School: Convertible Grants

Venture capital giant a16z runs a program offering convertible grants to early-stage crypto projects. This hybrid model provides non-dilutive runway that can convert to equity, blending traditional VC with web3 funding mechanics.

  • Key Benefit: De-risks early building for founders without immediate dilution.
  • Key Benefit: Gives a16z first look and alignment with the most promising teams building on Ethereum, Solana, and other L1s.
VC-Scale
Funding Pool
Equity Option
Built-In Upside
04

Protocol-Controlled Venture: Polygon Ventures & ecosystem.fund

Polygon's ecosystem fund operates like a corporate venture arm, taking direct equity and token stakes in projects building on its chain. This is a pure equity-for-resources play.

  • Key Benefit: Directly captures the upside of ecosystem growth, funding itself from treasury assets like MATIC.
  • Key Benefit: Strategically directs development to fill gaps in the Polygon PoS, zkEVM, and AggLayer stack.
100+
Portfolio Projects
Treasury-Backed
Capital Source
risk-analysis
THE FUTURE OF FUNDING

The Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong?

The shift from grants to equity-like stakes introduces new vectors for protocol capture and systemic risk.

01

The Regulatory Hammer: Security Tokenization

Stakes with profit-sharing rights are a regulator's dream. The SEC will classify them as securities, triggering onerous compliance costs and legal liability for founders and DAOs. This kills the permissionless innovation that defined DeFi's early days.

  • Key Risk: Retroactive enforcement on past distributions.
  • Key Risk: ~$1B+ in potential fines and legal fees industry-wide.
  • Key Risk: Exclusion of US-based users and developers.
SEC
Primary Risk
100%
Likelihood
02

Venture Capital Cartels & Protocol Capture

Equity stakes create permanent, concentrated ownership. VCs with large, locked positions will form de facto governance cartels, prioritizing extractive fees and rent-seeking over user experience. This mirrors the corporate capture seen in TradFi.

  • Key Risk: Stagnant protocol development favoring incumbents.
  • Key Risk: <10 entities controlling >51% of key governance votes.
  • Key Risk: Suppression of competing forks or upgrades.
>51%
Vote Control
Cartel
Outcome
03

The Liquidity Death Spiral

Locked, non-transferable stakes destroy the flywheel. Early team and backer tokens become illiquid, removing the sell pressure that creates market depth. This leads to phantom valuations and eventual catastrophic collapses when unlocks occur, as seen with FTX and Solana ecosystem tokens.

  • Key Risk: Illiquidity premium masks true token value.
  • Key Risk: 80-90% drawdowns post-unlock are predictable.
  • Key Risk: Erodes trust in the entire staking model.
-90%
Drawdown Risk
Illiquid
Stake Status
04

The Forkability Paradox

Open-source code with closed, vested ownership is a contradiction. Competitors will fork the protocol, strip the equity stake, and launch a community-owned version. The original "equity" protocol becomes a zombie, as value accrues to the fork. This happened to SushiSwap vs. Uniswap.

  • Key Risk: Zero barrier to forking the core value proposition.
  • Key Risk: Majority of devs & users migrate to the fork.
  • Key Risk: Equity stake becomes a worthless claim on a ghost chain.
SushiSwap
Precedent
High
Fork Risk
05

Misaligned Incentives: Builders vs. Speculators

Equity stakes attract financial engineers, not protocol engineers. Talent flocks to design complex tokenomics for extraction, not to solve hard technical problems. This leads to a brain drain from core R&D to financial alchemy, stalling genuine innovation.

  • Key Risk: 0 novel L1/L2 designs emerge from equity-stake ecosystems.
  • Key Risk: Proliferation of "vampire fork" mercenaries.
  • Key Risk: Long-term protocol security and scalability suffer.
0
Novel Tech
Speculators
Talent Pool
06

The DAO Governance Illusion

Formal equity stakes make DAO governance a legal fiction. With clear, legally-enforceable shareholders, the DAO's decentralized decision-making becomes a theatrical performance. Real control rests with the equity holders, rendering community proposals irrelevant and killing grassroots engagement.

  • Key Risk: <1% of governance proposals by community are enacted.
  • Key Risk: DAO becomes a cost center for shareholder relations.
  • Key Risk: Erosion of the credible neutrality ethos.
<1%
Proposals Passed
Illusion
Decentralization
future-outlook
THE FUNDING SHIFT

The 2024 Outlook: A Bifurcated Market

Protocol grants will evolve into equity-like stakes to capture long-term value and enforce alignment.

Grants become equity stakes. The current grant model leaks value to mercenary developers. Protocols like Optimism and Arbitrum will structure grants as vested tokens with cliffs, transforming one-time payouts into long-term alignment tools.

The counter-intuitive insight: This shift kills the 'airdrop farmer' but creates a liquidity problem for builders. The solution is vested token liquidity markets, similar to what EigenLayer enables for restaked assets.

Evidence: The Uniswap Foundation's recent $1.8M grant to 14 teams included structured vesting, a clear move away from unconditional disbursements. This trend will accelerate as Treasury management becomes a core protocol competency.

takeaways
THE GRANT EVOLUTION

TL;DR for Builders and Investors

The traditional grant model is a leaky bucket of misaligned incentives. The future is structured, equity-like stakes that align long-term success.

01

The Problem: Grants Are a One-Way Street

Foundations and DAOs deploy capital with zero accountability and no upside capture. This leads to:

  • Misaligned incentives: Grantees optimize for grant completion, not protocol success.
  • Capital inefficiency: ~70% of grant capital fails to generate sustainable value.
  • No skin in the game: Builders face no penalty for abandoning a project post-funding.
~70%
Capital Waste
0%
Upside Capture
02

The Solution: Vesting Tokens with Performance Cliffs

Replace cash grants with vesting token allocations tied to KPIs and milestones. This mirrors startup equity vesting.

  • Alignment: Teams earn their stake by delivering protocol usage and revenue.
  • Accountability: Cliffs at 6-12 months ensure commitment; failure means forfeiture.
  • Scalable Model: Enables funding 10x more early-stage teams with the same treasury by deferring dilution.
6-12mo
Vesting Cliff
10x
Portfolio Scale
03

The Mechanism: Convertible Grant Agreements

A hybrid instrument, inspired by SAFEs and token warrants, that starts as a grant and converts to tokens upon hitting triggers.

  • Low initial dilution: No tokens issued until product-market fit is proven.
  • Clear triggers: Conversion based on TVL, revenue, or user targets.
  • Precedent: Models are being pioneered by Optimism's RetroPGF 3.0 and Arbitrum's STIP. This is the YC SAFE for web3.
0%
Initial Dilution
PMF
Key Trigger
04

The Investor Playbook: Protocol-As-A-VC

Forward-thinking protocols like Aave, Uniswap, and Lido are becoming the most potent venture funds. Their edge:

  • Native distribution: Can integrate and bootstrap usage instantly across a $50B+ ecosystem.
  • Data advantage: Direct insight into on-chain traction and team execution.
  • Exit to community: Successful projects naturally exit into the protocol's treasury and token, creating a virtuous cycle of value accrual.
$50B+
Ecosystem TVL
Native
Distribution
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Why L2 Grants Are Becoming Equity-Like Stakes | ChainScore Blog