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history-of-money-and-the-crypto-thesis
Blog

Why 'Stable' Is a Relative Term in a Multi-Currency On-Chain World

A first-principles breakdown of why 'stability' against USD is a myopic metric. On-chain value accrual, collateralization, and user behavior are increasingly denominated in ETH and crypto-native assets, rendering the traditional stablecoin narrative incomplete.

introduction
THE RELATIVE ANCHOR

The Fiat Peg Illusion

On-chain stability is a function of liquidity and composability, not a fixed 1:1 promise with a legacy currency.

Stability is a local optimum. A token's peg holds within a specific liquidity pool or ecosystem, not universally. USDC on Arbitrum is a different asset than USDC on Solana; their stability depends on the canonical bridge and DEX liquidity of each chain.

Pegs break at the edges. The 2022 depeg of TerraUSD demonstrated that algorithmic stability fails when the reflexive feedback loop between LUNA and UST reverses. Even collateralized stablecoins like DAI face volatility when its collateral ratio shifts during market stress.

The unit of account shifts. Protocols like Aave and Compound denominate debt in their native stable assets (GHO, cUSD). This creates isolated stability zones where the reference currency is the protocol's own ledger, not USD.

Evidence: The Curve 3pool is the canonical stability benchmark. Deviations in its USDC/USDT/DAI ratios signal systemic stress, proving stability is a networked property of DeFi primitives, not an inherent token trait.

thesis-statement
THE RELATIVE ANCHOR

Thesis: The Base Currency Dictates Stability

On-chain economic stability is not absolute but is defined by the native token used for gas and settlement.

Stability is a function of denomination. A user holding USDC on Ethereum perceives volatility in ETH gas fees, but their asset is stable. On a hypothetical USDC-gas chain, the same user would perceive ETH as volatile collateral. The base currency sets the volatility benchmark for all economic activity on that chain.

Multi-currency execution fragments the stable state. Protocols like UniswapX and CowSwap abstract gas payment into the intent, allowing users to transact in a stable denomination while the solver pays in the chain's volatile native token. This creates a dual-layer economy where user stability and network security are decoupled.

Cross-chain systems expose the base currency dilemma. A bridge like LayerZero or Wormhole must quote fees and finality in the source chain's native token. The user's cost basis for a cross-chain swap is therefore pegged to the volatility of the origin chain's gas asset, not their intended stablecoin.

Evidence: The EIP-1559 burn mechanism on Ethereum demonstrates this principle. Its deflationary pressure and fee market stability are measured solely in ETH, making the network's economic policy irrelevant to a user operating purely in a USDC-denominated environment on L2s like Arbitrum or Optimism.

market-context
THE UNIT OF ACCOUNT

The ETH-Denominated Reality

Ethereum's native asset, not USD, is the fundamental unit of account for on-chain economic activity and risk.

Gas is priced in ETH. Every transaction, from a Uniswap swap to an NFT mint, requires a fee denominated in ETH, making it the base currency for all on-chain operations.

Collateral is valued in ETH. DeFi protocols like Aave and MakerDAO use ETH and its derivatives (wETH, stETH) as primary collateral, anchoring their entire risk models to its price volatility.

Liquidity pools are ETH-anchored. The deepest liquidity pairs on DEXs like Uniswap V3 are WETH/USDC and WETH/USDT, forcing stablecoin liquidity to be routed through ETH as the central hub.

Evidence: Over 70% of the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi is in ETH or ETH-derivative assets, not USD-pegged stables, according to DefiLlama.

ASSET ANCHOR COMPARISON

Stability Metrics: USD Peg vs. ETH Peg

Quantifying the trade-offs between fiat-pegged and crypto-native collateral for on-chain stability.

Metric / FeatureUSD-Pegged (e.g., USDC, DAI)ETH-Pegged (e.g., stETH, wstETH)Hybrid (e.g., RAI, LUSD)

Primary Peg Target

Off-Chain Fiat (USD)

On-Chain Asset (ETH Price)

Floating (Target: ETH Purchasing Power)

Collateral Backing

Cash & Treasuries (Circle) or Overcollateralized Crypto (DAI)

Native Staked ETH

Overcollateralized ETH (e.g., 150%+)

Depeg Risk (30d Avg. Deviation)

< 0.1%

1-5% (Correlated to ETH volatility)

0.5-2% (Managed by PID controller)

Censorship Resistance

Yield Source

T-Bill interest (indirect)

Ethereum Consensus & MEV (~3-5% APR)

Staking yield + Stability fees

Liquidity Depth (Top 5 DEXs)

$1B+

$500M+

$50M-$100M

Oracle Dependency for Peg

Primary Failure Mode

Regulatory seizure / Bank run

ETH price crash / Network slashing

Controller failure / Liquidation cascade

deep-dive
THE RELATIVITY OF STABILITY

Protocol Design in a Multi-Currency World

On-chain stability is a function of liquidity depth and velocity, not just a peg to fiat.

Stability is a liquidity game. A token's price stability is not inherent; it is a function of its liquidity pool depth and the velocity of capital flows. A large, sticky liquidity pool on Uniswap V3 provides more stability than a shallow pool for a fiat-pegged asset during a market shock.

Native assets are the ultimate stablecoin. For a protocol like Aave, its own governance token, when used as primary collateral, creates a reflexive stability loop. This internal economic system is more resilient than relying on external, cross-chain bridged assets from LayerZero or Wormhole which introduce oracle and bridge risk.

Protocols must design for volatility. Smart contract logic, especially for lending/borrowing, must assume collateral value is dynamic. Over-collateralization ratios on MakerDAO or Compound are not static safeguards; they are dynamic parameters that must adjust based on the volatility profile of the underlying asset, whether it's ETH, a liquid staking token, or a bridged stablecoin.

risk-analysis
WHY 'STABLE' IS A RELATIVE TERM

The Hidden Risks of Fiat-Centric Thinking

On-chain finance is a multi-currency system where stability is a function of demand, not decree.

01

The Problem: Single-Point-of-Failure Pegs

Fiat-backed stablecoins like USDC and USDT create systemic risk by concentrating trust in off-chain custodians and legal frameworks. A single regulatory action or bank failure can freeze $100B+ in liquidity, as seen with the 2023 SVB collapse.

  • Centralized Counterparty Risk: Your stablecoin is only as stable as its issuer's bank account.
  • Censorship Vector: Blacklisting power resides with a corporate entity, not the protocol.
$130B+
TVL at Risk
1
Legal Order Away
02

The Solution: Algorithmic & Overcollateralized Stability

Protocols like MakerDAO (DAI) and Frax Finance decouple stability from direct fiat claims. DAI uses ~150%+ collateralization in volatile assets (ETH, stETH, RWA). Frax uses a hybrid model.

  • Resilience Through Redundancy: No single asset or custodian can break the peg.
  • On-Chain Sovereignty: Stability mechanisms are enforced by smart contracts, not corporate policy.
150%+
Avg. Collateral
0
Direct Fiat Claims
03

The Problem: FX Volatility Is Now On-Chain

A EUR-denominated user holding USDC is exposed to EUR/USD forex swings. In a multi-currency world, 'stability' is currency-specific. A 10% EUR appreciation can wipe out a European DAO's purchasing power if its treasury is purely dollar-denominated.

  • Hidden Forex Losses: Currency risk is embedded but often ignored.
  • Inefficient Capital: Requires constant hedging off-chain, defeating the purpose.
10%+
Annual FX Swing
100%
Of DAOs Exposed
04

The Solution: Native Yield-Bearing Units of Account

The endgame is assets like ETH or stETH as the base currency, where volatility is offset by inherent yield. Lido's stETH and EigenLayer restaking transform the base asset into a productive, network-native reserve.

  • Volatility-Adjusted Stability: A 5% price drop is neutralized by 5% annual yield.
  • Exit Fiat Framework: Value is measured in network utility, not USD equivalents.
3-5%
Native Yield
0
Forex Pairs
05

The Problem: The Oracle Attack Surface

Every fiat-pegged asset relies on price oracles (Chainlink, Pyth). A manipulated oracle showing USDC at $0.90 can trigger catastrophic, protocol-wide liquidations. This creates a $10B+ systemic risk layer dependent on a handful of data providers.

  • Centralized Truth: Decentralized finance relies on centralized data feeds.
  • Flash Loan Vulnerability: The perfect weapon for oracle manipulation attacks.
$10B+
Oracle-Dependent TVL
1s
Manipulation Window
06

The Solution: Volatility-Insensitive Settlement

Intent-based architectures like UniswapX and CowSwap settle trades without on-chain price oracles. They use off-chain solvers and batch auctions, making short-term price volatility irrelevant for execution.

  • Oracle-Free Execution: Price discovery is deferred to settlement time.
  • MEV Resistance: Batch auctions neutralize frontrunning, a byproduct of oracle latency.
0
Required Oracles
90%+
MEV Reduction
future-outlook
THE RELATIVITY OF STABILITY

The Crypto-Native Monetary Layer

On-chain stability is a function of composability and velocity, not just a peg to a fiat currency.

Stability is a vector, not a point. A token's stability depends on its liquidity depth and its velocity within the DeFi ecosystem. A token pegged to USD but trapped on a low-liquidity chain is less stable than a volatile native asset with deep pools on Uniswap and Aave.

The peg is a liability, not an asset. Fiat-pegged stablecoins like USDC introduce centralized failure modes and regulatory attack surfaces. Crypto-native assets like ETH or LSTs derive stability from their utility as collateral and their role in core protocols like MakerDAO and Lido.

Composability creates monetary gravity. A token's stability increases with its integration into money legos. Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) is stable because it's a trusted input for lending on Compound and trading on Curve. Its stability is a network effect.

Evidence: During the March 2023 banking crisis, USDC depegged due to off-chain bank failures, while the DAI stablecoin, backed by a diversified basket of crypto collateral, maintained its peg through automated MakerDAO auctions.

takeaways
STABLE ASSET REALITIES

TL;DR for Builders and Architects

On-chain stability is a function of liquidity depth, oracle resilience, and cross-chain composition, not just a 1:1 peg.

01

The Oracle Attack Surface Is Your Real Peg

A stablecoin is only as stable as its price feed. Decentralized oracles like Chainlink and Pyth manage $100B+ in value, but latency and manipulation risks create systemic fragility.\n- Key Benefit 1: Architect for multi-oracle fallback and circuit breakers.\n- Key Benefit 2: Design for worst-case ~30-second price staleness, not best-case.

$100B+
Secured
~30s
Staleness Risk
02

Composability Creates Hidden Correlations

Stable assets are recursively used as collateral across Aave, Compound, and MakerDAO. A depeg on one chain can trigger cascading liquidations across the ecosystem via LayerZero and Wormhole messages.\n- Key Benefit 1: Stress-test protocols against correlated de-peg events.\n- Key Benefit 2: Monitor cross-chain liquidity pools as a single risk surface.

>60%
Collateral Reuse
Multi-Chain
Contagion Vector
03

Liquidity Fragmentation Is a Silent Killer

A "stable" $1 asset on Ethereum Mainnet can trade at $0.97 on an L2 or Alt-L1 due to bridge latency and pool depth. Solutions like Circle's CCTP and Across's intent-based bridging aim to unify liquidity.\n- Key Benefit 1: Model stability across all deployment chains, not just the native one.\n- Key Benefit 2: Integrate canonical bridges and fast-messaging layers as core infra.

3-5%
Typical Arb Spread
<2 min
Bridge Finality
04

Algorithmic vs. Collateralized Is a False Dichotomy

Modern stables like Frax Finance and Ethena's USDe use hybrid models. The real spectrum is between exogenous collateral (US Treasuries) and endogenous collateral (staked ETH). Each has unique reflexivity risks.\n- Key Benefit 1: Choose collateral mix based on desired monetary policy independence.\n- Key Benefit 2: Understand that all models are vulnerable to bank-run dynamics under extreme volatility.

Hybrid
Dominant Model
Reflexivity
Core Risk
05

Regulatory Arbitrage Defines Supply Distribution

USDC and USDT dominate because they navigate off-chain banking. A stablecoin's on-chain utility is bottlenecked by its issuer's real-world legal structure. This creates centralization points.\n- Key Benefit 1: Map your stablecoin dependency graph to single points of regulatory failure.\n- Key Benefit 2: Consider DAI-style decentralized, asset-agnostic backing for censorship resistance.

>80%
Market Share
Off-Chain
Bottleneck
06

The Endgame: Intents and Cross-Chain Solvers

Stability will be enforced dynamically by networks like UniswapX and CowSwap that route users to the best-priced stable asset across chains. The "stable" asset becomes the one a solver can source cheapest at settlement time.\n- Key Benefit 1: Build with intent-based architectures that abstract the stable asset choice.\n- Key Benefit 2: Integrate with solver networks to become a liquidity endpoint.

Intent-Based
Future Primitive
Dynamic Routing
Stability Source
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Stablecoins Aren't Stable: The Multi-Currency On-Chain Reality | ChainScore Blog