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Why Smart Accounts Will Centralize On-Chain Identity

Smart Accounts enable chain-agnostic, programmable identities. This creates a natural path to aggregation, where a few dominant identity graphs will emerge, fundamentally challenging crypto's decentralized, pseudonymous foundation.

introduction
THE IDENTITY TRAP

Introduction

Smart accounts will centralize on-chain identity by consolidating user activity into single, persistent, and programmable endpoints.

Smart accounts centralize identity by design. Externally Owned Accounts (EOAs) scatter activity across disposable addresses, but ERC-4337 accounts like Safe Wallets and Biconomy bundles aggregate all interactions into one persistent contract address.

Programmability creates a fingerprint. Unlike passive EOAs, smart accounts execute logic via delegate calls and session keys, generating unique behavioral patterns that are trivial for analytics firms like Nansen and Arkham to track and profile.

The privacy trade-off is absolute. Account abstraction delivers gas sponsorship and batch transactions, but the convenience requires exposing a permanent, high-fidelity identity graph to every dApp and block explorer on the chain.

thesis-statement
THE IDENTITY TRAP

The Core Contradiction

Smart accounts solve UX but create a single point of failure for user identity, enabling unprecedented on-chain surveillance.

Smart accounts centralize identity. Externally Owned Accounts (EOAs) fragment identity across many private keys. A smart account like an ERC-4337 wallet consolidates all user activity under one persistent, on-chain contract address.

This creates a surveillance supernode. Analytics firms like Nansen and Arkham track wallet clusters via EOA heuristics. A smart account provides a canonical, immutable identity graph, making cross-dapp tracking trivial and permanent.

The privacy trade-off is absolute. Solutions like Tornado Cash or Aztec break for smart accounts because the entry/exit EOA is irrelevant. All subsequent actions from the smart account are linked, creating a perfect behavioral ledger.

Evidence: Over 3.4 million ERC-4337 accounts exist. Wallet providers like Safe and Coinbase Smart Wallet are incentivized to index and monetize this unified activity data, not obscure it.

CENTRALIZATION VECTORS

The Identity Graph Landscape: Who Controls the Stack?

Comparison of identity graph control models, highlighting how smart accounts centralize user data and network effects compared to traditional EOA wallets.

Control DimensionExternally Owned Account (EOA) Wallet (e.g., MetaMask)Smart Account / AA Wallet (e.g., Safe, Biconomy)Modular Identity Stack (e.g., ENS, Gitcoin Passport)

Identity Graph Owner

User (Private Key Holder)

Smart Account Vendor / Bundler

User via Decentralized Protocols

Data Monetization Control

User (Theoretically)

Vendor via Bundler RPC & Paymaster

User via Selective Attestations

Default Social Graph

None (Isolated Addresses)

Vendor-Specific (e.g., Safe{Wallet} Users)

Protocol-Specific (e.g., ENS .eth holders)

Portability of Reputation

Impossible (Fresh Address)

Limited (Tied to Account Logic)

High (Soulbound Tokens, Verifiable Credentials)

Primary Network Effect

Liquidity (DeFi)

User Base & Bundler Volume

Developer Adoption & Attestation Composability

Key Infrastructure Dependency

RPC Provider (Infura, Alchemy)

Bundler & Paymaster Network

Decentralized Attesters & Verifiers

Single Point of Failure Risk

User's Private Key

Account Vendor's Bundler Censorship

Attester Governance Capture

Example Ecosystem Lock-in

None

Safe{Wallet} → Safe{Core} → Safe{DAO}

ENS → .eth name → L2 Resolver Contracts

deep-dive
THE IDENTITY TRAP

From Programmable Keys to Centralized Graphs

Smart accounts will centralize on-chain identity by shifting the locus of control from private keys to programmable logic and social graphs.

Smart accounts invert the identity model. Externally Owned Accounts (EOAs) anchor identity to a single, self-custodied private key. Smart accounts like ERC-4337 wallets anchor identity to a programmable, upgradeable contract, making the user's persistent on-chain 'self' a piece of code.

Programmability demands infrastructure. This contract logic requires off-chain services for gas sponsorship, transaction bundling, and key management. Providers like Safe, Biconomy, and ZeroDev become the de facto identity gatekeepers, as they operate the relayers and bundlers that enable these accounts.

Social recovery centralizes graphs. The primary user benefit—recovery via social connections—creates a centralized social graph. Systems like Ethereum Attestation Service (EAS) or Lit Protocol for MPC will map and store these recovery relationships, creating a high-value target for data aggregation.

Evidence: Over 90% of Safe wallet deployments rely on centralized relayers for gas abstraction. The ERC-4337 bundler market is already consolidating around a few infrastructure players like Stackup and Alchemy, controlling transaction flow.

counter-argument
THE ILLUSION

The Steelman: Won't Privacy Tech Save Us?

Privacy tools like zk-SNARKs and mixers fail to prevent the centralization of identity when paired with smart accounts.

Privacy is a feature, not an architecture. zk-SNARKs and Tornado Cash anonymize individual transactions, but smart accounts create persistent, on-chain behavioral graphs. The account's logic and interaction patterns become its public fingerprint.

Account abstraction centralizes the graph. A Safe{Wallet} or ERC-4337 bundler aggregates all user actions into a single, high-value identity node. Privacy mixers obscure funds, but the social graph of dApp interactions remains transparent and linkable.

The bundler sees everything. Even with privacy L2s like Aztec, the entry and exit points for funds are the smart account addresses. The bundler/relayer infrastructure becomes a centralized observatory for user activity across chains.

Evidence: Ethereum's PBS (Proposer-Builder Separation) already demonstrates this power dynamic; builders with MEV data have a structural advantage that privacy at the transaction layer cannot mitigate.

risk-analysis
THE SMART ACCOUNT TRAP

The Bear Case: Risks of Centralized Identity Graphs

Smart accounts abstract away private keys, but their reliance on centralized infrastructure creates new, systemic identity risks.

01

The Single Point of Censorship

Smart account providers like Safe{Wallet} and Biconomy manage the social recovery modules and transaction relayers. A single entity can freeze or censor a user's entire on-chain identity and assets by blocking access to these critical services.

  • Veto Power: A provider can refuse to sign or relay any transaction.
  • Regulatory Pressure: Governments can target a handful of providers instead of millions of private keys.
1
Provider to Block
100%
Account Control
02

The Data Monopoly Problem

Aggregators like Etherscan and 0xScope build comprehensive identity graphs by tracking smart account activity. This creates a centralized database of user behavior far more detailed than EOAs, ripe for exploitation.

  • Behavioral Profiling: Every dApp interaction, gas sponsorship, and recovery event is linked.
  • Commercialization: These graphs become proprietary assets sold to protocols, VCs, and hedge funds.
10M+
Profiled Wallets
~$100M
Market Value
03

The Bundler Cartel

ERC-4337's UserOperation flow depends on bundlers. If bundling becomes dominated by a few players (e.g., Alchemy, Blocknative, Pimlico), they gain the power to extract MEV and manipulate transaction ordering for entire user bases.

  • MEV Extraction: Bundlers can front-run, sandwich, or censor transactions at the network level.
  • Fee Manipulation: They can set arbitrary priority fees, eroding the user experience benefits of gas sponsorship.
3-5
Dominant Players
$1B+
Extractable MEV
04

Protocol Capture & Rent Extraction

Smart account standards are not neutral. The entities that control the most widely deployed account factories and modules (like Safe or ZeroDev) can impose fees or dictate upgrade paths, turning a public good into a rent-seeking platform.

  • Upgrade Tax: Mandatory fees for critical security patches or new features.
  • Vendor Lock-in: Proprietary modules make migrating to a new stack costly and complex.
0.5-2%
Potential Fee
>70%
Market Share
05

The Interoperability Illusion

While smart accounts promise cross-chain identity, the underlying infrastructure (e.g., LayerZero, Wormhole, Axelar) is controlled by separate, centralized multisigs and oracles. Your unified identity depends on the security of the weakest bridge.

  • Bridge Risk: A bridge hack or pause fragments identity across chains.
  • Oracle Manipulation: Incorrect price feeds or state proofs can brick account recovery.
$2B+
Bridge Hack Losses
8/15
Multisig Signers
06

Regulatory Attack Surface

Smart accounts make KYC/AML enforcement trivial for regulators. By compelling a few infrastructure providers to integrate identity verification, authorities can deanonymize and control access to the entire on-chain economy.

  • Programmable Compliance: Modules can enforce geoblocking or transaction limits.
  • Identity Linkage: Social recovery directly ties on-chain activity to real-world identities.
3
Providers to Regulate
100%
Enforcement Coverage
future-outlook
THE ACCOUNT ABSTRACTION SHIFT

The Next 24 Months: The Great Identity Aggregation

Smart accounts will centralize on-chain identity by making the user, not the key, the atomic unit of blockchain interaction.

Smart accounts centralize identity. Externally Owned Accounts (EOAs) fragment a user's identity across dozens of private keys. Smart accounts, like those built on ERC-4337 or Safe{Core}, consolidate activity into a single, programmable identity layer.

The wallet becomes a reputation engine. With a persistent smart account, on-chain history—credit scores from Arcx, governance power, and transaction volume—attaches to a single identity. This creates a portable, monetizable reputation profile.

Aggregation drives network effects. Applications like Uniswap and Aave will optimize for smart account users to access bundled features like session keys and gas sponsorship. This creates a gravitational pull toward dominant account standards.

Evidence: Over 4 million Safe smart accounts exist, representing a $40B+ treasury. This established user base is the foundation for the aggregated identity layer.

takeaways
THE IDENTITY CONCENTRATION THESIS

TL;DR for Protocol Architects

Smart accounts (ERC-4337) solve UX, but their design inherently centralizes identity and control into a few key infrastructure points.

01

The Bundler as the New RPC Endpoint

ERC-4337's UserOperations are not broadcast to the public mempool; they are sent directly to a bundler. This makes the bundler the mandatory, trusted gateway for all user activity, replicating the centralization risks of today's RPC providers like Infura/Alchemy.\n- Control Point: Bundlers see, order, and can censor all transactions.\n- Single Point of Failure: A dominant bundler service becomes a systemic risk.\n- Data Monopoly: They aggregate the most valuable behavioral intent data on-chain.

1
Mandatory Gateway
100%
Tx Visibility
02

Paymaster as the De Facto KYC Layer

Gas sponsorship via paymasters is a killer app for onboarding. The entity paying the gas becomes the ultimate identity verifier and policy enforcer, capable of implementing programmatic KYC/AML.\n- Policy Engine: Paymasters (e.g., Biconomy, Candide) can whitelist users based on credentials, geolocation, or reputation.\n- Commercial Leverage: They can extract rent via premium services or data.\n- Regulatory Funnel: Becomes the natural on-ramp for compliant dApps, centralizing regulated identity.

KYC
Enforcement Point
Sponsor
Controls Access
03

Aggregated Signers Kill Key Diversity

Smart accounts promote the use of aggregated signature schemes (e.g., BLS, Passkeys) managed by third-party signer services. While more secure than a single EOA, this consolidates signing power into a few signer infrastructure providers.\n- Vendor Lock-in: Protocols like Safe{Wallet} and Coinbase Smart Wallet create walled gardens.\n- Cross-Chain Identity: A single signer service (e.g., Web3Auth) becomes your identity across all chains, a massive honeypot.\n- Network Effects: The dominant signer's social graph is the on-chain social graph.

Walled Garden
Risk
1
Cross-Chain ID
04

The Verifier Trilemma: Decentralization, UX, Compliance

Architects must choose two. A truly decentralized, permissionless verifier network (like EigenLayer AVS for bundlers) sacrifices UX speed and compliance. A fast, compliant service (like a licensed paymaster) is centralized.\n- Pick Two: You cannot have all three at scale.\n- Enterprise Demand: Institutional capital will flow to compliant, centralized stacks.\n- Protocol Design: Your stack choice dictates which giants (e.g., Visa, Chainlink, EigenLayer) control your users' identity.

3
Pick 2
Institutions
Drive Centralization
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Smart Accounts Will Centralize On-Chain Identity | ChainScore Blog