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developer-ecosystem-tools-languages-and-grants
Blog

The Future of Grant Funding: From Handouts to Equity-Like Stakes

Traditional crypto grant programs are broken. We analyze the shift from one-time token payments to perpetual, protocol-native revenue stakes that align founders with long-term ecosystem success.

introduction
THE PARADIGM SHIFT

Introduction

Grant funding is evolving from a philanthropic handout into a high-stakes investment vehicle that demands accountability and alignment.

Traditional grant programs are broken. They operate on a donation model with zero accountability, creating misaligned incentives where builders optimize for grant proposals instead of user adoption.

The new model is equity-like stakes. Protocols like Optimism and Arbitrum now issue tokens or future airdrop rights, transforming grants into skin-in-the-game investments that align long-term success.

This shift demands new tooling. Platforms like Gitcoin Grants and Questbook are evolving beyond simple quadratic funding to incorporate vesting schedules, milestone-based releases, and on-chain reputation systems.

Evidence: The Optimism RetroPGF program has distributed over $100M in OP tokens, directly linking grantee rewards to measurable, verifiable impact on the ecosystem.

thesis-statement
THE FUNDING MISMATCH

The Core Thesis: Align Incentives or Die

Traditional grant programs fail because they create misaligned, one-time handouts instead of long-term, vested partnerships.

Grant programs are misaligned subsidies. They pay for development but offer zero stake in the protocol's future success, creating a principal-agent problem where builders optimize for grant approval, not network growth.

Equity-like stakes realign incentives. Protocols like Optimism's RetroPGF and Arbitrum's STIP are experiments that reward past contributions with tokens, creating a vested interest in the ecosystem's long-term health.

The future is vested grants. Funding must transition from pre-delivery handouts to post-hoc, performance-based distributions tied to verifiable on-chain metrics, transforming grantees into long-term stakeholders.

Evidence: The $100M Arbitrum STIP distributed tokens to projects that demonstrably increased network activity, a direct incentive alignment absent in traditional grant models like Ethereum Foundation's static funding.

FROM HANDOUTS TO EQUITY-LIKE STAKES

The Grant ROI Problem: A Data Snapshot

Comparing traditional grant models against emerging, outcome-aligned structures.

Key Metric / FeatureTraditional Grant (Handout)Retroactive Funding (RetroPGF)Progressive Equity (e.g., Hypercerts, Olas)

Primary Funding Mechanism

Upfront capital, no strings

Ex-post payment for proven value

Continuous funding tied to verifiable KPIs

Investor/DAO Alignment

Low (philanthropic)

Medium (reputation-based curation)

High (direct financial stake in outcome)

ROI Measurement Horizon

Indefinite / Never

1-3 years (post-hoc evaluation)

Real-time to 6 months (continuous attestation)

Average Capital Efficiency

< 10% (high grant dilution)

30-50% (funds proven work)

Targets >70% (capital at risk)

Demand-Side Accountability

False (grantees report to funders)

True (funders compete for impact)

True (funding streams are performance-based)

Protocol Examples

Uniswap Grants, Compound Grants

Optimism RetroPGF, Arbitrum STIP

Olas co-owned AIs, Hypercerts for public goods

Key Risk for Funders

Capital incineration, zero accountability

Sybil attacks, subjective curation

Oracle manipulation, KPI definition failure

Treasury Sustainability

Negative (pure outflow)

Neutral (retrospective budget allocation)

Positive (potential for yield/revenue share)

deep-dive
THE NEW PRIMITIVE

Deep Dive: Anatomy of a Protocol-Native Stake

Protocol-native stakes transform grants from one-time handouts into perpetual, performance-aligned equity.

Protocol-native stakes are perpetual equity. Unlike a token grant that vests and is sold, a stake is a permanent claim on a protocol's future revenue or governance power, aligning founders with long-term health over short-term token price.

The mechanism is a non-transferable NFT. This stake, often implemented as a soulbound token (SBT) or non-transferable NFT, represents the grantee's locked economic interest, preventing immediate liquidation and ensuring sustained alignment.

Value accrual is programmatic and verifiable. Stakes automatically accrue value via fee-sharing modules (e.g., a share of Uniswap swap fees) or governance power inflation, creating transparent, trustless incentives without manual disbursement.

Evidence: Gitcoin's move from direct grants to funding public goods via its protocol treasury demonstrates the shift towards embedded, sustainable funding models over discretionary handouts.

protocol-spotlight
THE FUTURE OF GRANT FUNDING

Protocol Spotlight: Early Experiments

Grant programs are evolving from one-time handouts into structured, outcome-driven investments that align long-term incentives.

01

The Problem: The Grant-to-Nothing Pipeline

Traditional grants are a capital efficiency black hole. Funds are disbursed with minimal accountability, leading to high failure rates and no upside capture for the treasury.

  • ~80% of projects fail to deliver meaningful protocol value post-funding.
  • Zero mechanism to recoup capital from successful outliers.
  • Creates misaligned incentives, rewarding proposal-writing over execution.
~80%
Failure Rate
0%
Upside Capture
02

The Solution: Programmable Equity (a.k.a. RetroPGF 3.0)

Transform grants into vested, claimable future tokens based on verifiable, on-chain milestones. This mirrors venture capital's equity-for-capital model.

  • Milestone-based vesting ensures continuous alignment.
  • Treasury captures upside via token grants, creating a self-sustaining flywheel.
  • Projects like Optimism's RetroPGF and Arbitrum's STIP are pioneering this shift.
10x+
Better Alignment
Vested
Capital
03

The Mechanism: On-Chain KPI Options

Deploy smart contract-based grants that automatically disburse funds upon hitting predefined, on-chain Key Performance Indicators (KPIs).

  • Fully transparent and automated execution removes grant committee bias.
  • KPIs can be TVL growth, fee generation, or unique user targets.
  • Enables scalable, data-driven funding at the protocol level.
100%
On-Chain
Auto-Exec
Disbursement
04

The Precedent: Moloch DAOs & Guilds

Early experiments like Moloch DAO and MetaCartel demonstrated the power of small, aligned capital pools with skin in the game. Modern grant programs must adopt this ethos.

  • Members stake personal capital, ensuring rigorous due diligence.
  • Rage-quit mechanisms allow for rapid capital reallocation from failing projects.
  • This model birthed foundational projects like dYdX and Nexus Mutual.
Skin-in-Game
Alignment
Rage-Quit
Capital Agility
05

The Risk: Regulatory Shadow of 'Investment Contracts'

Grant programs issuing tokens with expectation of profit may inadvertently create unregistered securities offerings. This is the central tension in equity-like funding.

  • Howey Test exposure increases with explicit profit-sharing terms.
  • Requires careful legal structuring, potentially using SAFT-like agreements or non-transferable vesting tokens.
  • A critical unsolved problem for DAO-native venture models.
High
Regulatory Risk
Howey Test
Exposure
06

The Future: Autonomous Grant Markets

The end-state is a decentralized marketplace where projects auction future token flow for upfront funding, and investors underwrite based on reputation and track record.

  • Projects like Superfluid enable real-time, streaming grant payments.
  • Prediction markets (e.g., Polymarket) could price project success probability.
  • Creates a competitive, efficient capital allocation layer for the entire ecosystem.
Market-Based
Pricing
Real-Time
Streaming
counter-argument
THE TRADEOFF

Counter-Argument: The Complexity & Dilution Dilemma

Equity-like grant models introduce significant operational overhead and governance friction that pure token grants avoid.

Equity-like stakes create perpetual obligations. Unlike a one-time grant, token warrants or vesting schedules require continuous legal, financial, and administrative management, mirroring the burdens of a traditional cap table.

Protocol governance becomes diluted and conflicted. Grant recipients with long-term stakes become permanent, low-engagement voters, unlike Gitcoin Grants donors whose influence resets each round, creating governance bloat.

The model misaligns with open-source ethos. Projects like Optimism's RetroPGF reward past public goods contributions without future claims, avoiding the entitlement and rent-seeking that equity stakes can foster.

Evidence: Managing a cap table with hundreds of micro-stakes via Sablier or Superfluid streams is an order of magnitude more complex than a Gnosis Safe multisig distributing lump sums.

risk-analysis
GRANT 2.0 PITFALLS

Risk Analysis: What Could Go Wrong?

Tokenizing grant outcomes introduces novel attack vectors and systemic risks that could undermine the entire model.

01

The Oracle Problem: Manipulating Success Metrics

Equity-like stakes require objective, on-chain success metrics. These are vulnerable to manipulation, creating a new oracle attack surface.

  • Sybil grantees can inflate vanity metrics (e.g., transaction counts) to claim rewards.
  • Malicious actors could short a grant's outcome token and then sabotage the project.
  • Reliable oracles for "developer activity" or "protocol adoption" remain an unsolved problem, akin to challenges faced by Chainlink and Pyth.
>90%
Off-Chain Data
High
Attack Surface
02

Regulatory Blowback: The Howey Test 2.0

Grant tokens that accrue value based on a project's efforts look functionally identical to investment contracts.

  • The SEC and global regulators will scrutinize these as unregistered securities, mirroring actions against LBRY and Ripple.
  • This creates legal liability for both grant issuers (as underwriters) and recipients, chilling innovation.
  • The model could collapse overnight from a single enforcement action, unlike traditional, non-financial grants.
High
Legal Risk
Global
Jurisdiction
03

The Vampire Attack: Grant Farming & Extraction

Financializing grants turns them into a yield source, inviting mercenary capital to optimize for token extraction, not ecosystem value.

  • Teams will design projects to maximize grant token payouts, not long-term sustainability—a direct parallel to DeFi yield farming collapses.
  • This leads to grant inflation, where the value of all outcome tokens is diluted by low-quality, high-output projects.
  • The system could be gamed more efficiently than it can be governed, eroding trust faster than it builds.
Short-Term
Incentive Horizon
Inevitable
Optimization
04

Governance Capture & Centralization

The entity controlling the grant issuance and metric evaluation holds immense power, recreating the centralization the model aims to escape.

  • DAO treasuries like Uniswap or Aave become de facto VCs, subject to political lobbying and voter apathy.
  • Metric parameters can be changed retroactively, a form of governance risk exceeding that in MakerDAO or Compound.
  • This creates a two-tier system where well-connected projects receive favorable terms, undermining meritocracy.
Critical
Single Point
Power Law
Distribution
future-outlook
THE INCENTIVE MISMATCH

Future Outlook: The End of the Grant Committee

Grant committees will be replaced by direct, equity-like investment mechanisms that align builder and protocol incentives.

Grant committees are misaligned bureaucracies. They distribute capital with no direct financial upside, creating a principal-agent problem where selectors lack skin in the game. This leads to political allocation, not meritocratic funding.

The future is equity-like stakes. Protocols like Optimism's RetroPGF and Arbitrum's STIP are experiments in outcome-based funding, but the end state is direct token warrants or project-specific bonding curves. This mirrors a16z's model of taking equity for operational support.

Builders become co-owners, not contractors. A developer receives funding in exchange for a claim on their project's future fees or token. This aligns incentives perfectly, turning grants into the earliest-stage venture rounds for on-chain ventures.

Evidence: Optimism Collective has distributed over $100M via RetroPGF rounds, creating a measurable, if imperfect, feedback loop between value creation and reward. The next iteration will automate this into a continuous, market-driven process.

takeaways
THE FUTURE OF GRANT FUNDING

Key Takeaways for Builders & Funders

The grant model is broken. The next wave of protocol funding will treat capital as a strategic asset, not a charitable donation.

01

The Problem: Grants Are Dead Capital

Traditional grants are a one-way transaction with zero financial alignment. They fail to capture the upside of successful projects, creating a misalignment between funders and builders.

  • No Skin in the Game: Funders bear 100% of the risk with no direct return.
  • Poor Accountability: Builders are incentivized to deliver reports, not products.
0%
Upside Capture
>90%
Grant Churn Rate
02

The Solution: Programmatic Equity-Like Stakes

Replace grants with structured agreements that grant the funding entity a future claim on project tokens or revenue, similar to a SAFT or revenue share.

  • Aligned Incentives: Funder success is tied to builder success.
  • Capital Efficiency: Turns grants into a portfolio of high-potential, early-stage bets.
  • Protocols Leading: Look at Optimism's RetroPGF and Arbitrum's STIP as models evolving in this direction.
10-20%
Target Stake
Vesting
Standard Term
03

Build a Funding DAO, Not a Treasury

Stop managing a static treasury. Operationalize funding through a transparent, on-chain DAO structure that makes investment decisions based on clear metrics.

  • Transparent Governance: All proposals and votes are on-chain, reducing political overhead.
  • Specialized VCs: Emergence of entities like The LAO and MetaCartel Ventures show the model works.
  • Liquidity Provision: Capital can be deployed across grants, liquidity mining, and strategic partnerships.
On-Chain
Governance
Multi-Asset
Portfolio
04

Metric: Developer Retention, Not Just Allocation

The key performance indicator shifts from "dollars distributed" to "successful projects retained in the ecosystem." This requires post-funding support infrastructure.

  • Track Real KPIs: Active users, TVL generated, protocol revenue.
  • Provide Post-Grant Support: Access to devrel, auditing subsidies, and bizdev introductions.
  • Ecosystem Lock-in: Successful projects become permanent liquidity and activity pillars.
>50%
Retention Goal
TVL/User
Success Metric
05

The Hybrid Model: Grant-to-Equity Tranching

De-risk funding by splitting it into tranches. An initial non-dilutive grant validates execution, followed by an equity-like stake upon hitting milestones.

  • De-risked Deployment: Capital is committed but only fully deployed on proven traction.
  • Builder-Friendly: Reduces pressure for early, dilutive fundraises.
  • Clear Milestones: Creates a structured path from grant recipient to portfolio company.
2-3
Tranches
Milestone
Triggers
06

Legacy Risk: Regulatory Grey Zone

Equity-like stakes in decentralized projects exist in a regulatory grey area. Howey Test implications for future token claims are non-trivial and require legal innovation.

  • SAFT 2.0 Needed: New legal frameworks must be developed for this hybrid model.
  • Jurisdiction Shopping: Funding entities may need to be structured in specific regions.
  • Transparency vs. Liability: On-chain programmability conflicts with traditional securities opacity.
High
Compliance Cost
Evolving
Legal Precedent
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Grant Funding's Next Evolution: Equity-Like Stakes, Not Handouts | ChainScore Blog