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crypto-regulation-global-landscape-and-trends
Blog

The Future of Layer 1 Tokens Under Securities Law Scrutiny

A first-principles analysis of how the SEC's application of the Howey Test to Ethereum, Solana, and Cardano's initial sales, foundation control, and staking mechanics creates existential legal risk for the entire Layer 1 landscape.

introduction
THE CONTEXT

Introduction

The SEC's securities law enforcement is forcing a fundamental re-evaluation of the economic and technical design of Layer 1 tokens.

The Howey Test is a technical specification. The SEC's application of the Howey Test to tokens like SOL and ADA treats the entire network's development as a single common enterprise. This legal framework now dictates protocol design, not just token distribution.

Utility is a legal defense, not a feature. Projects like Ethereum and Cosmos emphasize decentralized governance and staking mechanics to argue their tokens are consumptive goods, not investment contracts. The technical architecture must prove this separation.

Evidence: The SEC's 2023 lawsuits established a precedent that pre-mined tokens with foundation-led development are inherently suspect, directly impacting the valuation models for major Layer 1 ecosystems.

thesis-statement
THE SECURITY DICHOTOMY

The Core Argument

The legal classification of a Layer 1 token as a security or a commodity determines its entire economic model and development trajectory.

Security classification kills utility. If a token is deemed a security, its primary function shifts from network fuel to a regulated financial instrument. This imposes onerous disclosure requirements, restricts secondary market trading, and makes integration with DeFi protocols like Uniswap or Aave legally fraught, crippling its core use case.

Commodity status enables sovereignty. A commodity designation, like Ethereum's, allows the token to function as pure programmable money. This legal clarity is the foundation for its entire ecosystem, enabling permissionless staking, its use as gas on L2s like Arbitrum, and its role as the base asset in decentralized stablecoins like DAI.

The Howey Test is a protocol audit. The SEC's application of the Howey Test scrutinizes the initial development team's efforts and marketing promises. A token launched with a premine, a centralized foundation making ongoing 'essential' improvements, and marketed as an investment is the canonical design for a security. Solana's ongoing case exemplifies this risk.

Evidence: The market cap premium for 'commodity' L1s is structural. Following the Ripple (XRP) summary judgment, which found programmatic sales were not securities, tokens with clearer decentralization narratives like Cardano (ADA) and Avalanche (AVAX) significantly outperformed those under active SEC litigation.

market-context
THE LEGAL FRONTLINE

The Enforcement Battleground

The SEC's aggressive posture is forcing a fundamental re-evaluation of what constitutes a functional network token versus a security.

The Howey Test is the battlefield. The SEC's actions against Ripple (XRP), Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA) establish a precedent: tokens sold to fund development are securities. The critical legal distinction for survival is decentralized network utility at the time of sale.

Tokenomics must now pre-prove utility. Post-launch governance and staking features are insufficient defenses. Protocols must architect initial distribution mechanisms that bypass investment contracts, like the Filecoin (FIL) model of selling storage futures or Ethereum's (ETH) non-profit foundation pre-mine.

The 'sufficient decentralization' standard is a moving target. The SEC's case against Uniswap (UNI) demonstrates that even a decentralized protocol's token can be targeted if its initial launch involved a centralized entity. The legal safe harbor requires protocols like Lido (LDO) or Maker (MKR) to demonstrate that token value is inextricably linked to core protocol operations, not speculative profit.

Evidence: The SEC vs. Ripple ruling created a split decision: institutional sales were securities, but programmatic sales on exchanges were not. This legal schism is the new playbook, forcing projects to design distributions that are public, blind, and functional from day one.

SECURITY CLASSIFICATION LIKELIHOOD

L1 Legal Risk Matrix: Howey Test Analysis

Analysis of major Layer 1 tokens against the four prongs of the Howey Test, which defines an investment contract. High-risk prongs increase the likelihood of being deemed a security by the SEC.

Howey Test ProngEthereum (ETH)Solana (SOL)Cardano (ADA)Avalanche (AVAX)
  1. Investment of Money
  1. Common Enterprise

Decentralized Network

Foundation-Driven

Foundation-Driven

Foundation-Driven

  1. Expectation of Profit

From Ecosystem Utility

From Token Appreciation

From Token Appreciation

From Token Appreciation

  1. Derived from Efforts of Others

Minimal (Post-Merge)

Significant (Solana Labs)

Significant (IOG/Emurgo)

Significant (Ava Labs)

Key Legal Precedent

Hinman Speech, Ripple Ruling

SEC Enforcement Action

SEC Enforcement Action

SEC Enforcement Action

Primary Use Case

Gas & Protocol Security

Gas & Protocol Security

Staking & Governance

Gas, Staking & Subnet Security

Active Decentralization Efforts

Client Diversity, EIP-1559

Validator Growth

Voltaire Governance

Subnet Permissions

Estimated Legal Risk Score (1-10)

3

9

8

7

deep-dive
THE LEGAL FRONTIER

Deconstructing the 'Sufficient Decentralization' Defense

The SEC's 'sufficient decentralization' test is a moving target that invalidates the primary legal defense for most Layer 1 tokens.

The Howey Test's 'Common Enterprise' is the core legal vulnerability. A token's value is tied to the development efforts of a core team, creating a de facto common enterprise. This relationship persists even with a large validator set if the foundation controls the roadmap.

'Sufficient Decentralization' is a post-hoc defense, not a design goal. Projects like Ethereum and Solana achieved this status through years of organic ecosystem growth, not a whitepaper promise. New L1s cannot bootstrap this defense at launch.

The SEC targets 'investment contracts', not the token itself. The initial sale and ongoing promotional efforts by a centralized entity frame the token as a security. This is why Ripple's XRP faced litigation over institutional sales, not programmatic ones.

Evidence: The SEC's case against Coinbase alleges that staking services for tokens like SOL, ADA, and MATIC constitute unregistered securities offerings, directly challenging the decentralization of their underlying networks.

counter-argument
THE REGULATORY HAMMER

The Bull Case: Why This Might Fail

The SEC's aggressive enforcement will permanently cripple the utility and valuation of most Layer 1 tokens.

The SEC wins outright. The Howey Test's 'common enterprise' prong is a legal sledgehammer against any token with a foundation-driven roadmap. The SEC's victories against Ripple's XRP and Terra's LUNA establish a precedent that pre-mined tokens are unregistered securities. Future L1 launches will be DOA.

Staking is a death sentence. The SEC's core argument is that staking rewards constitute an 'expectation of profits' from others' efforts. This directly targets the fundamental security model of Proof-of-Stake networks like Solana and Cardano, forcing them to either neuter their consensus or face perpetual litigation.

Compliance kills decentralization. The only path to survival is adopting the Bitcoin or Ethereum 2.0 model—sufficiently decentralized at launch. This requires a fair launch with no pre-mine and no foundation control, a nearly impossible bar for new chains needing capital for development and ecosystem incentives.

Evidence: The market cap of tokens like SOL and ADA has become a direct function of regulatory risk, not technical throughput. Their inability to list on compliant US exchanges like Coinbase will permanently depress liquidity and developer adoption compared to 'commodity' assets like ETH.

risk-analysis
THE FUTURE OF L1 TOKENS

Existential Outcomes and Protocol Survival Scenarios

How Layer 1 protocols will adapt or perish under the SEC's Howey Test microscope.

01

The 'Commodity' Gambit: Ethereum's Decentralization Defense

The Problem: The SEC's case against Coinbase hinges on labeling ETH as a security. The Solution: Ethereum's core devs and the Ethereum Foundation accelerate protocol-level decentralization to pass the Howey Test.\n- Key Move: Finalize client diversity and proposer-builder separation (PBS) to eliminate any central points of control.\n- Key Benefit: Establishes a legal precedent for sufficiently decentralized networks, shielding Solana, Avalanche, and Cosmos.

>66%
Client Threshold
0
Foundation Control
02

The 'Utility Sink' Pivot: Burn Mechanisms as Legal Shield

The Problem: A token with pure speculation and staking rewards is a security. The Solution: Protocols engineer mandatory, consumptive burns for core operations, framing the token as a consumable resource.\n- Key Move: Redirect all sequencer/validator fees to a permanent burn, not to a treasury or stakers.\n- Key Benefit: Creates a direct fee-for-service model, mirroring AWS credits, and detaches token value from profit expectations from a common enterprise.

100%
Fee Burn
$0
Staker Profit
03

The 'Protocol-Less' Fork: Abandoning the Native Token

The Problem: The legal liability of maintaining a token outweighs its utility. The Solution: Core developers fork the chain, removing the native token entirely and transitioning to a fee-less base layer or multi-asset gas model.\n- Key Move: Airdrop remaining treasury to holders and re-launch as a public good protocol using ETH or USDC for gas.\n- Key Benefit: Eliminates securities risk completely, following the path of early internet protocols (TCP/IP). Surviving chains become infrastructure, not investments.

$0
Token Liability
ETH/USDC
Gas Assets
04

The 'Regulated L1' Paradox: Embracing the Security Label

The Problem: Fighting classification is a losing, costly battle. The Solution: A major L1 proactively registers its token as a security, creating a fully compliant, on-chain capital markets platform.\n- Key Move: Integrates with registered transfer agents and builds KYC'd validator sets, attracting institutional capital barred from 'wild west' chains.\n- Key Benefit: Captures the trillion-dollar market for tokenized RWAs and funds, becoming the NASDAQ of DeFi while competitors are stuck in legal limbo.

$1T+
RWA Market
100%
KYC Validators
future-outlook
THE FORK IN THE ROAD

The Path Forward: Regulation or Migration

Layer 1 tokens face a binary future defined by regulatory compliance or architectural escape.

Regulatory compliance is the path of least resistance. Protocols like Ethereum and Solana will pursue Howey Test exemptions by decentralizing governance and utility, treating their tokens as consumptive commodities rather than investment contracts. This requires ceding control to DAOs and proving on-chain utility beyond speculation.

Technical migration is the escape hatch. Projects will architect tokenless execution layers where value accrual shifts to restaking derivatives like EigenLayer AVS tokens or sequencer revenue shares on rollups. The base asset becomes a pure gas token with zero equity-like claims, insulating it from securities law.

The precedent is set. The SEC's settled enforcement against Block.one's EOS established that a sufficiently decentralized network is not a security. Conversely, the ongoing Ripple (XRP) case highlights the peril of centralized distribution. The market is already voting: Solana's SOL surged post-Kraken settlement, signaling investor confidence in its compliant trajectory.

Evidence: The migration is measurable. Celestia's modular data availability and EigenLayer's restaking primitive are purpose-built for a future where L1 token value is abstracted. Activity on Arbitrum and Optimism, where the sequencer captures value separately from ETH, demonstrates the viable tokenless rollup model.

takeaways
L1 TOKEN STRATEGY

TL;DR for Protocol Architects and VCs

The SEC's aggressive posture is forcing a fundamental re-evaluation of L1 token utility and governance. Survival hinges on demonstrable decentralization and functional necessity.

01

The Problem: The Howey Test's Blunt Instrument

The SEC applies a 1940s investment contract test to 21st-century network tokens. The core risk is that any token sale funding development is deemed a security offering, creating permanent liability for founders and chilling VC investment.\n- Key Risk: Retroactive enforcement on past token distributions.\n- Key Risk: Stifling of legitimate protocol-led growth and community building.

100%
Of L1 ICOs at risk
SEC v. Ripple
Key Precedent
02

The Solution: Hyper-Mechanistic Utility

The only viable defense is a token whose primary, indispensable function is paying for a core, automated network service. Think gas for execution and data (Ethereum) or staking for security (Solana). The token must be useless for speculation without its network function.\n- Key Action: Architect token burns and sinks directly into consensus or execution.\n- Key Action: Eliminate treasury-controlled token distributions that resemble dividends.

>99%
Tx-Paid Gas Target
$0 Treasury
Ideal Distribution
03

The Solution: On-Chain Governance as a Liability

Voting on treasury funds or protocol parameters is a securities regulator's dream—it looks like a common enterprise with profit expectation. Minimize or eliminate tokenholder governance over financial or core protocol decisions. Delegate technical upgrades to a credibly neutral foundation or expert committees.\n- Key Action: Separate social consensus (forks) from token-voted execution.\n- Key Action: Use non-transferable governance NFTs for participation, divorcing power from token price.

Uniswap
Case Study
High Risk
Treasury Control
04

The Solution: The App-Chain Escape Hatch

If a monolithic L1 token is untenable, the endgame is a modular stack where the settlement/DA layer token bears the regulatory burden. App-specific rollups (via Arbitrum Orbit, OP Stack, Celestia) use the base layer for security but issue their own purely utility-driven tokens for gas. This isolates application economics from securities law.\n- Key Action: Build as an L2/L3 with a custom gas token.\n- Key Action: Leverage shared security from Ethereum, Bitcoin, or Cosmos to bootstrap trust.

Celestia
Modular DA
Arbitrum Orbit
App-Chain Stack
05

The Problem: The 'Sufficiently Decentralized' Mirage

There is no bright-line legal test for decentralization. The SEC's stance suggests it's a spectrum where they hold the measuring stick. Concentrated VC/team holdings, centralized development, and promotional activity can invalidate decentralization claims long after launch.\n- Key Risk: Perpetual regulatory overhang prevents institutional adoption.\n- Key Risk: The goalpost for "decentralization" moves with each new enforcement action.

SEC v. Coinbase
Key Precedent
Moving Target
Legal Standard
06

The Solution: Pre-Launch Structural Defense

Compliance must be architected from genesis. This means: No pre-sales or SAFTs to US persons, a fully live network at token distribution, and a token with immediate, non-speculative utility. Document everything. The model is a functional network first, token distribution second—the inverse of the 2017 ICO model.\n- Key Action: Use airdrop-based distribution to verified network users, not investors.\n- Key Action: Engage legal counsel pre-launch for a Wells Submission to proactively argue the token's non-security status.

Airdrop-First
Launch Strategy
Wells Process
Proactive Defense
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Are ETH, SOL, ADA Securities? The SEC's L1 Crackdown | ChainScore Blog