The zkEVM is incomplete. It proves the execution of EVM opcodes, but the logic inside smart contracts remains a black box. This creates a trust gap for complex applications like on-chain order matching or AI inference that require verifiable computation beyond simple arithmetic.
Why Your zkEVM Needs a zkML Strategy
zkEVMs that only verify EVM execution are building for yesterday's web3. The next wave of applications—AI agents, on-chain games, and verifiable inference—requires a zkML strategy. This is a technical and strategic imperative.
Introduction: The Incomplete zkEVM
zkEVMs verify state transitions, but leave the most valuable on-chain computations—AI, gaming logic, DeFi strategies—unproven and opaque.
Layer 2s like Scroll and zkSync compete on proving speed and cost, but they share this fundamental limitation. Their proving systems terminate at the EVM boundary, leaving application-specific logic unverified. This is the next architectural battleground.
Proof markets like RISC Zero and Succinct demonstrate the demand for general-purpose provable computation. Their emergence signals that application-layer zero-knowledge proofs (zkApps) are the logical extension of the zkEVM thesis, moving verification into the contract itself.
Evidence: The gas cost for a Groth16 proof verification on Ethereum is ~400k gas. A zkEVM rollup batch proof is millions of gas. The delta between verifying a custom zkML circuit and a full zkEVM batch is the cost of the missing proof.
Executive Summary
zkEVMs are commoditizing execution. The next battleground is proving off-chain compute, where zkML is the ultimate weapon.
The Problem: Your L2 is a Commodity
Every zkEVM offers cheap, fast EVM equivalence. The differentiator is now the application layer. Without a native strategy for verifiable AI, your chain becomes a passive settlement layer for innovators building elsewhere.
- Risk: Ceding the high-value use case frontier to competitors like zkSync and Starknet.
- Result: Becoming a cost center instead of a revenue-generating ecosystem hub.
The Solution: zkML as a Core Primitive
Bake verifiable off-chain compute directly into your protocol's security model. This turns your chain into the default home for on-chain AI agents, decentralized prediction markets, and privacy-preserving identity.
- Attract: Modulus Labs, Giza, and EZKL developers seeking optimal proving infrastructure.
- Monetize: Capture value from proving fees and MEV-resistant sequencer revenue from complex intents.
The Blueprint: Integrate, Don't Fork
Adopt a modular stack with a dedicated zkML co-processor (e.g., Risc Zero, SP1). Keep the core EVM lean for compatibility, while offloading heavy ML proofs to a specialized VM. This mirrors the Ethereum-Danksharding philosophy.
- Benefit: Maintain full Ethereum security and tooling (Hardhat, Foundry).
- Speed: Enable ~2-second finality for ML inferences without bloating the base layer.
The First-Mover Play: Capture the Agent Stack
The killer app is autonomous, verifiable agents. By offering the best proving latency and cost for models, you become the settlement layer for projects like OpenAI's o1-preview on-chain or Fetch.ai. This drives sustainable demand for your native token and blockspace.
- Outcome: Your sequencer becomes the central clearinghouse for intent-based transactions and agentic MEV.
- Metric: Daily Active Agents (DAAs) becomes your key growth indicator, not just TVL.
The Risk: Ignoring the Privacy Vector
zkML isn't just about proving public model outputs; it's about private inputs. Competitors like Aztec and Aleo are building full privacy stacks. Without a strategy, you lose the entire vertical of private credit scoring, healthcare AI, and confidential DeFi strategies.
- Threat: Privacy-focused zkEVMs will siphon institutional capital and regulated applications.
- Defense: Implement selective disclosure proofs as a base layer primitive.
The Bottom Line: It's an S-Curve, Not a Feature
Treating zkML as a developer grant program is a failure mode. It must be a core R&D line with dedicated protocol-level resources. The proving market will be worth tens of billions; your chain's share is determined by architectural bets made today.
- Action: Allocate >20% of treasury grants to zkML infra and application incentives.
- Benchmark: Achieve sub-$0.10 cost for a GPT-4 scale proof by EOY 2025.
Thesis: zkML is the Next Scaling Frontier
zkML is the critical infrastructure for scaling stateful, intelligent applications on-chain, moving beyond simple payments.
zkML enables stateful intelligence. Current zkEVMs scale transaction execution but remain stateless. zkML allows complex computations like AI inference to be proven off-chain and verified on-chain, creating a new class of verifiable applications.
The bottleneck shifts to compute. Scaling is no longer just about TPS; it's about the cost and latency of proving complex logic. Projects like Modulus Labs and Giza are building specialized proving stacks for this workload.
Without zkML, your zkEVM is incomplete. It will process transactions for AI-driven dApps but cannot host their core logic. This cedes the most valuable application layer to centralized oracles and off-chain services.
Evidence: EZKL benchmarks show proving a neural network inference costs ~$0.01 on Ethereum L1, a 1000x cost reduction versus on-chain execution, making on-chain AI agents economically viable.
Market Context: The AI Agent On-Chain Rush
The next wave of on-chain activity will be driven by autonomous AI agents, creating unique demands that generic zkEVMs are not designed to meet.
AI agents are the next users. They operate at a scale and logic complexity that human users cannot, requiring predictable, low-latency execution environments for tasks like arbitrage, dynamic portfolio management, and on-chain negotiation.
Generic zkEVMs are insufficient. Their architectures prioritize human-centric transaction patterns and lack the specialized infrastructure for agent-native primitives like persistent sessions, verifiable compute offloading, and intent-based batching seen in protocols like UniswapX and Across.
The bottleneck is verifiable inference. Agents require on-chain proof of their off-chain AI decisions. Without a native zkML strategy, your chain becomes a passive settlement layer, ceding value to specialized networks like Giza and EZKL.
Evidence: The total value of intent-based transactions facilitated by agents across CowSwap, UniswapX, and Across exceeds $25B, demonstrating the market's shift towards automated, logic-driven on-chain activity.
The zkML Infrastructure Stack: A Comparative View
A decision matrix comparing infrastructure approaches for integrating zero-knowledge machine learning into zkEVM environments.
| Core Feature / Metric | Integrated Co-Processor (e.g., RISC Zero, Succinct) | On-Chain Verifier (e.g., EZKL, Giza) | Dedicated L1/L2 (e.g., Modulus, Gensyn) |
|---|---|---|---|
Verification Time (Prover) | 2-5 sec | 30-120 sec | 5-15 sec |
On-Chain Verification Gas Cost | ~500K gas | ~2M gas | ~100K gas |
Native EVM Opcode Support | |||
Developer Abstraction Level | Rust/Circuit SDK | Python/ONNX Framework | Solidity/Virtual Machine |
Trust Assumptions | 1-of-N Prover Networks | 1 Honest Prover | Sequencer Decentralization |
Cross-Chain Proof Portability | |||
Typical Model Size Limit | ~50K params | ~10K params |
|
Integration Overhead for zkEVM | Bridging & Messaging Layer | Custom Verifier Contract | Full Stack Migration |
Deep Dive: From EVM Opcodes to Neural Network Ops
The next generation of on-chain applications requires a fundamental shift from deterministic EVM execution to probabilistic, AI-driven logic, making zkML a core infrastructure component.
zkML is not an app, it's a primitive. Your zkEVM's value proposition shifts from cheap execution to verifiable intelligence. This transforms applications from simple state machines to autonomous agents capable of complex reasoning, verified on-chain.
The EVM opcode set is insufficient. It handles deterministic logic but fails at pattern recognition, prediction, and optimization. Integrating a zkML co-processor like EZKL or Giza moves these workloads off-chain while providing cryptographic guarantees for the results.
Proof generation is the new bottleneck. Training and inference in frameworks like TensorFlow or PyTorch must be compiled into zk-SNARK circuits. This requires specialized tooling, such as Cairo for StarkNet, to manage the exponential proving overhead of neural network operations.
Evidence: Projects like Modulus Labs' RockyBot demonstrate this, where an AI agent's trading decisions are verified with zk proofs on Ethereum, creating a new trust model for autonomous on-chain activity.
Protocol Spotlight: Who's Building the Bridge?
zkEVMs are scaling execution, but the next frontier is scaling intelligence. These protocols are embedding verifiable ML directly into the stack.
The Problem: Opaque Oracles & MEV
Feeding off-chain data (e.g., price feeds) or executing complex logic (e.g., DEX routing) requires trusting centralized oracles or validators, creating MEV extraction points and security risks.
- Vulnerability: Oracle manipulation attacks have drained >$500M.
- Inefficiency: Generalized compute oracles like Chainlink Functions are expensive and slow (~10s latency).
The Solution: EZKL & On-Chain Verifiable Inference
EZKL provides a toolkit to convert standard ML models (PyTorch, TensorFlow) into zk-SNARK circuits. This allows the model's output to be verified on-chain with a tiny proof.
- Interoperability: Proofs are EVM-verifiable, making them native to zkEVMs like zkSync, Scroll, and Polygon zkEVM.
- Scale: Can verify large models (~10M parameters) with sub-dollar proof costs on L2s.
The Solution: Modulus & Specialized zkML Rollups
Modulus is building a zkML-optimized rollup that acts as a co-processor for other chains. It's designed from the ground up for high-throughput ML inference, not general EVM computation.
- Performance: Aims for ~500ms end-to-end latency for inference tasks.
- Architecture: Decouples proof generation (off-chain) from verification (on any chain via light clients), similar to AltLayer or Espresso for ML.
The Killer App: Autonomous, Verifiable Agents
zkML enables smart contracts that act based on proven AI judgment, moving beyond simple if-then logic. Think UniswapX with a zk-proven routing optimizer or a lending protocol that autonomously adjusts rates.
- Autonomy: Contracts can execute complex strategies without oracle latency or committees.
- Composability: A verifiable credit scoring model from one dApp can be reused trustlessly across the ecosystem.
Risk Analysis: The Bear Case for zkML
Ignoring zkML isn't a neutral choice; it's a direct path to protocol obsolescence as AI becomes the primary user of blockchains.
The Liquidity Fragmentation Problem
Your zkEVM's liquidity is a static asset. Without zkML, AI agents cannot trustlessly verify on-chain actions, forcing them to default to centralized venues like Binance or Coinbase. This creates a permanent liquidity discount for decentralized L2s.
- AI-driven volume is projected to be >30% of all DEX trades by 2026.
- L2s without verifiable AI access become data silos, ceding the most valuable flow to CEXs and centralized bridges.
The MEV Capture Inversion
Searchers using private ML models already dominate MEV extraction. Without a native zkML stack, your chain's value leak accelerates as these opaque bots extract >90% of arbitrage profits. zkML enables transparent, verifiable MEV strategies that can be taxed or socialized for the protocol.
- Current opaque MEV: $500M+ annualized extraction.
- Verifiable MEV: Enables protocol-owned revenue from the most sophisticated actors.
The On-Chain Autonomy Gap
Future DeFi primitives like dynamic AMMs, credit scoring, and insurance will require autonomous, verifiable logic. Without a zkML runtime, your zkEVM cannot host these applications, becoming a legacy settlement layer for simple swaps while EigenLayer, Espresso, and others capture the intelligence layer.
- Application Gap: Limits protocols to static if/then logic.
- Strategic Risk: Cedes the autonomous application stack to competing infra layers.
The Proof Overhead Fallacy
The argument that zkML proofs are too slow/costly is a temporary engineering challenge, not a fundamental limit. Projects like Modulus, Giza, and EZKL are driving 10-100x cost reductions yearly. Waiting for 'maturity' means your chain's developer mindshare and tooling will be years behind.
- Proof Cost Curve: Following Moore's Law for ZK.
- Opportunity Cost: ~24 month lead time lost to early adopters like StarkNet and Aztec.
The Privacy-Preserving Data Dilemma
zkML is the only viable path to using sensitive real-world data (RWA, identity, health) on-chain. Without it, your zkEVM's privacy is limited to financial transactions, missing the next trillion-dollar market for verifiable off-chain computation. This cedes the entire field to oasis, phala, and other privacy-centric networks.
- Market Missed: RWA, DeSci, Identity verticals require private ML.
- Architectural Lock-Out: Cannot bridge to TLS-N, HyperOracle data feeds.
The Existential Composability Risk
In a multi-chain future, cross-chain intents and states will be coordinated by AI. If your chain cannot natively verify ML inferences, it becomes a composability dead-end. Aggregators like UniswapX, Across, and intent solvers will prioritize zkML-enabled chains, starving yours of integrated liquidity and users.
- Network Effect Inversion: Becomes a sink, not a source of liquidity.
- Final Outcome: Reduced to a niche settlement chain for legacy apps.
Future Outlook: The 2025 Stack
zkEVMs that fail to integrate zkML will be commoditized, losing the performance and user experience battles.
zkML is the new execution primitive. The 2025 competitive landscape for zkEVMs is not about proving speed; it's about enabling new application logic. zkML integration, like that pioneered by Modulus Labs, allows on-chain AI agents, verifiable game engines, and adaptive DeFi strategies. This creates a defensible moat beyond raw throughput.
The stack flips from L1-centric to app-centric. Today's stack optimizes for the chain. The 2025 stack, with tools like EZKL and Giza, optimizes for the application. Developers choose a zkEVM based on its zkML tooling and proving infrastructure, not its theoretical TPS. The chain becomes a feature of the app, not the other way around.
Evidence: The EigenLayer AVS for AI and Worldcoin's custom zk-circuits demonstrate that major applications are building their own proving stacks. Generic zkEVMs without a first-class zkML strategy will be bypassed by appchains and custom layers built for specific AI workloads.
Takeaways: Your zkEVM Action Plan
zkML is not an R&D project; it's the next infrastructure layer for verifiable on-chain logic. Ignoring it cedes competitive ground.
The Problem: Your Oracle is a Centralized Black Box
Chainlink and Pyth deliver data, not verifiable computation. You're trusting their nodes, not cryptographic truth. This is a systemic risk for DeFi and gaming primitives.
- Key Benefit 1: Replace trust with zero-knowledge proofs for price feeds, RNG, or any off-chain logic.
- Key Benefit 2: Enable novel applications like autonomous, verifiable AI agents (e.g., Modulus, Giza) directly in your smart contracts.
The Solution: zkML as a Universal Settlement Layer
Treat your zkEVM not just as a VM, but as a verifiable court. Any complex state transition (DeFi risk models, gaming physics, KYC checks) can be computed off-chain and settled on-chain with a proof.
- Key Benefit 1: Drastically reduce on-chain gas costs by moving heavy computation to specialized provers (e.g., EZKL, Risc Zero).
- Key Benefit 2: Create composable verifiable services that other protocols can permissionlessly call, turning your chain into a utility layer.
The Architecture: Prover Networks Are Your New RPC
Just as you need RPC endpoints for reads/writes, you'll need a decentralized prover network for verifiable compute. This is the next infrastructure battleground.
- Key Benefit 1: Decentralize the proving process to avoid single points of failure (look at Aleo, Succinct).
- Key Benefit 2: Monetize idle compute by allowing validators/stakers to also serve as provers, creating a new revenue stream.
The Competitor: StarkNet & zkSync Are Already Baking It In
StarkNet with Cairo and zkSync with their LLVM compiler are architecting for native zkML integration. Generic zkEVMs that treat ML as a second-class citizen will lag.
- Key Benefit 1: Future-proof your developer ecosystem by offering first-class tooling for on-chain AI (e.g., Orbis, zkMatrix).
- Key Benefit 2: Attract the next wave of differentiated dApps that are impossible on legacy EVM chains, securing long-term TVL.
The Action: Start with a Verifiable Data Feed
Don't boil the ocean. Identify one high-value, compute-heavy data input your ecosystem depends on (e.g., a DEX's TWAP, a prediction market's resolution).
- Key Benefit 1: Immediate security & marketing win by showcasing verifiability where competitors are opaque.
- Key Benefit 2: Build internal expertise on proof systems (Groth16, Plonk, STARKs) and prover economics, de-risking the broader rollout.
The Metric: Cost Per Verified FLOP
Track the cost (in gas + prover fees) to verify a floating-point operation. This is the zkML equivalent of cost per transaction. Optimizing this is a core competitive moat.
- Key Benefit 1: Drive efficiency in your proving stack, attracting cost-sensitive applications like on-chain gaming and large-scale simulations.
- Key Benefit 2: Create transparent benchmarks for developers, making your chain the obvious choice for verifiable compute workloads.
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