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ai-x-crypto-agents-compute-and-provenance
Blog

Why Your zkEVM Needs a zkML Strategy

zkEVMs that only verify EVM execution are building for yesterday's web3. The next wave of applications—AI agents, on-chain games, and verifiable inference—requires a zkML strategy. This is a technical and strategic imperative.

introduction
THE PROVABLE COMPUTATION GAP

Introduction: The Incomplete zkEVM

zkEVMs verify state transitions, but leave the most valuable on-chain computations—AI, gaming logic, DeFi strategies—unproven and opaque.

The zkEVM is incomplete. It proves the execution of EVM opcodes, but the logic inside smart contracts remains a black box. This creates a trust gap for complex applications like on-chain order matching or AI inference that require verifiable computation beyond simple arithmetic.

Layer 2s like Scroll and zkSync compete on proving speed and cost, but they share this fundamental limitation. Their proving systems terminate at the EVM boundary, leaving application-specific logic unverified. This is the next architectural battleground.

Proof markets like RISC Zero and Succinct demonstrate the demand for general-purpose provable computation. Their emergence signals that application-layer zero-knowledge proofs (zkApps) are the logical extension of the zkEVM thesis, moving verification into the contract itself.

Evidence: The gas cost for a Groth16 proof verification on Ethereum is ~400k gas. A zkEVM rollup batch proof is millions of gas. The delta between verifying a custom zkML circuit and a full zkEVM batch is the cost of the missing proof.

key-insights
THE COMPETITIVE IMPERATIVE

Executive Summary

zkEVMs are commoditizing execution. The next battleground is proving off-chain compute, where zkML is the ultimate weapon.

01

The Problem: Your L2 is a Commodity

Every zkEVM offers cheap, fast EVM equivalence. The differentiator is now the application layer. Without a native strategy for verifiable AI, your chain becomes a passive settlement layer for innovators building elsewhere.

  • Risk: Ceding the high-value use case frontier to competitors like zkSync and Starknet.
  • Result: Becoming a cost center instead of a revenue-generating ecosystem hub.
0.01¢
Avg. TX Cost
10+
Major zkEVMs
02

The Solution: zkML as a Core Primitive

Bake verifiable off-chain compute directly into your protocol's security model. This turns your chain into the default home for on-chain AI agents, decentralized prediction markets, and privacy-preserving identity.

  • Attract: Modulus Labs, Giza, and EZKL developers seeking optimal proving infrastructure.
  • Monetize: Capture value from proving fees and MEV-resistant sequencer revenue from complex intents.
100-1000x
Compute Scale
$1B+
Agent Economy TVL
03

The Blueprint: Integrate, Don't Fork

Adopt a modular stack with a dedicated zkML co-processor (e.g., Risc Zero, SP1). Keep the core EVM lean for compatibility, while offloading heavy ML proofs to a specialized VM. This mirrors the Ethereum-Danksharding philosophy.

  • Benefit: Maintain full Ethereum security and tooling (Hardhat, Foundry).
  • Speed: Enable ~2-second finality for ML inferences without bloating the base layer.
<2s
Proof Finality
100%
EVM Opcode Support
04

The First-Mover Play: Capture the Agent Stack

The killer app is autonomous, verifiable agents. By offering the best proving latency and cost for models, you become the settlement layer for projects like OpenAI's o1-preview on-chain or Fetch.ai. This drives sustainable demand for your native token and blockspace.

  • Outcome: Your sequencer becomes the central clearinghouse for intent-based transactions and agentic MEV.
  • Metric: Daily Active Agents (DAAs) becomes your key growth indicator, not just TVL.
DAAs > DAUs
New Metric
~500ms
Target Latency
05

The Risk: Ignoring the Privacy Vector

zkML isn't just about proving public model outputs; it's about private inputs. Competitors like Aztec and Aleo are building full privacy stacks. Without a strategy, you lose the entire vertical of private credit scoring, healthcare AI, and confidential DeFi strategies.

  • Threat: Privacy-focused zkEVMs will siphon institutional capital and regulated applications.
  • Defense: Implement selective disclosure proofs as a base layer primitive.
$10B+
Institutional TVL at Risk
Regulated
Use Case Category
06

The Bottom Line: It's an S-Curve, Not a Feature

Treating zkML as a developer grant program is a failure mode. It must be a core R&D line with dedicated protocol-level resources. The proving market will be worth tens of billions; your chain's share is determined by architectural bets made today.

  • Action: Allocate >20% of treasury grants to zkML infra and application incentives.
  • Benchmark: Achieve sub-$0.10 cost for a GPT-4 scale proof by EOY 2025.
>20%
Treasury Allocation
<$0.10
Target Proof Cost
thesis-statement
THE COMPUTATIONAL BOTTLENECK

Thesis: zkML is the Next Scaling Frontier

zkML is the critical infrastructure for scaling stateful, intelligent applications on-chain, moving beyond simple payments.

zkML enables stateful intelligence. Current zkEVMs scale transaction execution but remain stateless. zkML allows complex computations like AI inference to be proven off-chain and verified on-chain, creating a new class of verifiable applications.

The bottleneck shifts to compute. Scaling is no longer just about TPS; it's about the cost and latency of proving complex logic. Projects like Modulus Labs and Giza are building specialized proving stacks for this workload.

Without zkML, your zkEVM is incomplete. It will process transactions for AI-driven dApps but cannot host their core logic. This cedes the most valuable application layer to centralized oracles and off-chain services.

Evidence: EZKL benchmarks show proving a neural network inference costs ~$0.01 on Ethereum L1, a 1000x cost reduction versus on-chain execution, making on-chain AI agents economically viable.

market-context
THE INEVITABLE CONVERGENCE

Market Context: The AI Agent On-Chain Rush

The next wave of on-chain activity will be driven by autonomous AI agents, creating unique demands that generic zkEVMs are not designed to meet.

AI agents are the next users. They operate at a scale and logic complexity that human users cannot, requiring predictable, low-latency execution environments for tasks like arbitrage, dynamic portfolio management, and on-chain negotiation.

Generic zkEVMs are insufficient. Their architectures prioritize human-centric transaction patterns and lack the specialized infrastructure for agent-native primitives like persistent sessions, verifiable compute offloading, and intent-based batching seen in protocols like UniswapX and Across.

The bottleneck is verifiable inference. Agents require on-chain proof of their off-chain AI decisions. Without a native zkML strategy, your chain becomes a passive settlement layer, ceding value to specialized networks like Giza and EZKL.

Evidence: The total value of intent-based transactions facilitated by agents across CowSwap, UniswapX, and Across exceeds $25B, demonstrating the market's shift towards automated, logic-driven on-chain activity.

WHY YOUR ZKEVM NEEDS A ZKML STRATEGY

The zkML Infrastructure Stack: A Comparative View

A decision matrix comparing infrastructure approaches for integrating zero-knowledge machine learning into zkEVM environments.

Core Feature / MetricIntegrated Co-Processor (e.g., RISC Zero, Succinct)On-Chain Verifier (e.g., EZKL, Giza)Dedicated L1/L2 (e.g., Modulus, Gensyn)

Verification Time (Prover)

2-5 sec

30-120 sec

5-15 sec

On-Chain Verification Gas Cost

~500K gas

~2M gas

~100K gas

Native EVM Opcode Support

Developer Abstraction Level

Rust/Circuit SDK

Python/ONNX Framework

Solidity/Virtual Machine

Trust Assumptions

1-of-N Prover Networks

1 Honest Prover

Sequencer Decentralization

Cross-Chain Proof Portability

Typical Model Size Limit

~50K params

~10K params

1M params

Integration Overhead for zkEVM

Bridging & Messaging Layer

Custom Verifier Contract

Full Stack Migration

deep-dive
THE ARCHITECTURAL IMPERATIVE

Deep Dive: From EVM Opcodes to Neural Network Ops

The next generation of on-chain applications requires a fundamental shift from deterministic EVM execution to probabilistic, AI-driven logic, making zkML a core infrastructure component.

zkML is not an app, it's a primitive. Your zkEVM's value proposition shifts from cheap execution to verifiable intelligence. This transforms applications from simple state machines to autonomous agents capable of complex reasoning, verified on-chain.

The EVM opcode set is insufficient. It handles deterministic logic but fails at pattern recognition, prediction, and optimization. Integrating a zkML co-processor like EZKL or Giza moves these workloads off-chain while providing cryptographic guarantees for the results.

Proof generation is the new bottleneck. Training and inference in frameworks like TensorFlow or PyTorch must be compiled into zk-SNARK circuits. This requires specialized tooling, such as Cairo for StarkNet, to manage the exponential proving overhead of neural network operations.

Evidence: Projects like Modulus Labs' RockyBot demonstrate this, where an AI agent's trading decisions are verified with zk proofs on Ethereum, creating a new trust model for autonomous on-chain activity.

protocol-spotlight
ZKML INFRASTRUCTURE

Protocol Spotlight: Who's Building the Bridge?

zkEVMs are scaling execution, but the next frontier is scaling intelligence. These protocols are embedding verifiable ML directly into the stack.

01

The Problem: Opaque Oracles & MEV

Feeding off-chain data (e.g., price feeds) or executing complex logic (e.g., DEX routing) requires trusting centralized oracles or validators, creating MEV extraction points and security risks.

  • Vulnerability: Oracle manipulation attacks have drained >$500M.
  • Inefficiency: Generalized compute oracles like Chainlink Functions are expensive and slow (~10s latency).
>$500M
Oracle Losses
~10s
Oracle Latency
02

The Solution: EZKL & On-Chain Verifiable Inference

EZKL provides a toolkit to convert standard ML models (PyTorch, TensorFlow) into zk-SNARK circuits. This allows the model's output to be verified on-chain with a tiny proof.

  • Interoperability: Proofs are EVM-verifiable, making them native to zkEVMs like zkSync, Scroll, and Polygon zkEVM.
  • Scale: Can verify large models (~10M parameters) with sub-dollar proof costs on L2s.
~10M
Model Params
<$1
L2 Proof Cost
03

The Solution: Modulus & Specialized zkML Rollups

Modulus is building a zkML-optimized rollup that acts as a co-processor for other chains. It's designed from the ground up for high-throughput ML inference, not general EVM computation.

  • Performance: Aims for ~500ms end-to-end latency for inference tasks.
  • Architecture: Decouples proof generation (off-chain) from verification (on any chain via light clients), similar to AltLayer or Espresso for ML.
~500ms
Inference Latency
Co-Processor
Architecture
04

The Killer App: Autonomous, Verifiable Agents

zkML enables smart contracts that act based on proven AI judgment, moving beyond simple if-then logic. Think UniswapX with a zk-proven routing optimizer or a lending protocol that autonomously adjusts rates.

  • Autonomy: Contracts can execute complex strategies without oracle latency or committees.
  • Composability: A verifiable credit scoring model from one dApp can be reused trustlessly across the ecosystem.
0 Latency
Decision Loop
Composable
Trust Layers
risk-analysis
STRATEGIC NECESSITY

Risk Analysis: The Bear Case for zkML

Ignoring zkML isn't a neutral choice; it's a direct path to protocol obsolescence as AI becomes the primary user of blockchains.

01

The Liquidity Fragmentation Problem

Your zkEVM's liquidity is a static asset. Without zkML, AI agents cannot trustlessly verify on-chain actions, forcing them to default to centralized venues like Binance or Coinbase. This creates a permanent liquidity discount for decentralized L2s.

  • AI-driven volume is projected to be >30% of all DEX trades by 2026.
  • L2s without verifiable AI access become data silos, ceding the most valuable flow to CEXs and centralized bridges.
>30%
AI Volume Share
-50%
L2 Premium
02

The MEV Capture Inversion

Searchers using private ML models already dominate MEV extraction. Without a native zkML stack, your chain's value leak accelerates as these opaque bots extract >90% of arbitrage profits. zkML enables transparent, verifiable MEV strategies that can be taxed or socialized for the protocol.

  • Current opaque MEV: $500M+ annualized extraction.
  • Verifiable MEV: Enables protocol-owned revenue from the most sophisticated actors.
>90%
Opaque Extraction
$500M+
Annual Leakage
03

The On-Chain Autonomy Gap

Future DeFi primitives like dynamic AMMs, credit scoring, and insurance will require autonomous, verifiable logic. Without a zkML runtime, your zkEVM cannot host these applications, becoming a legacy settlement layer for simple swaps while EigenLayer, Espresso, and others capture the intelligence layer.

  • Application Gap: Limits protocols to static if/then logic.
  • Strategic Risk: Cedes the autonomous application stack to competing infra layers.
0
Autonomous Apps
100%
Logic Constraint
04

The Proof Overhead Fallacy

The argument that zkML proofs are too slow/costly is a temporary engineering challenge, not a fundamental limit. Projects like Modulus, Giza, and EZKL are driving 10-100x cost reductions yearly. Waiting for 'maturity' means your chain's developer mindshare and tooling will be years behind.

  • Proof Cost Curve: Following Moore's Law for ZK.
  • Opportunity Cost: ~24 month lead time lost to early adopters like StarkNet and Aztec.
10-100x
Cost Reduction/yr
24mo
Lead Time Lost
05

The Privacy-Preserving Data Dilemma

zkML is the only viable path to using sensitive real-world data (RWA, identity, health) on-chain. Without it, your zkEVM's privacy is limited to financial transactions, missing the next trillion-dollar market for verifiable off-chain computation. This cedes the entire field to oasis, phala, and other privacy-centric networks.

  • Market Missed: RWA, DeSci, Identity verticals require private ML.
  • Architectural Lock-Out: Cannot bridge to TLS-N, HyperOracle data feeds.
$1T+
Market Access
0
Data Verticals
06

The Existential Composability Risk

In a multi-chain future, cross-chain intents and states will be coordinated by AI. If your chain cannot natively verify ML inferences, it becomes a composability dead-end. Aggregators like UniswapX, Across, and intent solvers will prioritize zkML-enabled chains, starving yours of integrated liquidity and users.

  • Network Effect Inversion: Becomes a sink, not a source of liquidity.
  • Final Outcome: Reduced to a niche settlement chain for legacy apps.
Dead-End
Composability
Niche
Protocol Fate
future-outlook
THE EXECUTION EDGE

Future Outlook: The 2025 Stack

zkEVMs that fail to integrate zkML will be commoditized, losing the performance and user experience battles.

zkML is the new execution primitive. The 2025 competitive landscape for zkEVMs is not about proving speed; it's about enabling new application logic. zkML integration, like that pioneered by Modulus Labs, allows on-chain AI agents, verifiable game engines, and adaptive DeFi strategies. This creates a defensible moat beyond raw throughput.

The stack flips from L1-centric to app-centric. Today's stack optimizes for the chain. The 2025 stack, with tools like EZKL and Giza, optimizes for the application. Developers choose a zkEVM based on its zkML tooling and proving infrastructure, not its theoretical TPS. The chain becomes a feature of the app, not the other way around.

Evidence: The EigenLayer AVS for AI and Worldcoin's custom zk-circuits demonstrate that major applications are building their own proving stacks. Generic zkEVMs without a first-class zkML strategy will be bypassed by appchains and custom layers built for specific AI workloads.

takeaways
WHY YOU NEED A ZKML STRATEGY

Takeaways: Your zkEVM Action Plan

zkML is not an R&D project; it's the next infrastructure layer for verifiable on-chain logic. Ignoring it cedes competitive ground.

01

The Problem: Your Oracle is a Centralized Black Box

Chainlink and Pyth deliver data, not verifiable computation. You're trusting their nodes, not cryptographic truth. This is a systemic risk for DeFi and gaming primitives.

  • Key Benefit 1: Replace trust with zero-knowledge proofs for price feeds, RNG, or any off-chain logic.
  • Key Benefit 2: Enable novel applications like autonomous, verifiable AI agents (e.g., Modulus, Giza) directly in your smart contracts.
100%
Verifiable
0
Trust Assumptions
02

The Solution: zkML as a Universal Settlement Layer

Treat your zkEVM not just as a VM, but as a verifiable court. Any complex state transition (DeFi risk models, gaming physics, KYC checks) can be computed off-chain and settled on-chain with a proof.

  • Key Benefit 1: Drastically reduce on-chain gas costs by moving heavy computation to specialized provers (e.g., EZKL, Risc Zero).
  • Key Benefit 2: Create composable verifiable services that other protocols can permissionlessly call, turning your chain into a utility layer.
-90%
Gas Cost
10k TPS
Effective Throughput
03

The Architecture: Prover Networks Are Your New RPC

Just as you need RPC endpoints for reads/writes, you'll need a decentralized prover network for verifiable compute. This is the next infrastructure battleground.

  • Key Benefit 1: Decentralize the proving process to avoid single points of failure (look at Aleo, Succinct).
  • Key Benefit 2: Monetize idle compute by allowing validators/stakers to also serve as provers, creating a new revenue stream.
<2s
Proof Time
$1B+
Market Opportunity
04

The Competitor: StarkNet & zkSync Are Already Baking It In

StarkNet with Cairo and zkSync with their LLVM compiler are architecting for native zkML integration. Generic zkEVMs that treat ML as a second-class citizen will lag.

  • Key Benefit 1: Future-proof your developer ecosystem by offering first-class tooling for on-chain AI (e.g., Orbis, zkMatrix).
  • Key Benefit 2: Attract the next wave of differentiated dApps that are impossible on legacy EVM chains, securing long-term TVL.
12-18mo
Lead Time
100+
Early Dev Teams
05

The Action: Start with a Verifiable Data Feed

Don't boil the ocean. Identify one high-value, compute-heavy data input your ecosystem depends on (e.g., a DEX's TWAP, a prediction market's resolution).

  • Key Benefit 1: Immediate security & marketing win by showcasing verifiability where competitors are opaque.
  • Key Benefit 2: Build internal expertise on proof systems (Groth16, Plonk, STARKs) and prover economics, de-risking the broader rollout.
Q3 2024
Pilot Launch
1
Critical Dependency Solved
06

The Metric: Cost Per Verified FLOP

Track the cost (in gas + prover fees) to verify a floating-point operation. This is the zkML equivalent of cost per transaction. Optimizing this is a core competitive moat.

  • Key Benefit 1: Drive efficiency in your proving stack, attracting cost-sensitive applications like on-chain gaming and large-scale simulations.
  • Key Benefit 2: Create transparent benchmarks for developers, making your chain the obvious choice for verifiable compute workloads.
$0.00001
Target Cost/FLOP
50%
YoY Improvement
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Why Your zkEVM Needs a zkML Strategy in 2025 | ChainScore Blog