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account-abstraction-fixing-crypto-ux
Blog

Why Paymaster Subsidies Are Economically Unsustainable

A first-principles analysis of the flawed economic model behind sponsored gas fees. Paymaster subsidies are a user acquisition funnel, not a sustainable business. We examine the math, the scaling trap, and the inevitable pivot.

introduction
THE ECONOMICS

The Free Lunch is a Trojan Horse

Paymaster subsidies are a user acquisition tool that creates unsustainable economic dependencies and centralization vectors.

Subsidies are user acquisition costs. Protocols like Biconomy and Pimlico fund gas fees to bootstrap adoption, treating them as a marketing expense, not a sustainable revenue model.

The subsidy creates a dependency. Users and dApps become reliant on a centralized sponsor for viability, mirroring the unsustainable Web2 VC-subsidized growth playbook.

This leads to extractive centralization. The sponsoring entity, often a wallet or dApp, accrues gatekeeper power over transaction flow, creating a single point of failure and censorship.

Evidence: The EIP-4337 standard abstracts the paymaster, but the economic burden remains. Without a clear path to profitability, these subsidies are a ticking time bomb for protocol treasuries.

key-insights
ECONOMIC REALITY CHECK

Executive Summary: The Subsidy Trap

Protocols like Biconomy and Stackup pioneered paymaster gas subsidies to onboard users, but this model is a ticking time bomb for sustainability.

01

The Subsidy Death Spiral

Subsidizing gas is a classic CAC > LTV trap. Protocols spend real capital to acquire users who generate zero protocol revenue, creating a negative-sum game. This model only works with infinite VC funding.

  • Unit Economics: Subsidies scale linearly with usage, not value captured.
  • Exit Strategy: The only 'exit' is rugging users by removing subsidies, which destroys the product's core value proposition.
$50M+
Subsidies Deployed
~$0
Avg. User LTV
02

The Abstraction Illusion

True account abstraction isn't about hiding gas, it's about flexible sponsorship. Protocols like Ethereum's EIP-4337 and zkSync's native AA enable sponsorship logic, not just blanket subsidies. The current subsidy model confuses user acquisition with infrastructure.

  • Real AA: Allows for conditional, application-specific fee logic (e.g., 'sponsor only first tx').
  • Fake AA: A simple relay that eats venture capital to mask transaction costs.
EIP-4337
Standard
0%
Built-in Subsidy
03

The Sustainable Path: Sponsored Sessions

The viable model is session keys with explicit sponsorship windows, as seen in gaming or social apps. A dApp pays for a user's gas for a specific, high-value action (e.g., a game session, a trade), baking the cost into its own business model.

  • Clear ROI: Sponsorship is a direct customer acquisition cost for a known conversion event.
  • No Leakage: Sessions are time-boxed and scope-limited, preventing infinite subsidy drains.
Minutes
Session Window
Controlled
Cost Predictability
04

The Zero-Knowledge Proof of Profit

The endgame is verifiable business logic for sponsorship. Using ZK proofs, a dApp can prove to a paymaster that a user's action will generate sufficient protocol fee revenue to cover the gas cost, enabling algorithmic, profit-positive subsidies.

  • ZK Business Logic: Prove a trade will generate >X fees before sponsoring its gas.
  • Automated Sustainability: Turns subsidies from a cost center into a growth engine with positive unit economics.
ZK Proof
Verification
Profit-Positive
Subsidy Model
thesis-statement
THE SUBSIDY TRAP

Core Thesis: The Unit Economics Are Broken

Paymaster fee subsidies are a marketing tool that creates negative unit economics and misaligns protocol incentives.

Subsidies are a marketing cost, not a sustainable business model. Protocols like Base and zkSync use them to bootstrap user activity, but this creates a direct cash burn with no clear path to profitability.

The user acquisition cost is infinite because subsidized transactions attract mercenary capital, not sticky users. This is identical to the failed DeFi yield-farming model where liquidity leaves post-incentives.

Protocols become fee aggregators, not value creators. A paymaster like Biconomy or Pimlico simply routes the subsidy, capturing minimal margin while the underlying chain bears the real cost of block space.

Evidence: Base's 'Onchain Summer' required millions in USDC grants to cover gas. This model does not scale to the billions of transactions needed for mainstream adoption.

ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

The Subsidy Math: A Ticking Clock

Comparing the long-term economic viability of different paymaster subsidy models and their alternatives.

Key Economic MetricDirect Gas Subsidy (Status Quo)Sponsored Transaction (ERC-4337)Intent-Based Abstraction (e.g., UniswapX)

Primary Funding Source

Protocol Treasury / VC Grants

DApp Treasury / User Fees

MEV / Slippage Optimization

Unit Economics (Cost per TX)

Negative ($0.10 - $0.50 loss)

Neutral to Positive ($0.00 - $0.05 profit)

Positive ($0.01 - $0.10 profit)

Scalability Ceiling

Treasury Runway (6-24 months)

DApp Revenue

Market Liquidity

User Experience Lock-in

Creates Sustainable Fee Market

Relies on External MEV

Typical Subsidy Lifespan

< 2 years

Indefinite (if profitable)

Indefinite (market-driven)

Example Protocols

Base (Onchain Summer), zkSync Era

Biconomy, Candide

UniswapX, CowSwap, Across

deep-dive
THE ECONOMIC REALITY

The Three Phases of Subsidy Collapse

Paymaster subsidy models follow a predictable lifecycle of growth, competition, and inevitable failure.

Phase 1: Growth Through Subsidy. A protocol like Biconomy or Stackup deploys capital to absorb gas fees, creating artificial user growth. This strategy inflates transaction volume metrics to attract venture capital, but the underlying unit economics are negative from day one.

Phase 2: The Taper Begins. As daily active wallets (DAW) plateau, the subsidy becomes a financial sinkhole. The protocol must reduce the subsidy rate, triggering an immediate drop in usage as mercenary capital flees to the next subsidized platform.

Phase 3: Full Collapse. The protocol either runs out of subsidy capital or pivots to a fee-per-transaction model. Users accustomed to free transactions abandon the service, revealing the true, unsustainable demand was zero. This cycle mirrors the collapse of L2 airdrop farming incentives.

Evidence: The lifecycle of Meta-transaction relayers from 2020-2022 provides a clear precedent. Subsidized growth led to a 90%+ drop in activity post-subsidy, proving the model creates engagement, not product-market fit.

counter-argument
THE ECONOMIC REALITY

Steelman: "But Scale Solves Everything"

High transaction volume does not create a sustainable economic model for generalized paymaster subsidies.

Scale does not create revenue. A protocol subsidizing gas for all users is a pure cost center. Higher throughput only increases the subsidy burn rate, requiring proportionally larger capital inflows from other sources like token inflation or treasury reserves.

User acquisition is not monetization. Protocols like Pimlico and Biconomy provide infrastructure, but the subsidizing entity bears the cost. This is a customer acquisition strategy, not a business model. The lifetime value (LTV) of an acquired user must exceed the total subsidy cost, which is rarely true for simple transactions.

Subsidies distort real price signals. When users do not pay the true cost of on-chain computation, it leads to resource misallocation and spam. This creates a tragedy of the commons where the network's economic security is undermined by artificially cheap state growth.

Evidence: Layer 2 networks like Arbitrum and Optimism initially used massive token incentives to bootstrap activity. Sustaining this required shifting to sequencer revenue and, critically, protocol-owned sequencers capturing MEV. Generalized paymasters lack this native monetization hook.

case-study
ECONOMIC REALITY CHECK

Precedent: The Web2 Playbook Fails On-Chain

The 'growth at all costs' subsidy model from Web2 collapses under the transparent, adversarial, and capital-intensive nature of blockchain economics.

01

The Problem: Subsidies Create a Fee War Death Spiral

Protocols like Polygon and Biconomy initially subsidized gas to attract users. This creates a race to the bottom where the only differentiator is who burns more VC money. Once subsidies end, user activity evaporates, revealing no sustainable demand.

  • Zero-Sum Game: Subsidies don't create new economic activity, they just shift it.
  • Uncapturable Value: The subsidy cost is a direct loss, not a marketing expense with future ROI.
$100M+
Subsidy Burn
>90%
Activity Drop-off
02

The Problem: MEV Extracts Subsidy Value

In a transparent mempool, subsidized transactions are a free signal for extractive value. Bots front-run, sandwich, and arbitrage the subsidized flow, capturing the value meant for the end-user. The protocol pays, the searcher profits.

  • Adversarial Environment: Web2's benign user assumption is invalid on-chain.
  • Economic Leakage: The intended subsidy is siphoned off by the MEV supply chain before reaching its target.
~30%
Value Extracted
Zero-Sum
Net User Benefit
03

The Problem: Capital Inefficiency & Protocol Risk

Subsidies require massive, idle capital pools (e.g., Starknet's 50M STRK allocation). This capital is locked, unproductive, and exposed to token volatility. It's a balance sheet liability, not an asset, creating massive opportunity cost and treasury risk.

  • Sunk Cost Fallacy: Capital is spent, not deployed for yield.
  • Tokenomics Contamination: Subsidy programs often inflate token supply or drain treasuries, harming long-term token health.
$50M+
Idle Capital
High
Treasury Risk
04

The Solution: Align Incentives with Sustainable Value

The sustainable model is not paying for gas, but facilitating transactions that create measurable economic surplus. Protocols like UniswapX and Across use intents and auctions to have users or fillers bear costs, only intervening to capture a slice of newly created value.

  • Value-Based Pricing: Fees are a percentage of the value enabled, not a cost to be covered.
  • Demand-Side Economics: The user or their counterparty pays because the transaction is net-positive for them.
Profit Center
Not Cost Center
Aligned
Incentives
future-outlook
THE ECONOMICS

The Sustainable Future: Who Pays, and How?

Paymaster subsidies are a temporary marketing tool, not a viable long-term business model for account abstraction.

Subsidies are a user acquisition cost. Protocols like Starknet and zkSync use them to bootstrap adoption, treating gas sponsorship as a marketing expense. This creates a false economy where the true cost of transaction execution is hidden from the end-user.

The model is economically inverted. In a sustainable system, the application generates revenue to pay for its infrastructure. Subsidies reverse this: the infrastructure (the paymaster) pays for the application's use, creating a permanent cost center with no direct monetization.

Real sustainability requires value capture. A viable paymaster must be a fee-earning business, not a cost center. This means bundling transactions for MEV rebates (like UniswapX), taking a spread on gas token swaps, or charging a premium for specific sponsored operations.

Evidence: The ERC-4337 standard itself has no native fee mechanism for paymasters. This design forces subsidizing entities to build external monetization, a complexity most current implementations ignore in favor of growth-at-all-costs.

takeaways
PAYMASTER SUBSIDIES

TL;DR for Builders and Investors

The current model of subsidizing user gas fees is a temporary growth hack, not a viable long-term business.

01

The Problem: The Burn Rate is a Feature, Not a Bug

Subsidies are a customer acquisition cost masquerading as a product. Protocols like Base and zkSync Era have spent hundreds of millions to bootstrap users, but this creates a perverse incentive where the most active users are the most expensive to retain.\n- Unit economics are negative: Cost per transaction > revenue per transaction.\n- Leads to mercenary capital: Users chase the next subsidized chain, offering zero loyalty.\n- Creates a 'subsidy cliff': Removing subsidies triggers a massive drop in activity, as seen in early L2 cycles.

-$0.01+
Net Profit/Tx
>90%
Activity Drop Risk
02

The Solution: Intent-Based Abstraction & Sponsorship

Shift from blanket subsidies to programmatic sponsorship for specific, high-value actions. This aligns with the intent-centric architecture of UniswapX and CowSwap. The paymaster becomes a strategic tool, not a cost center.\n- Sponsor only profitable actions: A DEX pays gas for swaps that generate protocol fee revenue.\n- Enable new business models: Pay for user onboarding to your app's specific funnel.\n- Integrate with AA & session keys: Bundle sponsored transactions into a seamless user session, improving UX without blank checks.

10x
Better CAC/LTV
Targeted
Subsidy Efficiency
03

The Endgame: Protocol-Owned Liquidity for Gas

Sustainable models require the protocol's own economic activity to fund its operations. This mirrors the evolution from VC-funded incentives to protocol-owned liquidity (POL) in DeFi.\n- Fee switch mechanics: A portion of protocol revenue funds a gas subsidy treasury, creating a flywheel.\n- Stablecoin gas tanks: Projects like Ethereum's EIP-4337 enable users to pay with any token, but the protocol can maintain a war chest of ETH/stablecoins to cover gas.\n- The real metric is LTV/CAC: The lifetime value of an acquired user must exceed the cost of their aggregate gas subsidies.

POL
Funding Model
>1.0
Target LTV/CAC
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